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OKEx Sees Biggest Bitcoin Outflow in 6 Months Soon After Resuming Withdrawals

5 years 10 months ago

Cryptocurrency exchange OKEx recorded a major bitcoin outflow just minutes after it lifted a five-week-long withdrawal suspension at 08:00 UTC Thursday.

About 2,822 BTC was moved from OKEx in block number 658,728 mined at 08:12 UTC. That’s the biggest single-block outflow since May 2019, according to blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant.

Of the 2,822 coins withdrawn, 456 were transferred to cryptocurrency exchange Binance and more than 400 were moved to other exchanges. Meanwhile, 54 accounts or addresses took direct custody of some coins.

Related: Swiss Digital Asset Bank Sygnum Launches Blockchain Alternative to Stock Exchanges

OKEx halted withdrawals indefinitely on Oct. 16 after one of the exchange’s key holders went “out of touch” with the exchange because they were held by authorities to “assist an investigation.”

Some analysts have associated bitcoin’s recent meteoric rise to 35-month highs above $19,000 with a supply shortage due in part to OKEx’s suspension of crypto withdrawals. That’s because the price rally began after OKEx’s decision, dated Oct. 16.

However, many market observers do not see a strong reason to link the latest price rally with OKEx’s issues. “The ‘perfect’ timing of OKEx’s suspension and the price rally could be purely coincidental,” Ryan Watkins, bitcoin analyst at Messari, told CoinDesk.

Bitcoin plunged nearly $3,000 on Thursday, shortly before OKEx was due to restart withdrawals. It’s also not clear if the two events may be linked.

Related: OKEx Resumes Withdrawals 5 Weeks After Freeze

Also read: OKEx’s Withdrawal Suspension Isn’t Behind Bitcoin’s Rally: Analysts

 

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CoinDesk

OKEx Sees Biggest Bitcoin Outflow for 6 Months Soon After Resuming Withdrawals

5 years 10 months ago

Cryptocurrency exchange OKEx recorded a major bitcoin outflow just minutes after it lifted a five-week-long withdrawal suspension at 08:00 UTC Thursday.

About 2,822 bitcoins were moved from OKEx in block number 658,728 mined at 08:12 UTC. That’s the biggest single-block outflow since May 2019, according to blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant.

Of the 2,822 coins withdrawn, 456 were transferred to cryptocurrency exchange Binance and more than 400 were moved to other exchanges. Meanwhile, 54 accounts or addresses took direct custody of some coins.

Related: Swiss Digital Asset Bank Sygnum Launches Blockchain Alternative to Stock Exchanges

OKEx halted withdrawals indefinitely on Oct. 16 after one of the exchange’s key holders went “out of touch” with the exchange because they were held by authorities to “assist an investigation.”

Some analysts have associated bitcoin’s recent meteoric rise to 35-month highs above $19,000 with a supply shortage in part due to OKEx’s suspension of crypto withdrawals. That’s because the price rally began after OKEX’s decision dated Oct. 16.

However, many market observers do not see a strong reason to link the latest price rally with OKEx’s issues. “The “perfect” timing of OKEx’s suspension and the price rally could be purely coincidental,” Ryan Watkins, bitcoin analyst at Messari, told CoinDesk.

Bitcoin plunged nearly $3,000 on Thursday, soon before OKEx was due to restart withdrawals. It’s also not clear if the two events may be linked.

Related: OKEx Resumes Withdrawals 5 Weeks After Freeze

Also read: OKEx’s Withdrawal Suspension Isn’t Behind Bitcoin’s Rally: Analysts

 

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CoinDesk

OKEx Resumes Withdrawals 5 Weeks After Freeze

5 years 10 months ago

Malta-based cryptocurrency exchange OKEx has reopened withdrawals five weeks after an abrupt suspension.

In a short blog post on Thursday, the exchange announced that it was lifting the freeze at 08:00 UTC and pointed users to a compensation and loyalty program in an attempt to appease disgruntled users.

As reported by CoinDesk on Wednesday, OKEx had been preparing its platform functionality ahead of the reopening by testing its withdrawal system, as 0.02 BTC was moved out from an OKEx wallet.

Related: OKEx Sees Biggest Bitcoin Outflow for 6 Months Soon After Resuming Withdrawals

On Oct. 16, OKEx had been forced to suspend all account withdrawals when an unnamed holder of the keys to the cryptocurrency assets was detained by police to apparently assist an investigation.

A report in the Chinese newspaper Caixin said the key holder was the founder of OKCoin and CEO of OK Group Mingxing “Star” Xu, based on sources “close” to the company.

However, OKEx representatives have denied any connection between the two when asked by CoinDesk.

See also: Despite New Incentives to Stay, Some of OKEx’s Chinese Users Are Determined to Leave

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Bitcoin Price Drops Almost $3,000 With Sharpest Sell-Off Since March

5 years 10 months ago

[UPDATED Nov. 26, 2020, 09:00 UTC] Bitcoin has fallen almost $3,000 from levels close to all-time highs.

At around 2:15 UTC, bitcoin (BTC) began to tumble significantly as its value dropped below a previous area of support at around $18,474.

Spot volume across major exchanges also rose sharply as bitcoin’s 24-hour range fell to between $19,474 and $16,514 – its sharpest decline since the wider markets crash in March, according to CoinDesk 20 data. Today’s fall marks an over 12% drop over 24 hours.

Related: Yes, You Can Spend Your Bitcoin This Black Friday

Bitcoin was last seen trading up slightly at $17,040.

“I think this is a correction before we break $20,000,” said Ki Young Ju, CEO at analytics firm CryptoQuant. “Other long-term on-chain indicators like BTC and stablecoin reserve say the potential buying pressure still prevails so far.”

While the reason for the drop isn’t entirely clear, the sell-off move comes at a time when Coinbase’s CEO Brian Armstrong voiced his concerns on Wednesday night over the U.S. Treasury Department’s rumored plans to attempt to track owners of self-hosted cryptocurrency wallets.

It also came soon before an expected flood of bitcoin onto the market that had been frozen on the OKEx exchange due to an absent key holder. OKEx restarted withdrawals at 08:00 UTC, well after the main portion of Thursday’s drop.

Related: 3 Reasons Bitcoin Crashed by $3,000 – And Why It’s Still Bullish

The plunge liquidated $950 million worth of positions across major exchanges, as noted by derivatives data provider Bybt.

“The latest BTC price drop is the first of many tests for new money on whether they have the vision and stomach to truly invest in BTC  and the future of digital finance, or if they’ll simply repeat 2018 and wash out of the market,” said Jehan Chu, co-founder and managing partner at Hong Kong-based blockchain investment and trading firm Kenetic.

Most other notable cryptocurrencies also fell, with Chainlink and Cardano suffering the worst drops across the board, losing 18.9% and 16.7%.

See also: Coinbase CEO: Trump Administration May ‘Rush Out’ Burdensome Crypto Wallet Rules

Updated (Nov. 26, 2020, 09:30 UTC) to include information regarding OKEx withdrawals.

Updated (15:12 UTC, Nov. 26 2020): Corrected headline and sentence that said the drop was the largest in 12 weeks. The 12% drop is the largest since March.

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CoinDesk

Bitcoin Price Drops Almost $3,000 With Sharpest Sell-Off in 12 Weeks

5 years 10 months ago

[UPDATED Nov. 26, 2020, 09:00 UTC] Bitcoin has fallen almost $3,000 from levels close to all-time highs.

At around 2:15 UTC, bitcoin (BTC) began to tumble significantly as its value dropped below a previous area of support at around $18,474.

Spot volume across major exchanges also rose sharply as bitcoin’s 24-hour range fell to between $19,474 and $16,514 – its sharpest decline in 12 weeks, according to CoinDesk 20 data. Today’s fall marks an over 12% drop over 24 hours.

Related: Swiss Digital Asset Bank Sygnum Launches Blockchain Alternative to Stock Exchanges

Bitcoin was last seen trading up slightly at $17,040.

“I think this is a correction before we break $20,000,” said Ki Young Ju, CEO at analytics firm CryptoQuant. “Other long-term on-chain indicators like BTC and stablecoin reserve say the potential buying pressure still prevails so far.”

While the reason for the drop isn’t entirely clear, the sell-off move comes at a time when Coinbase’s CEO Brian Armstrong voiced his concerns on Wednesday night over the U.S. Treasury Department’s rumored plans to attempt to track owners of self-hosted cryptocurrency wallets.

It also came soon before an expected flood of bitcoin onto the market that had been frozen on the OKEx exchange due to an absent key holder. OKEx restarted withdrawals at 08:00 UTC, well after the main portion of Thursday’s drop.

Related: OKEx Sees Biggest Bitcoin Outflow in 6 Months Soon After Resuming Withdrawals

The plunge liquidated $950 million worth of positions across major exchanges, as noted by derivatives data provider Bybt.

“The latest BTC price drop is the first of many tests for new money on whether they have the vision and stomach to truly invest in BTC  and the future of digital finance, or if they’ll simply repeat 2018 and wash out of the market,” said Jehan Chu, co-founder and managing partner at Hong Kong-based blockchain investment and trading firm Kenetic.

Most other notable cryptocurrencies also fell, with Chainlink and Cardano suffering the worst drops across the board, losing 18.9% and 16.7%.

See also: Coinbase CEO: Trump Administration May ‘Rush Out’ Burdensome Crypto Wallet Rules

Updated [Nov. 26, 2020, 09:30 UTC] to include information regarding OKEx withdrawals.

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CoinDesk

Bitcoin Price Drops Almost $3,000 in Sharpest Sell-Off for 12 Weeks

5 years 10 months ago

[UPDATED] Bitcoin has fallen almost $3,000 from levels close to all-time highs.

At around 2:15 UTC, bitcoin (BTC) began to tumble significantly as its value dropped below a previous area of support at around $18,474.

Spot volume across major exchanges also rose sharply as bitcoin’s 24-hour range fell to between $19,474 and $16,514 – its sharpest decline in 12 weeks, according to CoinDesk 20 data. Today’s fall marks an over 12% drop over 24 hours.

Related: OKEx Sees Biggest Bitcoin Outflow for 6 Months Soon After Resuming Withdrawals

Bitcoin was last seen trading up slightly at $17,040.

“I think this is a correction before we break $20,000,” said Ki Young Ju, CEO at analytics firm CryptoQuant. “Other long-term on-chain indicators like BTC and stablecoin reserve say the potential buying pressure still prevails so far.”

While the reason for the drop isn’t entirely clear, the sell-off move comes at a time when Coinbase’s CEO Brian Armstrong voiced his concerns on Wednesday night over the U.S. Treasury Department’s rumored plans to attempt to track owners of self-hosted cryptocurrency wallets.

It also came soon before an expected flood of bitcoin onto the market that had been frozen on the OKEx exchange due to an absent key holder. OKEx restarted withdrawals at 08:00 UTC, well after the main portion of Thursday’s drop.

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Loses Momentum at $19.4K; Ethereum Fees Increasing

The plunge liquidated $950 million worth of positions across major exchanges, as noted by derivatives data provider Bybt.

“The latest BTC price drop is the first of many tests for new money on whether they have the vision and stomach to truly invest in BTC  and the future of digital finance, or if they’ll simply repeat 2018 and wash out of the market,” said Jehan Chu, co-founder and managing partner at Hong Kong-based blockchain investment and trading firm Kenetic.

Most other notable cryptocurrencies also fell with Chainlink and Cardano suffering the worst drops across the board, losing 18.9% and 16.7%.

See also: Coinbase CEO: Trump Administration May ‘Rush Out’ Burdensome Crypto Wallet Rules

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Bitcoin Price Drops $1,000 Before Recovering in Sharpest Sell-Off in 3 Weeks

5 years 10 months ago

Bitcoin fell more than $1000 dollars before rebounding, in the leading cryptocurrency’s sharpest decline in almost three weeks.

At around 2:15 UTC, bitcoin (BTC) began to tumble significantly as its value dropped below a previous area of support at around $18,474.

Spot volume across major exchanges also rose sharply as bitcoin’s 24-hour range fell to between $19,474 and $17,284 – its sharpest decline in since Nov. 7, according to CoinDesk 20 data.

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Loses Momentum at $19.4K; Ethereum Fees Increasing

“I think this is a correction before we break $20,000,” said Ki Young Ju, CEO at analytics firm CryptoQuant. “Other long-term on-chain indicators like BTC and stablecoin reserve say the potential buying pressure still prevails so far.”

Bitcoin has since regained some lost ground and is currently changing hands for around $17,772.

While the reason for the drop isn’t entirely clear, the sell-off move comes at a time when Coinbase’s CEO Brian Armstrong voiced his concerns on Wednesday night over the U.S. Treasury Department’s rumored plans to attempt to track owners of self-hosted cryptocurrency wallets.

The plunge liquidated $950 million worth of positions across major exchanges, as noted by derivatives data provider Bybt.

Related: The Most Bullish Bitcoin Arguments for Your Thanksgiving Table

“The latest BTC price drop is the first of many tests for new money on whether they have the vision and stomach to truly invest in BTC  and the future of digital finance, or if they’ll simply repeat 2018 and wash out of the market,” said Jehan Chu, co-founder and managing partner at Hong Kong-based blockchain investment and trading firm Kenetic.

Most other notable cryptocurrencies also fell with Chainlink (LINK) and Cardano (ADA) suffering the worst drops across the board, losing 18.9% and 16.7%.

See also: Coinbase CEO: Trump Administration May ‘Rush Out’ Burdensome Crypto Wallet Rules

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Coinbase CEO: Trump Administration May ‘Rush Out’ Burdensome Crypto Wallet Rules

5 years 10 months ago

Brian Armstrong is worried the Trump Administration is about to send the cryptocurrency industry a parting gift.

The Coinbase CEO took to Twitter Wednesday night to blast the U.S. Treasury Department’s rumored plans to attempt to track owners of self-hosted cryptocurrency wallets with an onerous set of data-collection requirements.

If the whispers are to be believed,  outgoing Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is preparing to tamp down on one of the fundamental tenets of the cryptocurrency ethos: the ability of the individual to hold their crypto (unmolested) themselves.

Related: BitMEX Founder’s Charges Highlight Risks for DeFi

“This proposed regulation would, we think, require financial institutions like Coinbase to verify the recipient/owner of the self-hosted wallet, collecting identifying information on that party, before a withdrawal could be sent to that self-hosted wallet,” Armstrong tweeted.

If true, the regulation would represent a broadside against the U.S. cryptocurrency industry like few ever levied by the federal government. It would force corporations to know every counterparty to their users’ crypto transactions, keeping logs, tracking movements, and verifying identities even before a transfer could take place.

It would also bring to pass the worst-case scenario envisioned by industry players when the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), an intergovernmental body, told its member countries to apply the so-called travel rule to crypto businesses last year. This long-standing rule requires financial institutions to collect information about the sender and receiver of a money transfer. But it was ambiguous what that would mean when someone sends bitcoin from, say, their Coinbase account to an address controlled by a private key on a sheet of paper kept in a sock drawer.

The Treasury Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment. 

Related: CipherTrace Says Homeland Security Work Gave Rise to Monero-Tracking Patent Filings

Read more: Crypto ‘Gray’ Markets Could Be Unintended Consequence of FATF Travel Rule

Widespread impact

And it would not just affect those who store their coins on a hardware device like Trezor or Ledger. Many crypto services use non-custodial wallets. Decentralized finance (DeFi) smart contracts. Software wallets, paper storage. All would need to prove their provenance to transact with regulated entities under the rumored rule.

Such a sweeping interpretation of FATF guidance has already been applied in Switzerland and the Netherlands. There, virtual asset service providers (VASPs) must prove the ownership of non-custodial crypto wallets ahead of transfer.

Armstrong said Wednesday that such a regulation “would be a terrible legacy and have long-standing negative impacts for the U.S.” 

“This additional friction would kill many of the emerging use cases for crypto. Crypto is not just money – it is digitizing every type of asset,” he said.

To date, regulation of decentralized cryptocurrency networks had been mostly limited to the on/off ramps between the networks and the traditional finance system, according to Jacob Farber, partner at blockchain law and consulting firm Ouroboros LLP.

This state of affairs left the industry “mostly unregulated” and private, such that it has been able to offer a real alternative to traditional finance, Farber said.

“Imposing a KYC [know-your-customer] requirement on transactions between on/off ramps and every wallet that transacts with them expands the reach of regulation over crypto exponentially,” Farber added. “More importantly, it changes what crypto can be, at least at scale.”

He called Armstrong’s concerns justified and said these potential regulations should be taken seriously by the cryptocurrency community.

Preemptive strikes?

Armstrong’s tweets appeared to break long-simmering industry fears over this kind of regulation into full public view. 

In recent days, multiple cryptocurrency lobbyists and advocacy groups have staged what in hindsight appears to have been a soft influence campaign to shape public opinion of non-custodial wallets.

Coin Center published a think piece on the “unintended consequences” of non-hosted wallet restrictions on Nov. 18. 

The Blockchain Association, which Coinbase abandoned this year, released a 50-page policymakers’ guide to self-hosted wallets around the same time.

“The Blockchain Association has long been aware that some regulators in the U.S. and overseas have concerns about self-hosted wallets,” Executive Director Kristin Smith told CoinDesk. “We are actively educating officials in both the executive branch and the legislative branch in order to address misconceptions about self-hosted wallets.”

Read more: Binance Blockade of Wasabi Wallet Could Point to a Crypto Crack-Up

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Gary Gensler Under Consideration for Deputy Treasury Secretary Role: Report

5 years 10 months ago

President-elect Joe Biden may name former Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Gary Gensler to become Deputy Treasury Secretary, CNBC reported Wednesday.

Gensler, who is currently heading up Biden’s financial oversight transition team, would report to former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen, Biden’s reported nominee for the top spot at the Treasury Department. He is perhaps best known for his work developing derivatives rules in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis under former President Barack Obama, but has experience working in the Treasury Department, as an assistant secretary for financial markets in the late 1990s.

It’s unclear how federal regulators might approach the crypto space under a Biden administration. His picks for key administration positions so far include Yellen and Roger Ferguson as his National Economic Council director, according to CNBC. However, their top priority is likely to be addressing the economic impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Related: In Her Own Words: Here’s What Janet Yellen Has Said About Bitcoin

Gensler brings a deep understanding of the cryptocurrency space, saying in 2018 that, “I’m an optimist, I want to see this technology succeed, it is in essence about the plumbing of the financial system and it’s a new technology that can really enhance the financial system.”

Others with significant familiarity with cryptocurrency on Biden’s transition team include MIT Professor Simon Johnson, Georgetown University law professor Chris Brummer, University of California – Irvine School of Law professor Mehrsa Baradaran and Columbia University law professor Lev Menand.

Each of these individuals has weighed in on the potential benefits or complications of using cryptocurrencies for various issues.

Gensler did not return a previous request for comment.

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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Loses Momentum at $19.4K; Ethereum Fees Increasing

5 years 10 months ago

The number of billion-dollar spot volume days in the bitcoin market is increasing, pushing prices higher. Ethereum’s transaction fees are also increasing as general cryptocurrency interest fuels demand.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $18,883 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Slipping 0.75% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $18,640-$19,474 (CoinDesk 20)
  • BTC below its 10-day and 50-day moving averages, a bearish signal for market technicians.

Bitcoin closed in on the $19,500 price point Wednesday, hitting as high as $19,474, according to CoinDesk 20 data, before losing momentum, down to $18,883 as of press time.

“Following a meteoric rise over the past week, bitcoin appears to have consolidated at $19,000 even after briefly dropping below this important psychological milestone,” noted Guy Hirsch, U.S. managing director for multi-asset brokerage eToro. “This is important because it shows there is support for bitcoin at this valuation for the first time in its history.”

Related: The Most Bullish Bitcoin Arguments for Your Thanksgiving Table

Read More: Bitcoin Options Market Suggests Investors Preparing for All-Time High

“Bitcoin maintains itself above $19,000 so we’re about a 2% move away from approaching the all-time highs last seen in 2017,” noted Elie Le Rest, partner at quant trading firm ExoAlpha. “Every day we’re seeing volumes increase across venues.” 

Helping to lead bitcoin’s price run is volume. In fact, Tuesday’s $1.8 billion in combined daily volume on five major USD/BTC spot exchanges (Bitstamp, Coinbase, Gemini, ItBit and Kraken) is the second largest recorded in 2020, only superseded by March 13’s $1.9 billion level. As of press time, Wednesday’s volume for the five exchanges was approaching $1 billion.

“The last few weeks we’ve seen volumes rise aggressively and we don’t expect that to come off too much over the next few days,” noted Michael Rabkin, head of institutional sales for crypto market maker DV Chain. “From a price perspective, we believe there is a lot of momentum in this risk-on market and cannot see it coming to a halt anytime soon given all the money being printed globally.”

Related: Some Are Calling All-Time Highs for Bitcoin. Here’s Why CoinDesk Hasn’t Yet

Indeed, the amount of M2 U.S. money stock jumped from $15 trillion in January to $19 trillion in November, a 26% increase of circulating money supply created this year in an effort to stave off coronavirus-inflicted economic problems.

And while many market observers talk about bitcoin’s proximity to an all-time price high, many are ignoring the impact ether has also had on the market. An impending upgrade of the network to Eth 2.0 plus an increase in decentralized finance, or DeFi, use cases seem to be fueling the ether fire. In 2020, bitcoin is up over 162% while ether has gained a whopping 343%.

“The recent Eth 2.0 contract milestone is driving a lot of positive sentiment around ether,” noted John Willock, chief executive officer of crypto custody provider Tritium.

Ether fees increasing

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was down in Wednesday trading around $581 and slipping 4.1% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).

Read More: Coinbase Will Suspend All Margin Trading Citing CFTC Guidance

Transaction fees on the Ethereum network are rising. On Tuesday, average fees hit 0.00577876 ETH, the highest since Oct. 8.

The website Cryptofees.info, which collects data from Coin Metrics, puts Ethereum in the top spot for fees in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Over the past week, Ethereum has generated almost $3 million in average fees alone, and the network’s decentralized exchanges (DEXs) Uniswap, SushiSwap and Curve are also in the top five in terms of average one-week fees.

Brian Mosoff, chief executive officer of investment firm Ether Capital, says this fee data is a sign of the Ethereum network’s user demand. “A quick look at cryptofees.info shows that Ethereum is by far the most used network, even more so than Bitcoin,” noted Mosoff. “Ethereum fees are rising as a result of the appreciation in the price of ETH and demand for usage of the network.”

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mixed Wednesday. Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Notable losers:

Read More: US Intelligence Raises Concerns With SEC Over China Crypto Dominance

Equities:

Commodities:

  • Oil was up 2.1%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $45.74.
  • Gold was flat, in the red 0.01% and at $1,806 as of press time.

Treasurys:

  • The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield fell Wednesday dipping to 0.880 and in the red 0.37%.
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Galaxy Digital Bitcoin Funds Raise $59M as Institutional Cash Flows In

5 years 10 months ago

Galaxy Digital’s bitcoin funds raised $58.7 million in their first year, mostly from wealthy investors eager to benefit from the surging cryptocurrency.

As reported in two Form D filings, Galaxy Institutional Bitcoin Fund LP raised $55.1 million while its smaller sibling, Galaxy Bitcoin Fund LP, raised $3.6 million. Both funds launched last November when Mike Novogratz first trained his crypto investments firm’s sights on the bitcoin fund space.

The institutional fund in particular appears to capture high-rollers’ spiking interest in bitcoin. With a minimum investment of $250,000, the $55 million fund attracted 33 investors for an average allocation of $1.6 million.

Related: Pantera Raises Additional $5M for Its Bitcoin Fund, Bringing Total to $134M

That’s a little less than half of what Galaxy Bitcoin Fund LP managed to raise overall. There, 56 investors pitched in at least $25,000 each for the full $3.6 million raise.

Funds have long appealed to investors who seek exposure to bitcoin’s price without having to deal with custody, trade or execution issues themselves. Pantera Capital launched one of the first such vehicles in 2013; it now has north of $135 million in sales.

A third entity, Galaxy Institutional Bitcoin Fund, Ltd, reported raising $45 million from 13 investors Wednesday. It was not immediately clear if that fund, which had a $100,000 minimum investment, was directly related to Institutional LP.

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China’s State-Sanctioned Blockchain Project BSN Adds Polkadot, Oasis, Bityuan to Network

5 years 10 months ago

Chinese blockchain infrastructure provider Blockchain-Based Service Network (BSN) has integrated cross-chain protocol Polkadot, cloud computing startup Oasis and China-based public chain project Bityuan into its network.  

The additions are part of BSN’s effort to bring a variety of blockchain projects under one standardized development environment within its own technical framework. It also aims to provide data processing and storage services to the in-network projects. 

This is just the latest sign of China’s ambitions to become a blockchain superpower, by creating an infrastructure that is used by projects and developers world-wide. The state-sanctioned network, which aims to be the internet of blockchains, launched the global version of its network in July, allowing developers to access public chains to build or operate their decentralized applications (dapps). BSN later announced it would make 24 public chains permissioned and add them to its domestic version in China by the end of November. 

Related: US Intelligence Chief Raises Concerns With SEC Over China’s Crypto Dominance: Report

“We anticipate Polkadot to be used by developers across the world to build and run innovative protocols and applications,” said Björn Wagner, co-founder of Parity Technologies behind Polkadot. “The BSN integration will support developers on that journey by enabling them to seamlessly connect to the public chain.”

While Polkadot helps connect both public and permissioned chains with each other on its protocol, it is set to join BSN’s Open Permissioned Blockchain Initiative to provide blockchain services in the Chinese market where decentralized public chains are heavily scrutinized by its government. 

BSN will integrate Substrate, which is a native framework used to create dapps in the Polkadot ecosystem, as a standard permissioned framework for developers to deploy and operate private chains on BSN, Yifan He, executive director of BSN Development Association, told CoinDesk. 

Dapp developers on BSN will also have access to the Oasis Network, which claims to help developers build private and scalable decentralized finance applications. 

Related: Australia and Singapore to Trial ‘Paperless’ Trade Using Blockchain Technology

“The Oasis Network’s privacy features can also create a new type of digital asset called Tokenized Data that allows users to take control of their data and earn rewards for staking it,” Jernej Kos, director at the Oasis Foundation, said in a statement. 

Founded in 2018, Oasis has raised over $46 million via a private token sale in the same year. Among its backers are its lead investor Andreessen Horowitz’s A16z crypto fund, Binance, Polychain, Pantera and Electric Capital. 

BSN will also be integrating Bityuan, which aims to provide blockchain solutions to companies in China.

“I am seeing commercial use cases built on the Bityuan framework are surging in China recently,” He said. “I believe with this integration BSN will get developers around the world to be excited about building dapps that are enterprise-based and commercial oriented.” 

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Despite New Incentives to Stay, Some of OKEx’s Chinese Users Are Determined to Leave

5 years 10 months ago

The unexpected five-week-long suspension of OKEx’s crypto withdrawal service has left many of its users, largely based in China, disappointed and determined to leave or reduce holdings on the exchange when withdrawals resume sometime this week.

“We will still trade on OKEx but our investment will be much more diversified and [we] will reduce our position on OKEx to about one-third of our previous one,” Alex Zuo, vice president of China-based crypto wallet Cobo, told CoinDesk via WeChat. “Even though we think OKEx is still a trusted exchange, there will be many uncertainties in the future.”

That determination has become even stronger after the Malta-based crypto exchange announced it will launch a mix of compensation and reward programs for users who have used its service during the suspension period.

Related: OKEx to Resume Withdrawals Before Nov. 27, Offers New Compensation Programs

“If OKEx indeed has enough assets to prepare a scenario where bulk withdrawals take place, it would be a smarter move if they told users ‘go ahead and withdraw your tokens. We will guarantee you will receive your tokens immediately,’” Daniel Wang, founder and chief executive of decentralized token exchange protocol Loopring, told CoinDesk in a phone call. 

Read more: OKEx’s Withdrawal Suspension Isn’t Behind Bitcoin’s Rally: Analysts

“Launching compensation and reward programs does not sound quite impressive as their marketing strategy to keep their upset users,” Wang added.

OKEx unexpectedly announced on Oct. 16 it suspended all cryptocurrency withdrawals on its platform, saying one of its key holders had “been out of touch” with the exchange because he was “cooperating with a public security bureau in investigations.”

Related: OKEx’s Withdrawal Suspension Isn’t Behind Bitcoin’s Rally: Analysts

Nonetheless, open interest for both bitcoin futures and options has remained high on OKEx. It still maintains its leading position as the leading derivative crypto exchange with the highest bitcoin futures open interest, at $1.27 billion, according to data source Skew.

Without specifying an exact date for resuming withdrawals, the exchange is preparing to reopen the service sometime this week. But this vagueness has raised questions as to why the date has not been disclosed.

Although “less likely,” some of OKEx’s larger, or “whale,” clients may be able to manipulate the exchange’s market right before or after the withdrawal opening for “arbitrage opportunities” if they learn the exact date before anyone else, Ki Young Ju, chief executive officer at crypto data source CryptoQuant, told CoinDesk. 

Other scenarios include one where some whales who intend to leave OKEx may convert their bitcoins to other cryptocurrencies for a number of reasons including faster transactions, according to Ki. Or some hedge funds could send bitcoin or tether to OKEx for arbitrage opportunities.

The better scenario from the perspective of bitcoin’s price would be for a large amount of bitcoin to flow from OKEx into non-exchange wallets, bringing less supply on exchanges in general, Ki said. Usually, more bitcoin on exchanges is viewed as a bearish sign because it is seen as increasing selling pressure.

A likely possibility is that more users in China could consider sending their bitcoins to private wallets because their options are limited when it comes to exchanges.

Read more: Crypto Long & Short: The OKEx Drama Exposes a Weakness in Crypto Market Infrastructure

Crypto exchanges have largely been running in a gray area ever since China’s government banned crypto trading in 2017, Wang said. Chinese crypto holders have mainly been relying on the “Big Three” exchanges – Binance, Huobi and OKEx – that started in China initially with high trading volumes and relatively good reputations.

Huobi and OKEx have both boasted of their close relationships with the Chinese government. However, running their exchange business in a gray area means that close ties with the government does not guarantee the safety of the exchanges’ users’ funds in China, as evidenced by OKEx’s situation. 

“We believe that after this incident, the trading volumes on OKEx will decline significantly and institutions will also likely withdraw from it,” Cobo’s Zuo said. “Huobi will have the same potential risks. Binance as well.”

Zuo told CoinDesk his company has started considering opening accounts on other exchanges including FTX, Coinbase and Bitstamp, but it will take a long time to shift those transaction volumes from the Chinese Big Three exchanges.

Flex Yang, founder and chief executive officer of Hong Kong-based crypto lender Babel Finance, said that what remains attractive on the OKEx platform is a variety of derivative products, which may keep some of the more seasoned traders from leaving the leading derivative crypto exchange.

“In fact, we have seen that some traders have been trading on OKEx despite the withdrawal suspension,” Yang said. “It is expected that users that have been trading some contracts offered on OKEx only will return to OKEx soon.”

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Some Are Calling All-Time Highs for Bitcoin. Here’s Why CoinDesk Hasn’t Yet

5 years 10 months ago

In a fragmented global market, price quotes are all over the place. That’s why CoinDesk created the Bitcoin Price Index (BPI). The current debate over what exactly is the all-time-high price of the leading cryptocurrency shows how a sector that is all about decentralization has difficulty coming up with a common pricing system on which everyone can agree.

Depending on whom one asks, the price of bitcoin at any given time can be quoted within a range of hundreds of dollars. For that reason, some outlets are claiming bitcoin has already eclipsed its all-time high set three years ago, while others, including CoinDesk, are saying we’re still a ways from the mark. That’s because much like the foreign exchange market, the cryptocurrency market isn’t centralized the way, say, the New York Stock Exchange is.

While individual crypto exchanges are called “centralized,” they are to the extent that trades take place within their platforms. In fact, they are trading the same digital assets found on other exchanges.

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Loses Momentum at $19.4K; Ethereum Fees Increasing

One could send bitcoin bought on one exchange to another and then sell it on that second exchange. That opens up arbitrage potential that helps keep prices relatively close together, though with sizable discrepancies. Slippage, differences in liquidity and other costs help explain why prices may be so different across the board.

Likewise, the historic all-time high for bitcoin is also different, depending on the source. CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index uses a weighted average of prices to get a reasonable sense of where bitcoin is or was trading at any particular moment. The average is taken from 10 leading cryptocurrency exchanges including Bitflyer, Bitstamp, Coinbase and Kraken. Were one to get a quote on bitcoin from a major exchange at any time of day, it may not be exactly at the BPI’s number but it is quite likely to be very close. Nonetheless, volatile markets can produce the occasional outliers.

For decades, if not centuries, good old-fashioned fiat currencies have been mostly traded over the counter, first in physical marketplaces, then using telephones and computer terminals. As in crypto, the exact price of a floating-rate fiat currency is a function of supply and demand. Thus when futures exchanges use a reference rate to use for their forex contracts, they first decide on what sources will be used, then plug them into a formula of some kind. In many respects, one can think of CoinDesk’s BPI as a sort of reference rate for the price of bitcoin.

And for the record, CoinDesk views the all-time high of bitcoin as $19,783. We’ll let you know if and when it gets there.

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Long in China’s Shadow, the US Is Becoming a Bitcoin Mining Power Again

5 years 10 months ago

When it comes to the energy- and capital-intensive process of mining cryptocurrency, people tend to think of China, where about 65% of global hash power is located.

But like many other closely observed metrics in crypto, American hashrate is a number that seems to be on the cusp of significant increase. 

Crypto mining, which harnesses data centers full of specialized computers to earn bitcoin by processing a so-called proof-of-work algorithm, is an industry that’s about to come out from under the radar in North America, say its proponents, and become new core infrastructure.

Related: Russian Hospitalized After Bitcoin Mining Farm Sets Apartment on Fire

While the U.S. and Canada don’t have the cheapest energy on the planet, there’s plenty of underused power and energy infrastructure to repurpose. But the really deciding factor is stability, and with that comes access to capital markets and institutional investment.  

See also: Bitcoin’s Mining Difficulty Sees Largest Percentage Drop in 9 Years

There are at least 23 listed crypto mining companies, the majority of which are based in the U.S. and Canada. 

“U.S. equity markets continue to be the most favorable listing venue for mining companies,” Ethan Vera, CFO and co-founder of mining company Luxor Technologies, told CoinDesk. “They can raise through [at-the-market] offerings, which provide a very solid financing method for public companies looking to scale up their operations. Foreign companies have more limited financing levers and have a relatively harder time raising capital through equity.”

Related: China’s Crypto Miners Struggle to Pay Power Bills as Regulators Clamp Down on OTC Desks

A prominent example is Nasdaq-listed Marathon Patent Group, which spent $50 million on a fleet of Bitmain’s state-of-the-art S19 Pro Bitcoin mining computers earlier this year. Marathon is building out a 105-megawatt (MW) mining facility in Hardin, Montana, as part of a venture with Maryland-based power provider Beowulf Energy. 

“As a public company, everything we do is transparent,” said Marathon CEO Merrick Okamoto on Tuesday at Bitmain’s Mining and Investment Summit 2020. “There are disadvantages to letting everybody know what you’re doing, but it’s also a benefit. It gives us unique access to capital markets. We’ve done two financings in the last year.” 

Ruthless algorithm

China may have lorded it over the crypto mining space until now thanks to cheap labor and a massive over-build in dam and hydro generation infrastructure. But the U.S. has begun catching the attention of Chinese players looking to diversify, according to Peter Wall, CEO of London Stock Exchange-listed Argo Blockchain. 

“I’ve had conversations with people in the mining industry in the last few months about Chinese miners coming over to North America,” Wall told CoinDesk. “There’s been talk about it for years, but it really now does appear to be a trend we’re seeing. Miners are always looking for more stability, which North America offers, and power and hosting costs in North America are competitive and sometimes even cheaper than Chinese options.”

The obvious geopolitical implication is that the U.S. could eventually take on China in this nascent arena. But the mining community would rather couch this in terms of greater decentralization, whether that means geographical spread or selling mining company shares to the public.

See also: Peter Thiel Backs $200 Million Valuation for Renewable Bitcoin Mining in the US

“Everybody loves the geopolitical angle,” said Mike Colyer, CEO of Foundry, a crypto mining investment company owned by Digital Currency Group (which is also the owner of CoinDesk). “But the goal is not for the U.S. to dominate bitcoin mining. That’s not gonna happen. The goal here is to decentralize it throughout the world.”

That said, Colyer anticipates a muscular market in the U.S. As well as the growth afforded public mining companies, there’s a bank of interesting opportunities available regarding private investment plays in the U.S. coming from the likes of hedge funds and private equity firms that own infrastructure. 

“A lot of the power in the U.S. is deregulated, and private equity or hedge funds own a lot of power-generation facilities,” said Colyer. “They’re starting to recognize the idea they can make a lot of money mining bitcoin, and it also helps make their overall power generation more efficient. They actually save money on their core power generation, plus they can make money on bitcoin.”

Bitcoin mining comes in for some stick thanks to its gargantuan energy consumption, but less attention is paid to the fact it’s also at the forefront of energy innovation. Colyer calls the Bitcoin system’s mining algorithm “ruthless” in always driving for the lowest cost possible, which is generally towards renewables like hydro-power – the reason for a migration of up to 40,000 Chinese mining rigs at the end of Szechuan’s wet season.

Also on the renewable energy push is Layer1, the West Texas-based wind-powered mining operation backed by Peter Thiel.  

Cogeneration

A combination of smart investing and energy innovation is demonstrated by Greenidge Generation, a natural gas power plant in upstate New York converted into a crypto mining facility earlier this year by its owner, private equity firm Atlas Holdings.

Greenidge is a “cogeneration” facility where bitcoin mining can be used to add stability to the grid. Being connected to the Millennium Pipeline system, a very liquid forward, or over-the-counter, market, also allows Greenidge to hedge out input variable costs over multiple years, Tim Rainey, Greenidge’s chief financial officer, said at the Bitmain summit.

“We have positions all the way to mid-2022, so that’s a vehicle we use to lock in our mining economics,” said Rainey, adding that “25% of our overall capacity is dedicated to mining. Then the rest of it we use for sending power to the grid when it’s needed. So, prior to bitcoin mining, it would take us 12 hours to start up and put megawatts to the grid in periods of high demand. But now we can ramp up to full 100-megawatt power within an hour. So this provides additional stability to the grid as well as mining bitcoin.”

See also: China’s Crypto Miners Struggle to Pay Power Bills as Regulators Clamp Down on OTC Desks

The U.S and Canada currently account for 15%-20% of global crypto mining hash power, with the rest split among Russia, Kazakhstan and the Nordic countries. There are around 15 mining facilities operating at scale in North America (above 50 megawatt), estimates Taras Kulyk, senior vice president, Blockchain Business Development at Core Scientific, the largest crypto mining operation in the U.S.

North America is now on a precipice of real growth, Kulyk says, thanks to its regulatory certainty and the huge amount of infrastructure built in the 1970s and 1980s in anticipation of growing manufacturing that never came. Now that people are starting to realize crypto mining is not some shady enterprise, the U.S. is better positioned at the boardroom level.

“The operational costs are a little bit more expensive in the U.S., but when you’re sinking $100 million or even a billion dollars into an ecosystem for infrastructure you’re looking at stability,” said Kulyk. 

Some government support would also be helpful, said Kulyk. To this end, Core Scientific has put together a policy paper and will be working with the Chamber of Digital Commerce to get the word to the U.S. government.

“We want the folks in Washington, D.C., to understand that digital asset mining is not bad and that there’s a right way to do it,” said Kulyk. “I’m into crypto mining but I’m a ‘greenie’ at heart. I think the right way is through renewable power sources done at scale. The larger that becomes, the lower the burden on the environment.”

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Blockchain Bites: Coinbase Cuts Margin Trading, Binance Sweeps US Clients, OKEx Offers Rebates

5 years 10 months ago

Coinbase cuts margin trading. Binance sweeps out U.S. customers. OKEx offers rebates to clients affected by its five-week pause.

Top shelf

Tax change
Coinbase will no longer send customers 1099-Ks, the U.S. tax form that led the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to mistakenly think traders had underreported their gains. The exchange will instead use the 1099-MISC form, at least for customers who earn interest on lending and similar products. However, the new form may come with its own issues. According to Shehan Chandrasekera, head of tax strategy at CoinTracker, “The threshold for getting a 1099-MISC is very low,” only $600 in trades, meaning more customers may receive tax forms than strictly necessary. Customers who don’t receive any forms from Coinbase and sold or converted crypto in 2020 are still responsible for reporting to the IRS and should consult a tax professional, Coinbase said.

Binance sweeps
Binance’s flagship exchange will cancel services for all U.S. users in 14 days, according to emails sent to users alerting them to withdraw their funds. “As we constantly perform periodic sweeps of our existing controls, we noted that you are trying to access Binance while having identified yourself as a U.S. person,” the notice reads. Binance also suggested current users open an account with the registered exchange Binance US. The Block noted the bans may be based on IP addresses, though that wasn’t the case for at least one unverified, U.S.-based user, CoinDesk has learned. Bans, therefore, could be based on KYC data.

Related: Blockchain Bites: Ethereum 2.0 Deposit Contract Fully Loaded, IRS Sends Befuddling Letters – Again

Chained together
IDEX, an Ethereum-based non-custodial cryptocurrency exchange, announced Tuesday it plans to expand to the Binance Smart Chain and Polkadot networks. Every holder of IDEX’s Ethereum tokens will get an equivalent number of IDEX tokens for each of the new chains on Dec 7. CEO Alex Wearn said the measure is to “plant our flag early” in case either alternative smart contract platform eventually competes with Ethereum on a meaningful basis. Next up? Expansion to more chains, if and when that makes sense. However, Wearn notes, seamless cross-chain trading is still a ways off.

Everything OK?
OKEx will offer a mix of compensation and rewards to users who’ve suffered because of a five-weeks-long suspension in services. Users who have made deposits, held tokens or traded during the withdrawal suspension time period will receive 20% of OKEx’s total income from futures and perpetual swap transaction fees over the last seven weeks. The exchange will also provide rebate cards to users with assets worth more than 10,000 tether within a certain window. Expected to come online before Nov. 27, OKEx remains in the top position for bitcoin futures open interest, currently worth $1.27 billion, according to data source Skew.

Levy extension
South Korea’s National Assembly is pushing for a delay to the introduction of specific taxation for digital assets until January 2022. According to a report Wednesday by local news source DongA.com, a proposed legal amendment bringing in the tax regime is planned to come into effect from October 2021. However, the National Assembly said more time is needed to build the relevant tax infrastructure after cryptocurrency exchanges said they couldn’t be ready by the deadline. The Ministry of Economy and Finance tabled the proposal in July, seeking to bring in a 20% levy – plus a 2% local income tax – on cryptocurrency trading profits above 2.5 million KRW (around $2,260).

Quick bites
  • HER WORDS: Here’s What Janet Yellen Has Said About Bitcoin (CoinDesk)
  • YEARNING FOR PICKLE? Two DeFi yield farming protocols merge. (CoinDesk)
  • IN INDIA: Digital innovation clashes with internet censorship. (CoinDesk)
  • GAB JIBJAB: “Free speech-focused social media platform Gab earned $100,000 in a month thanks to Bitcoin.” (Decrypt)
  • CAPITAL STORAGE: Huobi launches Filecoin incubator backed by $10 million fund. (The Block)
Market intel

Bulls bet
Bitcoin is shy 2.8% from hitting a new record high, and options traders are betting it can get there. The one-month implied volatility in bitcoin markets has risen to 81%, the highest level since May, due to a recent uptick in call buying (a financial contract that gives traders the opportunity to buy at a later date), Alpha5’s Vishal Shah said. Further, put-call skews, which measure the spread between the cost of bearish and bullish bets, are hovering near record lows. In other words, call options have been drawing more robust demand than puts, a sign of investor expectations being skewed to the bullish side. “Investors are positioning for a bull market continuation,” Shah said.

At stake

Related: Blockchain Bites: XRP’s Rally, Chainalysis’ $1B Valuation, Bitcoin’s Volatility in Perspective

Actual delivery?
Coinbase announced an end to all margin trading as of Nov. 25, 2020, becoming the first high-profile exchange to cut the profitable business line. According to a report from CoinDesk’s Nikhilesh De, the San-Francisco based trading platform is following recent Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) guidance.

Margin trading is effectively a line of credit offered by an exchange or brokerage to allow users to place highly leveraged bets. Existing positions will be allowed to close out next month, though Coinbase will cancel any open limit order unfulfilled by 2 p.m. PT today.

In March, CFTC clarified the meaning of “actual delivery” of digital assets. According to the guidance, a customer has legal rights, or actual delivery, of a cryptocurrency if they control it after purchase, including if it was acquired via a margin or leveraged product. This also means that the seller has no control over the cryptocurrency in question.

This is where it gets tricky for Coinbase’s margin trading business. Because the exchange uses cold storage and other custody solutions as part of this business line, it complicates the nature of actually delivering an asset in accordance with the updated rule.

At the time the guidance was first proposed, in 2018, then-Chief Legal and Risk Officer Mike Lempres argued that affiliates and third parties should be able to hold crypto on behalf of Coinbase customers.

“Requiring unfettered ability to transfer digital assets would effectively mean that U.S. entities and regulated entities, or entities using cold storage or other asset protection methods, could not hold digital assets acquired through margined transactions,” Lempres said at the time.

“Essentially, Coinbase would have to register with the CFTC as a commodities exchange if it wants to continue offering leveraged products,” De writes.

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‘Bypass’ Attack in Coldcard Bitcoin Wallet Could Trick Users Into Sending Incorrect Funds

5 years 10 months ago

The bitcoin-only hardware wallet Coldcard has released a beta firmware patch for a vulnerability that also affected a competitor hardware wallet earlier this year.

Ben Ma, a security researcher who works for hardware wallet manufacturer Shift Crypto, discovered the Coldcard hardware wallet has a flaw: An attacker could trick Coldcard users into sending a real bitcoin transaction when they think they are sending a “testnet” transaction – or a payment on Bitcoin’s testing network, which is not the same as the mainnet.

Read more: How to Store Your Bitcoin

Related: First Mover: Why Bitcoin Isn’t a Replacement for Gold Just Yet

Both testnet and mainnet bitcoin transactions “have the exact same transaction representation under the hood,” Ma writes in his post disclosing the vulnerability. An attacker could then generate a bitcoin mainnet transaction for the hardware wallet but make it look like a testnet transaction. The mainnet transaction is presented like a testnet transaction on the user’s wallet, making it difficult for users to recognize the error.

Ma learned of the vulnerability after a pseudonymous researcher discovered the so-called “isolation bypass” attack in the French-manufactured Ledger hardware wallet. 

Unlike Coldcard, Ledger supports many coins, so the bypass attack could work by tricking wallet users into sending bitcoin when they mean to send litecoin and bitcoin cash, in addition to testnet BTC.

‘Bypass’ Bitcoin wallet vulnerability: A background

When the initial vulnerability in the Ledger wallet was disclosed, Coinkite founder and Coldcard creator Rodolfo Novak said, “Coldcard doesn’t support any s**tcoins. We find that to be the best path,” implying that his bitcoin-only wallet would be safe because the flaw (in part) resulted from the fact that Ledger devices previously managed different coins using the same private key. 

Related: VanEck Launches Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Note on Deutsche Boerse

Read more: Maker of Coldcard Bitcoin Wallet Rolls Out an Extra-Strength ‘USB Condom’

Since Coldcard doesn’t support multiple coins, it theoretically shouldn’t have this problem. And it wouldn’t, if it weren’t for the fact that it can be exploited with bitcoin testnet addresses.

If users’ computers are compromised – and the Coldcard device is unlocked and connected to that computer – then an adversary could trick users into sending real bitcoin when they think they are sending testnet bitcoin.

“The attacker merely has to convince the user to, e.g., ‘try a testnet transaction’ or to buy an ICO with testnet coins (I’ve heard there was a [initial coin offering] like this recently) or any number of social engineering attacks to make the user performs a testnet transaction. After the user confirms a testnet transaction, the attacker receives mainnet bitcoin in the same amount,” Ma writes in the post. 

Because an attacker could execute this attack remotely, it met Shift Crypto’s criteria as a critical issue, triggering the responsible disclosure process. 

According to the post, Ma disclosed the vulnerability to Coinkite on Aug. 4 and Novak acknowledged it the next day. On Nov. 23, Coldcard released a beta firmware to patch the vulnerability.

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First Mover: Why Bitcoin Isn’t a Replacement for Gold Just Yet

5 years 10 months ago

The price of gold is off from its all-time high while bitcoin is within striking distance of a record. Billions of dollars are flowing out of gold while institutional money is pouring into bitcoin.

The narrative for some cryptocurrency advocates – and a growing chorus on Wall Street – is that investors have finally seen the light and are pulling money out of the yellow metal, an ancient hedge against inflation, and into bitcoin, the safe haven of the future.

However, another explanation could be that a sunnier global economic outlook means there’s a little more comfort risking money on digital assets. Rather than a doomsday trade, bitcoin is a sign of exuberance, in this interpretation. 

Related: ‘Bypass’ Attack in Coldcard Bitcoin Wallet Could Trick Users Into Sending Incorrect Funds

While trading 8.5% higher from when the year started, gold is still down more than 12% from its all-time high set back in early August, closing at $1,805 per troy ounce Tuesday. A couple of weeks ago, $4 billion left the gold market, a record outflow, according to Bank of America. Bitcoin, meanwhile, is up 162% for the year to date.

Last week, JPMorgan analysts Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Mika Inkenen and Ekansh Agarwal wrote in their “Flow & Liquidity” report about the recent growth spurt of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, citing it as a proxy for institutional interest in bitcoin. (Grayscale is digital asset management firm owned by DCG, parent company of CoinDesk.) The JPMorgan analysts wrote:

“What makes the past five weeks [sic] flow trajectory for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust even more impressive is its contrast with the equivalent flow trajectory for gold [exchange-traded funds], which saw modest outflows since mid-October. … This contrast lends support to the idea that some investors that previously invested in gold ETFs, such as family offices, may be looking at bitcoin as an alternative to gold… [T]he potential long-term upside for bitcoin is considerable if it competes more intensely with gold as an ‘alternative’ currency, given that the market cap of bitcoin (at $340 billion) would have to rise eight times from here to match the total private sector investment in gold via ETFs or bars and coins, which stand at $2.6 trillion.”

For bitcoiners, that reads like the lyrics for the “Song of Angels.” It was another affirmation of the idea that the cryptocurrency can compete with gold and has plenty of upside to go. It was an echo of other fund managers saying similar things, like when Paul Tudor Jones II compared the two back in May or when BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder said last week that bitcoin “could take the place of gold to a large extent.”

Related: VanEck Launches Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Note on Deutsche Boerse

Sure, bitcoin remains more correlated to gold than it does the S&P 500, which had a record day Tuesday. The 90-day correlation coefficient for bitcoin and the benchmark U.S. stock index is currently 0.26 while it’s 0.38 when compared to bullion. (A correlation coefficient of 1 means the prices of two assets move in perfect lockstep; a negative figure means they move in opposite directions while 0 means there is no relationship between them.)

“Alternative?” Not so fast

Recent market movements seem to be saying something quite different, and that appears to be related to the money flowing from gold into digital assets. Gold prices took a 5% hit on Nov. 9, the day of the announcement that preliminary data showed a 90% efficacy rate for Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine. Bitcoin immediately jumped 2% on the news. Each subsequent week has started with even more encouraging results from other vaccine trials, and the trends show falling gold and rising bitcoin.

If money is leaving gold and going into bitcoin, it may well be because with more optimism in the economy comes more willingness to get into “risk-on” trades like stocks and cryptocurrencies. That doesn’t make bitcoin a safe-haven play except as speculation it might be used as a safe haven sometime in the distant future – a nuanced difference but a difference nonetheless. That difference could be evident should another crisis befall us in the near term.

As it is still 2020, anything can happen.

– Lawrence Lewitinn

Price point

Bitcoin is trading near $19,220 after rising 4.2% on Tuesday to close above the $19,000 mark for the first time since Dec. 16, 2017. The cryptocurrency is now within sight of its all-time high of $19,783 reached three years ago.

“Bitcoin at $19,000 is just another stepping stone to a new all-time high, and big market coins are taking turns rallying. That’s a sign that institutional money continues to pour into crypto markets,” William Noble, chief technical analyst at Token Metrics, said in an email. “ETH 2.0 will reignite interest in the decentralized finance space, and we should see the small alternative cryptocurrencies taking off very soon.”

Major alternative cryptocurrencies have picked up a bid over the past few days and have outperformed bitcoin in the past 24 hours. While the crypto market leader has gained over 1%, XRP and Stellar lumens have rallied 12% and 41%, respectively. Tron and monero are up over 6%, while ether is flat.

In traditional markets, optimism over potential coronavirus vaccines continues to power gains in risk assets. European stocks are trading on a positive note, although with less enthusiasm, while the S&P 500 futures pointed to a flat open on Wall Street. Elsewhere, gold has bounced slightly from the four-month low of $1,800 reached Tuesday.

– Omkar Godbole

What’s hot
  • Coinbase Will Suspend All Margin Trading Tomorrow, Citing CFTC Guidance (CoinDesk)
  • Binance Ramps Up Crackdown on US Users, Giving Them 14 Days to Withdraw Funds (CoinDesk) 
  • Ethereum 2.0’s Genesis Day Is Officially Set for Dec. 1 (CoinDesk)
  • South Korea May Delay Implementation of 20% Crypto Tax Till 2022 (CoinDesk)
  • Digital Yen Would Make Crypto Markets ‘More Lively,’ Says CEO of Monex Group (CoinDesk)
Analogs The latest on the economy and traditional finance
  • Behind Dow 30000: A Self-Perpetuating Upward Spiral (WSJ) Low interest rates and a buy-the-dip mantra have put stocks in an ascending pattern, defying the pandemic and economic woes.
  • Dollar under pressure as risk appetite stages a comeback (Reuters) The dollar nursed losses on Wednesday as progress in developing a novel coronavirus vaccine and expectations for a fiscal boost from a new U.S. government triggered a shift of funds from the greenback to riskier assets.
  • For Retail Stock Traders, This Is a Party They Can’t See Ending (Bloomberg) Basket of day trader favorites has soared 75% this year.
  • Market’s record run is far from the finish line, Oppenheimer’s chief strategist predicts (CNBC) Oppenheimer Asset Management’s John Stoltzfus believes the Dow’s record high on Tuesday is justified despite the nation’s battle against surging coronavirus cases.
  • Asian shares rise after Dow crests 30,000 on vaccine hopes (AP) Asian shares rose Wednesday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 30,000 points for the first time despite an ongoing pandemic, as progress in development of coronavirus vaccines kept investors in a buying mood
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Libra Association Taps Saumya Bhavsar as General Counsel for Payments Subsidiary

5 years 10 months ago

The Libra Association, the organization developing the Facebook-backed cryptocurrency project libra, has hired a former banking regulator and industry veteran as general counsel for its payments subsidiary.

The hire, Saumya Bhavsar, will assist Libra Networks in “launching and managing a compliant payment system,” the Swiss-based association said Wednesday. That could be crucial for a project that faces regulatory headwinds at seemingly every turn.

Bhavsar will be calling upon 25 years in banking regulation across the public and private sector. She was a senior attorney at the U.S. national banking regulator the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in the late 1990s and early 2000s.

Related: Twitter Hires Noted Hacker as Head of Security Months After Bitcoin Scam

She then pivoted to private sector regulatory roles at Euroclear, UBS and Credit Suisse, her LinkedIn profile shows. Bhavsar spent the most recent three years at Credit Suisse.

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