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Coronavirus Bear Market: Where to Invest $5,000 Right Now

6 years 6 months ago
Two words that haven't been on investors' minds in more than a decade now are the reality: bear market. Escalating global fears about the coronavirus disease COVID-19 have wreaked havoc on stocks. Travel to Europe has been largely halted. Professional sports leagues are suspendi
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Billionaire Carl Icahn Picks up These 2 Stocks on the Dip

6 years 6 months ago

Rounding out an exceptionally volatile week of trading, the market delivered another dramatic swing, this time finishing in the green. After March 12 saw both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indexes post their largest single-day percentage losses since the October 1987 crash, stocks rallied the next day, with the S&P 500 jumping over 9%. This gain, which represents its best session since 2008, came as a result of President Trump’s declaration that his administration will do whatever is necessary to mitigate the coronavirus’ impact on the economy.  

Against this backdrop, billionaire investor Carl Icahn offered up his take on the market’s sell-off. The Wall Street heavyweight graduated from Princeton with a Philosophy degree, and went on to found publicly traded holding company Icahn Enterprises. With a current net worth of $15.2 billion, the guru is known as one of the most successful stock pickers on the Street, and thus captured investor attention with his most recent statements. 

While noting that stocks still haven’t hit bottom yet, Icahn argues that the recent market weakness presents investors with unique buying opportunities. “Now it’s reached a point that there are some companies that are sort of just given away. Some of these companies are awfully cheap, they’re very cheap,” he commented. 

Setting out on our own stock search, we decided to take a page from the billionaire’s playbook. We looked at two names Icahn snapped up recently, and after running them through TipRanks’ Stock Screener, found out that each boasts serious upside potential. Here are the details.    

Hertz Global Holdings Inc. (HTZ) 

Hertz Global is the holding company behind the Hertz car rental service, one of the top players in the space. So far in 2020, shares have plunged 48%, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to count this name out just yet.  

Based on his recent purchase of over 11.4 million shares, this appears to be the opinion of Icahn. From March 10-March 12, he spent $7.43 per share, on average, to boost his HTZ position. With the total holding now coming in at 55,342,109 shares, Icahn owns a 38.9% stake.  

Turning now to the analyst community, while the company reported an EBITDA miss for the fourth quarter, Jeffries’ Hamzah Mazari argues that the print wasn’t all bad. Thanks to “higher than expected vehicle depreciation expense which Avis (CAR) did not experience”, EBITDA missed the Street’s $68 million call by 21%, with the figure only reaching $54 million. That being said, Mazari points out that SG&A and U.S. RAC pricing was better than expected.  

“Having said that, Q4 pricing came in 4%-plus in U.S. RAC which is the strongest seen in 8-plus years. We think HTZ focus on pricing will be a main driver in 2020 as management is not willing to sacrifice on price for volume. We note this is a different strategy from that of CAR as they go after longer length of rental (sacrifice some on the pricing side),” the analyst stated. 

It should be noted that some investors have expressed concern related to vehicle costs as increased recall activity and the roll off of depreciation benefits as 2018 models were sold caused deprecation per unit to grow 11%. However, Mazari doesn’t expect this to hamper the company going forward as fleet management improves and residuals decline to low single digits. Margins are also slated for a boost as a result of productivity initiatives, according to Mazari.  

However, the analyst thinks that HTZ still has work to do in terms of its transition in addition to its high balance sheet leverage and low visibility into the timing of investment spend fall off. This prompted Mazari to reiterate a Hold call and a $17 price target. Nonetheless, this target conveys his belief that shares could soar 106% in the next twelve months. (To watch Mazari’s track record, click here) 

What does the rest of the Street think about HTZ? Looking at the consensus breakdown, 2 Buys and 1 Hold issued in the last three months add up to a Moderate Buy. At $17.67, the average price target brings the upside potential to 114%. (See Hertz stock analysis on TipRanks) 

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) 

Over the last century, Newell Brands has made a name for itself as one of the top consumer goods companies. Its well-known brands include the likes of Sharpie, Coleman, Rubbermaid and Crock Pot, just to name a few. Despite falling 34% in the last month, some Wall Street pros think investors should take advantage of the opportunity presented by the recent weakness.  

Carl Icahn falls into this category. Between March 9-March 11, the billionaire pulled the trigger on 2,585,201 NWL shares, making him a 10.7% owner of the company. At an average price of $13.41 per share, the total purchase value comes in at about $34.7 million. 

Meanwhile, after CEO Ravi Saligram’s presentation at the CAGNY conference in Florida, SunTrust Robinson analyst Bill Chappell walked away more confident in the company’s long-term prospects. NWL has struggled following the loss of a large number of highly qualified managers between 2017 and mid-2019 which led to lower moral among employees. That being said, Chappell sees NWL’s appointment of a new head of the Outdoor & Rec segment and its three new senior hires as steps in the right direction.  

“Past management teams have erred in trying to centrally operate the business vs. relying on managers who fully understood the intricacies of their particular business. These new hires, along with others expected in the coming months, give us greater confidence that NWL can at least maintain category growth over the next few years,” Chappell explained. 

On top of this, management stated that in the long run, it will place a significant focus on achieving LSD core sales growth, 50 basis points of annual operating margin improvement and 100%-plus free cash flow (FCF) conversion. According to Chappell, should the company meet its FCF goal, it would imply that its 108% FCF conversion in 2019 wasn’t a one-time victory. He added, “Also, we believe this implies that the company, often thought of as a ‘serial restructurer’, is now finally done with major restructuring. As the FCF opportunity is better understood by the Street, we believe the stock’s multiple will expand.” 

Even though growth in NWL’s Outdoor & Rec and Appliances & Cookware businesses isn’t expected for at least a year, Chappell points out that they only account for about 10% of profits. It also doesn’t hurt that the dividend yield lands at more than 8%.          

Based on all of the above, Chappell stayed with the bulls. In addition to reiterating his Buy recommendation, the five-star analyst left the $25 price target as is, implying 93% upside potential. (To watch Chappell’s track record, click here) 

Out on the Street, other analysts are less bullish on NWL. A Hold consensus rating breaks down into 1 Buy and 4 Holds. While less aggressive than Chappell’s forecast, the $21.50 average price target still leaves room for a possible 66% twelve-month gain. (See Newell Brands price targets and analyst ratings on TipRanks) 

TipRanks

When Will the Coronavirus Market Crash Be Over? Watch These 3 Stocks

6 years 6 months ago
Wouldn't it be great if you could know exactly when the stock market crash that's resulted from worries about coronavirus disease COVID-19 has bottomed out? Unfortunately, there isn't a magic indicator that you can monitor. And just because the market rebounds strongly one day d
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You Won't Believe How This Flight Attendant Retired a Millionaire

6 years 6 months ago
No one loves the safety lecture on an airplane, but you might pay closer attention next time you have the chance. And it won't be because you don't know how to buckle the seat belt. You'll be trying to decide if your flight attendant is actually a secret multi-millionaire.
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4 Tips for Investing in a Bear Market

6 years 6 months ago
If you compare your investment portfolio today to what it looked like a few weeks ago, you're apt to be very unhappy with what you see. The stock market's recent plunge has driven us into bear market territory, and that can take a toll on even the most level-headed investors.
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Your Guide to Start Saving for Retirement

6 years 6 months ago
Saving for retirement should be on everyone's financial to-do list. Unfortunately, for many people, it's hard to get started. It can be difficult to know what goals to set for yourself, and it may seem overwhelming to figure out how to invest your money in a way that balances ri
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Why Cognex, NCR, and Xilinx Stocks Surged Higher on Friday

6 years 6 months ago
What happened? Friday, March 13, was a great day for shares of Xilinx (NASDAQ: XLNX), Cognex (NASDAQ: CGNX), and NCR (NYSE: NCR), with the three gaining 10.2%, 14.1%, and 15% to close out the week. Friday was a huge day for most stocks, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Co
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3 Top Healthcare Stocks to Buy on the COVID-19 Dip

6 years 6 months ago
Investors worried the ongoing coronavirus outbreak will become a made-for-reality version of Contagion have hammered stocks across the board. The market probably isn't finished panicking, but once the dust settles, investors will see that COVID-19 isn't going to stop CVS Heal
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3 Stocks to Buy in The Coronavirus-Fueled Market Crash

6 years 6 months ago
The markets are bleeding. We've reached bear-market territory. For investors, this means there may be no better time to scoop up some bargains as a result of the recent sell-offs. While this may seem like an unnerving time to buy, it's important to remember that over the long te
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This Could Be the 1 Thing That Gets You Through a Recession

6 years 6 months ago
As COVID-19 cases continue to spike nationwide, millions of Americans are walking around on edge with so many questions unanswered. What's the actual risk of contracting the virus? How dangerous is it? When will all of the recent stock market turbulence settle down? And will the
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5 Reasons It's Smart to Take Social Security at 67 (or Later)

6 years 6 months ago
Social Security is, undoubtedly, our country's most important social program. Each month, more than 64 million benefit checks are doled out by the Social Security Administration, with more than a third of these recipients being singlehandedly pulled out of poverty thanks to this
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Should You Buy Boeing Stock Right Now?

6 years 6 months ago
Boeing (NYSE: BA) was flying through turbulence well before the novel coronavirus outbreak, underperforming the S&P 500 by more than 28 percentage points in 2019 due to the fatal crashes and subsequent grounding of the 737 MAX airplane.
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Should You Buy Stocks When the Market Crashes?

6 years 6 months ago
The past couple of weeks have been the most insane period many investors have ever witnessed. Fears over the health and economic impacts of COVID-19 has caused more days of extreme volatility in the past few weeks than in the past few years. Any one of about a half-dozen days o
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Why BlackBerry Stock Jumped 18.4% on Friday

6 years 6 months ago
What happened Shares of BlackBerry (NYSE: BB), a provider of security software to enterprises and governments, rallied 18.4% on Friday. The double-digit boost doesn't appear to be related to any news. Instead, the company likely bounced back from its huge decline over the las
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