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Nasdaq Commodities

John Hathaway: Gold Stocks "Ridiculously Cheap," What Will Make Them Move?

2 years 7 months ago
John Hathaway, managing partner at Sprott (TSX:SII,NYSE:SII), shared his thoughts on the disconnect between the gold price and gold stocks, explaining why it's happening and what could make gold stocks start moving.In his view, the rise of passive investing is one reason gold stocks have gotten stuck. Hathaway noted that this style of investing dominates the markets today, and it doesn't favor smaller sectors like precious metals. The popularity of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is another factor. "I think it's fair to say that the gold-backed ETFs have cannibalized demand for gold-mining equities," he said. "Before (gold ETFs existed) it was really difficult for equity investors to position in the macro thesis behind gold ... without owning gold stocks." The gold price is already historically high, but Hathway said more momentum could push gold stocks up. "Is it US$2,100? Is it US$2,500? Somewhere along the way higher gold prices will generate interest in gold-mining stocks because they're leveraged to the gold price," he said, adding, "At some point a higher gold price will lead to such incredible cashflow and profitability that even this tiny little space will catch somebody's eye." But aside from a higher gold price, there are other elements that could drive interest in the gold space. "What would that be? I think it would be a reversion to mean, not just in the gold-mining space, but a reversion to mean in the external markets. We all know that the stock market basically has been driven by seven names ... again, if you're a contrarian it's an easy trade to make — sell the Mag 7 like (Stanley) Druckenmiller just did and look for something that's completely discounted," Hathaway said during the conversation. "That's not just the gold-mining space, you can talk about oil and gas, you can talk about some cyclical names. So I think that's one thing." The other is potential issues in the banking system, possibly in terms of commercial real estate. "In a way, you could have ... the dot-com crash in 2000, 2001 and the global financial crisis in 2007, 2008 combining to turn consensus investment banking upside down. That's the sort of thing that would lead investors to look for diversification, which gold represents," he said. "I believe that that's the scenario I would point to for the gold-mining industry and gold itself to come back into favor." Watch the interview above for more from Hathaway on gold and gold stocks. Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
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Elliott Management's Hyperion to Seek Billion-dollar Mining Assets as Metals Demand Grows

2 years 7 months ago
Bargain-hunting billionaire investment firms are chasing undervalued mining stocks.Those who follow the commodities markets are well aware that prices for many of the world’s important metals are facing continued downward pressure from weak global macroeconomics and heightened geopolitical volatility. As a result, mining companies have seen their valuations sink as institutional investors turn toward less risky ventures.However, with commodities demand forecast to surge as the green transition takes hold, there's plenty of optimism that tides are set to change, and big-name contrarians are beginning to position ahead of time. Elliott sets sights on mining investments Elliott Investment Management (US$65 billion assets under management) is set to launch Hyperion, a new investment company, with a US$1 billion war chest and a mandate to acquire global mining assets on the cheap.With former Newcrest Mining CEO Sandeep Biswas at the helm, Hyperion is on the hunt for underfinanced mines, whether via simple buyouts or equity positions, the Financial Times reported on February 22. Base metals, precious metals and commodities strategic for electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy infrastructure are reportedly on its shopping list — think lithium, nickel, cobalt and copper. Lithium in particular has faced headwinds recently, but a recent study by S&P Global shows that by 2035 demand for lithium, nickel and cobalt will be 23 times higher than in 2021, while demand for copper will double. ​Value investing trending in mining sector Elliot Management is not the only monied private equity group to see the opportunity presented by the mining sector at the moment. Appian Capital and billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller are just a couple of the other names in a broader trend taking shape in the lead-up to an expected upswing in global demand for mined metals.Appian Capital has said it plans to invest as much as US$2 billion in Latin America’s mining industry. “We believe there are many ways that investors can invest in critical minerals such as metals and mining that offer the best exposure and inflation protection,” the London-based private equity firms’s CEO Michael W. Scherb told BNAmericas in late 2023. “Mining is the first piece of the entire critical minerals supply chain and is protected from price increases because miners can pass those price increases down the supply chain.”Investors have also likely seen fresh headlines about Stanley Druckenmiller ditching a portion of his tech stocks for gold stocks. In the fourth quarter of 2023, he reportedly shed holdings in Google’s Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) in favor of Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX,NYSE:GOLD) and Newmont (TSX:NGT,NYSE:NEM), the world’s two largest gold producers. He also increased his exposure to Teck Resources (TSX:TECK.A,TSX:TECK.B,NYSE:TECK). Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Melissa Pistilli, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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