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Tether’s Bank Says It Invests Customer Funds in Bitcoin

5 years 9 months ago

Deltec, Tether’s Bahamas-based bank, announced Thursday it was investing customer funds in bitcoin.

The announcement, made by Deltec Bank & Trust Chief Investment Officer Hugo Rogers during a year-in-review video, raises new questions about whether the dollar-pegged USDT stablecoin, which is in theory backed by cash and “cash equivalents,” as well as “other assets and receivables made by loans,” is actually backed in any way by bitcoin.

“We bought bitcoin for our clients at about $9,300 so that worked very well through 2020 and we expect it to continue working well in 2021 as the printing presses continue to run hot,” Rogers said in the video.

Related: Bitcoin Core’s Latest Release Is Out: Here’s What’s in It

Twitter user lenne0816 appears to have been the first to surface the video, which was posted online on Jan. 13.

Through a spokesperson, Tether general counsel Stuart Hoegner confirmed that Deltec is still the stablecoin issuer’s bank.

Deltec made headlines in 2018 after Tether published a letter from the bank announcing that it held a little over $1.8 billion, which roughly lined up with the amount of USDT in circulation at the time.

A Deltec executive later confirmed that the letter, which was unsigned, was authentic.

Related: Some Asian Traders Are Using Polkadot to Predict Bitcoin’s Future

The next year, the New York Attorney General’s office revealed that Bitfinex, Tether’s sister company through shared ownership and executives, had lost close to $1 billion after its payment processors’ bank accounts were frozen and funds seized. Bitfinex had been covering up the losses by borrowing from Tether’s reserves, which are meant to back the stablecoins it has in circulation.

The companies are currently under an injunction to cease any further loan activities between themselves, though this injunction is set to expire on Jan. 15.

Tether issuance has been on a tear since the injunction was first handed down, and some $25 billion in USDT are currently in circulation. Bitcoin’s price, which some academics and investors allege is buoyed by USDT issuance, has broken new highs, rising past $40,000 per coin as well in recent months.

UPDATE (Jan. 14, 2021, 23:50 UTC): Adds context and links.

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Galaxy Digital Launches Proprietary Mining, Miner Financial Services

5 years 9 months ago

Galaxy Digital (GLXY) has announced the launch of its miner financial services and proprietary mining operations.

  • Per a release, the publicly traded digital asset management firm is integrating its existing business lines to miner-focused financial services – internally referred to as “MiFi” – including lending, investment, and risk management offerings.
  • Galaxy Digital Mining, the firm’s mining branch, under development since before October, will also oversee a proprietary mining operation.
  • Fidelity’s former director of mining, Amanda Fabiano, is leading the mining operations.
  • In a statement, Fabiano said Galaxy’s proprietary mining operation helps the company “deeply understand and solve for the financial needs of miners.”
  • Galaxy shares have nearly doubled in the past three months, trading at $8.48 in post market hours.

Update (Jan. 14, 23:08 UTC): Context added throughout.

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Bitcoin Miners Aren’t Responsible for Recent Price Dips, Data Shows

5 years 9 months ago

“Miners are selling” is a popular trope used to explain bitcoin’s occasional downward price action. But on-chain data doesn’t support this narrative, according to analysts and mining pools themselves.

After bitcoin’s correction earlier this week to the tune of nearly 30%, miners were a popular scapegoat. But miners have been extremely consistent in their selling habits for months, according to network data collected by Glassnode and analyzed by CoinDesk.

For the past six months, weekly bitcoin flows from mining wallets to exchanges have been steady despite the cryptocurrency’s more than 330% gains over the same period. The only anomalous activity seen among mining wallets happened well before bitcoin’s correction. 

Related: Galaxy Digital Launches Proprietary Mining, Miner Financial Services

Since July 2020, miners have sent an average of 2,100 coins per week to exchanges, per CoinDesk Research. Miners are currently on track to finish another extremely average week with only 1,200 coins transferred so far from their wallets for cryptocurrency exchanges.

Confirming this observation, Coin Metrics senior analyst Karim Helmy told CoinDesk there isn’t any on-chain data supporting increased miner selling.

“BTC-denominated gross inflows and outflows out of mining wallets have both remained stable, as have net flows,” Helmy said in a direct message.

The timing is off

An unusually large reduction in mining wallet supply, however, did occur over a recent four-day period from Dec. 26 to 30. During this period, the aggregate balance of mining wallets dropped by 21,000 BTC, a 1% decrease. 

Related: Some Asian Traders Are Using Polkadot to Predict Bitcoin’s Future

But instead of possibly causing a correction, these transfers happened while bitcoin was climbing from $26,000 to $29,000. Over the next nine days, moreover, bitcoin’s price gained another 43% before temporarily topping out just below $42,000 and falling nearly 30% into Monday morning.

These coins don’t appear to have ever been sent to exchanges, per Glassnode data. Over the four-day period, exchange addresses received a total of less than 2,400 coins from mining wallets, an amount far less than the 21,000 withdrawn from mining wallets.

Even if every coin sent by miners exchanges were instantly sold at market, however, their order would represent a tiny percentage of daily trading volume. 

Miners sent 1,890 BTC to exchanges on Dec. 26, 2020, worth roughly $48 million at the time and the largest single-day transfer in the past year. That same day, Binance – currently the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume – reported over 148,000 BTC in volume on its BTC/USDT pair, the exchange’s largest bitcoin market. 

Assuming miners sold all their coins on one market at one exchange, they would represent 1.3% of its daily volume. 

Pools are stacking, not selling.

Leading mining pools are in fact increasing their bitcoin holdings, not liquidating them, with the balances belonging to miners at F2Pool and Lubian – the two largest mining pools by their individual holdings – steadily increasing for the past eight months, per Glassnode. 

“I’m not sure what addresses they’re watching,” said Poolin CEO Kevin Pan, calling anything showing a significant increase in miner selling “maybe fake data.” 

Read more: Bitcoin Plummets as Miners Sell Inventory, Spot Markets Panic

Even though Slush Pool doesn’t closely track what their miners do with their bitcoin payouts, engineer and technical writer Daniel Frumkin told CoinDesk, “We know that many of our miners are long BTC and only sell the portion of their revenue that’s needed to cover costs and manage risk.”

Thus, when the price drastically increases, Frumkin explains, miners are able to and in fact do sell fewer bitcoins, not more since the price appreciation boosts their profit margins per coin mined. 

So, who is selling?

More than likely, recent price dips are primarily caused by U.S. investors realizing some profits.

Read more: Guggenheim CIO Says Bitcoin ‘Should Be Worth’ $400,000

For example, Guggenheim CIO Scott Minerd took to Twitter Sunday saying it’s “time to take some money off the table,” referring to bitcoin, after telling CNBC a month ago that bitcoin “should be worth” $400,000. Significant selling activity on Coinbase over the weekend and Monday also signaled profit taking from U.S. investors. 

Regardless of what catalyzed it though, bitcoin’s latest correction wasn’t from miners selling their bitcoins. In fact, they’re accumulating more. 

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Bitcoin Core’s Latest Release Is Out: Here’s What’s in It

5 years 9 months ago

Originally slated for Dec. 1, 2020, Bitcoin Core version 0.21.0 is now available for download, and includes a handful of notable changes to Bitcoin’s primary software implementation. Most notably, Bitcoin now supports Tor’s latest address format, Taproot’s code is now live for testing and Bitcoin Core finally gets manual fee setting.

With bitcoin’s price pumping, these new features don’t grab headlines every day, but the improvements they make to the Bitcoin network’s privacy, tooling and complex transaction logic are building a stronger foundation as the cryptocurrency sees a new wave of investor interest.

Taproot is one step closer

The consensus rules for the highly anticipated Taproot upgrade, which will allow for more complex smart contracts using Schnorr signatures, have been slightly tweaked since they were merged into Bitcoin Core in October. Taproot is also now fully live on Bitcoin’s signet, a sandbox network for developers to test new software and upgrades before pushing them to Bitcoin’s mainnet.

Related: Tether’s Bank Says It Invests Customer Funds in Bitcoin

With the code now ready for testing, developers can now test the feature before activation begins later this year.

Fees get a makeover

Another change some 3.5 years in the making, Bitcoin Core now allows its users to set manual fees which are denominated in satoshis (Bitcoin’s smallest unit) instead of in bitcoin. Before, Bitcoin Core relied on a fee estimator for transactions, and these fees were set by specifying a bitcoin amount (say, 0.00001 BTC) instead of satoshis (1000 sats).

Privacy

Additionally, the new version supports privacy browser Tor’s V3 address. Before this update, Tor V3 addresses could not fit into the message data that Bitcoin nodes share to connect with each other. Core now has a new method to transport these addresses so that nodes can establish peer-to-peer connections through them, a necessary addition as Tor V2 address will no longer be functional by next year.

The release also introduces a new block-filtering system for “light clients” (wallets that do not keep a full history of Bitcoin’s transaction ledger but queries data as needed from a full node). Instead of using so-called “bloom filters” to query whatever blocks these wallets need to make transactions, now, a process called “compact client-side block filtering” makes this possible.

Related: Some Asian Traders Are Using Polkadot to Predict Bitcoin’s Future

This new method is more privacy-preserving for light clients, because the nodes create the block filters ahead of time for the wallets, and the wallet will request block data on a case-by-case basis to retrieve the specific transaction data they need. The old process had wallets requesting specific block data from their peer nodes.

Bitcoin gets a new sandbox

Bitcoin is also getting a new testing network. Signet, as it’s called, is now operational and takes its place beside Bitcoin’s other test-only blockchains, regtest and testnet. 

The new signet is centrally controlled and so is more reliable than Bitcoin’s other testing grounds; there is currently one public signet available, though developers can spin up their own, as well.

Other notable changes to Bitcoin Core

Bitcoin Core now supports descriptor wallets, as well. These wallets use scripts instead of keys to execute functions, so this – among other things – will make it easier for Bitcoin Core wallets to partake in things like multi-signature transactions; it will also pave the way for hardware wallet integration.

In addition to many other minor tweaks, Bitcoin Core now supports the SQLite database, as well as a feature that reduces the amount of rebroadcasting attempts a node makes when it fails to broadcast a transaction to its peers. It also comes with a new dashboard for easily viewing network information and peer node data.

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Some Asian Traders Are Using Polkadot to Predict Bitcoin’s Future

5 years 9 months ago

As prices for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies continue to surge this year, many traders are looking for any indicator for when – or if – the bull market will come to an end. Some are convinced they have the answer: They are examining polkadot (DOT), the native token of the Polkadot blockchain, as a potential canary in the coal mine for cryptocurrency.

As of press time, polkadot’s price was at $12.49, up 12.40% in the past 24 hours, according to Messari. It reached its all-time high of $13.22 during early trading hours in the U.S., just six days after bitcoin’s price reached a new all-time high.

The market capitalization of Polkadot has surpassed XRP and litecoin and is now the fourth-biggest cryptocurrency by market cap, according to Messari’s asset tracker.

Following in the 2017 footsteps of EOS

Related: Lido Protocol Does Eth 2.0 Staking but With a DeFi Twist

Those using polkadot to prognosticate bitcoin’s price point to parallels with another altcoin, EOS.

Sources who spoke to CoinDesk as well as social media users, especially on Chinese-language platforms, see parallels between the 2017 bull market prices of bitcoin and EOS, the native cryptocurrency for the EOS.IO blockchain platform. They said Polkadot, a project started by Ethereum co-founder Gavin Wood and considered to be one of the so-called “Ethereum killers,” shares similar features and goals of the EOS.IO project, which was also born with the ambition of replacing Ethereum.

After bitcoin’s price reached its peak in 2017’s bull run, many investors and traders took their profits and moved them into tokens like EOS, a period of time now called “alt season.” Prices for EOS reached an all-time high at the end of April 2018, after which “crypto winter” was said to have started.

Claims that EOS and bitcoin prices were related in 2017 and 2018 are contentious. 

Related: Tether’s Bank Says It Invests Customer Funds in Bitcoin

“Correlation, not causation,” said Terry Wilkinson, chief executive officer at the Tokyo-headquartered investment firm Anchor Value. EOS “was the latest greatest pie-in-the-sky protocol at that time and as such garnered a lot of hype during that cycle. The bull run did not end because EOS stopped pumping. It was kind of the poster child for that run.”

Block.one created EOS.IO in September 2017. The blockchain provides a platform for developers to create decentralized apps (dapps) with the promise of improved scalability compared with Ethereum. The project was also known for its initial coin offering (ICO), which ran from summer 2017 to June 2018, arguably the longest-running ICO in history. 

With a large amount of its tokens being turned over to hedge funds to manage and make the majority of the investments in the building the EOS.IO ecosystem, traders and investors took EOS’s price as an indicator of capital inflows to crypto at the time. When EOS’s price stopped pumping, many took it as a sign to exit the market.

Read More: EOS Revisited: Investors Take Another Look at the Longest-Running ICO

EOS.IO “failed to catch up to Ethereum’s position and hype,” Jason Kim, chief investment officer at Anchor Value, added. “Speed alone did not persuade enough people to buy into EOS’ rosy projections.”

Polkadot’s bull case in 2020’s bitcoin rally

Similar to EOS.IO, Polkadot is touted as a promising blockchain that may replace Ethereum’s dominance. It particularly caught the attention of many savvy digital asset investors when decentralized finance (DeFi) exploded in the past summer.

Most DeFi projects are built on the Ethereum blockchain, the second-largest blockchain, which is thought of as a “world computer” due to its versatility and programmability. Yet, some projects have chosen Ethereum alternatives for better scalability and end-user experience, with Polkadot being one of the more popular ones.

As a result, just as many investors back in 2017 were making bets on EOS.IO for its promise to grab market share from Ethereum at the time, investors now have shown a “strong” appetite for Polkadot’s DOT, as CoinDesk reported two months ago.

Read More: As DeFi Grows, Investors Look to Polkadot to Be the Next Ethereum

With that said, many have expressed their doubts about DOT’s possible correlation with bitcoin’s latest bull run. The main drivers of this round are significantly different from 2017, which were then stirred up by retail investors for the ICO boom.

These days, the market has mostly agreed that large institutional investors and the explosive DeFi sub sector took off in the past summer are the primary power behind the latest bull market.

Read More: DeFi Is Hot but Retail Interest Nowhere Close to ICO Frenzy

The logic behind the two bull runs are completely different, according to Simons Chen, executive director of investment and trading at Hong Kong-based crypto lender Babel Finance. Investors who bought bitcoin in this round have not been taking profits from many altcoins such as polkadot.

“[DOT] certainly fills the same slot as EOS did last bull run,” Wilkinson said. “There are parallels to draw since [Polkadot] probably has the highest expectations as the new chain on the block, but my opinion is that this bull run is different than the last mainly because of the involvement of institutional money that was largely vacant during the 2017 run.”

And unlike the ICO boom, many traders and analysts say, the fast-growing realm of DeFi – semi-autonomous exchanges and lenders – has shown much more potential with an ambitious goal to replace the traditional financial world one day.

Indeed, while the “summer of DeFi” cooled down, the sector still remains quite active. Multiple DeFi tokens have seen double-digit growth in the past few days. Brian Brooks, the outgoing acting head of the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), wrote in a Financial Times op-ed about a future of “self-driving” banks backed by the DeFi sector.

Thus the rapid price growth in DOT could just be a reflection of the DeFi’s continuing growth, as well as new upgrades and improvements on the project.

Denis Vinokourov, head of research at Bequant, said a recently released 2021 roadmap by SushiSwap, a decentralized exchange which includes an integration with Polkadot, could be the reason why DOT’s price has been up.

Prices for SushiSwap (SUSHI) also have surged since the announcement, up 14.63% in the past 24 hours to $5.5 at the time of writing, according to Messari.

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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Hits $40K Again While Ether Volume Is Erupting This Year

5 years 9 months ago

After closing out last week at over $40,000 on Sunday, bitcoin hit that price again Thursday while traders are pushing ether volumes to new liquidity levels.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $39,318 as of 21:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 8.5% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $36,125-$40,066  (CoinDesk 20)
  • BTC above the 10-hour and 50-hour moving averages on the hourly chart, a bullish signal for market technicians.

Bitcoin’s price was back to bull mode Thursday, steadily climbing to as high as $40,066, according to CoinDesk 20 data. It’s a reversal from this week’s bearish-to-sideways action, with the world’s oldest cryptocurrency at $39,318 as of press time.

Read More: Bitcoin Bounces, Options Market Sees 20% Chance of $50K at Month’s End

Related: Tether’s Bank Says It Invests Customer Funds in Bitcoin

“Bitcoin passing $40,000 was seen by many as inevitable, and reaching this level is just the continuation of a trend of smart money continuing to buy even as traders with less conviction shake out during sell-offs,” Guy Hirsch, managing director for U.S. at multi-asset brokerage eToro, told CoinDesk. The last time bitcoin was over $40,000 in the spot markets was Sunday, Jan. 10, prior to a precipitous fall opening the week.

“Institutions are still buying up BTC in huge quantities,” said cryptocurrency over-the-counter trader Alessandro Andreotti. “I think this rally can continue as before, but it’s too early to call.”

In the derivatives market, funding rates are still in positive territory, signalling that leveraged traders are more than willing to pay up to pile more margin on long plays, according to data aggregator Skew.

“High volatility is having little impact on risk appetite,” noted Denis Vinokourov, head of research at crypto brokerage Bequant. “Recent success in these opportunistic and somewhat ambitious market bets is also likely driving herd-like behavior.” 

Related: Bitcoin Core’s Latest Release Is Out: Here’s What’s in It

Indeed, volatility is high in the bitcoin market: The cryptocurrency’s 30-day realized volatility was at over 89% Wednesday, the highest it has been since April 17, 2020, when that metric was at 92% in the early days of coronavirus-induced turmoil across all markets.

Analysts don’t expect volatility in the cryptocurrency market to abate, which can actually be good for traders but can be horrendous for long-term investor balance sheets, particularly institutional funds with limited partners to whom they must answer. 

“People need to understand that bitcoin is a hyper-asset with a built-in steam engine that is explosive up and down,” noted over-the-counter crypto trader Henrik Kugelberg. “With all the money printing and the sad developing spread of COVID-19 throughout the world, widespread agonizing economic hardship and a few more factors spell advantage to bitcoin.”

Chad Steinglass, head of trading for digital assets capital markets firm CrossTower, agrees gyrations in crypto will continue. “I believe that the trend of bull runs briefly interrupted by short duration profit taking dips will continue for the foreseeable future.”

Ether volume bonanza so far in 2021

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was up Thursday, trading around $1,210 and climbing 8.5% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).

In 2020, ether volumes on the eight major CoinDesk 20 spot exchanges averaged $231 million per day. In 2021 so far, those volumes are up almost twelvefold, averaging $2.7 billion per day.

Brian Mosoff, chief executive officer of investment firm Ether Capital, noted decentralized finance, or DeFi, as a spark leading to volumes beginning to rise in 2020. For 2021, Mosoff cites the ongoing bull run and new derivatives tools coming online for traders. 

Read More: Paxos Makes Fresh Push for DeFi Market With New Oracle Integration

“Although 2020 ended in a bull market, the first half of the year saw the ETH prices average just a couple hundred dollars and a lack of positive sentiment due to the prolonged bear market and then COVID-19,”  Mosoff said. ”Adding fuel to the fire, 2021 has kicked off with the continuation of the crypto bull and the pending launch of the CME futures and institutions waking up to the narrative around Ethereum’s value proposition.”

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mixed Thursday, mostly in the green. Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

Notable losers:

  • xrp (XRP) – 3.3%
  • 0x (ZRX) – 3.2%
  • stellar (XLM) – 0.60%

Read More: Sci-Hub Leaves Handshake Blockchain After 2 Days, Citing Centralization 

Equities:

Commodities:

  • Oil was up 1.4%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $53.59.
  • Gold was in the green 0.12% and at $1,847 as of press time.

Treasurys:

  • The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield climbed Thursday jumping to 1.126 and in the green 3.6%.
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Coinbase Invests in New US Crypto Mining Pool Titan

5 years 9 months ago

The venture arm of leading U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase made an investment in mining software and services company Titan as part of its current seed fundraising round.

  • Titan is currently in a beta testing phase, which is scheduled to end in February, per an email from CMO Phil Gomes.
  • Among the clients currently testing the pool are mining giant Core Scientific.
  • Titan CEO Ryan Condron called Coinbase’s investment a “powerful endorsement” of his new mining pool. The terms of the Coinbase investment were not disclosed.
  • Titan is not Coinbase Ventures’ first mining investment. In late 2018, the company also backed in-home mining hardware startup Coinmine.
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Alt-Right Groups Received $500K in BTC Month Before Capitol Riot: Chainalysis

5 years 9 months ago

UPDATE (7:28 PM EST 1/14/21): Federal agencies are investigating the bitcoin donations, the New York Times reported Thursday. Chainalysis told CoinDesk it “informed all appropriate government agencies” of the moving funds.

Alt-right extremist groups and a handful of personalities linked to last week’s storming of the U.S. Capitol building received a bitcoin donation worth about $522,000 one month before the D.C. siege, according to crypto tracing firm Chainalysis.

Chainalysis explained in a Thursday blog post that an unnamed French blogger sent 28.15 BTC to 22 wallets on Dec. 8. Nick Fuentes, the far-right internet personality whose livestream from the Capitol takeover resulted in his banning from the streaming site DLive, received the single-largest donation: about $250,000, or 13.5 BTC.

Related: Tron-Owned Video Platform Criticized for Hosting Extremists, US Capitol Rioters

There is no evidence that Fuentes entered the Capitol during the events of Jan. 6. However, he was present at the initial rally, was spotted on the Capitol grounds and promoted President Trump’s “Stop the Steal” event for weeks, Chainalysis said.

The rest of the funds appear to have been split among a smattering of other accounts with ties to far-right ideologies, Chainalysis said. Neo-Nazi blog Daily Stormer received 3% of the total, anti-immigration group VDARE 3.3% and white nationalist leader Patrick Casey 5%, among others. Yahoo News first reported the story.

In all, the transactions represent an unprecedented crypto windfall for the domestic extremists groups that Chainalysis said it tracks.

See also: Tron-Owned Video Platform Criticized for Hosting Extremists, US Capitol Rioters

Related: Darknet Markets Face Headwinds After Year of Mixed Results

Chainalysis declined to identify the alleged donator by name due to privacy concerns and ongoing legal proceedings. However, it described the individual as a French blogger who may now be deceased. Chainalysis pointed to a seeming suicide note posted online one day after the donations initiated.

The individual laments what he claimed to be the “decline” of Western civilization and the “rejection of our ancestors and our heritage.” That language tracks with rhetoric common in white nationalist circles. He pledged to “leave my modest wealth to certain causes and people” upon his death.

Investigators are still working to determine how much planning went into the Jan. 6 Capitol storming.

For its part, Chainalysis declined to directly link the donation to the political violence in Washington, D.C., but the “timing warrants suspicion,” Chainalysis wrote.

“As mainstream payment platforms remove extremist groups and figures, we may see them embrace cryptocurrency more as a donations mechanism,” the company said.

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Jerome Powell on CBDCs: ‘We Don’t Feel a Need to Be First’

5 years 9 months ago

The U.S. is going slow on central bank digital currencies (CDBCs) considering the risks they may pose to the dollar’s dominance, the chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve said Thursday.

Speaking at an online event hosted by Princeton University in New Jersey, Jerome Powell said, “We don’t feel an urge or need to be first” on CDBCs. “Effectively,” Powell continued, “we already have a first-mover advantage because [the U.S. dollar is] the reserve currency.”

Powell estimated it will take “years rather than months” before the Fed releases a CBDC, despite early studies of digital dollar–friendly blockchains at the central bank’s Boston outpost.

Related: First Mover: Forget Facebook’s Stablecoin. Now It’s $700B Bitcoin in the Crosshairs

He added the Fed is “investing heavily” in understanding the technology and looking at the policy questions CBDCs pose. 

Powell also admitted it was the private sector’s ability to create private money (in other words, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies) that caused the Fed to look into CBDCs.

“We know that in the past when private-sector money [is created], the public sometimes just thinks of it as money,” Powell said. “At some point, they find out that it’s not money and that’s a really bad thing we need to avoid.”

There’s also a need for the Fed to be focused on “better regulatory answers” for global stablecoins, Powell said. At the end of last year, U.S. President Trump’s Working Group on Financial Markets released a report that said stablecoins should meet the same regulatory standards as other aspects of the financial system.

Related: Bitcoin in Race for Adoption Before Central Banks Launch Digital Currencies: Australia’s Macquarie

“They could become systemically important overnight,” Powell said. “We don’t begin to have our arms around the potential risks and how to manage those risks. The public will expect that we do and has every right to expect that. So that’s something that we’ve been working on with our colleagues around the world.”

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Blockchain Bites: OCC’s Head Stepping Down, Anchorage to Become First National ‘Digital Asset Bank’

5 years 9 months ago

Bitcoin is booming again as crypto-bull Brian Brooks pushes through his “open access” banking rules before stepping down as the top U.S.  banking regulator.

Top shelf

Going public?
The Winklevoss twins are considering taking Gemini Trust, the cryptocurrency exchange and custodian founded in 2014, public, according to a Bloomberg interview. “We are definitely considering it and making sure that we have that option. We are watching the market and we are also having internal discussions on whether it makes sense,” Cameron Winklevoss said. The firm released the Gemini Credit Card offering cryptocurrency rewards today.

Race for adoption
Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are lagging behind in crypto adoption, according to a new research note from the Australian investment bank Macquarie. “It is still unclear how entrenched private cryptos will become before CBDCs become a viable alternative for more efficient transactions,” with central banks at risk of losing control over the monetary system if so. While crypto is growing more popular, there are serious roadblocks to hyperbitcoinization – like brokerages running out of BTC and ex-Ripple CTOs losing their keys. 

Related: First Mover: Forget Facebook’s Stablecoin. Now It’s $700B Bitcoin in the Crosshairs

Security measures
Grayscale Investments, the world’s largest digital currency asset manager, announced it has begun dissolution of its $19.2 million Grayscale XRP Trust, the latest step to minimize risk by distancing itself from XRP. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is suing Ripple Labs for unregistered sales of XRP. Grayscale, owned by CoinDesk parent Digital Currency Group, had already removed XRP from its large-cap crypto fund. Meanwhile, Japan’s top financial regulator has said XRP is a is a crypto asset, not necessarily a security, under state law.

Quick bites
  • 10 ICOs: Where are they now? (Decrypt)
  • WITCHING HOUR: When to trade bitcoin? When Saturn crosses Mercury, of course. (Reuters)
  • BTC BOUNTY: Ledger beefs up security after disastrous data breach. (CoinDesk)
  • ARCTIC MINING: Bloomberg takes a photoshoot of an arctic BTC mining rig. (Bloomberg)
  • UPPER LIMIT? Deribit offers $400,000 strike on bitcoin futures. (CoinDesk)
  • ALMOST THERE: Bitcoin miners and developers near consensus on how to activate Bitcoin upgrade Taproot. (CoinDesk)
  • UNHOSTED DEBATE: Comment period for controversial FinCEN rule proposal extended. (CoinDesk)
Market intel

Trading hall of fame
On Oct. 30, someone (a single trader or small group) bought 16,000 contracts of Jan. 29 expiry call options at the $36,000 strike for 0.003 bitcoin per contract, according to data shared by Deribit. The initial investment or total purchase cost was 48 BTC, or roughly $638,400 as per bitcoin’s price back then. Omkar Godbole tells the story of this legendary trade.

At stake

Finance, censorship and Brooks
Acting Comptroller of the Currency Brian Brooks is set to step down today, ending a brief though impactful stint at the U.S.’ top banking regulator.

Brooks, who came to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency by way of Coinbase and Fannie Mae, has pushed for greater flexibility and amiability between the banking sector and crypto – including issuing several interpretative letters saying federally regulated banks can custody crypto, process stablecoin transactions and serve as nodes in a blockchain network. 

Related: OCC Chief Brian Brooks Is Stepping Down Thursday

As part of his mandate, Brooks also attempted to create a more “open” financial system by preventing banks from withholding services from “high-risk” businesses, like those in culturally sensitive industries such as tobacco, guns and fracking, as well as financially dubious firms like payday lenders. 

Open for a 45-day comment period, Brooks finalized the rule today in what some are calling 11th-hour decision-making. 

In November, Brooks and OCC Chief Economist Charles Calamoris proposed a rule that said banks should judge prospective clients based only on specific credit and operational criteria. This, the regulators wrote, would prevent “politically driven discrimination.” 

Brooks hasn’t given up the theme. “We live in a world where not only information but also money might be controlled by a handful of elites who might not like the way that any one of us thinks [about an issue],” Brooks said yesterday at a livestreamed Elliptic event. 

The outgoing OCC chief was speaking obliquely about financial firms like Shopify, Stripe and Deutsche Bank cutting ties with outgoing President Donald Trump in the wake of the Jan. 6 Capital riot that left five dead and interrupted the congressional certification of the presidential election results. 

“Everything is at risk” if financial technology is politicized, Brooks said. 

The trouble is, as J.P. Koning noted in a CoinDesk column in December, everything is already politicized. Responding to Brooks’ proposal to foster a politically neutral financial system, Koning wrote:

“In banking, loans are the fodder for creating safe deposits. So if a bank wants to attract modern consumers by setting up a clean supply chain (aka fair trade bank account) that means pruning source material for deposits, say coal miner loans.”

Banks are private institutions that have the right to make tough calls about who to serve and how to curate the types of products they have on offer, Koning argues. While some people see the rise of “woke capitalism” as a form of social coercion, it’s anything but.

No one compels the creation of cruelty-free T-shirts anymore than bonds definitely not backed by blood money. If there is a market for it, these non-neutral, inherently political products will arise, the argument goes. Further, attempts from regulators like Brooks to foist neutrality on the system – thereby preventing banks from cutting ties with dubious businesses for any number of reasons – is a bridge too far.

“The rule lacks both logic and legal basis, it ignores basic facts about how banking works and it will undermine the safety and soundness of the banks,” BPI President Greg Baer said in a Thursday statement responding to the formalized rule. 

It’s for similar reasons that Twitter’s decision to banish Trump from its internet fiefdom is an act of free speech, rather than censorship.  

Nic Carter, partner at Castle Island Ventures, CoinDesk columnist and public intellectual, calls this rhetorical technique the “private company fallacy.” While businesses are free to curate, this “implies a kind of anarcho-capitalist paradise, where firms are sovereign and the sole masters of their own destinies,” he wrote in a recent CoinDesk op-ed.

In reality, Carter argues, companies are enmeshed in a public-private network. Corporate executives filter in and out of public office (like Brooks!) and most industries are protected by regulations crafted with direct input from the private sector. 

“Banks are demonstrably not private companies; they are better understood as public-private partnerships, being granted the ability to create money in exchange for heavy regulation,” Carter wrote. 

Wherever you may draw the line, Brooks “open access” rule is reportedly likely to be overturned. Bloomberg reports banks are “fuming” at the last-minute act, and that several are already planning lawsuits. 

In fact, much of Brooks’ legacy is in danger of being overturned. There’s nothing binding about interpretative letters – like the ones allowing banks to custody crypto or bank stablecoin clients. And even if it were, industry commenters have cast doubt that any banks would jump at the opportunities presented. 

What this means for Anchorage’s conditional approval for a national trust charter – announced yesterday, setting it up as the first “digital asset bank” to be allowed to operate across the U.S. – is unknown. 

To be sure,  Brooks is thinking far ahead into the future, when banks will be self-driving bits of code.

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Sci-Hub Leaves Handshake Blockchain After 2 Days, Citing Centralization Concerns

5 years 9 months ago

The recent alliance of pirate academic library Sci-Hub and a blockchain-based domain name system (DNS) was celebrated by the blockchain community. Now, it’s already over. 

Less than two days after registering its domain on Handshake, the distributed network for storing domain names, Sci-Hub founder Alexandra Elbakyan told CoinDesk she discontinued it because of the lack of decentralization.  

Sci-Hub gets academic papers out from behind the paywalls of scientific magazines and provides them for free. The project has been exiled from various web domains, as well as the payment service PayPal.  

Related: Pirated Academic Database Sci-Hub Is Now on the ‘Uncensorable Web’

The debacle is a fresh example of how decentralized web projects struggle to live up to the hype around them. 

Namebase is the VC-funded company that is facilitating access to Handshake’s infrastructure. An initial tweet by Namebase about Sci-Hub’s joining was met with much fanfare from crypto celebrities including Balaji Srinivasan and Dovey Wan, causing the price of the project’s native HNS token to surge. In contrast, the breakup has been largely unnoticed. 

Elbakyan told CoinDesk that after talking to the team behind Namebase, she decided that it was impossible for her to control her domain.

Handshake was supported by some of crypto’s most prominent VCs and was part of a slew of projects aiming to decentralize the internet’s underlying infrastructure. Handshake’s predecessor Namecoin, the Ethereum Name Service, a platform for decentralized personal servers called Urbit and the network for distributed file storage Filecoin are other efforts to create what’s referred to as Web 3.0. 

‘Where is the decentralization?’

Related: Google Down: The Perils of Centralization

“I first just thought that another domain for Sci-Hub won’t hurt. But later I realized it’s them who really controls the domain, not me,” Elbakyan told CoinDesk via Telegram. 

The Namebase team reached out to Elbakyan after Sci-Hub was banned by Twitter, reportedly due to a new copyright infringement case in India, she said.   

“They wrote to me when I was having that stressful situation with Twitter,” Elbakyan said. “I just gave them an IP address and they connected it to the domain. That’s all I did. Now, where is the decentralization?”

This process looks a bit different from the original idea of Namebase, according to the project’s website. The concept is that people willing to register decentralized domains would buy the native NHS tokens, bid for available names and manage their domains using private keys.   

According to Elbakyan’s exchange with Namebase founder Tieshun Roquerre and the project’s investor Eric Meltzer, one can own a top-level domain (TLD) on Handshake, like .hns, but not a particular subdomain registered there. (CoinDesk reviewed the messages provided by Elbakyan.)

Read more: Handshake Exchange Sees $10M in Token Trades as Race for Censorship-Resistant Websites Heats Up

The team offered to hand Elbakyan control over the entire .hns domain, along with some HNS tokens, so she could custody them and keep the records of all future subdomain registrations in .hns. 

But Elbakyan wasn’t interested in managing records for the project, only in controlling her own subdomain. That, according to Meltzer, “will eventually be possible, but it requires a lot more engineering work.” 

However, he told Elbakyan, the current owner of the .hns top-level domain “is completely anonymous,” so she shouldn’t be concerned it would be pressured to censor Sci-Hub, as multiple hosting services already did after Sci-Hub was sued by academic publishing houses for copyright infringement. 

But relying on some centralized custodians to manage your domain feels like deja vu for Elbakyan. 

“In fact, I’m not in control and they can throw me out at any moment, just like Twitter did. And yes, all domain services are like that, including .se and .do, but they aren’t promoting themselves as decentralized. Plus, those are reputable ones, and this is God knows who. They are just using Sci-Hub to promote this weird project,” Elbakyan said. 

‘Miscommunication’

Steven McKie, technical manager of Hanshake’s native HandyBrowser and CEO of Amentum, believes there has been a misunderstanding from the start.

“There seems to be miscommunication,” he told CoinDesk in an email. “Namebase is akin to Coinbase as they hold your keys. They’re a centralized service. They set up a domain that reroutes for [Alexandra Elbakyan]. She can buy her own name and do the exact same or they can gift her a TLD.”  

Namebase founder Tieshun Roquerre further confirmed that there is currently an owner of the entire .hns domain, which “would like to stay anonymous.” 

Read more: Handshake Goes Live With an Uncensorable Internet Browser

“They were in the process of transferring the TLD to Alexandra but once Alexandra learned that she could only own the entire TLD instead of just a single subdomain she decided not to manage it. On Handshake, you can own the TLD directly and control all subdomains,” he added. 

“Handshake is really focused in scope — it manages only the root domain extensions on-chain because that’s what’s required in order to decentralize the domain name system (DNS),” Roquerre said. “If the root of the tree isn’t decentralized then the entire system can’t be decentralized.”

At the moment, Sci-Hub’s .hns domain is disconnected, but the project is still available on .se, .do and .st domains.

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CoinDesk

Coinbase Wants to List Your Crypto Asset

5 years 9 months ago

In a move that could rapidly broaden the number of cryptocurrencies listed, Coinbase announced Thursday a new issuance portal called Asset Hub.

“Today, Coinbase supports trading for over 40 crypto assets on our exchange and Coinbase Custody supports over 90 crypto assets,” the firm’s chief product officer, Surojit Chatterjee, wrote in a blog post. “Our directive is to list every compliant asset possible. Streamlining the listing process is step one.”

Any asset issuer can apply, Coinbase said. Applicants then go through the process and either get approved or denied.

Related: Crypto Buyers Face ‘Possible Limitations’ on eToro This Weekend

“We will continue to maintain a standard evaluation framework to ensure every asset we support meets our standards for legal, compliance and technical security review,” Chatterjee wrote. “Issuers may be subject to regulatory approval in some jurisdictions and we therefore cannot guarantee whether or when any asset will be approved.”

Coinbase says Asset Hub will make it easier for token projects to access “35 million verified users.” The move comes ahead of a planned public listing for the crypto exchange, which was valued at over $8 billion way back in 2018.

Earlier this year, Coinbase rolled out an open-source technical framework for asset listings called Rosetta.

“The unifying theme between Rosetta and Asset Hub is that these products both support issuers,” Senior Product Manager John Zettler told CoinDesk through a spokesperson. “We appreciate that the growth of the cryptoeconomy depends on the success of digital asset issuers, and we are committed to supporting issuers every way we can.”

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Privacy Coin Firo Launches ‘Privacy by Default’ Protocol on Mainnet

5 years 9 months ago

Privacy coin Firo, previously known as Zcoin, has launched the new protocol Lelantus on its mainnet. 

The implementation introduces “on-by-default” privacy and prompts users to anonymize their funds with the goal of ensuring transactions sent by official Firo wallets stay private. Transparent transactions will now have to be explicitly selected. It also allows for partial redemptions of Firo’s burn-and-redeem model, which previously had to be redeemed in full. 

When Lelantus launched on Firo’s testnet in October, Firo Project Steward Reuben Yap likened the burn-and-redeem model to buying a ticket for a carnival ride. When you go to the turnstile, you just have to show a ticket. 

Related: Bittrex to Delist ‘Privacy Coins’ Monero, Dash and Zcash

“The ticket acts like a receipt of payment, but it doesn’t have to show that I was the person who paid for it or the exact bank notes that were used to purchase it,” said Yap at the time. “The same principle is applied to the burn-and-redeem model for zcoins. As long as my receipt checks out, I can redeem it for new coins.”

Privacy coin ‘partial redemption’

With the Lelantus protocol launched on the mainnet, including partial redemption, that 24-hour ticket could be used for a few hours one day, none the next and then the remainder the following day. 

“With previous burn-and-redeem systems such as Zerocoin and Sigma, if I burnt a $100 note I had to redeem a $100 note” said Yap. “Lelantus’ main innovation is that I can burn a $100 note and redeem any amount that is smaller without revealing that it even came from the $100 note.”

This ability stops third parties from being able to narrow down the source of a transaction by the number of coins burned. 

Related: Statechains Scaling Solution Offers New Potential for Bitcoin Privacy

The next step for Lelantus, which Firo is already working on, is allowing users to “pass the right to redeem to someone else without revealing its source or amount,” according to the blog post announcing the mainnet launch. 

The goal is to launch that function later this year. 

“As a result of the activation, we are starting to see increased transactions using Lelantus, which is very encouraging,” said Yap in an email.

“Mass adoption of cryptocurrencies cannot occur without meaningful privacy protections, especially given that no one wants their financial history open to the public, putting themselves at risk or exposing valuable information about themselves or businesses. Protocols like Lelantus open new doors to how cryptocurrencies approach transactional privacy, making those privacy protections all the more accessible and that adoption even more attainable.”

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Latest Music Act to Launch a Social Token: Portugal. The Man

5 years 9 months ago

The band behind that “rebel just for kicks” song is doing a social token with Rally.

Portugal. The Man joins Christian vocal trio Selah on Rally’s “Creator Coin” platform. Competing platform Fyooz has also made headlines in recent weeks with the addition of tokens from rappers Lil Yachty and Lil Pump.

The Portland rock band’s ptm coin represents the latest effort to tokenize fan engagement. Bands who can’t tour due to COVID-19 restrictions are turning to a crop of crypto startups to offer exclusive perks to fans willing to fork over fiat in support of their favorite artists.

Related: COVID and Big Tech Burnout Are Pushing Social Tokens Mainstream

“We want some kind of special level for our really hardcore fans,” bass player Zach Carothers told CoinDesk in an interview. “Since about 2017 we’ve been looking into something like this and just toying with the idea. And I think this forced downtime that we’ve been having has kind of given us the time to explore other options.”

Benefits include the launch of an audio archive for token holders featuring unreleased music as well as the ability to tune into exclusive live-streams. The band has also spun up a Discord server with over 1,100 users where much of the token activity will occur. The token goes live today, starting around $1 and fluctuating “based on the bonding curve and market demand following launch,” Rally co-founder Mahesh Vellanki said in a message.

“By giving these tokens to all their fans … they now have a vested interest in making the community even more successful, because they have a little bit of skin in the game, right?” Vellanki said in an interview. “That is kind of the beauty of this whole thing.”

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Bitfarms Closes Its Second $15M Private Placement in a Week

5 years 9 months ago

Public cryptocurrency mining company Bitfarms (BITF) closed its second private placement of shares Wednesday worth CAD$20 million, or over US$15 million, a week after closing another $15 million placement.

  • The sale consisted of 5,586,593 common shares, per a release, over 3 million fewer shares than its first placement.
  • The proceeds will fund the acquisition of additional mining machines and the expansion of its mining facilities.
  • Shares of the Quebec-based company are trading hands at $4.37 currently, up more than 45% from their price when Bitfarms closed its first placement.
  • Bitfarms has a current market value of $374 million with over 85 million shares outstanding, per data from Ycharts.
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CoinDesk

‘Was This Correct?’ Twitter’s Dorsey Asks About Banning Trump and Then Says ‘Yes’

5 years 9 months ago

Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey took to (where else?) Twitter to ask the question “Was this correct?” regarding his company’s decision to ban U.S. President Donald Trump from the platform following last week’s attack on the Capitol.

After that opening expression of doubt, he proceeded to answer that yes, it was.

  • Dorsey then, in a thoughtful multipartite thread, laid out his rationale for the action, trying to square his belief in open unfiltered communication with the act of silencing the president of the U.S.
  • The Twitter CEO also seemed to reference the recent removal of Parler, a conservative social media platform, from both the Apple and Google app stores in the wake of the attack on the Capitol as well as Amazon’s decision not to host Parler on its servers for the same reason, hitting back at claims the action was coordinated by the tech giants.
  • “I do not believe this was coordinated,” Dorsey said. “More likely: companies came to their own conclusions or were emboldened by the actions of others.”
  • Despite the CEO’s defense of Twitter’s and other companies’ actions in the here and now, Dorsey warned they should not become the rule. “This moment in time might call for this dynamic, but over the long term it will be destructive to the noble purpose and ideals of the open internet.”
  • Even while laying out his justifications Dorsey expressed misgivings, saying, “having to ban an account has real and significant ramifications.” It, Dorsey said, “sets a precedent I feel is dangerous: the power an individual or corporation has over a part of the global public conversation.”
  • Even though there’s a difference between a private company banning someone and a government doing it, the effect can feel the same, he said.
  • He also declared his “passion” for bitcoin in almost lyrical fashion.
  • Bitcoin, he wrote, offers a model of “a foundational internet technology that is not controlled or influenced by any single individual or entity. This is what the internet wants to be, and over time, more of it will be.”

UPDATE (Jan. 14, 02:00 UTC): Adds more from Dorsey’s tweet thread and deplatforming context.

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IHS Markit Likely to Join Race for Crypto Indexes on Wall Street: Exec

5 years 9 months ago

IHS Markit will likely join the cryptocurrency index game, the company’s President of Financial Services Adam Kansler said during the financial information giant’s Wednesday earnings call.

Kansler told analysts that IHS Markit already has “tactical partnerships” with crypto firms like Lukka to source cryptocurrency pricing and reference data. These data points could form the bedrock of a cryptocurrency index product although Kansler said IHS Markit currently uses them to help clients value portfolios.

“So it’s an area where we’ll continue to focus not just on the valuations side, but probably even moving into the index side in the near future as well,” he said, referring to cryptocurrencies.

Related: Cboe Plans to Launch Cryptocurrency Indexes in Q2 2021

IHS Markit executives acknowledged Wednesday that bitcoin has generational momentum behind it. Chairman and CEO Lance Uggla said the younger ranks of his firm are chomping for more products in the crypto space, even if the firm has “nothing big and significant” in the pipeline.

“Of course, we have every millennial that works for us thinks we should have a major pricing, data services, software and participation around a marketplace that is really legitimizing itself. So we’ve got to take it seriously,” he said.

IHS Markit is barreling toward a stronger stance in crypto on multiple fronts. In November, it partnered with crypto data firm Lukka to develop crypto data products for Wall Street. And a unit of S&P Global, which has agreed to buy IHS Markit for $44 billion, already has plans to build a crypto index product with Lukka.

Representatives for IHS Markit and Lukka did not immediately respond to request for comment.

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OCC Chief Brian Brooks Is Stepping Down Thursday

5 years 9 months ago

Brian Brooks, who was named the temporary head of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) last summer, made the announcement official a day after he was rumored to be departing.

His departure will come a day after the federal banking regulator granted crypto custodian Anchorage a conditional trust charter, making it the first crypto-native national bank.

“It has been a great honor to serve the United States as Acting Comptroller of the Currency,” Brooks said in an emailed statement through a spokesperson. “The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) is the most extraordinary of federal agencies filled with the most dedicated, professional, and gifted staff any executive can hope to have. I am extremely proud of what we have accomplished together through what have been extraordinary times by any measure.”

Related: Anchorage Becomes First OCC-Approved National Crypto Bank

Under Brooks, the OCC published a number of interpretative letters surrounding how national banks can interact with the cryptocurrency space, with particular attention paid to stablecoins and their issuers. However, he said during a public seminar hosted by analysis firm Elliptic that much of this work began prior to his arrival at the agency last March. 

The former chief legal officer at Coinbase has said multiple times that he believes digital assets and blockchain technology can form the basis for the future of the financial system, a view he reiterated during the seminar.

“Blockchains, fundamentally, are banking because what they’re doing is allowing the transaction of value across networks … they’re doing it in an orthogonally different way,” he said Wednesday in what may be his swan song in public office.

It is unclear who incoming president Joe Biden might tap to replace Brooks. The OCC announced that chief operating officer Blake Paulson will become the new acting comptroller in the interim. Law firm Davis Polk said in a public presentation Wednesday that it is unlikely Brooks’ efforts around digital asset custody will be overturned by his successor, though further efforts around digital currencies may be slowed.

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CoinDesk

Riot Blockchain Adds Blockware CEO to Advisory Board

5 years 9 months ago

Nasdaq-listed bitcoin miner Riot Blockchain (RIOT) has added Mason Jappa, CEO of mining hardware and hosting company Blockware, to its advisory board.

  • The two companies have had a close working relationship, Jappa told CoinDesk, including sharing industry insights and Blockware helping Riot sell machines.
  • Per a statement, Jappa will assist the billion-dollar company with “optimizing operations” and its “evaluation of growth opportunities,” among other responsibilities.
  • Jappa is the latest in a series of changes to the Castle Rock, Colo.-based firm’s board of directors and board of advisors over the past two years.
  • In July 2019, the company named Yan Pritzker and Cory Klippsten of bitcoin exchange service Swan Bitcoin and Pierre Rochard of Kraken to its advisory board.
  • In November 2020, former Ontario legislator Remo Mancini resigned from the board of directors after being appointed in 2018. 
  • Jappa brings strong knowledge of the mining industry to Riot’s board, with his company having placed over 45MW for hosted clients and sold over 200,000 ASIC miners since its founding in 2017.
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Bitcoin in Race for Adoption Before Central Banks Launch Digital Currencies: Australia’s Macquarie

5 years 9 months ago

Central banks like the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank risk losing the digital-currency race if private cryptocurrencies like bitcoin become too entrenched in electronic commerce, according to a new research note from the Australian investment bank Macquarie.

  • “The central bank digital currency (CBDC) landscape in free markets is lagging the pace of crypto adoption – it is still unclear how entrenched private cryptos will become before CBDCs become a viable alternative for more efficient transactions,” the report reads.
  • “We think the use cases for private crypto could come to fruition if commerce becomes too accustomed to private crypto use prior to a CBDC alternative launching as a stable, legitimate alternative. And fiat debasing could also in fact help demand stick.”
  • “In the interim (1-2 years), absent structural regulatory changes that inhibit its potential utility, we expect private cryptos, particularly those with an upper limit like bitcoin, to continue rising in fiat-equivalent value.”
  • “If central banks work expeditiously and deliberately with private partners as we outline above, delivering on reliability, security, and functionality, we think government-promoted CBDCs more likely than not could displace private cryptos (and conventional fiat for that matter) in legitimate commerce, reducing the aggregate demand for private coins, limiting the demand-side factors to ‘store-of-value’ speculation and illicit dealings.”
  • China’s central bank could launch a digital currency as soon as this year, but the Fed and ECB aren’t likely to have their versions ready until at least 2022, according to the report.
  • “Central banks face difficult tasks in not just deciding how CBDCs will operate, but also building the infrastructure to get them up and running.”
  • “U.S. regulatory officials wield quite a bit of power over how cryptos function and how their ecosystems develop. This becomes less meaningful as the network effect of cryptos grows, utility and acceptance broaden, and fiat potentially loses some demand for commerce.”

Read More: ECB’s Christine Lagarde Says ‘Speculative’ Bitcoin Needs Global Regulation

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