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CME Leveraged Funds Double Down on Shorts as Bitcoin Maintains $19,000

5 years 10 months ago

Fresh off of bitcoin’s record high in late November, leverage funds trading bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange continue adding to their short positions as the leading cryptocurrency trades above $19,000.

  • Net short open interest (OI) for CME leveraged funds, or the total amount of outstanding contracts, hit record levels for the past two weeks, according to CME Commitment of Traders reports published every Friday.
  • The market’s total OI hit record highs of $1.3 billion at the end of last month.
  • Despite a slight decrease in short positions in early November, this demographic of traders has continued increasing its short positions since September. Over the same time period, bitcoin has gained 60%.
  • Leveraged funds represent 62% of the total OI on CME’s bitcoin futures market.
  • CME traders likely opened some of these shorts are part of a carry trade in conjunction with long exposure in other bitcoin markets.
  • Also, the trades could be taken as hedges to reduce risk incurred by other open positions in the event of adverse price movements, explained Josh Olszewicz, bitcoin trader at Techemy Capital. Of course it’s hard to know for sure, but using CME bitcoin futures market to open hedging trades as well as exploiting the yield between CME markets and bitcoin spot price is a common strategy for many cryptocurrency trading firms. 
  • Notably, OI for the other categories of CME traders is not nearly as bearish. For example, net OI for the catch-all category of “Other Reportable” traders, claiming 17% of total OI, is heavily long and near all-time highs.

Update (Dec. 5, 17:38 UTC): This article has been updated to reflect the carry trade possibility for short OI increase in addition to hedging strategies.

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India Plans to Tax Income From Bitcoin Investments: Report

5 years 10 months ago

India-based investors may soon have to pay taxes on returns earned from bitcoin investments.

The country’s income tax authority is tracking investors making money amid the ongoing bitcoin price rally and is all set to demand taxes, two sources familiar with the matter said, according to The Economic Times (ET), a business-focused daily newspaper. 

The tax department collected information about bitcoin trades executed through banking channels before the Reserve Bank of India’s (the country’s central bank) crypto ban took effect in April 2018. The Supreme Court overturned the ban in early March, bringing cheer to both investors and local cryptocurrency exchanges. 

Related: Russian Prime Minister Pledges to ‘Civilize’ Crypto Market and Prevent Scams

“The tax authority can also monitor earnings of cryptocurrency investors registered through KYC/AML compliant exchanges like CoinDCX and through national identity documents such as the PAN card,” Sumit Gupta, CEO of Mumbai-based cryptocurrency exchange CoinDCX, told CoinDesk. 

Some experts are anticipating a 30% tax on cryptocurrency gains, and many are advising their clients to file bitcoin returns as capital gains, which are associated with stocks, according to the article. 

Amit Maheshwari, a partner at tax and consulting firm AMK Global, told the newspaper that bitcoin’s active trading would be treated as a speculative business and attract normal tax rates. In contrast, authorities may treat one-off or infrequent transactions as capital gains, long-term or short-term, depending on the holding period, and levy a concessional rate of capital gains. 

The tax authority has not yet categorized returns from cryptocurrencies under any specific bracket. “Currently, if an investor submits his Income Tax declaration, the amount of earnings generated by investing in cryptocurrencies is highlighted under Income from Other Sources,'” Gupta told CoinDesk. 

Related: In India, a Clash of Digital Innovation and Internet Censorship

The clarity on the tax and regulation front may bring more investor participation. While the Indian government does not consider bitcoin legal tender, holding cryptocurrencies is not necessarily illegal or banned. 
Back in September, the government was reportedly mulling a new law prohibiting cryptocurrency trading. However, according to a think tank, the government would be better off legitimizing bitcoin by regulating it like corporate stock.

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JD.Com Says It’s Accepting China’s Digital Yuan for Latest Lottery

5 years 10 months ago

Chinese e-commerce firm JD.Com says it’s become the first online platform to accept the nation’s central bank digital currency (CBDC).

  • As reported by Reuters on Saturday, JD Digits – the company’s digital technology arm – will accept the digital yuan at its online shopping center during the second mass giveaway of the token in the city of Suzhou.
  • CoinDesk previously reported that the event, a kind of lottery, will allow the city’s residents to apply to win 200 digital yuan as happened with the first such giveaway in Shenzhen in October.
  • According to Reuters, there will be a total of 10,000 winners this time round, who will be able to spend the tokens at stores that are set up with point-of-sales technology that can handle the CBDC.
  • The Suzhou lottery kicks of on Dec. 12 – a shopping festival known as “Double 12” – and is said to be trialing functionality of the token including offline (phone-to-phone) payments.
  • Seemingly preparing the ground for the launch of the CBDC, China’s central bank proposed a banking law in October, recognizing the renminbi in both physical and digital form, and outlawing all third-party rivals. This would likely be a blow to cryptocurrencies like Tether’s yuan stablecoin if passed.
  • See: Proposed Chinese Law Outlaws All Yuan-Pegged Tokens – Except for Its CBDC
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Waters Tells Biden to Rescind OCC Crypto Guidance; May Be Part of Anti-Trump, Anti-Crypto Offensive

5 years 10 months ago

U.S. Representative Maxine Waters, who chairs the powerful House Financial Services Committee, wants President-elect Joe Biden to rescind or monitor all of the cryptocurrency-related guidance issued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

Waters’ comments in a letter Friday follows weeks after fellow Democratic members of the House Financial Services Committee criticized the OCC’s crypto-related actions during the COVID-19 pandemic.

It also comes days after those same members introduced a bill that would require stablecoin issuers to seek bank charters and secure regulatory approval to issue tokens.

Related: OCC Chief Hints at Coming ‘Good’ Actions on Crypto by End of Trump’s Term

In this light, Waters’ action is bound to be seen as part of a coordinated effort to impose more severe regulatory oversight on stablecoins, if not all cryptocurrencies, as a way to undo what she termed the harms of President Donald Trump’s administration.

“As you begin to carry out the mandate given to you by the American people to restore trust in the federal government, I would like to highlight several areas where you and your team should immediately reverse the actions of your predecessors,” she wrote.

In her letter, Waters (D-Calif.) called on Biden to rescind guidance by the OCC that national banks may hold stablecoin reserves as a service to bank customers.

Waters also is recommending that similar guidance by the OCC that allowed federally chartered banks and federal savings associations to provide cryptocurrency custody services for customers be rescinded.

Related: US Regulator Seeks End to Bank Deplatforming of ‘Disfavored’ Industries (Like Crypto)

Each of these recommendations would undo work conducted by Brian Brooks, the Acting Comptroller of the Currency. Brooks was recently nominated to serve a full five-year term by Trump.

“Your appointed officials at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) must also not assume, as their predecessors have, that a law Congress passed over 150 years ago somehow gives, them authority to provide a national bank charter to non-bank fintech or payment companies,” she wrote.

Under a section on financial stability, Waters wrote that the Financial Stability Oversight Council and Office of Financial Research should publish their analysis on developments and the existing regulatory framework around digital assets and distributed ledger technology.

If Waters and the three Democratic sponsors of the bill – Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.), Jesús “Chuy” García (D-Ill.) and Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.) – are indeed intent on rolling back the OCC’s pro-crypto guidance as a way to undo what they perceive as Trump’s legacy, an assertion earlier Friday by Brooks that “we’re very focused on not killing (crypto innovation)” may prove hollow.

The chairman finds himself in an unenviable position. On the one side, the outgoing administration is rumored to be planning to issue self-hosted wallet regulation, a plan that already has the crypto industry up in arms. Now, the moves by Waters and the Democratic representatives may bode poorly for the crypto space in the U.S., particularly should the GOP lose the Georgia Senate runoff and thus control of the Senate.

Read also: OCC Chief Hints at Coming ‘Good’ Actions on Crypto by End of Trump’s Term

(UPDATE Dec. 5, 2020, 01:45 UTC): Rewrites throughout, adds context of prior actions by House members.

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Waters Seeks Rescission of OCC Guidance; May Be Part of Anti-Trump, Anti-Crypto Offensive

5 years 10 months ago

U.S. Representative Maxine Waters, who chairs the powerful House Financial Services Committee, wants President-elect Joe Biden to rescind or monitor all of the cryptocurrency-related guidance issued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

Waters’ comments in a letter Friday follows weeks after fellow Democratic members of the House Financial Services Committee, criticized the OCC’s crypto-related actions during the COVID-19 pandemic.

It also comes days after those same members introduced a bill that would require stablecoin issuers to seek bank charters and secure regulatory approval to issue tokens,

Related: OCC Chief Hints at Coming ‘Good’ Actions on Crypto by End of Trump’s Term

In this light, Waters’ action is bound to be seen as part of a coordinated effort to impose more severe regulatory oversight on stablecoins, if not all cryptocurrencies, as a way to undo what she termed the harms of President Donald Trump’s administration.

“As you begin to carry out the mandate given to you by the American people to restore trust in the federal government, I would like to highlight several areas where you and your team should immediately reverse the actions of your predecessors,” she wrote.

n her letter, Waters (D-Calif.) called on Biden to rescind guidance by the OCC that national banks may hold stablecoin reserves as a service to bank customers.


Waters also is recommending that similar guidance by the OCC that allowed federally chartered banks and federal savings associations to provide cryptocurrency custody services for customers be rescinded.

Related: US Regulator Seeks End to Bank Deplatforming of ‘Disfavored’ Industries (Like Crypto)


Each of these recommendations would undo work conducted by Brian Brooks, the Acting Comptroller of the Currency. Brooks was recently nominated to serve a full five-year term by Trump.


“Your appointed officials at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) must also not assume, as their predecessors have, that a law Congress passed over 150 years ago somehow gives, them authority to provide a national bank charter to non-bank fintech or payment companies,” she wrote.


Under a section on financial stability, Waters wrote that the Financial Stability Oversight Council and Office of Financial Research should publish their analysis on developments and the existing regulatory framework around digital assets and distributed ledger technology.

If Waters and the three Democratic sponsors of the bill – Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.), Jesús “Chuy” García (D-Ill.) and Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.) – are indeed intent on rolling back the OCC’s pro-crypto guidance as a way to undo what they perceive as Trump’s legacy, an assertion earlier Friday by Brooks that “we’re very focused on not killing (crypto innovation)” may prove hollow.

The chairman finds himself in an unenviable position. On the one side, the outgoing administration is rumored to be planning to issue self-hosted wallet regulation, a plan that already has the crypto industry up in arms. Now, the move by Waters along with the Democratic representatives may bode poorly for the crypto space in the U.S., particularly should the GOP lose the Georgia Senate runoff and thus control of the Senate.

Read also: OCC Chief Hints at Coming ‘Good’ Actions on Crypto by End of Trump’s Term

UPDATED 12/4/20 UTC 23:46: Rewrites throughout, adds context of prior actions by House members.

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MicroStrategy Buys Additional $50M in Bitcoin

5 years 10 months ago

MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor announced his company’s third bitcoin purchase on Twitter Friday evening, per SEC filings the same day.

  • Saylor purchased 2,574 bitcoins for $50.0 million in cash bringing the business intelligence company’s treasury holdings to approximately 40,824 bitcoins.
  • MicroStrategy first bought $250 million in bitcoin (BTC) on Aug. 11. followed by an additional $175 million worth of BTC one month later.
  • Saylor said the latest purchase is part of MicroStrategy’s treasury reserve policy of eschewing inflation-prone cash for bitcoin. The 55 year-old executive heralds bitcoin as the “most rational” vessel for value storage anywhere in the world.
  • MSTR shares have soared 170% since Saylor first hinted the firm’s interest in BTC in late July 2020. Some now call the company a de-facto bitcoin ETF – albeit an inefficient one.
  • Leading U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase brokered MicroStrategy’s original bitcoin purchases, as CoinDesk previously reported.
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Coin Center Donations Top $100K Worth of Dai Following Anti-Stablecoin Bill Proposal

5 years 10 months ago

Anti-stablecoin legislation has been a boon for donations to Coin Center, a cryptocurrency think tank and policy advocacy group, with the organization receiving over $100,000 in donations — paid out in stablecoins — two days after the bill was introduced. 

Cryptocurrency investors, entrepreneurs, and enthusiasts showed strong support for the industry’s leading policy advocacy group after three U.S. Democratic representatives introduced a bill that would require stablecoin issuers to secure bank charters and maintain either Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation cover or reserves in order to continue operating. 

Coin Center donations were sent via Gitcoin in USDC, dai, and some ether with the Washington, D.C.-based organization received more than $110,000 from over 90 donors. An additional $40,000 in matched funds is set to be paid out at the end of the donation period later this month.

Related: US Treasury Wants Regulators to Watch for ‘Potential Risks’ in Digital Asset Innovation

Even though the bill is effectively dead on arrival due to the approaching end of the congressional session, if introduced next session and passed, the bill would also require issuers to receive permission from a host of regulatory agencies to actually circulate tokens, and could potentially place legal restrictions around node operators for networks like Ethereum. 

“We are incredibly grateful to the DeFi and Ethereum communities for this outpouring of support,” said Neeraj Agrawal, director of communications for Coin Center. Praising the mechanism by which they received the donations, Agrawal added, “Gitcoin is an amazing platform for people who care about an issue to fund a solution.”

Donations sent via Gitcoin represent nearly 10% of Coin Center’s more than $1 million annual budget. 

Writing about the bill in a post published Thursday, Coin Center’s director of research Peter Van Valkenburgh said the legislation targets stablecoins instead of “traditional money transmitters” perhaps because “it is easier to pick on a young innovative industry with fewer political allies than an older sector with deeper pockets.”

Related: Why Stablecoins Are the First Battleground of the Coming Crypto Regulation Wars

The STABLE Act claims to be a way to define “deposits” as they pertain to digital assets. If stablecoins act like money, they should be regulated like money, Willamette University College of Law assistant professor Rohan Grey, an adviser to the bill, told CoinDesk on Wednesday. 

The bill would regulate collateral-backed stablecoins like dai as well as dollar-backed coins like USDC.

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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Dips Below $19,000 as Ether Options Volume Drops

5 years 10 months ago

Some bitcoin selling on Friday caused its price to decline. Ether options traders appear less inclined to place bets on the asset’s price, as evidenced by lower Deribit volume.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $18,975 as of 21:15 UTC (4:15 p.m. ET). Slipping 2.1% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $18,717-$19,556
  • BTC below its 10-day and 50-day moving averages, a bearish signal for market technicians.

Bitcoin prices slipped on sell volume at around 10:00 UTC (5 a.m. ET) Friday, pushing price below the $19,000, albeit temporarily. It was up to $18,975 as of press time. 

Low spot volumes on CoinDesk 20 exchanges are plaguing the market for the third day in a row, with Friday’s $973 million in daily volume as of press time lower than Thursday’s $1.1 billion in daily volume and Wednesday’s $1.3 billion in trading activity across the eight major exchanges.

Related: Psychology, Sell Pressures Keep Bitcoin Below $20K

However, spot trading activity often belies the impact of the institutional market, which often uses over-the-counter or quantitative strategies to scoop up bitcoin, noted Joel Edgerton, chief operating officer of cryptocurrency exchange bitFlyer. “We are watching Grayscale and PayPal continue to suck up BTC, but volumes should be lighter over the weekend as traders assess their positions,” said Edgerton. (Grayscale is a sister company to CoinDesk.)

Read More: Bitcoin Price Could Hit $50K in 2021, Bloomberg Analysts Say

Some tax-related profit-taking might be in store for the balance of December, added Edgerton. “We are also getting to the point where investors in the U.S. start to review their portfolios from a tax optimization point of view, which could lead to selling pressure in the U.S. over the next few weeks.”

“Bitcoin has had a good run for the last two months, so a pause or even a pullback are and have been expected,” said Elie Le Rest, partner at quantitative trading firm ExoAlpha. He also suspects there will be further sell-offs as various market participants such as miners or long-term holders may look to exchange crypto for cold hard cash. “The interest is to sell in a strong market in order to reduce their negative market impact,” he said, “but as the markets look weak, they may not sell right now.”

Related: First Mover: Bitcoin Below $19K and Customers Flee OKEx

According to data from aggregator Glassnode, the number of bitcoin addresses withdrawing from exchanges is much lower than those depositing so far this year. Glassnode calculates over 200,000 separate addresses have been receivers in transactions receiving funds from exchanges in 2020.

Meanwhile, over 700,000 addresses appeared as senders in transactions sending bitcoin to exchanges in 2020 so far.

More bitcoin is going into exchanges than coming out, at least according to Glassnode data. What traders plan to do with those balances is anyone’s guess, but ExoAlpha’s Le Rest also reiterated the potential for December profit-taking. “After a torrid bull run, a sideways or even a 15% pullback is definitely expected before a new bull run can take place.” Le Rest added.

Ether options volumes dropping

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was down Friday, trading around $588 and slipping 4% in 24 hours as of 21:15 UTC (4:15 p.m. ET).

Read More: Binance Expects to Earn From $800M to $1B This Year, CEO Says

After a surge of ether options volume on derivatives venue Deribit at the end of November, market interest seems to have dissipated, according to Greg Magadini, chief executive officer for data aggregator Genesis Volatility. “Volumes are decreasing and implied volatility is dropping. There is no clear decisiveness at the moment,” Magadini told CoinDesk.

“Traders are taking a ‘wait and see’ approach right now in the ETH options market,” Magadini added. He noted that traders aren’t even all that interested in downside protection in the form of put options. That’s an indicator that many options traders expect ether’s price to bounce back up. “As ETH retraces below $600, no one is enthusiastic about buying puts,” he said.

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mixed Friday, mostly red. Notable winners as of 21:15 UTC (4:15 p.m. ET):

Notable losers:

Read More: OMG Rallies as Genesis Block Ventures Acquires OMG Network

Equities:

Commodities:

  • Oil was up 0.90%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $46.03.
  • Gold was in the red 0.19% and at $1,836 as of press time.

Treasurys:

  • The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield climbed Friday jumping to 0.969 and in the green 6.5%.
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Psychology, Sell Pressures Keep Bitcoin Below $20K

5 years 10 months ago

Less than a week ago, bitcoin’s price set a new all-time high at $19,920.53. However, the oldest cryptocurrency is still struggling to break above the $20,000 level. 

The reason that milestone remains elusive, according to analysts and traders, is simple: There are too many sell orders very near the $20,000 level because some bitcoin holders are afraid of near-term sell-offs. That price point is particularly significant because it’s roughly where the market topped out in the late 2017 rally that saw bitcoin quadruple in price within two months, only to collapse by 70% within the subsequent two months, its biggest (at the time) price correction. 

“A huge [number] of sellers are offering orders near the $20,000 level, which has no doubt created a strong resistance level,” Simon Chen, executive director of investment and trading at Hong Kong-based crypto lender Babel Finance, said. “People are trying to sell at this level based on what happened during the 2017 bull market.”

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Dips Below $19,000 as Ether Options Volume Drops

For some, similarities to 2017 are hard to ignore, particularly the speed by which bitcoin made new record prices. 

The $20,000 level “is like psychological warfare for many,” said Lingxiao Yang, chief operating officer at crypto quant firm Trade Terminal. “It only took about a month for bitcoin to go up from around $14,000 to the new all-time high.”

But Yang also said that this emotional element has largely been reflected on the retail investors’ side, while more institutions are in the “buy the dip” mindset.

Market fundamentals are also weighing on bitcoin. Data from crypto analytics site CryptoQuant indicate major bitcoin holders, or whales, have not been withdrawing bitcoin from exchanges.

Related: First Mover: Bitcoin Below $19K and Customers Flee OKEx

“The fact that whales don’t withdraw means that BTC is available for selling,” Ki Young Jun, chief executive officer of CryptoQuant said in a tweet. “If whales think the price will go up, they’ll withdraw BTC a lot.”

Further evidence of increased selling pressure near $20,000 is that a growing number of “wrapped” bitcoin have been “unwrapped” from the cooling decentralized finance (DeFi), according to Denis Vinokourov, head of research at Bequant.

When the Ethereum-based DeFi space was garnering all the attention in the past summer, bitcoins were tokenized (or “wrapped”) on Ethereum. At one point there were more bitcoins being wrapped on Ethereum than bitcoins being created by bitcoin miners. To some extent, that may have been simply because bitcoin’s price was doing reasonably well over the summer, more than doubling from its March 17 sell-off low of $3,867.09.

“It is worth remembering that the initial minting was done at much lower absolute [pricing] levels, and taking some profit and locking assets in the future makes sense from a prudency standpoint,” Vinokourov said.

Read more: Bitcoin Price Could Hit $50K in 2021, Bloomberg Analysts Say

On the buy side, the new bitcoin investors may be “agnostic” regarding exactly where they are purchasing in the range between $15,000 and 20,000, according to Vishal Shah, founder of derivatives exchange Alpha5.

Buyers “are not concerned about the next 300 or 400 points, or even 1,000 points,” Shah said. “It’s about the trajectory of things.”

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Solana Devs Call ‘All Hands on Deck’ as Unknown Bug Stops Block Production

5 years 10 months ago

Solana, a proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchain championed by FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried, is “stuck” due to an unknown issue, according to the project’s GitHub.

  • “At approximately 1:46pm UTC on December 5th, 2020, the Solana Mainnet Beta cluster stopped producing blocks at slot 53,180,900, which prevented any new transactions from being confirmed,” a Solana Medium post reads. “The Solana team is actively working with the validator community to restart the network.”
  • Anatoly Yakovenko, co-founder of Solana, has called for “all hands on deck,” referring to the network validators who process transactions.
  • The Solana blockchain explorer confirms no blocks are currently being produced.
  • Yakovenko did not return questions for comment by press time.

This is a developing story.

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Binance Expects to Earn From $800M to $1B This Year, CEO Says: Report

5 years 10 months ago

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance will likely earn between $800 million and $1 billion this year, as market uncertainty drives interest – and trading – in cryptos, CEO Changpeng Zhao told Bloomberg. 
That’s up from about $570 million in 2019, according to the report.

So far this year, the price of bitcoin, by far the largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has risen over 170% since the year started, and earlier this week set a new all-time high before giving back some gains. Exchange volumes have exploded as well.

Launched in 2017, Binance is one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges by trading volume.

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Blockchain Bites: Price Point! Bitcoin at $50K? $60K? $318K?

5 years 10 months ago

Traders have begun unwrapping tokenized bitcoins. The U.S. Treasury Department will keep a vigilant eye on digital innovations. And trading volumes on OKEx have plummeted. 

Top shelf

Forced burn
Ripple Chief Technology Officer David Schwartz tweeted the community could force the burning of billions of the protocol’s XRP native tokens held in escrow to prevent the drop in price that would likely occur should those billions in frozen tokens ever flood the market. On Dec. 2 a Twitter user asked the CTO, “If Nodes, validators and the community at large got together and we agree that it’s better for the community to burn the 50 billion XRP Ripple has in escrows, would that be possible?” Responding to the tweet, David Schwartz implied that majority rule would win in such a decision.

Innovation or risk?
The U.S. Department of the Treasury wants state and federal regulators to keep a vigilant watch on digital asset innovation, which could upset the balance of the current financial system. According to a report released on Thursday by the Financial Stability Oversight Council, digital assets are a “particularly good example” of both benefits and potential risks associated with innovation. The report highlighted the ambitions by nations around the world in their experiments with central bank digital currencies (CBDC) as a way to “enhance the global standing of their own currencies and enable faster payments.” 

Related: Money Reimagined: Bitcoin vs. Gold Is a Battle of Narratives

Unwrapped wBCT
Wrapped bitcoin, the bitcoin-backed token on Ethereum now worth over $2 billion, has seen an increase in burns (or “unwrappings”) by some of its largest users as the Ethereum-based decentralized finance sector continues to cool. BitGo clients including Three Arrows Capital and Alameda Research are exchanging an increasing amount of their tokenized bitcoins minted earlier this year for real bitcoins as the bullish cryptocurrency market continues to center on bitcoin and Ethereum’s decentralized finance takes a back seat for now. In the months following DeFi’s red-hot summer when bitcoins were wrapped faster than they were mined, the sector has cooled significantly.

Not OK
A sharp drop in OKEx’s trading volume and stablecoin reserves – tether in particular – may reveal an ongoing exodus of its users after the popular crypto derivatives exchange unexpectedly halted all crypto withdrawal activities for about five weeks. Data from analytics service CryptoQuant shows the amount of tether held in OKEx wallets has dropped to 6.69 million from 275.0 million between Nov. 25 and Dec. 1, down 97.6% in less than a week. At the same time, total daily trading volume on OKEx has declined significantly during the same time period – down approximately 67.7% from Nov. 25, according to data compiled by CoinDesk. The volume of tether traded on OKEx plunged 70%.

Mirror, mirror
The creators of stablecoin platform Terra announced the launch of the Mirror Protocol Thursday, a way to mint crypto assets that mimic the value of shares in publicly traded companies like Apple or Tesla. The new protocol will also bring a new liquidity mining opportunity to Terra’s Tendermint-based blockchain. Known as mAssets, these tokens will track the price of U.S.-based equities in the real stock market, using an oracle system that’s able to check prices every six minutes. “The retail investor is at the center of this growing demand for U.S. equities and global equity derivatives. The stock market is no longer the exclusive purview of Wall Street’s suits, whether in New York, London or Tokyo,” Arrington XRP argues in its report.

Quick bites
  • FINTECH BANKING: Stripe Partnering With Goldman, Citigroup, Others to Offer Checking Accounts, Services: Report (CoinDesk)
  • BITCOIN BUNCH: This family bet everything on bitcoin when it was $900 – and bought more when it crashed in 2018 (CNBC)
  • DEFINING DEFI: Lex Sokolin: How do you do valuations of open-source software? Recent DeFi acquisitions may shine light. (CoinDesk Opinion)
  • NOT CAPTCHA’D: Human Protocol, the backbone for anti-bot system hCaptcha, announced Thursday it will be expanding beyond Ethereum to a future Polkadot parachain, Moonbeam. (CoinDesk)
  • OMG, RALLY! Genesis Block Ventures acquired OMG Network (an off-chain Ethereum solution) triggering a double-digit rally in the network’s OMG token. (CoinDesk)
  • CENTRALIZED CBDC: Russia’s crypto community fears digital ruble might means going “back to USSR.” (CoinDesk)
  • $41 BILLION: Decentralized finance platforms were responsible for 99% of Ethereum transaction volume last month. (Decrypt)
  • $600 MILLION: One million ETH is now locked up in Ethereum 2.0. (Decrypt)
At stake

Price point!
I was reading that CNBC story on the Dutch family that bet it all on bitcoin. In 2017, a small business owner sold all his assets – company, house and accumulated detritus – and moved his family of five into a van. “We stepped into bitcoin because we wanted to change our lives,” Didi Taihuttu told CNBC. 

Related: First Mover: Bitcoin Below $19K and Customers Flee OKEx

That’s wild! The media also quoted Taihuttu’s price prediction for a $200,000 bitcoin by 2022. He’s a man that acts on instinct and knows things in his gut. It’s seemingly worked out for him so far. CNBC went on to quote several price predictions from the respected and respectable folk in crypto.  

Mike Novogratz, CEO of merchant bank Galaxy Digital, reportedly said bitcoin could reach $60,000 by next year. While a Citibank report geared for institutional clients made the case that one BTC could change hands for $318,000 by December 2021. That’s really wild!

Unquoted was Bloomberg’s recent, and more modest, prediction that bitcoin could hit $50,000 sometime next year. That’s more than double the price of bitcoin’s all-time high! And infers a $1 trillion market cap!

A lot of good data gets thrown into price predictions. There’s technical analysis of candles and wedges, there are surveys of high-net individuals and comparisons to similar movements in both bitcoin’s historical charts as well as analogue assets. (Want to understand bitcoin today? Study gold in the 1970s!)

But I wouldn’t put much store in them. This time three years ago, computer whiz and self-declared madman John McAfee had such strong convictions that bitcoin would hit $500,000 within three years (this year, incidentally) he would ingest his genitals. 

After years of target prices that were well off their mark, it’s reasonable to suggest that most claims on bitcoin’s future price are more gut than calculus, more wager than assured. Sometimes it pays off. But understanding that one BTC is always one BTC, you’ll never be wrong.

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CoinDesk

Citigroup Helping World Governments Build Digital Currencies, CEO Says

5 years 10 months ago

Citigroup Chief Executive Michael Corbat said his bank is helping governments “around the world” in creating sovereign digital currencies, otherwise known as central bank digital currencies, or CBDC.

Speaking to David Rubenstein at a Friday Bloomberg event, Corbat made clear CBDCs are an “inevitable” development in the future of money. Citigroup, the multinational banking giant, is helping bring that future about.

“We’ve been working with governments around the world in terms of the creation and commercialization” of sovereign digital currencies, he said.

Related: Ruble or Rubble? Russian Institutions Have Concerns About Proposed CBDC

Read more: Central Bankers, Experts Outline Possible Scenarios for CBDC Adoption

Corbat did not disclose Citigroup’s government partners. Citigroup’s press office did not immediately return a request for comment on the extent of the partnerships.

Cryptocurrencies will have a role to play even the age of CBDCs, Corbat said Friday. He stopped short of commenting on bitcoin specifically. But he said that “some of these currencies will be continued alternatives, continued different sources of payment that people can take advantage of based on the underlying nature of what they are” – a seeming reference to stablecoins.

The Friday disclosure reveals Citigroup as the latest private-sector company active in developing public sector digital currencies. Financial services firms Mastercard and Visa have both launched CBDC initiatives in the past year.

Related: China’s Xi Asks G20 Countries to Be ‘Open and Accommodating’ to CBDCs

Three years ago, Corbat predicted CBDCs would arise as a direct response to the threat posed by bitcoin. His bank has been researching digital currencies since at least 2014.

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CoinDesk

Jack Ma’s Ant Group, 3 Other Digital Banks Get OK to Operate in Singapore

5 years 10 months ago

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has approved licenses for four digital banks, including Jack Ma’s Ant Group, allowing them to operate in Singapore.

  • MAS said there were 14 applicants that had to meet a list of requirements and licensing pre-conditions before MAS granted them banking licences. Only four were approved.
  • The four approved digital banks include the Ant Group Co, Grab Holding Inc., Sea Limited, and Greenland Consortium.
  • The approved digital banks will be able to start operating from Singapore in early 2022 in the hope they will strengthen Singapore’s financial sector for the digital economy of the future, MAS said.
  • “MAS applied a rigorous, merit-based process to select a strong slate of digital banks. We expect them to thrive alongside the incumbent banks and raise the industry’s bar in delivering quality financial services, particularly for currently underserved businesses and individuals,” said Ravi Menon, managing director of MAS.
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Bolivia Essentially Banned Crypto but Blockchain Advocates Are Pushing Back

5 years 10 months ago

Earlier this year, Bolivian blockchain engineer Mario Blacutt – previously known in crypto circles only as “Berzeck” –finally felt safe enough to reveal his name and come out as the creator of a new blockchain network. 

Blacutt let down his guard after the left-wing government that had banned crypto fell in November 2019, and its leader, Evo Morales, fled to Mexico. 

A year earlier, Blacutt had his bank accounts shut down and his credit card taken away. The banks cited a directive put out by Bolivia’s central bank (BCB) in 2014 prohibiting virtual currencies, and flagged funds received in Blacutt’s accounts via crypto exchanges Bitstamp and Bitinka. Blacutt was paid in cryptocurrency.

Related: Ukraine’s Draft Crypto Bill Passes First Parliamentary Hearing

“They said it was to protect me. This is a funny thing,” Blacutt said.

Even as many governments around the world embrace or at least regulate cryptocurrency, Bolivia is one of the rare countries that tried to stamp it out entirely. 

A 2014 central bank circular technically only prohibited the use of crypto by banks and in commercial transactions or payments. But in 2017, Bolivian authorities arrested 60 individuals who were allegedly “undergoing training related to the investment of money in cryptocurrencies,” according to a statement released by the country’s financial authority ASFI. 

So when Morales fled, Blacutt felt more at ease. “After he was ousted, I was more free to use my identity because I was optimistic that things were finally changing,” he told CoinDesk. 

Related: Crypto.com Secures Australian Financial Service License

But now, Morales is back.

In the balance

The right-wing regime that replaced the Morales regime has quickly become unpopular as Bolivia’s economy suffers during the coronavirus pandemic. 

Luis Arce, former economic minister to Morales, won the presidency in a landslide, restoring the socialist government to power; last month, the exiled Morales made a triumphant return to Bolivia.

Now, many things hang in the balance, including crypto. 

Alberto Bonadona, senior economist and emeritus professor at Universidad Mayor de San Andrés (UMSA) in Bolivia told CoinDesk the current government is unlikely to reverse the crypto ban.

“All these kinds of cryptocurrencies are not quite welcome in Bolivia,” Bonadona said.

Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin are still widely viewed with skepticism in Bolivia, and adoption is slow compared to other Latin American countries like Mexico or Venezuela. 

Although Blacutt doesn’t believe he’s in any real danger, the return of the socialist government, he said, may put crypto enthusiasts in a “difficult position.” 

But a growing community of advocates including Bolivian software engineers, entrepreneurs and developers are determined to change the government’s position.

Even though policy remains unchanged, sentiment may be changing, albeit slowly. The interim government that came to power after Morales’ exit did not lift the ban, but the blockchain community visibly grew this year. Bolivian users only traded a monthly average of $21,330 on peer-to-peer exchange Paxful, but the platform saw a 570% increase in trading volume compared to 2019, while new user registrations went up by 230%. 

LocalBitcoins saw over 450% growth in trading volumes between January and September 2020, recording an all-time daily high of $17,000 on Sept. 2. 

Why ban crypto? 

In 2014, Bolivian software engineer Gabriela Melendrez was writing her undergraduate thesis on blockchain technology when the country’s central bank (BCB) issued the directive banning the use of “any kind of currency that is not issued and controlled by a government or an authorized entity.”

The directive was the first of its kind from a South American nation, and named a range of virtual currencies including bitcoin, namecoin, devcoin, quark and others as currencies that “do not belong to any state, country or economic zone” because they can cause losses to their holders.

Melendrez interviewed BCB personnel following the ban.

“The resolution was born to protect the population against pyramid schemes, Ponzi schemes and things like that. That was the answer they gave me,” Melendrez told CoinDesk via Telegram.

The 2017 statement by the ASFI reminded the citizens of Bolivia that this type of activity is prohibited across the nation because they may seek to trick Bolivians into losing their money and savings.   

The central bank and ASFI did not respond to requests for comment by press time.

Blacutt confirmed the government was nervous about scams and the use of cryptocurrencies to fund criminal activities. But that was only part of the story. 

The BCB statement also said the ban is necessary to ensure the stability and purchasing power of the national currency, the boliviano. 

When the socialist government came to power in October, the country’s foreign reserves fell to a record low, the lowest in 13 years, down $1.3 billion since September. Wealthy Bolivians had begun sending money abroad, fearing President Arce’s promised wealth tax on millionaires. 

Cryptocurrencies “could help people to take money out of the economy. Right now, they’re trying to stop that,” Bonadona said. 

An uneasy fit 

When systems engineer Alvaro Guzman first heard about bitcoin back in 2013, he stayed up all night discussing the possible applications of blockchain in Bolivia.

“The first area I saw is, of course, an alternative to traditional banking. The second and very interesting area of development is on transparency,” Guzman told CoinDesk, citing claims of fraud that surrounded Morales’ fourth-term election last year, which led to his eventual resignation.

Guzman suggested that blockchain-based banking and cryptocurrencies can offer a viable alternative to traditional financial services in the country for a number of reasons, one being its high unbanked population. 

According to World Bank statistics, in 2017, 46% of Bolivian adults did not have a bank account while only 7% of adults had a credit card. For comparison, 29% of Venezuelan adults claimed to own a credit card in 2017.

Bolivia has a very large, informal economy that is not taxed or regulated by the government, Guzman said. In fact, it is the largest informal economy in the world, according to the International Monetary Fund. 

While a cash-driven economy and large unbanked population are driving crypto adoption in Mexico, Bolivia doesn’t seem to be showing the same momentum or interest in digital assets. 

Bonadona said the government and most Bolivians still view bitcoin as an instrument for speculation as opposed to a reserve or currency that can be used for international transactions. 

In Bolivia, Bonadona added, speculative investment instruments are not all the rage. According to the 2020 Investment Climate Statement by the U.S. Department of State, the Bolivian stock exchange (BBV) is very small, with more than 95% of transactions concentrated in bonds and debt instruments.

“There is the idea that basically this is a bubble and somehow, in some time, it will explode and won’t do any good for anybody who invested in it,” Bonadona said. 

Persistent advocates

Although it may have looked like an outright ban on the usage of crypto, Blacutt and Guzman agree that the 2014 central bank directive did not ban owning or trading crypto on exchanges, but only limited paying for goods and services with cryptocurrencies (hence keeping it out of circulation) and prohibited banks from transacting with them. 

The ban is very specific in saying that Bolivia is not allowing commercial transactions using a currency that’s not issued by the central bank, Guzman said, adding that he can’t go out and buy a burger or a car with bitcoin. 

“But that’s the only thing that they have written in the law. … The problem is that in practice, if you promote bitcoin, they can arrest you,” Blacutt said. 

Despite the ban, and the authorities’ somewhat haphazard interpretation of it, blockchain believers powered ahead through the Morales regime and seemed undeterred by the Socialist party’s return to power. 

“Technology is always one step ahead of legislation,” Guzman said. 

After the ban was implemented, crypto enthusiasts formed networks that traded in cash underground, making themselves invisible to the government, Guzman added.

According to blockchain developer Huascar Miranda Martinez, few Bolivians trade on peer-to-peer platforms like LocalBitcoins and even less use exchanges like Binance (where they are not allowed to trade with a Bolivian credit card), although that number is slowly growing. People mostly trade bitcoin in person to avoid interactions with banks: Buyers and sellers agree on prices in WhatsApp groups or other social media networks, and meet at restaurants or cafes to exchange bitcoin wallet addresses for cash.

“The bank prohibition is not a problem for us. It’s a problem for the bank,” Martinez said. 

To avoid getting flagged by banks, Guzman said people are now careful about how much money they transfer from wallets or exchanges, and make sure banks are not used in a way that breaks the law. 

“Basically, the only thing that the bank can do is say, hey, you’re getting $70,000? Who sent this money? How did you get it? And depending on the response, and the amount, the bank can follow up with an investigation and look for the source,” Guzman said. 

Road to adoption

Bolivia is in recession, compounded by the COVID-19 health crisis. Its economy is projected to contract by 7.3% this year, according to the World Bank. Although the pandemic’s economic fallout is driving crypto adoption in countries like Nigeria, where a tech-savvy population is increasingly using bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, in Bolivia people still seem to prefer physical assets like jewelry or cash.  

Guzman says this may have to do with a lack of knowledge of digital currency. Even if Bolivians buy things online, people still end up paying in cash, Guzman said, either on delivery or using a third party.

Bolivia’s blockchain activists aim to communicate with both the people and the government, helping them understand the broader applications of blockchain technology, Melendrez said.

Melendrez works with various crypto projects and founded Bolivian Mind Blockchain, a platform for learning and sharing knowledge about the technology. 

“Nowadays we are working on education and presenting projects that could help our society understand the technology,” Melendrez said. 

She eventually met Guzman, who was hosting meetings over beer to talk about community interest in cryptocurrencies. Lately, and more urgently, Guzman has been meeting with former lawmakers and experts to find ways to open a discussion with the government. 

Meanwhile, blockchain projects are slowly coming out of the woodwork: A Bolivian cattle ranch is to be tokenized so investors can trade physical assets digitally, and a blockchain advocate Carlos Rodrigo, has created a gold tokenization project. 

“I want to launch the project, and use that to show the government how we can raise capital in order to expand natural resources in our country with the private sector,” Rodrigo said. 

Rodrigo is hopeful the government will reverse the ban. Eventually, he said, “they’re going to do it.”

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First Mover: Bitcoin Below $19K and Customers Flee OKEx

5 years 10 months ago

Bitcoin was lower, pushing prices back down below $19,000 toward where they started the week. 

Digital-asset traders have been speculating whether prices would quickly breach $20,000 after the cryptocurrency surged earlier this week to a new all-time high of $19,920. But so far the market hasn’t been able to carry through. 

Related: Bitcoin Price Could Hit $50K in 2021, Bloomberg Analysts Say

“In the short run, this rally has endured for a good while and prices might need some sideways action or even a quick retracement before rising further,” the digital-asset financial firm Diginex wrote Friday. 

In traditional markets, Asian and European shares rose and U.S. stock futures pointed to a higher open ahead of a key government report on U.S. employment expected to show slowing jobs growth in November. Gold weakened 0.1% to $1,840 an ounce.   

Market moves

Warning to cryptocurrency exchanges everywhere: Customers aren’t too keen about having their deposits involuntarily blocked from withdrawal for five weeks. 

A sharp drop in the Malta-based OKEx’s trading volume and stablecoin reserves – tether (USDT) in particular – may reveal an ongoing exodus of users after the popular derivatives exchange unexpectedly halted all crypto withdrawal activities.

Related: OMG Rallies as Genesis Block Ventures Acquires OMG Network

The suspension ended on Nov. 26, and data from the analytics service CryptoQuant show the amount of tether held in OKEx wallets dropped by 98% in less than a week to 6.69 million on Dec. 1. OKEx has a large user base in China, and tether, the world’s largest dollar-backed token, with total assets of $19.35 billion, is one of the most popular stablecoins used by Chinese traders.

Total daily trading volume on OKEx declined significantly during the same time period – down approximately 67.7% from Nov. 25, according to data compiled by CoinDesk. The volume of tether traded on OKEx plunged 70%.

The sudden and significant decline in tether in reserves on OKEx could indicate that users are transferring their stablecoins elsewhere – possibly to a different exchange or to their private cold wallets, according to analysts and traders who spoke with CoinDesk.

“They don’t want to keep assets in OKEx,” Darius Sit, of Singapore-based QCP Capital, told CoinDesk. 

– Muyao Shen

Read More: OKEx’s Trading Volumes and Tether Reserve Plunge on Possible User Exodus

Bitcoin watch

Bloomberg analysts expect bitcoin to remain bid next year and possibly rise as high as $50,000 next year.

“Bitcoin will maintain its propensity to advance in price into 2021, in our view, with macroeconomic, technical and demand vs. supply indicators supportive of $50,000 target resistance, implying about a $1 trillion market cap,” noted Bloomberg Crypto in a monthly report.

The demand-supply mechanics are currently skewed bullish, as only 900 new coins mined each day versus 1,800 in 2017, and institutional participation is increasing.

While the odds appear stacked in favor of the bulls, the cryptocurrency remains vulnerable to a March-like panic sell-off in the global equity markets, Bloomberg’s report said. However, analysts do not see prices falling below $10,000.

– Omkar Godbole

Read More: Bitcoin Price Could Hit $50K in 2021, Bloomberg Analysts Say

Token watch

Ether (ETH): Coinbase, Binance and OKEx announce “BETH” tokens to give liquidity to users staking ether in Ethereum’s new proof-of-stake network.

XRP (XRP): Ripple Chief Technology Officer David Schwartz says company could be forced by validators to burn its 48M XRP tokens. 

Aave (LEND): Decentralized money market rolls out second version incorporating collateral swap functionality powered by new flash-loan system.

Wrapped bitcoin (WBTC): “Burns” increase as traders rotate capital out of cooling DeFi.

OMG Network (OMG): Genesis Block Ventures announces acquisition of network, which helps speed transactions and lower fees on the Ethereum blockchain by handling transactions off-chain.  

What’s hot

S&P Dow Jones Indices to launch crypto indexes in 2021 (CoinDesk) 

Wider adoption of stablecoins as form of payment could upset balance of current financial system, “warranting greater regulatory scrutiny,” U.S. Financial Stability Oversight Council writes in report (CoinDesk) 

What China’s hydropower consumption parks mean for bitcoin mining (The Block) 

Spotify, the music-streaming giant, looks for associate director in Payment Strategy and Innovation team to “lead its day-to-day engagement with the Libra Association” (CoinDesk) 

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission makes fintech hub a standalone office, with Senior Advisor for Digital Assets Valerie Szczepanik continuing at the helm (CoinDesk)

Pakistan moves to legalize bitcoin as economy tumbles (Decrypt)  

Swiss wholesale CBDC trail shows “feasibility” for central bank money on distributed ledger, BIS says (CoinDesk) 

Weekly net inflows to crypto platforms serving primarily North American users jump to 216K bitcoin worth $3.4B in November, versus outflows of 240K bitcoin worth $3.8B from East Asian exchanges (Reuters)   

Terra, a stablecoin platform, brings 24-hour trading to synthetic versions of stocks like Tesla (TSLA) and Apple (AAPL) (CoinDesk)

Bitcoin-friendly hedge fund titan Paul Tudor Jones says “the path forward from here is north” (CoinDesk) 

“Adoption is trending the right direction, but it is still early,” Open Money Initiative co-founder Jill Carson writes (CoinDesk Opinion) 

Lex Sokolin of Consensys argues that community represents the real value in an open-source DeFi project where code can be easily copied and governance tokens now have $3.5 billion of associated enterprise value (CoinDesk Opinion)  

Bitcoin is a potential store of value that’s very volatile, says Tom Jessop, head of Fidelity Digital Assets (CoinDesk) 

Analogs The latest on the economy and traditional finance

U.S. government report expected to show economy added 440K jobs in November, slowing from October’s 638K (CNBC) 

Federal Reserve and Treasury Dept. urge Congress to approve more virus relief (Associated Press) 

Southwest Airlines warns it could furlough 6,800 employees to cut costs (CNBC) 

“Modern Monetary Theory might not be the free lunch our current economic policy lords imagine,” Wall Street Journal Editorial Board writes (WSJ) 

Vietnam’s central bank has a new governor, Nguyen Thi Hong, making her the first woman in the bank’s history to hold the top seat (Nikkei Asia Review)

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CoinDesk

OCC Chief Hints at Coming ‘Good’ Actions on Crypto by End of Trump’s Term

5 years 10 months ago

Acting Comptroller of the Currency Brian Brooks predicted a lineup of cryptocurrency banking and clarification actions will emerge from the Trump Administration during its final days.

The chief national banking regulator said Friday on CNBC’s Squawk Box:

“I don’t think we need 50 regulations, but what we do need is clarity about what’s allowed,” he said. Brooks cited banks plugging “directly into blockchains as payment networks” as one place where “the answer has to be yes.”

Related: US Regulator Seeks End to Bank Deplatforming of ‘Disfavored’ Industries (Like Crypto)

Brooks seemed to imply the crypto banking clarity coming “in the next six to eight weeks” would have a positive impact on bitcoin‘s price.

“It may have been a bubble two years ago, but with more clarity institutions that see this is a real thing are going to adopt at scale, which they’ve already started to do so,” Brooks said. He said regulatory clarity “are the things that are driving prices at this point.”

See also: A Crypto Ally as Top US Bank Regulator?

Brooks refused to directly answer the show hosts’ questions about the rumored self-hosted wallet regulation supposedly coming out of the Treasury Department. Last week, Brooks’ former boss, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, publicly suggested on Twitter that Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin was ready to stifle crypto innovation with a slap-dash final regulatory push.

Related: A Crypto Ally as Top US Bank Regulator?

“We’re very focused on getting this right, we’re very focused on not killing this and it’s equally important that we develop the networks behind bitcoin and other cryptos as it is that we prevent money laundering and terrorism financing. So believe me, there’s a balance here and it’s going to work for everybody,” he said.

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Bitcoin Price Could Hit $50K in 2021, Bloomberg Analysts Say

5 years 10 months ago

The path of least resistance for bitcoin is on the higher side, and the cryptocurrency could more than double from its current value in 2021, according to Bloomberg analysts. 

“Bitcoin will maintain its propensity to advance in price into 2021, in our view, with macroeconomic, technical and demand vs. supply indicators supportive of $50,000 target resistance, implying about a $1 trillion market cap,” noted Bloomberg Crypto in a monthly report.

The demand-supply mechanics are currently skewed bullish, as only 900 new coins mined each day vs. 1,800 in 2017, and institutional participation is increasing. 

Related: OMG Rallies as Genesis Block Ventures Acquires OMG Network

Notably, assets under management at Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has recently breached the $10 billion level, having begun the year at $2 billion. The trust has bought nearly 70% of new bitcoins mined since May 11, when the cryptocurrency underwent its third reward halving. Grayscale is owned by Digital Currency Group, which is also the parent company of CoinDesk.

Open interest in the bitcoin futures listed on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange has risen above $1 billion for the first time on record vs. closer to $120 million in 2019, as per data source Skew. 

Bloomberg analysts said they expect these trends to continue in 2021, as major central banks and governments are unlikely to scale back or halt their inflation-boosting stimulus programs anytime soon. The unconventional policies adopted by authorities to counter the coronavirus-induced slowdown have boosted demand for bitcoin and gold this year. 

Past data also favors a rally to $50,000, according to Bloomberg. “The 2017 advance followed a 2016 supply reduction to 1,800 coins a day, and similar occurred in 2012-13,” Bloomberg analysts noted.

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Lingers Around $19.4K While ETH/BTC Pairing Hits Bull Mode

History looks to be repeating itself as bitcoin’s recent move to a new record high of $19,920 has happened roughly seven months following the May 11 reward halving. Similar price action had unfolded following the July 2016 supply reduction. 

While the odds appear stacked in favor of the bulls, the cryptocurrency remains vulnerable to a March-like panic sell-off in the global equity markets, according to Bloomberg analysts. However, they do not see prices falling below $10,000. 

“The $10,000 mark has shifted to a critical support level after serving as the crypto’s resistance mark since 2017,” the report says. 

Bitcoin fell sharply to $3,867 in March, as global stock markets collapsed on fears of coronavirus-led recession, boosting demand for cash. Prices quickly recovered to $10,000 ahead of the May 11 reward halving.

The top cryptocurrency by market value reached a record high of $19,920 earlier this week, surpassing the previous all-time high of $19,783 reached in December 2017. Prices have more than doubled in the past three months alone.

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Russia’s Crypto Community Fears Digital Ruble Plan Means ‘Back to USSR’

5 years 10 months ago

Russian cryptocurrency and blockchain association (RAKIB) warned the country’s central bank against making its future CBDC too centralized.

RAKIB sent a letter to the Bank of Russia Chairwoman Elvira Nabiullina saying that the potential design for digital ruble that the regulator seems to favor, will return the Russian economy to the Soviet model, when all the financial activities were managed in a centralized way, the Russian newspaper Kommersant wrote on Friday.

RAKIB said that even the China’s DCEP model, where the banks are in charge of individual digital yuan accounts, is more market-friendly and stimulates the competition between banks. The Bank of Russia, on the contrary, seems to lean toward the model in which it will be a unique issuer of the digital rubles, with all the accounts in a centralized system, on which banks will offer products.

Related: Ruble or Rubble? Russian Institutions Have Concerns About Proposed CBDC

In such case, the retail banks will not be able to add the digital ruble accounts of their clients to the existing balance sheets, and there is a chance that retail users will flee from banks for a centralized digital ruble platform, RAKIB’s advisory board member Vladislav Martynov told Kommersant.

According to the Bank of Russia’s concept, the digital ruble will not be a replacement to bank accounts or physical cash but a third form of money in Russia, which will exist in parallel with the other two.

The letter by RAKIB echoed the sentiment expressed earlier by some of Russia’s banks and financial market players concerned that if the Bank of Russia chooses the centralized model that will put retail banks at disadvantage. They will have to compete with the regulator for clients’ deposits while also having to spend their own resources on the digital ruble integration into the economy, experts said.

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CoinDesk

Ripple CTO Says Majority Vote Would Force the Burning of Billions in XRP

5 years 10 months ago

Ripple Chief Technology Officer David Schwartz tweeted the community could force the burning of billions of the protocol’s XRP native tokens held in escrow to prevent the drop in price that would likely occur should those billions in frozen tokens ever flood the market.

  • On Dec.2, a Twitter user asked the CTO, “If Nodes, validators and the community at large got together and we agree that it’s better for the community to burn the 50 billion XRP ripple has in escrows would that be possible?”
  • Responding to the tweet, David Schwartz implied that majority rule would win in such a decision. “Yes. There would be nothing Ripple could do to stop that from happening. Public blockchains are very democratic. If the majority wants a rules change, there is nothing the minority can do to stop them,” Schwartz commented in response.
  • Ripple’s XRP sales have been declining after Ripple stopped selling tokens to exchanges. The escrow account held approximately 48.9 billion tokens at the start of 2020.
  • As there are currently 45.3 billion tokens in circulation, a sudden release of a sizable portion of those escrowed tokens could cause the price of XRP to plunge.
  • XRP was trading at 60 cents during the time of publication on Friday. The price of the token has risen more than 160% in the past 12 months.
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