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Apple Suspends Parler From App Store, Amazon Kicks It Off Web Hosting Service

5 years 9 months ago

Apple has suspended Parler, a conservative social media service, from its App Store, saying the app’s owner hasn’t done enough to deal with threats of violence on the platform. Meanwhile, Amazon dealt the service a potential death blow by kicking it off its web hosting service, citing the same reason, BuzzFeed News reported.

  • Amazon’s action means that if the service can’t find another host, Parler will go offline Sunday.
  • “Recently, we’ve seen a steady increase in this violent content on your website, all of which violates our terms. It’s clear that Parler does not have an effective process to comply with the AWS terms of service,” Amazon said to Parler in an email obtained by BuzzFeed.
  • Apple struck much the same tone in a statement Saturday: “Parler has not taken adequate measures to address the proliferation of these threats to people’s safety.”
  • Yesterday, BuzzFeed News reported Apple had written to Parler saying there had been complaints that the platform had been used to plan and coordinate the attack on the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday.
  • In response, Apple had given the service 24 hours to make sure its controls were in order, BuzzFeed News said. Parler reportedly submitted some changes but apparently Apple didn’t think they went far enough.
  • Apple said the suspension of Parler will last “until they resolve these issues.”
  • Google on Friday suspended Parler from its Google Play app store until it addresses a lack “robust moderation for egregious content.” Google said it took the action “in light of this ongoing and urgent public safety threat” referring to Wednesday’s attack. 
Read more: Donald Trump Banned From Twitter in Final Days of Presidency

UPDATE (Jan. 10, 03:05 UTC): Adds Amazon action.

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CoinDesk

Bitcoin Miners Saw 33% Revenue Increase in December

5 years 9 months ago

Bitcoin miners generated an estimated $692 million in revenue in December, up 33% from November, according to on-chain data from Coin Metrics analyzed by CoinDesk.

Extending November’s own 48% increase, miner revenues continued to soar as bitcoin rallied over 300% last year, briefly trading above $29,000 for the first time ever on New Year’s Eve. 

Revenue estimates assume miners sell their BTC immediately.

Related: Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Hits Record High Amid Miner Revenue Surge

Measured by per terahash per second (TH/s), miner revenues nearly tripled in the past three months, reaching $0.284 Thursday, per data from Luxor Technologies, its highest level since August 2019, as CoinDesk previously reported. 

Network fees brought in $68.3 million in December, or nearly 10% of total revenue, a slight percentage decrease from the 10.5% of revenue represented by fees in November. 

Fees were quite volatile in December, bouncing between $4 to all the way to above $12 throughout the month, per Coin Metrics. 

Notably, fees as a percentage of total revenue continues a strong upward trend since April, prior to the network’s third-ever block subsidy halving in May. Increases in fee revenue are important to sustain the network’s security as the subsidy decreases every four years.

Related: Square Crypto Funds Bitcoin Developer to Improve Mining Pool Software

Taking advantage of the revenue increase, miners are bringing more machines online, pushing the network’s difficulty to record highs after Saturday’s adjustment. 

What’s more, miners have ordered so many new machines to capitalize on the period of increased profitability that leading manufacturer Bitmain, for example, has sold out until August even after nearly doubling the price of some models. 

As heavyweight investors offer six-digit price predictions for bitcoin amid its ongoing parabolic rally, miners eye continued revenue growth through early 2021 and beyond.

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CoinDesk

Wrapped Bitcoin ‘Burns’ Outpaced Minting for the First Time in December

5 years 9 months ago

Traders are swapping their tokenized bitcoins for the real thing more than ever.

  • BitGo saw a record 11,613 wrapped bitcoin (WBTC) swapped for real bitcoin (BTC) in December, with only 2,731 BTC exchanged for the bitcoin-backed ERC-20 tokens last month.
  • December marked the first time in the young project’s history that “burns,” the reversion of WBTC back to BTC, have outnumbered “mints.”
  • The total value of the “burned” WBTC is approximately $235 million, based on bitcoin’s price at the time the tokens were swapped for BTC.
  • Diminishing yields in decentralized finance (DeFi), a primary use case for WBTC, and increased trading activity on traditional cryptocurrency exchanges amid bitcoin’s recent eye-popping surge are likely reasons for the increase in burns and slowed rate of minting.
  • Most of the burns came from trading firms Alameda Research and Three Arrows Capital.
  • BitGo’s Wrapped Bitcoin project gained wide popularity through Q3 and early Q4 2020 amid a DeFi frenzy that saw over 124,000 BTC tokenized on Ethereum at its peak after starting the year with less than 600 BTC.
  • In mid August, demand for WBTC was so high that bitcoins were being tokenized faster than they were being mined.
  • To date, roughly 110,000 WBTC are still circulating in the DeFi ecosystem.
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CoinDesk

Long-Desired Bitcoin ETF Could Actually Hurt Price in Short Term: JPMorgan

5 years 9 months ago

While a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) would be a long-term positive, in the short term it could hurt the price of the leading cryptocurrency as it would draw institutional money from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), currently the only way for some on Wall Street to gain exposure to bitcoin, JPMorgan analysts wrote in a report.

  • Optimism over the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approving a bitcoin ETF this year has grown due to the likelihood of a new commissioner being appointed this year, the report notes.
  • But that change would give competition to GBTC, which benefits from being the only game in town. (Grayscale is owned by Digital Currency Group, the parent company of CoinDesk.)
  • Due to regulatory and other restrictions, some financial institutions and funds can’t directly own bitcoin or even buy shares directly from Grayscale. To get in on the bitcoin action, they have little choice but to buy GBTC shares on the secondary market at a premium. With an ETF, that premium would shrink, reducing the attractiveness of GBTC shares.
  • A shrinking GBTC premium would also diminish the allure of a popular trade, the analysts wrote. Right now, some institutional investors buy GBTC at net asset value with the intent of selling after the mandatory six-month lockup period expires to capitalize on that premium. Should the premium drop due to the coming introduction of an ETF, it would diminish the popularity of buying GBTC at NAV for that purpose.
  • The JPMorgan analysts estimate the GBTC premium monetization trade could account for around 15% of outstanding GBTC stock.
  • The prospect of a bitcoin ETF and the resulting diminishing GBTC premium could also lead some institutional investors who bought in in the second half of last year to sell when their six-month lock-up expires, further putting downward pressure on GBTC premiums, the analysts wrote.
See also: VanEck Proposes ETF for Bitcoin, Once Again Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Hits Record High Amid Miner Revenue Surge

5 years 9 months ago

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty just reached a record high above 20.6 trillion as more people are mining at a larger scale than ever before thanks to ballooning mining revenue and bitcoin’s parabolic price rally.

“A new difficulty all-time high is no surprise considering mining revenue has tripled in recent months,” said Edward Evenson, business development lead at Braiins, a mining software company that recently acquired full ownership of leading pool Slush Pool after being majority stakeholders since 2013. 

Saturday’s adjustment at block 665,280 marks an 11% increase from the last adjustment on Dec. 27.

Related: Bitcoin Miners Saw 33% Revenue Increase in December

Difficulty is a relative measure of the amount of resources required to mine bitcoin that climbs or falls depending on the amount of computing power consumed by the network, known as its hashrate. 

As bitcoin’s price continues to soar – almost touching $42,000 Friday – miner revenues keep pace, incentivizing even more participants to mine. Twelve months ago, bitcoin’s difficulty was below 15 trillion. 

“I see this trend continuing in the first half of 2021,” Evenson told CoinDesk. 

“Show me the money”

Signalling even more upward difficulty adjustments in the future, mining companies plan to capitalize on higher revenues at such a scale that their orders for new machines have left leading manufacturers like Bitmain sold out until August even after nearly doubling the price of some models. 

Related: Square Crypto Funds Bitcoin Developer to Improve Mining Pool Software

“ASIC manufacturers have had to turn away more than half a billion dollars in mining equipment orders in Q4 2020 alone,” Evenson said. “Hardware supply chains are currently overloaded by immense demand.”

Companies like Core Scientific are handily contributing to the overload with massive 59,000-machine orders from Bitmain, which are set to triple its mining capacity. 

Publicly traded mining firms like Riot Blockchain (RIOT) and Marathon Patent Group (MARA) placed similar pre-orders for 31,000 and 90,000 machines through 2020, respectively. 

Based on the ongoing mining frenzy, Bitcoin’s hashrate is “likely to at least double in 2021,” Evenson predicts. 

A major miner problem

More than an inconvenience, the current ASIC shortage signals a deeper fundamental weakness in the mining sector amid soaring revenues and activity.

“Right now, the biggest risk to the mining business is the ASIC shortage,” said Steve Barbour, president of portable mining infrastructure manufacturer Upstream Data, in a direct message with CoinDesk. 

Barbour said he doesn’t see “any signs yet” that manufacturers are “ramping up fast enough” to meet the yet unabated surge in demand for machines. They aren’t even pursuing temporary solutions like offering mid-tier machines for “miners who aren’t interested in high-priced, high-efficiency gear.” 

With no signs of replenished supplies, miners have been scavenging secondary markets for any available and working machines, causing prices of some models to reach 12-month highs, per CoinDesk’s prior reporting.

The miner manufacturing business “definitely has room for more diversified competition,” Barbour said.

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Deluge of Would-Be Bitcoin Traders Prompts eToro to Put Out the Unwelcome Mat

5 years 9 months ago

eToro said it’s so overwhelmed by demand by newcomers who want to trade cryptocurrencies on the exchange it has temporarily boosted the amount new users have to put on deposit to discourage them from joining.

  • The platform, which mainly caters to “social” or beginner traders, raised its required deposit level to $1,000 from $200.
  • The number of new registrations and the volume of deposits and trading on the platform hit all new highs in 2021, fueled by crypto, Amy Butler, global head of PR for eToro, said in an email to CoinDesk.
  • “We have seen huge demand for crypto, especially bitcoin,” she said.
  • While institutional funds were the main driver of the bull run last year, this report of “unprecedented demand” by eToro could be a sign that retail traders are finally starting to jump in with both feet.
  • “In this first week of 2021 we have seen days with over 40,000 new registered users in a day and volumes of crypto trades at 10 times the average of last year,” Butler said.
  • After notching more than a 300% gain in 2020, the price of bitcoin has already risen more than 35% this year.
  • While last year’s performance largely stayed off the front page of non-crypto publications, this year’s string of all-time highs has been getting more and more attention from the mainstream media. This is undoubtedly creating increased interest and perhaps a “fear of missing out” (FOMO) on the part of retail investors, the likes of whom are now overwhelming eToro and potentially others.
See also: Why Is Bitcoin Going Up, and Will It Crash Soon? What’s Next as Price Doubles to $40K Related Stories
CoinDesk

Donald Trump Banned From Twitter in Final Days of Presidency

5 years 9 months ago

U.S. President Donald Trump has been permanently banned from Twitter, less than two weeks before he is set to leave office.

Twitter announced the move late Friday, saying it had conducted a “close review” of the President’s recent tweets and how they were being received, and concluding that two tweets on Friday might lead to violence on or around the inauguration of President-elect Joe Biden later this month.

Twitter had previously suspended Trump’s access for 12 hours on Wednesday, after a mob composed of the President’s supporters broke into the U.S. Capitol Building, ransacked congressional offices and interrupted the joint session intended to accept the electoral college votes confirming Biden’s victory in last year’s election. Five individuals died during the riot, including four supporters of the President and an officer with the Capitol Police.

Related: Dogecoin Jumps 20% After Musk’s Twitter Shout-Out; Bitcoin Joke Spurs Dialogue With Saylor

“In the context of horrific events this week, we made it clear on Wednesday that additional violations of the Twitter Rules would potentially result in this very course of action. Our public interest framework exists to enable the public to hear from elected officials and world leaders directly. It is built on a principle that the people have a right to hold power to account in the open,” Twitter’s statement Friday said.

The company cited the President’s tweets on Friday, one which said his supporters “will not be disrespected or treated unfairly in any way, shape or form” and the other which was an announcement that he would not be attending Biden’s inauguration on Jan. 20.

“These two Tweets must be read in the context of broader events in the country and the ways in which the President’s statements can be mobilized by different audiences, including to incite violence, as well as in the context of the pattern of behavior from this account in recent weeks,” Twitter said.

Team Trump banned by tech

Twitter joins Facebook (and Instagram), Snapchat and Twitch as some of the platforms to remove Trump’s pages in recent days. Each of these companies initially began with indefinite or temporary suspensions on Wednesday. Twitch and Facebook have indicated that Trump may regain access after the inauguration.

Related: Bitcoin Chatter on Twitter Nears Highest Level in 3 Years Amid Price Surge

Read more: Decentralization and What Section 230 Really Means for Freedom of Speech

Shopify has likewise blocked the Trump campaign’s digital store, while YouTube announced changes that could ban accounts spreading election misinformation.

On Friday, Reddit banned its r/DonaldTrump community and a moderator of its r/conspiracy community. While a specific reason wasn’t given for the subreddit ban, the moderator was banned for “inciting communities” and violating the site’s content policy, according to the Daily Dot.

Apple has likewise threatened to ban the social media app Parler if it doesn’t enact some content moderation policies, while Google Play did Apple one better by suspending Parler until it addresses a lack “robust moderation for egregious content.” Google said it took the action “in light of this ongoing and urgent public safety threat.”

Meanwhile, Discord banned its “The Donald” server which is affiliated with pro-Trump communities (including the former Reddit page r/TheDonald, which was banned last year for “harassment, hate speech and content manipulation,” Gizmodo reported).

Read more: In Trump Versus Twitter, Decentralized Tech May Win

Earlier Friday, Twitter suspended a number of accounts that showed support for the QAnon internet conspiracy, including former National Security Advisor and retired General Michael Flynn and Trump attorney Sidney Powell.

Payment platform Stripe suspended the Proud Boys, a far-right group, on Friday.

The video streaming platform DLive likewise announced on Friday it was suspending several accounts in relation to Wednesday’s riot.

Twitter’s share price dropped in after-hours trading on the news, pricing in at $50.40 after closing Friday at $51.48.

UPDATE (Jan. 9, 2021, 00:20 UTC): Added additional context and information.
UPDATE (Jan. 9, 2021, 01:30 UTC): Added that Google Play has suspended Parler from its Play Store.

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Morgan Stanley Boosts Stake in Bitcoin-Laden MicroStrategy to 10.9%

5 years 9 months ago

Morgan Stanley now owns 792,627 shares of MicroStrategy, bringing its total ownership in the company best known for holding over $2 billion in bitcoin to 10.9%, according to a filing made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • The financial giant boosted its stake by almost 650,000 shares since the end of Q3.
  • The shares of MicroStrategy, a relatively little known business intelligence firm prior to its massive investment in the leading cryptocurrency, have soared 330% since the company bought its first bitcoin on Aug. 11, 2020, rising from $123.80 to $539.57.
  • As illustrated in the chart below, before buying its first bitcoin, MicroStrategy’s share performance left something to be desired, having fallen 13% from Jan. 2, 2020, through Aug. 10, 2020.
  • Given MicroStrategy’s shares are largely tracking the price of bitcoin, which is up more than 40% this year following a 300% gain in 2020, it’s likely Morgan Stanley views its investment as a way to benefit from bitcoin’s historic run without actually being a HODLer.
Read more: Saylor Hits Back at Claims MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Trove Makes It an ETF

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Traders Can Now Bet on ‘Bitcoin $300K’ as Options Keep Pace With Rising Price

5 years 9 months ago

Traders can now bet on whether bitcoin will hit $300,000 by year’s end.

  • Crypto derivatives exchange Deribit has added a $300,000 option to keep up with BTC‘s blistering price performance in recent weeks.
  • The $200,000 option came into being late last week after bitcoin rose from $25,000 on Dec. 25 to $32,000 on Jan. 2.
  • Six days later – with bitcoin currently north of $39,000 and having risen to as high as $41,962.36 earlier Friday – the maximum option followed suit.
  • Even with the bullishness driving bitcoin’s rally, there’s only so high folks are willing to climb, as you can see from the following picture of open positions on Deribit’s website.
  • Other than one optimistic soul wagering that $200,000 this year could be a real thing, there’s been no activity at any strike above $100,000.
  • Generally, options indicate how some of the market’s more sophisticated traders are gauging current price trends.
  • Hope may spring eternal but apparently, even hope has a ceiling.
See also: Why Is Bitcoin Going Up, and Will It Crash Soon? What’s Next as Price Doubles to $40K Related Stories
CoinDesk

Market Wrap: Bitcoin Crosses $41.9K as Ether Futures Interest Grows 85% So Far in 2021

5 years 9 months ago

Bitcoin hit a fresh all-time high Friday as investors continued to scoop up some of its limited supply. The ether futures market also hit records as derivatives traders check out the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $39,304 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 0.64% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $36,579-$41,962 (CoinDesk 20)
  • BTC below the 10-hour but above the 50-hour moving average on the hourly chart, a sideways signal for market technicians.

New all-time highs are again the topic of the day on Friday, the third straight day the price of bitcoin hit a record level. Around 15:00 UTC (10 a.m. ET), the price of bitcoin changed hands at $41,962, according to CoinDesk 20 data. Price has dropped since, at $39,304 as of press time.

Read More: Over $41,000: Bitcoin Continues to Forge New Highs

Related: Traders Can Now Bet on ‘Bitcoin $300K’ as Options Keep Pace With Rising Price

“BTC is currently in price discovery with a lot of demand and limited supply,” Joel Edgerton, chief operating officer of Bitflyer USA. “Everyone that holds bitcoin thinks it will go higher, so they hold.” 

According to data aggregator Glassnode, bitcoin’s current circulating supply is at 18,594,037 BTC – and investors seemingly can’t get enough of the world’s oldest cryptocurrency. 

“The continued relentless money flows into BTC from institutional and some retail buyers provides significant positive drift,” said Chad Steinglass, head of trading for derivatives firm CrossTower. “As more and more coins are locked away in long-term investments and are essentially removed from circulation, squeezing available inventory tighter and tighter.“

“Everyone without BTC is afraid of missing out and wants to buy,” Bitflyer’s Edgerton added. “Borrowing [U.S. dollar] stablecoins to buy BTC is the crypto carry trade.” 

Related: BRRR: Biden Readies a New $3T Stimulus Package

The top three stablecoins – tether (USDT), U.S. dollar coin (USDC) and dai (DAI) – collectively have a market capitalization of $28 billion, much of which consists of tether – $22,916,992,958, according to CoinGecko.

“The doors are fully open and the buying pressure has been building up massively this whole year based on macro cycles, COVID-19, the U.S. election and a feeling of general anxiety,” said Henrik Kugelberg, an over-the-counter bitcoin trader. “In the short term I expect a setback of perhaps 15%, but it will just be a bump in the massive bull run – $100,000 this year is totally possible!” 

Read More: Why Joe Biden’s $3T Stimulus Package Could Add Fuel to Bitcoin’s Rally

Action in the bitcoin derivatives market was heavy as well. Jason Lau, chief operating officer for San Francisco-based exchange OKCoin, noted almost $1 billion in liquidations occurred there Thursday. “The majority of these liquidations were longs and it was the third-highest amount since November.” 

At BitMEX alone, over $100 million in liquidations have occurred on the venue’s bitcoin market over the past three days, with $65 million buy liquidations signaling short-oriented traders got squeezed versus $42 million in the crypto equivalent of a margin call for long positions. 

In the options market, Denis Vinokourov, head of research at brokerage Bequant, noted that traders are liking the $36,000 strike price for bitcoin.

“Given the outsized focus on bitcoin’s $36,000 options strike for the end of January options expiry, which comes with a raft of optionality plays and risks, this disconnects bitcoin from fundamentals, so to speak,” Vinokourov told CoinDesk. “It will be interesting to see whether the market will be able to compartmentalize this bitcoin risk away from the rest of the market.”

Ether futures at $3.7 billion in interest

Ether (ETH) was down Friday, trading around $1,159 and slipping 6.5% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).

Read More: Ethereum 2.0 Explained in 4 Easy Metrics

On Jan. 1, ether futures open interest, or OI, on major derivatives venues was at $2 billion. On Thursday, OI had ballooned 85% to a record $3.7 billion according to aggregator Skew. Binance was leading the way with $820 million in OI, over 20% of the total ether futures market.

“ETH still hasn’t touched its previous all-time high of over $1,400,” noted Brian Mosoff, chief executive officer of investment firm Ether Capital. “To date, there has been less access to invest in ether versus bitcoin. As we await the pending launch of the CME [ether] futures, community members who are more crypto-native and have less restrictions about how to hold ETH are likely looking to front-run the launch.”

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are in the red Friday. Notable losers as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Equities:

Commodities:

  • Oil was up 3%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $52.48.
  • Gold was in the red 3.4% and at $1,848 as of press time.

Treasurys:

  • The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield climbed Friday jumping to 1.110 and in the green 2.5%.
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The Smart Way to Talk About DeFi’s $22B

5 years 9 months ago

Decentralized finance (DeFi), the sector of crypto that drove all the excitement this summer, isn’t quite back to its old energy, but the lull is over.

“Raw DeFi numbers are at all-time highs, and they’re not fake,” Alameda Research founder Sam Bankman-Fried told CoinDesk in an email. “But in relative terms to the rest of crypto, they’re down from their peak but up from their nadir.”

From a casual glance, it can look like DeFi is stronger than it’s ever been. Judged by the sector’s favorite metric, total value locked (TVL), the sector has been adding about a billion dollars worth of additional value per day since the new year started – from $15.67 billion to $22.35 billion as of this writing. However, a lot of that growth has been driven by the simple fact of asset prices going up across the board.

Related: Bitcoin Goes Institutional, Ethereum Spreads Its Wings: CoinDesk Q4 2020 Review

“TVL isn’t the best indicator when ETH and all other crypto is green for weeks,” Jesse Walden, founder of the venture firm Variant, told CoinDesk in an email.

ETH, the asset that powers DeFi, traded at $737 on Jan. 1, rising to $1,182, as of this writing. 

In other words, ETH is up a bit over 60% and DeFi is up a bit over 40%.

DeFi will be booming again when a lot more assets get locked in there. It seems clear that most of the uptick in value can be attributed to asset price increases, but that’s not the whole story. 

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Reaches $40.3K While DeFi Value Locked Inflates to Over $22B

“Uniswap alone is settling around $1 billion daily, so I think the ecosystem is growing, no doubt,” Walden noted.

Look to the stablecoins

A good way to baseline DeFi upticks is by checking action specifically in stablecoins because they don’t tend to get skewed wildly by price volatility.

DeFi money market Compound kicked off the DeFi craze and yield farming on that application is still going strong. Its website makes it easy to check deposits over time.

Looking at the big three stablecoins – USDT, USDC and DAI – only USDT has really been inching up on Compound, but it also has by far the smallest deposits. 

Tether’s stablecoin has risen from a mere $91.5 million on Jan. 1 to $146 million today. Meanwhile, DAI has basically hovered a bit above $1 billion and USDC has in the area of $800 million that whole time. Nothing very exciting happening there, which probably stands as something of a bellwether for the real action in the space.

Blockchain consultant Maya Zehavi agreed with the comments above. “My opinion is that DeFi just increased leverage in the system a bit, say 5%,” she wrote via text message. “The rest is just price appreciation.”

If it’s not obvious for those who believe the rally is going to keep going, borrowing more of the rising asset can be a good way to lock in more gains. “In general, during [a] bull market, more users are collateralizing to borrow to leverage their positions on ETH,” Stani Kulechov of the money market Aave (a protocol that turned one year old today) told CoinDesk over Telegram.

Kulechov shared data with CoinDesk that showed over $1.5 billion worth of new deposits on Aave versions 1 and 2 combined. By far the biggest intake has been in ETH itself, with more than $450 million in new ETH deposited into Aave in 2021 alone.

After all, once people have reached a position they believe they can afford, they might as well deposit it somewhere that it can earn just a little more while they wait for prices to moon. 

Read more: One Billion, Two Billion, Three Billion, Four? DeFi’s Knocking on TradFi’s Door

Pantera Capital partner Paul Veradittakit told CoinDesk via email that the investment firm is closing a lot of new deals in DeFi. 

“We believe that DeFi will drive the ecosystem forward and that’s our thesis,” he said. “Decentralized trading has eclipsed centralized trading periodically and will continue to grow proportionately while use cases around synthetic assets, algorithmic stablecoins and lending/borrow are very promising.”

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Asia’s Retail FOMO Could Be Behind XRP’s Rally Despite SEC’s Lawsuit

5 years 9 months ago

XRP’s double-digit gains could be the result of a bold bet by retail investors, especially those in Asia, that the cryptocurrency’s price could follow the broader crypto bull run. The latest rally surprised many because it is happening not long after XRP crashed on the news the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a lawsuit against Ripple Inc., claiming the company sold the token as a security.

That said, it seems as if some market participants are undeterred by the regulator’s action. 

“Traders often trade products on a relative value basis,” Chris Thomas, head of digital assets at Swissquote Bank, told CoinDesk on Jan.7. “XRP felt cheap a few days ago. Today it feels normal again, in my opinion.”

Related: Ripple ‘Tried’ to Settle With SEC Ahead of XRP Suit, CEO Says

Read More: XRP Climbs Back up Crypto Rankings With Near 50% Rise

Simons Chen, a crypto trader based in Hong Kong, told CoinDesk he bought XRP when the price went to nearly its bottom point at the end of December with the belief that it would rebound soon, following bitcoin’s trend.

Chen said that when bitcoin and other alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) were going up, XRPs price went the opposite way because of the SEC news. That movement, to him, meant a great opportunity to “buy the dip.”

Read More: An SEC Victory in Ripple Case Would Render XRP ‘Untradeable,’ Market Pros Say

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Reaches $40.3K While DeFi Value Locked Inflates to Over $22B

Trading volumes from major exchanges globally, particularly in Asia, also show significant traffic in the XRP/USDT (tether) and XRP/KRW (Korean won) pairings, according to data from Nomics.

CoinDesk Research collected XRP trading volume data since Dec. 1, 2020, from six exchanges that saw noticeable activity and broke down the data by quote currency. Significant volumes came from the XRP/USDT and XRP/KRW ) pairings, yet volumes on XRP/bitcoin and XRP/ether pairings were relatively small.

Tether, a dollar-pegged stablecoin, is frequently used by traders and investors in Asia, especially in China, to buy cryptocurrencies. Due to regulations in South Korea, people there often buy cryptocurrencies directly from fiat on Korea-based exchanges. The data indicates the markets in Asia have been the main driver of the price rally.

Even though multiple exchanges, especially those that have a presence in the U.S., have announced suspension or delisting of XRP on their platforms, XRP pairings are still available on many other exchanges, including the so-called “Big Three” – Binance, Huobi, and OKEx – all of which first started in China.

“Unlike Coinbase or other ‘regulated’ exchanges, Korean and [other] Asian exchanges do not need to care that much of what the SEC does, and investors in Asia are less sensitive about the news,” said Sinhae Lee, partner at Shanghai-based blockchain consulting firm Block72. “With the current major altcoins’ price appreciation, investors bought XRP as its price went down a lot.”

The lack of institutional investors, particularly those based in the U.S., is evidence that non-U.S. retail investors are most likely the reason for XRP’s rebound, according to Lingxiao Yang, chief operating officer at crypto quant firm Trade Terminal. Yang said large digital asset managersincluding Grayscale have dropped XRP from their funds, “a death penalty” for XRP’s market in the U.S. [Grayscale is owned by DCG, CoinDesk’s parent company.]

Read More: Grayscale Drops XRP From Large Cap Crypto Fund Following Ripple SEC Suit

If retail investors’ increasing appetite is the only driver of XRP’s price, it is hard to tell whether the price will remain healthy in the long term. A key factor will be what happens between Ripple and the SEC. Just Wednesday, the company’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, said his company “tried” to settle charges of conducting unregistered securities transactions with the SEC. 

Read More: Ripple ‘Tried’ to Settle With SEC Ahead of XRP Suit, CEO Says

“If the SEC rejected [Ripple’s] proposal [to settle] and there seems nothing more than a court case, then the token is now over-valued, in my opinion.” Swissquote’s Thomas said. “As an 18-month court case it will weigh heavily on the asset.”

At the press time, XRP traded at $0.31, down 8.95% in the past 24 hours but up 14.2% from the December low of around $0.17.

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Square Crypto Funds Bitcoin Developer to Improve Mining Pool Software

5 years 9 months ago

Square Crypto’s latest grant will fund a Bitcoin developer’s work on software that could improve how mining collectives pool hash power.

Pseudonymous developer Fi3 (@piccioneLibero2 on Twitter, or “free pigeon”) will receive an undisclosed sum to work on an implementation of Stratum V2, the next iteration of a Bitcoin mining protocol software developed by Braiins. 

“Square Crypto is excited to support the development of a high quality open-source implementation of Stratum v2,” Square Crypto lead Steve Lee said to CoinDesk. “This software benefits miners by maximizing their revenue and providing more freedom and security.”

‘Personal freedom’ to pursue Bitcoin development

Related: Traders Can Now Bet on ‘Bitcoin $300K’ as Options Keep Pace With Rising Price

“I wanted to work on something related to Bitcoin,” Fi3 told CoinDesk. The Bitcoin developer has previous experience working with Bitcoin’s mining industry via a collaboration with Italian mining company Bitminer Factory.  Fi3 is proficient in the Rust programming language, which will be used to code the upgrade, so once they saw the opportunity they “caught it.” 

“I also like the personal freedom that this kind of grant gives you,” Fi3 continued.

Read more: Square Crypto’s 20th Grant Will Support Bitcoin Design, User Experience

The co-author of the proposal, Jan Kvapil, will begin work on the implementation in February, Fi3 said.

Stratum V2: Giving Bitcoin mining a boost

A mining pool is a collective of miners – from big industrial players to hobbyists farming in their basements – who combine their hash power to increase their collective chance of mining a block.

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Crosses $41.9K as Ether Futures Interest Grows 85% So Far in 2021

The Stratum software coordinates this pooled mining. The new edition, V2, will patch a handful of security flaws present in its 2012 predecessor, while improving connection speeds between miners in the pool. It will also give individual Bitcoin miners a say in which transactions they want to include in the blocks that the pools mine, allowing individual miners a bit more freedom in the process.

Read more: New Software Fix Provides Bitcoin Miners Increased Security

Fi3’s goal is to develop and create a Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (or BIP, code that alters some aspect of the Bitcoin network or protocol) that paves a clear path to activating the upgrade. Stratum V2 has been in the works for some time, but the grant will fund the changes that should finally push the project to fruition.

Toward this end they will consult with Braiins co-founder Jan Čapek and former Bitcoin Core developer Matt Corallo, who now works full-time for Square Crypto as a developer on open-source projects.

Fi3 said a Bitcoin Core pull request for implementing Stratum V2 could be ready in 6 months; this would include a BIP that outlines activation. After this point, “a well-tested implementation [of Stratum V2] should be ready” in a year, Fi3 said.

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CoinDesk

Bitcoin Is ‘Less Risky the Higher It Goes,’ Says Investor Bill Miller on CNBC

5 years 9 months ago

Mutual fund titan Bill Miller is talking bitcoin again.

“One of the things that’s interesting about bitcoin is that it gets less risky the higher it goes,” Miller told CNBC Friday. “That’s the opposite of what happens with most stocks.”

Miller continued to describe bitcoin as “a supply-and-demand story” with roughly 900 bitcoins created each day and a swarm of retail and institutional investors scooping up enormous chunks of available supply.

Related: Traders Can Now Bet on ‘Bitcoin $300K’ as Options Keep Pace With Rising Price

Some of those large investments have come from firms like MicroStrategy, which has scooped up over 70,000 BTC with plans to buy more, and London-based asset manager Ruffer Investment, which dumped $740 million into bitcoin toward the end of 2020.

Payment companies like Square and PayPal are also funneling retail capital into bitcoin. In Q3 2020, for example, Square reported a record $1 billion in bitcoin revenue via its Cash App mobile wallet. PayPal, after announcing its plan to support bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in October, promptly removed its waitlist for the service less than a month later, citing overwhelming demand.

See also: Veteran Investor Bill Miller Says Every Major Investment Bank Will Own Bitcoin or Something Like It

“For those people who are waiting for the pullback, they got it in the first quarter. You could have bought bitcoin at $4,000 in the first quarter,” Miller noted, referencing bitcoin’s nearly 50% intraday crash in March 2020.

But amid bitcoin’s more than 300% rally in 2020, extended by an additional 40% gain already in 2021, Miller said the price of these returns is the asset’s volatility.

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Crosses $41.9K as Ether Futures Interest Grows 85% So Far in 2021

“You have to expect that it’s going to be very, very volatile,” Miller told CNBC. “If you can’t take the volatility, you probably shouldn’t own it. But its volatility is the price you pay for its performance.”

Still, Miller said earlier this week he thinks markets are underpricing bitcoin’s value proposition as a potential inflation hedge, calling it cash’s “rat poison,” a term Warren Buffett famously applied to bitcoin with an entirely opposite connotation.

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CoinDesk

Blockchain Bites: Bitcoin’s Rich List, Coinbase’s Latest Acquisition

5 years 9 months ago

Ripple tried to settle with the SEC before the watchdog’s XRP-related lawsuit. The “bitcoin rich list” has more names than ever. Grayscale reports an uptick in interest from pension funds and Coinbase makes an acquisition to beef up its institutional bitcoin offerings. It has been a huge news day, so buckle up.

Top shelf

Frontrunning action
Ripple tried to settle charges of conducting $1.3 billion worth of unregistered securities transactions when selling XRP to exchanges and the public, before the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) sued in December, CEO Brad Garlinghouse said Wednesday. In a Twitter thread, Garlinghouse addressed what he described as five “key questions” about the SEC’s argument, though he warned that he was limited in what he could say because the case is ongoing. Several exchanges have moved to delist or stop XRP trading.

Pensions or bust
Grayscale is reporting increased “participation” in its flagship bitcoin and crypto investment products from institutions, pensions and endowments, not just hedge funds. Newly named CEO Michael Sonnenshein told Bloomberg, “The sizes of allocations they are making are growing rapidly as well,” with some $27.5 billion in total assets under management. (Grayscale, like CoinDesk, is owned by Digital Currency Group.)

Related: Money Reimagined: Bitcoin’s Road to Gold

Rich list grows
The number of addresses holding over 1,000 bitcoin stands at a record high of 2,334, indicating that large bitcoin holders have been accumulating bitcoin during the market run-up. This comes after a brief depression in the total number of bitcoin “whales” in December. “The dip and renewed increase at the end of December shows relatively little interest in profit-taking on the part of these large holders, even though almost all holdings are currently in profit,” according to CoinDesk Research’s quarterly review report.

First acquisition of the year
Coinbase has acquired trade execution startup Routefire to bolster the exchange’s suite of institutional products ahead of a planned IPO. The terms of the deal were not disclosed, though Routefire was a small, seven-employee firm based in San Francisco. Coinbase has experienced intermittent outages during the run-up in bitcoin’s price above $40,000.

Going public?
Cryptocurrency exchange Bakkt, which is majority-owned by Intercontinental Exchange, is in advanced talks to go public via a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), Bloomberg reported, citing people with knowledge of the matter. The deal, if it’s concluded, would value the combined company at more than $2 billion, the report said. A deal could be announced as soon as next week.

Quick bites
  • 1,981 BTC: Finland will auction bitcoin from 2016 enforcement actions. (CoinDesk)
  • > 65,000: FinCEN logged well over 65,000 submissions related to its proposed “unhosted” wallet rule during its abnormally short, and potentially illegal, public comment period. (CoinDesk)
  • AMENDED COMPLAINT: A senior district judge in Utah has acknowledged he made a “mistake” when granting Overstock’s motion to dismiss a lawsuit over its digital dividend issued in 2019. (CoinDesk)
  • WHITE-KNUCKLE RALLY: Did bitcoin just experience its best week since 2017? (Bloomberg)
  • DOWN TURN: Economy sees job loss in December for the first time in eight months as surging coronavirus takes toll. (CNBC)
  • BTC’S BIGGEST FANS are hedge fund baby boomers (Bloomberg Opinion)
  • MICRO STRATEGY? Read the company’s 2020 Shareholder letter. (Blog)
Market intel

What Joe Biden’s $3 trillion stimulus package means for bitcoin
President-elect Joe Biden is reportedly considering a two-pronged stimulus effort in the form of $2,000 checks for Americans and a tax and infrastructure spending package worth $3 trillion, the first sign of what many market analysts predict will be a tide of fiscal stimulus under a new U.S. presidential administration. With increased spending, comes increased inflation projections – which many crypto insiders see as a boon for bitcoin’s programmatic, deflationary attributes.

Related: First Mover: It Might Be Getting ‘Silly’ as Bitcoin Passes $39K, $40K, $41K

Q4
If the 2020 Q1 was the quarter of market turmoil, Q2 the bitcoin halving and Q3 the explosion of stablecoins and decentralized finance applications, Q4 was the quarter of institutional FOMO for bitcoin and of Ethereum launching the first phase of its ambitious migration to a proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchain. The latest CoinDesk Quarterly Review looks at the performance of bitcoin and ether compared to macro assets and other crypto assets, and at their progress, milestones and value drivers over the past three months. Download the free report.

At stake

Yesterday, Facebook made the unprecedented decision to ban a sitting president, Donald Trump, from its services for his role in inciting the revolt that damaged the U.S. Capitol. Facebook and other social media firms have had four years to discuss how to balance publishing information in the public interest (because President Trump said it) when much of it is not factual.

Streaming service Twitch, e-commerce platform Shopify and others also banned the president, at least until he leaves office on Jan. 20. The president’s Twitter feed, meanwhile, was suspended for 12 hours, Jan. 6-7.

Many opponents have long called for Trump to be booted from his online bully pulpits, where he often commands a large audience (88.7 million people follow @realDonaldTrump, his personal Twitter account). Explaining the decision, Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg said the “current context is now fundamentally different, involving use of our platform to incite violent insurrection against a democratically elected government.”

Some in the crypto world see it differently.

“I think what is happening right now is absolutely ridiculous. One big circus show setting us up for the last act – total control of our thoughts and actions. Twitter and Facebook are mass scams. No matter what your political view, the amount of heavy-handed censorship is, let’s say, suspicious,” Josh Petty, founder and CEO of the alternative social media site Twetch, told Blockchain Bites over email.

It’s old hat to call crypto a libertarian insurrectionary movement, though there are some key areas where the two ideologies align – primarily in championing individualism and all the “classically liberal” rights associated with that. This means freedom of ownership, freedom of speech and freedom to “exit” from the crowd.

Instead of erecting laws to protect these freedoms, blockchains create cryptographic proofs to ensure certain conditions are always met. These are monetary assurances – like Bitcoin’s hard-capped supply, Ethereum’s infinite programmability or Solana’s blitzkrieg settlement speed – as well as cultural, like the idea that finance and speech should be uncensorable.

“People really value censorship resistance, both for themselves and others, to the degree where it can seem irrational to bystanders,” pseudonymous crypto researcher Hasu wrote in November, in a blog post titled, “Exploring Bitcoin’s core values and why we defend them.”

Blockchains, by connecting people directly, can assure certain freedoms that are often occluded when intermediaries get involved. If you believe that everyone has the right to a platform online, then you’d probably disagree with Facebook’s decision to ban Trump – regardless of the circumstances.

“Social media companies have no direct role in a democracy,” Petty said. “Social media companies, despite using the word ‘social’ to describe them, are private enterprises serving customers and their self-interests.”

Indeed, these bans could be seen as fatuous branding exercises. Trump has less than two weeks in office before a new president is sworn in, and many prominent figures in Congress and elsewhere are calling for his immediate removal.

While the hardline, anti-censorship approach has neat answers for complicated questions, in practice it often runs into just as many sticky situations.

Today, following news reports and a Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) investigation that found “white supremacists and neo-fascists” are using the streaming platform DLive, owned by Justin Sun’s Tron, the blockchain-based platform will take steps to suspend and ban streamers found in violation of its community rules.

“The DLive team actively are taking actions regarding streamers who are found to be part of or participants in the incident at the Capitol Building in Washington, D.C., on [Jan. 6] including but not limited to account suspension, removal of past broadcasts, freezing their earnings and abilities to cash out. The donation and paid subscriptions will be refunded to the accounts from which they originated,” a DLive press release reads.

Then again, DLive’s primary selling point was not censorship resistance but its rewards program.

Who won #CryptoTwitter? Related Stories
CoinDesk

Cryptocurrency Miner Hive Blockchain Passes $1B Market Value

5 years 9 months ago

Publicly traded cryptocurrency mining company Hive Blockchain (HIVE) has passed $1 billion in market value as its shares continue to surge amid bitcoin’s parabolic rally.

  • The Vancouver-based company has a current market value of $1.17 billion at last check with 345.7 million shares outstanding.
  • Hive first crossed the 10-digit mark in early November 2017 shortly before the cryptocurrency market peaked a month later. For most of the past three years, Hive’s market value has stayed below $200 million.
  • Hive shares rallied over 2,500% in 2020 and have added an additional nearly 40% gain so far in January, currently trading around $3.32. In 2017, shares peaked just above $6.75.
  • To date in 2021, bitcoin has gained over 40% after reaching nearly $42,000 Friday morning.
  • Coinciding with its soaring market value, Hive has focused expanded its mining operations with the purchase of over 3,000 new mining machines in 2020, with nearly half of that number purchased and deployed in November 2020 alone.
  • Hive competitors Riot Blockchain (RIOT) and Marathon Patent Group (MARA) both also recently hit the $1 billion market value in late December and early January respectively, per CoinDesk’s prior reporting.
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CoinDesk

Bitcoin’s Market Value Now Exceeds That of Facebook

5 years 9 months ago

The explosive surge in the rise of the price of bitcoin has propelled the market value of the leading cryptocurrency past that of social media giant Facebook.

  • With a market value at this writing of $761.5 billion, bitcoin is now more valuable than all but six publicly traded companies, sitting between Tesla at $805.3 billion and Facebook at $752.4 billion.
  • After rising more than 300% in 2020, the price of bitcoin is still climbing at an astonishing rate, having gained more than 40% in the last eight days. Bitcoin is currently at $40,758.95, up about 4% in the last 24 hours. It closed 2020 at $29,111.63.
  • During the past several days, bitcoin has also risen up the ranks of the world’s most valuable currencies, overtaking the Russian ruble and the Thai baht, to sit just above the baht and below the Swiss franc.
  • For one pair of identical twins at least, bitcoin’s overtaking Facebook undoubtedly has a more personal significance: Cryptocurrency exchange Gemini co-founder and bitcoin billionaire Cameron Winklevoss, who unsuccessfully sued Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg for allegedly having stolen the idea for the social networking site from him and his brother, surely felt good being able to tweet the following:
See also: Why Is Bitcoin Going Up, and Will It Crash Soon? What’s Next as Price Doubles to $40K Related Stories
CoinDesk

Ethereum 2.0 Explained in 4 Easy Metrics

5 years 9 months ago

With the launch of every new blockchain comes a new block explorer website to understand. 

Block explorer sites offer real-time updates on network activity. Normally, they feature information on blocks, transactions and fees. On Ethereum 2.0, the block explorers depict a very different array of metrics involving epochs, slots and attestations. 

But even for those familiar with the usual Ethereum explorers such as Etherscan, Etherchain and Blockchair, the new sites for tracking Eth 2.0 activity may be difficult to decipher. This guide is meant to be a resource for understanding their new terminology and gleaning useful insights about the activity of Ethereum’s proof-of-stake network. 

Related: Valid Points: New Year, New Price Gains For ETH

For anyone unfamiliar with blockchain explorers in general, this guide will go over the basic details of reading an Ethereum 2.0 blockchain explorer. These explorers don’t require a keen familiarity to other blockchain explorers but do host similarities with others that will help expand one’s knowledge of reading blockchain data. 

See also: Ethereum 2.0 Beacon Chain Goes Live

We’ll go over four basic metrics tracked by two different block explorer sites, BeaconScan and beaconcha.in. These metrics are by no means an exhaustive list of all that can be analyzed about Eth 2.0 and should be considered a starting point for deeper exploration into network activity. 

Epochs progressed

Unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, Ethereum 2.0 progresses in epochs, not blocks. An epoch is a bundle of up to 32 blocks that actors on the network (called validators) propose and attest to over a period lasting roughly 6.4 minutes. An epoch, along with all the blocks of which it is composed, is only considered finalized after the progression of two more epochs after it. 

See also: A Day in the Life of an Ethereum 2.0 Validator

Related: What Is Proof-of-Stake?

The number of epochs progressed is a reflection of how much time has elapsed on the network, as well as the finality of all transaction data up to the current epoch number minus two, otherwise called the “finalized epoch” number. (See image above.)

This metric can be a useful indicator of any network abnormalities. Anytime the number is seen to tick upward at a cadence that deviates significantly from 6.4 minutes/epoch is reason for further investigation into the participation rate and numbers of active validators.

Number of active validators

The number of active validators represents the number of computers, also called nodes, that have a 32 ETH stake on Eth 2.0 and that have passed the activation queue for entry into the network. As of Jan. 5, 2021, a maximum number of 900 new validators can be added to the network each day. 

A total of 262,144 validators is needed at minimum for Eth 2.0 to advance to its next phase of development in which 64 mini-blockchains, called “shards,” will be spawned. At the current rate of 900 new validators being added to the network each day, phase 1 will occur sometime in late August or early September of this year. 

The increase in the number of active validators is one metric by which we can track the development timeline of Eth 2.0. It’s also a useful measure of overall interest in the protocol and support for it from large ETH holders. 

Network participation rate

The network participation rate is a useful indicator of Eth 2.0 network health. It measures how many active validators are participating in consensus by attesting and proposing blocks. Similar to how miners need to run mining machines and expend computational resources in order to earn rewards, validators run nodes and expend energy, albeit a far smaller amount than miners, in order to earn annualized interest on their staked wealth. 

A participation rate of 99% suggests the vast majority of validators on Eth 2.0 are doing their job and securing the network. Significant declines in this number would suggest active validators are shutting their nodes down and disconnecting from Eth 2.0.

Read more: Ethereum 2.0 Deposit Contract Secures Enough Funds to Launch

This could be as a result of a major power outage in a certain part of the world or of validators lacking sufficient financial incentive to keep their machines running. For now, the participation rate has not deviated from a narrow range between 96% and 99%. However, its change over time will give clues as to how engaged Eth 2.0 validators are with earning rewards on the network. 

Average validator income

Last but not least, one of the most intuitive and interesting metrics to track on Ethereum 2.0 is how much validators are earning on average, daily. Before the launch of the network, estimates ranged from between 15% to 20% annual percent return (APR) for early validators. As of Jan. 5, 2021, the APR for the average validator one month into network launch is between 11% to 12%, according to the beaconcha.in calculator.

On block explorer BeaconScan, validator rewards are broken down by day. For the past two weeks, validators have been earning roughly 0.008 ETH/day, which is valued at around $8.86/day at time of writing. Initially, the daily average had reached as high as 0.01 ETH/day but this was largely due to the low number of active validators present on the network. The reward system of Eth 2.0 is dynamically structured so that an increasing number of Eth 2.0 validators will trigger lower validator returns and vice versa. 

Taking a look at the lowest daily average recorded thus far, which is 0.005 ETH/day on Dec. 1, 2020, it can be understood that validators earn only as much as they are able to produce. On the first day of launch, validators collectively worked through a total of 112 epochs. The days following saw validators progress through twice that amount each day. 

Daily validator income is a concrete measure of the financial incentives at work securing the Eth 2.0 network. Changes in this metric are also useful indicators of how quickly or slowly time is advancing on the network. 

Going beyond block explorers

Block explorers provide a wealth of information about the hour-by-hour and minute-by-minute activity of the Ethereum 2.0 network. They’re also free to use and available to the public. 

Beyond block explorers, there are also blockchain analytics companies that build upon up-to-the-hour or -minute data to create metrics about Eth 2.0 spanning longer time horizons. 

For deeper exploration into Eth 2.0 metrics, explore these sites: CryptoQuant, Dune Analytics and Glassnode. 

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CoinDesk

Kyrgyzstan Has Proposed Its First Regulatory Framework for Crypto

5 years 9 months ago

The National Bank of Kyrgyzstan has published draft legislation that would legally define cryptocurrency and how it may be used in the Central Asian nation.

With the proposed legislation, the central bank is following the call of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) to regulate cryptocurrencies and prevent related money laundering and terrorism financing risks, according to an explanatory note.

With Kyrgyz citizens becoming increasingly interested in cryptocurrencies, and the technology gaining traction in electronic commerce worldwide, it’s important to mitigate the risks associated with crypto, the National Bank wrote.

Related: Crypto Derivatives Exchange BitMEX Says All Users Are Now Verified

The regulator announced the proposed legislation on Dec. 31, 2020, publishing a package of drafts detailing why the new bill is needed and how it fits into Kyrgyzstan’s existing regulation.

In one draft, cryptocurrency is defined as a digital good that represents value, is stored and used electronically and is neither a legal mean of payment nor a document representing any property rights. Virtual assets, however, are a different kind of asset and can represent property rights, another draft says, without going into detail.

Under the proposal, the property rights of cryptocurrency owners would be protected by the courts. Any companies and individual entrepreneurs, if they are not registered crypto operators or miners, should not accept crypto as payment for goods or services, as well as in a form of investment or savings deposit. Entities would not be able to offer crypto brokerage or issue securities based on cryptocurrencies.

Licensing and tax

Crypto exchanges, in turn, must register with and be licensed by the National Bank, and must keep a record of transactions they have facilitated – data that must be provided to the National Bank upon request. In the case of an “emergency,” the regulator can request that exchanges take specific measures for “risk diminishing.”

Related: FiCAS’ Actively Managed Crypto ETP Gets Green Light for European Expansion

The taxation of crypto-related businesses should be carried out the same way as the foreign exchange brokerages, the National Bank wrote.

The regulator also says participants of the cryptocurrency market must make transactions with crypto “in good faith and on their own risk,” learn how the cryptocurrencies of their choice function and abide by Kyrgyzstan’s laws.

See also: UNICEF Explores Blockchain to Improve Internet for ‘Every School’ in Kyrgyzstan

The regulator further underscores that it has no responsibility for the situation when cryptocurrencies lose their value and won’t compensate such losses to crypto investors.

The draft bills have yet to be introduced to the Kyrgyzstan’s parliament for discussion.

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CoinDesk

First Mover: It Might Be Getting ‘Silly’ as Bitcoin Passes $39K, $40K, $41K

5 years 9 months ago

Bitcoin’s momentum showed few signs of slowing on Friday as prices pushed to a new all-time high after blowing through $40,000 for the first time. 

In traditional markets, Asian and European shares rose and U.S. stock futures pointed to a higher open as investors bet a dismal jobs report expected early Friday from the Labor Department on the December employment situation would strengthen the case for additional economic stimulus. Gold weakened 1.1% to $1,893 an ounce. 

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes jumped Thursday to 1.07%, the highest since March, as traders focused on the potential for faster inflation under a U.S. government controlled by President-elect Joe Biden’s Democratic party, according to the Wall Street Journal.    

Related: Traders Can Now Bet on ‘Bitcoin $300K’ as Options Keep Pace With Rising Price

Read More: Over $41,000: Bitcoin Continues to Forge New Highs

Market moves

Bitcoin has climbed more than 40% in the first eight days of 2021 – after a quadrupling in 2020 and doubling in 2019 – and some analysts are turning wary.  

“We are very much in speculative bubble territory now, and while I don’t think it’s done it’s becoming increasingly likely that it’s going to get messy,” Craig Erlam, senior market analyst for the London-based foreign-exchange broker Oanda, wrote in an email. “I previously said I wouldn’t be surprised to see $50,000 before the end of the month and I’m now thinking that was too conservative. The last $10,000 move only took four days. It’s getting silly now.”

First Mover reached out to investors, analysts, executives and one finance professor for their views on whether a correction might be in the future. TL;DR: Yes. Here’s what they said:

  • Joe DiPasquale, CEO, BitBull Capital, a cryptocurrency-focused hedge fund. He says bitcoin “has been and remains extremely volatile.” As recently as Monday, he noted, after prices had climbed to a new all-time high, they tumbled almost $7,000. “What causes this is that people can use lots of leverage, so they can easily get washed out.” He sees a correction as possible, though there appear to be plenty of interested buyers around $28,000, so that might level might function like a price support barring any major news that might send prices crashing. What might that be? A forceful move by regulators to impose stiff anti-money-laundering rules on merchants, raising the threat of prosecution or forfeiture if bitcoin can be traced back to illicit proceeds. That might scare off new buyers. 
  • Gavin Smith, CEO of the digital-asset firm Panxora. According to Smith, there hasn’t been a single year since 2013 when prices have not fallen at least 25% from a high point reached earlier in that year. “Before that it would move so much up and down that you can’t really draw any analysis.” He said he wouldn’t be surprised to see bitcoin prices rise to $70,000 or $80,000, nor if a setback of 40% were to materialize. Medium term, he’s bullish: “Over a three-year period, this is a great asset.” Over the long term, there’s a risk that technological developments could overtake bitcoin. “Even with quantum computing, there’s nothing on the horizon that indicates that could happen,” he says, “but it’s always dangerous to completely ignore the risk.” 
  • Mike Venuto, co-portfolio manager of the Amplify Transformational Data Sharing exchange-traded fund, which invests in blockchain-related stocks. Will bitcoin crash? “People are going to ask this because the last time we had a rally like this, it did crash.” He sees bitcoin prices rallying two to three times from their current level before falling back to about where they are now. That would imply a two-thirds retracement from that hypothetically new all-time high. “What’ll cause a crash more likely is overexuberance on the upside. I don’t think we’re there yet.” He says he estimates bitcoin’s fundamental value, based on the current size of the network, to be “somewhere between $40,000 and $50,000,” though that could increase over time. 
  • Denis Vinokourov, head of research for the cryptocurrency prime broker Bequant. “There will be swings and, yes, the swings will be wild,” he says. “You have a lot of retail flow that tends to panic.” He sees prices going up, in the long term, at least partly based on the bullish expectations of big Wall Street firms. “Can it go to $4,000? Yes.” One potential trigger for a rapid sell-off could be any actions brought by authorities against the company behind tether (USDT), a privately issued, dollar-linked digital token known as a “stablecoin” that has become a key source of liquidity in digital-asset markets. New York State prosecutors are currently battling Tether in court due to its finances.
  • James Angel, Georgetown University finance professor. “The history of financial markets is the history of bubbles, where investors get carried away with enthusiasm and they bid the prices of certain assets to levels far above their fundamental values,” Angel says. He notes that authorities could move to crimp the bitcoin rally if they start to get worried that it’s becoming a threat. “Almost everybody who tries to start their own money does so in competition with a national currency, and it usually gets shoved aside by regulators.” 
  • Sui Chung, CEO of CF Benchmarks, a cryptocurrency provider. “Bitcoin passing the $40,000 milestone shows the market still sees upside in the cryptocurrency market. While we’re currently seeing an unequivocal expression in the market’s bullish sentiment, a correction could well be on the horizon. But this is a natural part of market mechanics. While it may dampen near-term enthusiasm, it will ensure future price rises remain grounded.”
  • Guy Hirsch, managing director for the U.S. at the trading platform eToro. “There is likely to be profit-taking along the way, causing temporary dips (which are. of course. magnified with bitcoin relative to traditional assets) but, given the extraordinary amounts of adoption by institutions, it would be a surprise if bitcoin dropped below $20,000 any time soon – though I would caveat this to say that we are monitoring proposed regulatory measures and the posture of the new administration towards crypto to assess if they would have an adverse impact on institutional adoption of crypto assets.”

Related: Market Wrap: Bitcoin Crosses $41.9K as Ether Futures Interest Grows 85% So Far in 2021

– Bradley Keoun and Muyao Shen

Read More: Why Is Bitcoin Going Up, and Will It Crash Soon? What’s Next as Price Doubles to $40K

Bitcoin watch

U.S. President-elect Joe Biden’s Democratic party narrowly triumphed in the state of Georgia’s special Senate elections earlier this week, wresting control of the upper legislative chamber from outgoing President Donald Trump’s Republicans. With the lower chamber also under Democratic control, Biden and party leaders could have more room to implement policies.

Analysts at UBS Bank say the unified government houses could smooth the path to more fiscal stimulus. According to an Axios report, Biden is considering a two-pronged stimulus effort in the form of $2,000 checks for Americans and a tax and infrastructure spending package worth $3 trillion. The new fiscal stimulus is expected to boost inflation, weaken the U.S. dollar and bring more buyers for scare assets such as bitcoin and gold.

Alex Melikhov, CEO and founder of Equilibrium and the EOSDT stablecoin, told CoinDesk that Biden’s stimulus would inject more liquidity into markets and likely fuel further bitcoin price rises.

The leading cryptocurrency is already in a strong bull market, courtesy of the inflation-boosting measures adopted by the Federal Reserve and the U.S. government over the past 10 months to counter the coronavirus-induced slowdown. These measures have pushed institutions to seek investments that offer a hedge against inflation.

Bitcoin prices have risen from $10,000 to record highs above $41,000 in the past four months, with public-listed companies such as MicroStrategy buying bitcoin to preserve the value of their treasury reserves. That trend could gather pace, as predicted by JPMorgan, with Biden’s additional fiscal stimulus and the Federal Reserve’s continued easing.

“The Biden stimulus may add an extra jolt to bitcoin’s price, but nothing more than pushing along a barreling freight train,” Jehan Chu, managing partner at Hong Kong-based crypto investment firm Kenetic Capital, told CoinDesk.

– Omkar Godbole

Read More: Why Joe Biden’s $3T Stimulus Package Could Add Fuel to Bitcoin’s Rally

What’s hot

65K comments and counting: Crypto industry fights ‘arbitrary’ Treasury rule (CoinDesk)

Bitcoin “rich list” rebounds to all-time high (CoinDesk) 

XRP climbs back up crypto rankings with near 50% rise (CoinDesk) 

Grayscale, provider of bitcoin trust, promotes Sonnenshein to CEO, plans to double staff in 2021, sees interest from pension funds and endowments (CoinDesk, Bloomberg) 

BitMEX exchange says all users are now verified, months after U.S. prosecutors, regulators bring charges against principals over unregistered trading (CoinDesk) 

Analogs The latest on the economy and traditional finance

December jobs report from U.S. Labor Department is projected to show the unemployment rate increased for the first time in eight months; economists see nonfarm payrolls growing by 50,000; report from Labor Department is due at 8:30 NY time (13:30 UTC) (Bloomberg). 

Blackstone’s Byron Wien predicts yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes will climb to 2%, from just over 1% now, as Federal Reserve maintains accommodative monetary policies (Bloomberg)  

U.S. Treasury Department launches $25B emergency rental-assistance program (Treasury Department)

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