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Bitcoin Must Now Beat $11.2K for Bull Revival, Say Analysts

6 years ago

Despite bitcoin’s rally to three-week highs, some analysts remain cautious and want to see the cryptocurrency topple key resistance at $11,200 before calling a bullish revival.

  • The biggest cryptocurrency by market value has risen by 3.5% to levels above $11,000 in the past 24 hours, confirming an upside break of a narrowing price range represented by trendlines connecting Sept. 19 and Oct. 1 highs and Sept. 8 and Sept. 23 lows.
  • Bitcoin is currently trading near $11,050 – up 6% from lows below $10,400 seen earlier this month and the highest level since Sept. 20, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index.
  • While the recovery and the range breakout looks impressive, chart analysts and traders say $11,200 is now the level to beat for the bulls.
  • “We consider the breakout of the Sept. 19 high of $11,200 to be a more significant catalyst for further upside,” Lennard Neo, head of research at Stack Funds, told CoinDesk. He added that the price range of $10,000 to $11,200 may hold until more clarity surfaces going into November U.S. elections.
  • Bitcoin’s rejection near $11,200 on Sept. 19 was followed by a four-day sell-off to $10,200. In other words, the cryptocurrency established a lower high (marked by a circle in the chart above) at $11,200 – a bearish pattern.
  • As such, a break above $11,200 would be more credible evidence of a bullish breakout, as pointed out by Neo.
  • Meanwhile, Simon Peters, a crypto market analyst at investment platform eToro, said bitcoin needs to hold or establish a new base above $11,000, in which case it could make a move toward the next psychological hurdle at $12,000.
  • That’s because bitcoin failed multiple times in mid-September to absorb selling pressure above $11.000.
  • And while Neo and Peters remain cautious, Phillip Gillespie, CEO of the over-the-counter liquidity provider B2C2 Japan is foreseeing a pick up in volatility in the near term, as U.S. elections, a large systematic risk even, are scheduled for Nov. 4.
  • “If we weren’t weeks away from the U.S. election, I would think we have a bullish setup in bitcoin,” Gillespie said while sharing his view on Thursday’s triangle breakout.
  • Disclosure: The author holds small positions in bitcoin and litecoin.

Also read: Bitcoin Options Volume on CME Jumps 300% as Traders Take Bullish Bets

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First Mover: Bitcoin Hits $11K as Square Exposes $2.3T Corporate Money Pot

6 years ago

Payments company Square’s announcement that it would put some $50 million, or 1% of its assets, into bitcoin has touched off speculation that more corporations might do the same. 

Jack Dorsey, the Twitter CEO who also helms Square, is a longtime bitcoin bull so it wasn’t a huge surprise that his company would put some of its corporate liquidity into the cryptocurrency. He’s following the path of MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor, who has invested at least $425 million of the company’s assets in bitcoin. 

None other than Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, CEO of Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, tweeted a question: “Who’s going to be the 3rd public company to hold #bitcoin in treasury?” Guesses included Twitter, Tesla, Apple, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway, even the burger chain Wendy’s.

Related: Bitcoin Must Now Beat $11.2K for Bull Revival, Say Analysts

“It’s a bit surreal to see gigantic corporate entities now going knee-deep in bitcoin,” Mati Greenspan, founder of the foreign-exchange and cryptocurrency analysis firm Quantum Economics, wrote to subscribers on Thursday. 

One clever, enterprising soul even ginned up a spreadsheet to keep track of the corporate purchases and published it as a new website, bitcointreasuries.org: 

Companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index of large U.S. stocks have a combined $2.3 trillion in cash and short-term investments. So a 1% across-the-board allocation to bitcoin would amount to $23 billion of purchases. That’s just over 10% of bitcoin’s total market capitalization, currently about $200 billion. 

A big bullish investment thesis for bitcoin is that large institutional investors are on the verge of diving into cryptocurrencies as an asset class, led by money managers like Fidelity Investments that have embraced the new technology and digital-asset markets. 

Related: Bitcoin Tops $11K for First Time in Almost 3 Weeks

Now it seems like corporate purchases might add to that buying pressure.  

Dorsey tweeted out a “whitepaper” to his 4.7 million followers explaining just how Square had come to buy its bitcoin — noting that the transparency was intended “so others can do the same.” 

“To maintain transaction privacy and price slippage on execution, treasury purchased the bitcoin over-the-counter with a bitcoin liquidity provider that we currently use as part of Cash App’s bitcoin trading product,” according to the whitepaper. “We negotiated a spread on top of a public bitcoin index and executed trades using a time-weighted average price (TWAP) over a predetermined 24-hour period with low expected price volatility and high market liquidity, in order to reduce risks associated with cost and pricing.”

Got that, corporate treasurers?  

Bitcoin Watch

Bitcoin has jumped over 3% in the past 24 hours to set a three-week high above $11,000.

  • The move has confirmed a contracting triangle breakout on the daily chart.
  • Even so, some analysts remain cautious and want to see the cryptocurrency take out resistance at $11,200 before calling a bullish revival.
  • “We consider the breakout of the Sept. 19 high of $11,200 to be a more significant catalyst for further upside,” Lennard Neo, head of research at Stack Funds, told CoinDesk. He added that the price range of $10,000 to $11,200 may hold until more clarity surfaces going into November U.S. elections.
  • The rise comes a day after payments company Square announced that it had put 1% of its total assets into the largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
  • Prices hit $11,023 at 11:05 UTC – the highest since Sept. 20, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index.
  • The rally to $11,000 marked an upside break from the past two week’s range of about $10,500 and $10,800.

– Omkar Godbole

Token Watch

Tether (USDT), Solana (SOL): Tether launches on Solana, the “web-scale” blockchain, designed to compete with Ethereum and hopes to increase its transaction speeds while lowering costs. 

Bitcoin (BTC): Billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya sees bitcoin as insurance policy against central banks and governments acting irresponsibly.

What’s Hot

Crypto payments firm Ripple branches into corporate lending with line of credit to fund cross-border payments (CoinDesk)

Central-bank digital currencies should work alongside cash, do no harm to financial stability, BIS says (CoinDesk)

BitMEX CTO Reed released in U.S. after payment of $5M bond (CoinDesk)

Ethereum fee-reduction proposal struggles to win consensus backing as miners signal disapproval according to a new survey (CoinDesk)

Crypto trading app Uphold launches service allowing traders to buy and sell 50 U.S. stocks at any time of day (Decrypt)

Amdax digital-asset exchange says it’s first crypto service in Netherlands to register with central bank (CoinDesk)

Decentralized exchange CoFiX raises $500K from investors including Huobi, Dragonfly, Coinbase, with plan for new oracle solution (CoinDesk)

Analogs The latest on the economy and traditional finance

Pelosi, leader of opposition Democratic party in U.S. House, said Thursday she wouldn’t support financial assistance for airlines in standalone bill, insists on broader aid package (CNBC)

U.S. government-supported passenger railroad Amtrak could axe 2.4K jobs without new government bailout, needs $4.9B (Reuters)

Phillippines broadband provider raises $523 million through IPO, country’s largest since 2016, as pandemic spurs greater Internet usage (Bloomberg)

India’s economy will contract by 9.5% in the fiscal year through March due to COVID-19 measures, central bank says (Nikkei Asian Review)

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Binance UK Director Departing After Less Than 6 Months

6 years ago

The director of Binance UK, Teana Baker-Taylor, is leaving the cryptocurrency exchange after a relatively brief, half-year stint in the role.

A spokesperson for Binance confirmed to CoinDesk that Baker-Taylor will depart “in a few days,” adding: “We would like to thank Teana for her hard work and achievements leading Binance UK and wish her all the best for the future.”

Josh Goodbody, Binance’s director of growth and institutional business, will take on responsibility for the U.K. arm following Teana’s departure, the spokesperson said. Goodbody, a lawyer by training, joined Binance in January of this year from rival exchange Huobi Global, where he looked after Europe and the Americas. 

Related: Dutch Central Bank Gives First Approval to Digital Asset Exchange

“It’s been my privilege to help shape the Binance UK strategy and product development,” said Baker-Taylor in an emailed statement to CoinDesk. “I’ve enjoyed working within the innovation-focused culture Binance is known for and I will always be grateful to have had the opportunity to work with an industry leader during this exciting time in crypto’s growth.”

A former HSBC banker, Baker-Taylor joined Binance in May of this year, less than six months ago. Prior to that she was the executive director of Global Digital Finance, a crypto regulation and policy trade association based in the U.K.

She was hired to spearhead Binance’s plans to open a crypto exchange in London regulated by U.K. regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). 

Baker-Taylor isn’t the only high profile crypto personality to leave Binance in recent months. Former ConsenSys partner Ajit Tripathi who led banking and payments partnerships, as well as the Binance Charity Foundation in the region, has also left the organization. 

Related: Winklevoss-Founded Crypto Exchange Gemini Hires Former Morgan Stanley Exec

Tripathi declined to comment to CoinDesk.

Also read: Binance Alliance With Japanese Crypto Platform Abandoned

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Bitcoin Tops $11K for First Time in Almost 3 Weeks

6 years ago

Bitcoin broke through $11,000 on Friday, reaching its highest price in almost three weeks.

  • The rise comes a day after payments company Square announced that it had put 1% of its total assets into the largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
  • Prices hit $11,023 at 11:05 UTC – the highest since Sept. 20, according to CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index.
  • The rally to $11,000 marked an upside break from the past two week’s range of about $10,500 and $10,800.
  • The cryptocurrency remained fairly steady above $10,000 over the past two weeks, despite news of the KuCoin exchange hack, U.S. regulators bringing criminal and civil charges against BitMEX, and President Donald Trump’s announcement he would end talks with Democratic lawmakers over a new fiscal stimulus package.
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China’s Central Bank, Major City to Hand Out $1.5M in Digital Yuan

6 years ago

The People’s Bank of China and a district of Shenzhen are to hand out 10 million digital yuan (worth around $1.5 million) as “red envelope” gifts to citizens.

  • The initiative comes as another pilot of the in-development digital currency, which has been in trials with commercial entities and state-owned banks.
  • Red envelopes are a traditional way of gifting cash in China on holidays or for special occasions such as weddings.
  • According to a report from Sina.com.cn, the pilot will see 50,000 successful applicants each receive 200 of the digital yuan.
  • They can be spent at 3,389 stores that are set up to transact in the digital currency.
  • Anyone living in Shenzhen can apply for the gift from Oct. 9.
  • The pilot is being help by the central bank in partnership with Luohu District, Shenzhen, which is funding the effort.
  • The report suggests the pilot is an indication that the digital yuan is close to being launched.

Also read: China Central Bank Official Reveals Results of First Digital Yuan Pilots

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BitMEX CTO Released in US After Payment of $5M Bond

6 years ago

The former chief technology officer of the troubled BitMEX exchange has been released from custody after a bond for $5 million was paid in the U.S.

  • The news was made public in a document from the District Court of Massachusetts, first reported by The Block.
  • In the document, Reed pledged to appear in court and comply with sentencing or risk the loss of the bond.
  • He was arrested in Massachusetts on Oct. 1, as the U.S. Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice both announced charges against BitMEX, one of the biggest crypto derivatives trading platforms, and its senior executives.
  • The charges include offering illegal trading of derivatives to U.S. retail investors and violating the Bank Secrecy Act.
  • Thursday, BitMEX’s parent firm 100x Group announced that its CEO Arthur Hayes and Reed – both founders – had both stepped down from their management positions following the charges.
  • Greg Dwyer, the head of business development, would take a leave of absence, the exchange said.

Also read: Crypto Trading Platform BitMEX ‘Attempted to Evade’ US Regulations, CFTC, DOJ Charge

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Federal Reserve, 6 Other Central Banks Set Out Core Digital Currency Principles

6 years ago

A group of seven central banks along with the “central bank for central banks” has released a report setting out initial principles for how national digital currencies can help implement monetary policies.

  • Issued Friday, the report – “Central bank digital currencies: foundational principles and core features” – was prepared by the central banks of Canada, the U.K., Japan, Sweden and Switzerland, as well as the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
  • It sets out several “core principals” for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and how they should be designed.
  • Firstly, a CBDC should work alongside cash and other current payment types “in a flexible and innovative payment system.”
  • Secondly, it should support “wider policy objectives” and “do no harm” to monetary and financial stability.
  • Thirdly, it should “promote” innovation and efficiency.
  • In the report, the group says that, while central banks have been providing money to citizens for hundreds of years, “the world is changing.”
  • In an increasingly digital world, central banks have started researching the benefits and risks of offering a “general purpose” digital currency as a way to “evolve” and pursue public policy objectives.
  • The group has now agreed that to move to an issuance of a CBDC, a nation must meet the three core criteria.
  • “A CBDC robustly meeting these criteria and delivering the features set out by this group could be an important instrument for central banks to deliver their public policy objectives,” the report states.
  • While the group pledged to continue with research and collaboration on this topic, it said that study is not a commitment to any actual issuance.
  • In a separate report Thursday, the Bank of Japan said it would move on to tests looking at the technical feasibility of the core functions and features required for CBDC. That proof-of-concept may then be followed by a pilot program “if necessary.”
  • South Korea’s central bank also said this week it would conduct tests of a digital won through 2021.
  • The sudden spate of announcements from global central banks regarding CBDCs comes as China appears to be fast moving closer to a launch of its digital yuan.
  • The People’s Bank recently revealed some of the results of real-world tests of the initiative, indicating that 3.1 million digital yuan transactions had been made in a commercial setting, for an amount worth $162 million.

Also read: ‘It’s Something We’re Studying’: Deputy Treasury Secretary Discusses US CBDC Plans

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CoinDesk

Fed Reserve and 6 Other Central Banks Set Out Core Digital Currency Principles

6 years ago

A group of seven central banks along with the “central bank for central banks” have released a report setting out initial principles for how national digital currencies can help implement monetary policies.

  • Issued Thursday, the report – “Central bank digital currencies: foundational principles and core features” – was prepared by the central banks of Canada, the U.K., Japan, Sweden and Switzerland, as well as the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
  • It sets out several “core principals” for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and how they should be designed.
  • Firstly, a CBDC should work alongside cash and other current payment types “in a flexible and innovative payment system.”
  • Secondly, it should support “wider policy objectives” and “do no harm” to monetary and financial stability.
  • Thirdly, it should “promote” innovation and efficiency.
  • In the report, the group says that, while central banks have been providing money to citizens for hundreds of years, “the world is changing.”
  • In an increasingly digital world, central banks have started researching the benefits and risks of offering a “general purpose” digital currency as a way to “evolve” and pursue public policy objectives.
  • The group has now agreed that to move to an issuance of a CBDC, a nation must meet the three core criteria.
  • “A CBDC robustly meeting these criteria and delivering the features set out by this group could be an important instrument for central banks to deliver their public policy objectives,” the report states.
  • While the group pledged to continue with research and collaboration on this topic, it said that study is not a commitment to any actual issuance.
  • In a separate report Thursday, the Bank of Japan said it would move on to tests looking at the technical feasibility of the core functions and features required for CBDC. That proof-of-concept may then be followed by a pilot program “if necessary.”
  • South Korea’s central bank also said this week it would conduct tests of a digital won through 2021.
  • The sudden spate of announcements from global central banks regarding CBDCs comes as China appears to be fast moving closer to a launch of its digital yuan.
  • The People’s Bank recently revealed some of the results of real-world tests of the initiative, indicating that 3.1 million digital yuan transactions had been made in a commercial setting, for an amount worth $162 million.

Also read: ‘It’s Something We’re Studying’: Deputy Treasury Secretary Discusses US CBDC Plans

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CoinDesk

Dutch Central Bank Gives First Approval to Digital Asset Exchange

6 years ago

A cryptocurrency service operating in the Netherlands has become the first such entity to register with the country’s central bank.

  • Per a company press statement on Wednesday, the Amsterdam Digital Asset Exchange (AMDAX) said the registration with De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) meant it could now go ahead and process crypto transactions.
  • The firm will also be allowed to store and provide custody of digital assets under the European Union’s (EU) newly implemented AML5 guidelines that came into effect on May 21.
  • Those guidelines, which some argue are killing crypto firms across the country, passed the Dutch Parliament earlier this year.
  • Amsterdam-based AMDAX said it will support private investors with portfolios beginning at 2.5 bitcoin (about $27,000 or €23,000 at press time).
  • The Dutch implementation of the regulations is very strict, usually including additional criteria for client assessments and for tracing the origin of money users want to invest.
  • DNB “justly applies” these regulations, said Valentino Cremona, co-founder and director at AMDAX.
  • With bitcoin often being associated with crime, the market needs a “clear legal framework,” Cremona said.
  • The exchange’s registration with the central bank demonstrates to investors that cryptocurrency is “a mature asset class, not for criminals, but for smart investors,” he added.

See also: The Netherlands’ AMLD5 Interpretation Appears to Be Killing Crypto Firms

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Ripple Enters Lending With XRP Credit Lines to Fund Global Payments

6 years ago

Ripple, the payments startup with a multibillion-dollar valuation, an IPO in the cards and a complex relationship with the XRP cryptocurrency, is branching out into the lending business.

  • On Friday, the Silicon Valley-based fintech unveiled its Line of Credit for customers using its On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) service, per a company blog post.
  • “This is our first time testing a product offering in the lending space,” a company spokesperson confirmed to CoinDesk. “We may decide to build out a more robust offering in the future.”
  • According to Ripple, the credit line will enable small-to-medium enterprises to expand their business where they would otherwise face “stalled growth,” inhibiting their ability to compete with larger companies.
  • Those companies using ODL on RippleNet, a network of payment providers, will be able to buy XRP from Ripple on credit and will be charged a fee on the amount borrowed.
  • The service is designed to facilitate lower-cost financing for cross-border payments compared to traditional means and has been trialed by RippleNet customers via a pilot program, the company said.
  • ODL uses XRP as a “bridge currency” to facilitate cross-border payments. For example, a Canadian business that needs to pay a supplier in Israel but can’t find a foreign exchange dealer willing to exchange loonies for shekels can instead convert the money into and out of XRP, quick snap.
  • In that same example, the credit line means that the Canadian firm doesn’t have to front the money – it locks in a rate at the time of payment and then repays Ripple “when it’s convenient,” the company says.
  • Ripple holds 6.2 billion XRP (worth about $1.55 billion at current prices). Its stash accounts for 6% of the total XRP supply when counting both the 45 billion in circulation and 48.6 billion in escrow. The company periodically sells XRP into the market.

See also: Ripple Chairman Says Firm Could Leave US if Regulatory Environment Doesn’t Change

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Lightning Vulnerability Discovered; LND Node Operators Urged to Upgrade ASAP

6 years ago

A vulnerability in LND versions 0.10.x and below has been disclosed to the Lightning Labs team, according to engineer Conner Fromknecht in the Lightning Network developer channel Thursday. In light of the disclosure, the firm is urging node operators to upgrade to versions 0.11.0 or higher as soon as possible.

  • No known exploitations of the vulnerability have been found to date, but “circumstances surrounding the discovery resulted in a compressed disclosure timeline,” Fromknecht said.
  • The vulnerability was “partially” disclosed with a detailed publishing of the findings promised Oct. 20.
  • Lightning Labs – one of three major implementations of the Lightning Network – released its newest v0.11.1-beta on Oct. 1.
  • Lightning Labs did not respond immediately to a request for comment.
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BitFlyer Japan’s Assets Under Custody Reach Highest Point Since 2018

6 years ago

Crypto exchange bitFlyer Japan announced Wednesday that its assets under custody exceeded 161.8 billion yen ($1.5 billion) in August, the highest level in two years.

  • According to the announcement, the rise in bitcoin price and the exchange listing four new crypto assets at the end of last year led to the increase in assets under custody, or the total value of financial assets the firm manages for its clients. 
  • In the period from December 2019 through now, bitFlyer Japan listed XRP (XRP), Basic Attention Token (BAT), Stellar Lumen (XLM) and Nem (XEM) on its exchange.
  • CoinDesk Japan reported that according to latest statistics from the Japanese crypto asset trading industry, the physical transaction volume of domestic cryptocurrencies was down this year: July (in-kind trading) was approximately 604 billion yen, well below the 1.1 trillion yen recorded in July 2019.
  • Earlier this year, bitFlyer conducted an internet survey which revealed that during the first half of the calendar year, most people who opened new accounts with the exchange were in their 20s. 
  • Midori Kanemitsu, a market analyst at bitFlyer, explained in the same report that the attitude towards bitcoin had changed significantly as global monetary easing progressed during the COVID-19 pandemic, shifting the cryptocurrency from an investment target to an asset class that institutional investors can hedge against inflation.
  • The exchange’s bitcoin rewards program also hit a record high last month.
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bitFlyer Japan’s Assets Under Custody Reach Highest Point Since 2018

6 years ago

Crypto exchange bitFlyer Japan announced Wednesday that its assets under custody exceeded 161.8 billion yen ($1.5 billion) in August, the highest level in two years.

  • According to the announcement, the rise in bitcoin price and the exchange listing four new crypto assets at the end of last year led to the increase in assets under custody, or the total value of financial assets the firm manages for its clients. 
  • In the period from December 2019 through now, bitFlyer Japan listed XRP (XRP), Basic Attention Token (BAT), Stellar Lumen (XLM) and Nem (XEM) on its exchange.
  • CoinDesk Japan reported that according to latest statistics from the Japanese crypto asset trading industry, the physical transaction volume of domestic cryptocurrencies was down this year: July (in-kind trading) was approximately 604 billion yen, well below the 1.1 trillion yen recorded in July 2019.
  • Earlier this year, bitFlyer conducted an internet survey which revealed that during the first half of the calendar year, most people who opened new accounts with the exchange were in their 20s. 
  • Midori Kanemitsu, a market analyst at bitFlyer, explained in the same report that the attitude towards bitcoin had changed significantly as global monetary easing progressed during the COVID-19 pandemic, shifting the cryptocurrency from an investment target to an asset class that institutional investors can hedge against inflation.
  • The exchange’s bitcoin rewards program also hit a record high last month.
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Market Wrap: Bitcoin Surges on Square News to $10.9K; December Ether Options Pile Up

6 years ago

Bitcoin is flashing green as Square converts some of its cash to crypto while ether options traders are making lots of bets for December expiration.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) trading around $10,890 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET). Gaining 2.1% over the previous 24 hours.
  • Bitcoin’s 24-hour range: $10,532-$10,962
  • BTC above its 10-day and 50-day moving averages, a bullish signal for market technicians.

Bitcoin’s price popped Thursday, led higher almost immediately following the announcement that payments firm Square had invested $50 million to purchase 4,709 BTC. The development pushed the price per 1 BTC to as high as $10,962 before settling to $10,890 as of press time. 

Read More: Square Puts 1% of Total Assets in Bitcoin in Surprise $50M Investment

Related: The Market Reacts to Square’s $50M Bitcoin Buy

“News that Jack Dorsey’s Square has purchased about $50 million worth of bitcoin is a definite positive that appears to have driven markets higher on the back of positive sentiment,” said Guy Hirsch, USA managing director of multi-asset brokerage eToro. “Dorsey has long been an advocate of the largest cryptocurrency, and this move reaffirms his bullish stance, and Square’s.” The stock price of Square (NYSE: SQ) also rose Thursday, in the green 1.8% at the close of trading today.

“Seeing traditional institutional firms such as Square invest into bitcoin to hold on their balance sheet after a publicly traded company such as MicroStrategy purchased $250 million worth of bitcoin as a ‘hedge against inflation’ brings significant credibility to bitcoin,” said Michael Gord, chief executive of trading firm Global Digital Assets. “The CEO of MicroStrategy even went so far as to call bitcoin superior to cash”. 

If indeed these investments are a bet against fiat, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the greenback versus a mix of other currencies, is one metric to watch. Though it has picked up since a late-August low, it’s still in the relative doldrums for 2020 and was flat, in the red 0.02% as of press time Thursday.

The positive market sentiment has certainly translated into higher-than-average bitcoin daily spot volume. Major exchanges already have $332 million in volume so far Thursday, higher than the $284 daily average in the past month.

Related: Square Puts 1% of Total Assets in Bitcoin in Surprise $50M Investment

While bitcoin volume is up Thursday, volatility remains low. In the options market, six-month at-the-money (ATM) volatility, the difference between option strikes to the price of bitcoin, is at 65%. The last time it was that low was back on July 31.

“The buy pressure from institutional investors is increasing, so we are seeing a nice ramp up,” said Marc Fleury, CEO of Two Prime, a crypto asset management firm. “We seem to be entering an era of a low-volatility bull market.”

Lots of ether options for December expiration

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, was up Thursday trading around $351 and climbing 3.3% in 24 hours as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET). 

Read More: As DeFi Deflates, Ethereum Users Get Reprieve From Soaring Fees

Ether options traders are heavily betting on the asset’s price at the end of the year. Over 473,500 ETH in open interest is set for expiration on Dec. 25, which is approximately $166,023,00 worth of options at Thursday’s spot prices.

Vishal Shah, an options trader and founder of derivatives exchange Alpha 5, says traders started piling up ether options positions for December a while ago. “It really started gearing up with DeFi a few months back,” he said. There’s two main reasons for the options bets, Shah added. “It’s either a levered play on DeFi doing well, or as a tail hedge against impermanent losses,” he said. Impermanent loss is when an investor contributes to a liquidity pool and can temporarily be worse off than actually just holding the asset due to protocol imbalances.

Other markets

Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mostly green Thursday. Notable winners as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

One notable loser as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

  • eos (EOS) – 0.46%

Read More: BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes Leaves Role After US Charges

Equities:

Commodities:

  • Oil was up 3%. Price per barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude: $41.23.
  • Gold was in the green 0.37% and at $1,894 as of press time.

Treasurys:

  • U.S. Treasury bond yields all fell Thursady. Yields, which move in the opposite direction as price, were down most on the two-year, dipping to 0.147 and in the red 8.5%.
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New Ethereum Fee Model Has Some Miners Crying Foul: Survey

6 years ago

Ethereum miners are signaling their disapproval of a technical proposal advocated by top Ethereum developers, a new survey shows.

Eight of the nine mining projects partaking in a community survey on Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP) 1559 had a negative impression of the proposal, with seven of the nine saying they would refuse to implement the EIP if it were included in a future hard fork.

EIP 1559 swaps Ethereum’s current bid-based transaction market for a set fee, BASEFEE, with a small tip for miner compensation. The EIP gained steam over the summer months as the cost to send even a basic transaction broke $10 multiple times. 

Related: JPMorgan’s Blockchain Lead Is Now in Charge of Ethereum-Based Interbank Information Network

Read more: Ethereum Developers Consider New Fee Model as Gas Costs Climb

The survey included 25 Ethereum projects, with most choosing to remain anonymous, Tim Beiko, ConsenSys product manager and survey implementor, said in the Medium post. The survey lacked participation from exchanges or wallets, according to Beiko.

Overall, positive and negative responses both garnered 42% of the vote, with the remainder being neutral or having no opinion.

First proposed in 2018 by Vitalik Buterin, among others, EIP 1559 is expected to make the blockchain’s fee market more predictable and relieve congestion.

Related: Ethereum Is the Frontier of Financial Innovation

What EIP 1559 does not do is promise lower transaction fees. Miners would still garner profits under the new model, but they would be restricted compared to the current setup as the BASEFEE would be burnt to the network. Doing so would add a deflationary mechanism to the Ethereum network’s native currency, ether (ETH).

Unhappy Ethereum miners

Yet, Ethereum miners have the most to lose from the proposal becoming the new standard because transaction fees would be limited to a smaller range. It’s never been more lucrative to be a miner, with profitability hitting all-time highs throughout 2020, according to BitInfoCharts.

“It has been a very misleading EIP, and a majority of the supporters are some Twitter thought-leaders (sic) who believe it will moon the price. lol,” BitFly technical writer Butta said in a private message to CoinDesk. BitFly’s Ethermine is the second-largest Ethereum mining pool by hashrate, according to Etherscan.

Conversely, the largest Ethereum mining pool, Sparkpool, is in favor of the change, according to statements made to CoinDesk in June. Sparkpool did not return a request for comment by press time.

Post-Berlin hard fork

As of now, Ethereum developers are still kicking the tires on the EIP. They will not include it until after the Berlin hard fork, which has yet to be scheduled for execution after it was postponed in June.

Read more: Ethereum Developers Delay Berlin Hard Fork to Stem Client Centralization Concerns

Moreover, the survey and EIP 1559 developer call Thursday morning raised separate concerns over the EIP itself. While miners are worried about their pocketbooks, decentralized applications (dapps) worry about implementing the EIP, its effectiveness and changes to developer tooling. 

Some Ethereum clients such as Nethermind and Besu have begun implementing the EIP on testnets. But other clients, including Geth and OpenEthereum, are waiting for a finalized specification before releasing the EIP on testnet.

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Pantera Capital’s First Venture Fund Did Pretty Well. Its Second Fund? Not So Much

6 years ago

Pantera Capital, a cryptocurrency investment firm known for its blockbuster bitcoin returns, has been on the upside when investing in startups, though the returns have been falling below or closer to other types of equity investors.

The venture funds Pantera Capital raised in August 2013 and August 2014 have returned 46.5% and 15.9% from their inception to September 2019, respectively, according to firm data obtained by CoinDesk. The returns underperform index funds most retail investors can buy into and outperform venture funds limited to smaller pools of accredited investors.

Read more: Pantera Crypto Funds Report 100% Returns Amid DeFi Craze

Related: Pantera Crypto Funds Report 100% Returns Amid DeFi Craze

Up to September 2019, the S&P 500 index, for example, has returned, adjusted for inflation, 62.6% over the first Pantera venture fund and 40.8% over the second Pantera venture fund. United States funds included in the 2019 Cambridge Associates Venture Capital Index have returned on average 12.08% on a five-year timescale and 14.55% on a 10-year time scale.

Why the drop?

Paul Veradittakit, a venture partner at Pantera Capital, attributed the dramatic gap in performance to the different focus and size of the funds. The closely aged funds’ returns slid as the second fund ramped up investments in 36 companies and counted in diverse companies building mostly supplemental cryptocurrency products — a more than fourfold rise from the first fund’s eight companies dedicated to cryptocurrency services catering to the bare essentials. 

While the first Pantera venture fund has invested in digital asset developers like Ripple Labs and basic exchanges and payment processors like Bitstamp, Xapo, Circle and Ripio (formerly known as BitPagos), the second venture fund has invested in exchanges with peripheral financial instruments like cryptocurrency options broker ErisX, scattered cryptocurrency platforms that include Shapeshift, Abra, Brave, Civic, Starkware, BitOasis and BitPesa, and even another cryptocurrency fund manager, Polychain Capital.

Read more: Pantera Crypto Hedge Funds Are Losing Double Digits, Bitcoin Fund Is Up 10,000% to Date

Related: Ex-Pantera Partner’s New Crypto Fund Is ‘Not for the Faint of Heart’

Information was not provided on Pantera Capital’s third venture fund, which has raised $164.7 million as of August, just slightly under a $175 million ceiling sought since 2018. But if strategy and volume is any indication, the third Pantera venture fund has mirrored the approach of the second fund, putting more money into ErisX, Starkware and at least 16 in-the-weeds companies. Among these newer startups are The Block, a cryptocurrency research site; and Bakkt, a New York Stock Exchange corporation-connected bitcoin futures exchange.

In all, Pantera Capital’s assets were valued at over $448 million in financial filings this year, covering $249.3 million in the venture funds. The venture funds take at least $50,000 and $100,000 sums from investors and spend about $1 million to $3 million on 10% to 20% equity stakes in seed-stage investments. For Series A venture investments, Pantera Capital commits somewhere from $3 million to $8 million to 3% to 15% stakes in companies.

Hits and misses

Exits – mergers, acquisitions and listings on public stock exchanges – are how venture capital funds realize returns, positive or negative, on their investments, depending on company financials and investment timing. The seven-year-old cryptocurrency investment firm has had 14 exits make $66 million on $16 million of capital invested in its venture companies, according to the firm data dated to this month a year ago. 

While not counted in realized returns, companies that do not exit still contribute to a venture fund’s value. All companies considered by last September, Pantera Capital grew the value of capital in the first venture fund from $12 million to $92 million, in the second venture fund from $26 million to $41 million.

Read more: Crypto M&A and Fundraising Dropped Sharply in 2019: PwC Report

In the first fund, the venture data says Pantera Capital in 2018 took away $50.5 million from a $9.2 million investment and 6% stake in Bitstamp when 80% of the bitcoin exchange sold to Belgian investment holding company NXMH. Pantera Capital also stands to make $22.3 million from the remaining 20% Bitstamp equity should it be bought, making it one of the fund’s more lucrative investments.

Less remarkable than the Bitstamp exit, the second Pantera venture fund drew in one of its notable exits in Korbit – $6 million from a $603,205 investment –  when the Korean digital currency exchange was acquired in 2017 by Korean gaming developer NXC Corp.

Unlike the second fund, the first Pantera venture fund has not had a company end in a bankruptcy or a closure that did not involve a buy-out. At least two cryptocurrency apps backed by the second fund have shut down, bringing its value down along with them: Basis, a $133 million-funded coin that planned to back itself with fiat currency, and TruStory, a crowd-sourced crypto-offering fact-checking site that raised $3.3 million. 

Exits with unknown returns

Five other acquisitions have also contributed to Pantera’s venture returns, but the data does not specify how much money they made, if any. Acquired in the first fund was promotional site Earn.com. In the second fund, there were security token issuer Harbor, trading platform Paradex and virtual currency portfolio tracker Blockfolio. The third fund invested in Blockfolio again and the digital currency brokerage Tagomi.

What is known is that two of the acquisitions, Harbor and Earn.com, sold for around or below the respective $38 million and $121 million they raised, suggesting some investors may have lost money or written them off. Many investors backed Earn.com when it was a bitcoin mining chip producer, 21 Inc., a business model and name that was subsequently scrapped and rebranded. Virtual currency exchange Coinbase in 2018 acquired Earn.com for about $100 million and Harbor sold for around $38 million to cryptocurrency custodian BitGo in 2019.

Read more: Coinbase In Talks to Buy Bitcoin Startup Earn.com

On the flip side, Blockfolio sold at significant premiums for some investors from the $17 million it raised and Paradex’s acquisition was profitable for most, if not all, investors, according to investor data from other sources seen by CoinDesk. Coinbase bought Paradex in 2018 for more than its seed-only funding, and it added Tagomi for about $150 million in May. Cryptocurrency derivatives trading market FTX Exchange purchased Blockfolio for about $150 million in September.

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JPMorgan’s Blockchain Lead Is Now in Charge of Ethereum-Based Interbank Information Network

6 years ago

JPMorgan Blockchain Lead Christine Moy has been promoted to lead the bank’s Ethereum-based Interbank Information Network (IIN), according to a memo sent to employees on Thursday.

  • The network was developed to solve some of the challenges in interbank information sharing, and rivals upstarts including Ripple and Transferwise. It’s powered by Quorum, the permissioned-variant of the Ethereum blockchain acquired by ConsenSys in August.
  • According to JPMorgan, more than 400 banks have joined the network, including more than half of the top 50 banks. 
  • Moy will take the IIN lead from the bank’s global head of clearing, John Hunter, who helped create IIN in 2017. 
  • Hunter is now exclusively focused on clearing but will be a senior adviser to the IIN team, bank spokesperson Jessica Francisco said in an emailed statement.
  • Moy will continue to helm the Blockchain Center of Excellence, where she has led initiatives around digital assets, tokenized payments and digital identity. 
  • Moy started her career in the bank’s syndicated loans business and has experience across a range of assets and divisions within the bank.

Read more: JP Morgan’s New DLT Lead: We’re Not Done With Blockchain Innovation

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Digital Bank Revolut Taps Fireblocks to Support New Crypto-Based Services

6 years ago

U.K. based fintech bank Revolut has partnered with Fireblocks, a digital asset transaction and storage platform, to provide a secure payments infrastructure for the digital bank’s new cryptocurrency services. 

Announced Thursday, Revolut will use Fireblocks’ wallet and network infrastructure when it offers new crypto services for its 13 million global retail customers.

  • The firm did not share any details on what its new crypto products will be.
  • However, its statement said using Fireblocks’ crypto management solution would help Revolut streamline liquidity settlements and help guarantee the best price to customers, while also reducing counterparty risk.
  • Fireblocks uses a patented multi-party computational (MPC) technology for its wallet, and said that so far it has helped with the transfer of $70 billion worth of digital assets.

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The DOJ’s ‘Crypto Enforcement Framework’ Argues Against Privacy Tools and for International Regulation

6 years ago

U.S. Attorney General William Barr’s Department of Justice (DOJ) believes cryptocurrencies pose an emerging challenge to law enforcement activities, according to a new publication filed Thursday.

The DOJ’s “Cryptocurrency: An Enforcement Framework” document, published by the Attorney General’s Cyber-Digital Task Force, outlines what cryptocurrencies are and their potential use cases, including sections on both legitimate and illicit uses (though the “legitimate uses” section was shorter and more skeptical). Crypto has been used to support terrorism, purchase illicit items, conduct blackmail and extortion, cryptojacking and launder funds, according to the document, and the DOJ has spent the last two years determining how best to address these issues.

“Those efforts are paying off,” wrote Sujit Raman, the task force’s chair, referencing recent cases against Telegram, Welcome to Video, sanctions designations and other efforts. And while the report was published by the DOJ, it encompasses efforts by all parts of the federal government, including civil regulatory agencies.

Related: US Charges 3 With Vast ‘Crypto Jacking’ Computer Fraud Scheme

In a statement, Attorney General William Barr said, “Cryptocurrency is a technology that could fundamentally transform how human beings interact, and how we organize society.  Ensuring that use of this technology is safe, and does not imperil our public safety or our national security, is vitally important to America and its allies.”

The report itself is split into three sections: an overview of the cryptocurrency space and its current illicit uses; the laws and regulatory agencies that oversee the space; and the current challenges and potential strategies to address them. 

The report warns that cryptocurrencies are more difficult for investigators to learn about than previous tools for executing crimes, citing pump-and-dump schemes as one example. 

Cryptocurrency is a technology that could fundamentally transform how human beings interact, and how we organize society. Ensuring that use of this technology is safe, and does not imperil our public safety or our national security, is vitally important to America and its allies.

Related: US Antitrust Chief Says Protecting Blockchain From Competitive Abuses Is Top Priority

Investigators must learn to use “specialized communications applications,” the report said. Further, the markets being used evolve rapidly, with the report pointing to how the initial coin offering boom has given way to decentralized finance markets. The fact that blockchains are borderless, allowing anyone from any part of the world to interact with the markets, “adds a further layer of complexity.”

“Finally, decentralized platforms, peer-to-peer exchangers, and anonymity-enhanced cryptocurrencies that use non-public or private blockchains all can further obscure financial transactions from legitimate scrutiny,” the report said.

In short

Much of the first section of the report simply provides an overview of cryptocurrencies, blockchain, distributed ledgers more broadly and how they’ve been used over the past few years.

The report distinguishes between virtual currencies, which are a “digital representation of value,” and cryptocurrencies, which it describes as being in a subset of virtual currencies that are decentralized and based on blockchains. 

It goes on to explain addresses, wallets, miners and other aspects, noting that while some transactions are private and easy to query on the blockchain, some cryptocurrencies emphasize privacy (the DOJ does not appear to be a fan of these currencies).

“As discussed in Part I, a wide range of criminal activity may involve or be facilitated by the use of cryptocurrency. On numerous occasions, the Department of Justice has used available legal tools to pursue successful prosecutions of such activity,” the report said in the opening to its second section.

Read more: The DOJ Wants to Hire a Crypto Crime Attorney Adviser

It summarizes the U.S. government’s actions over the past few years. In addition to criminal cases brought by the DOJ, civil cases brought by the Securities And Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) were highlighted, such as the SEC’s case against Telegram, which raised $1.7 billion in an initial coin offering but ultimately had to refund investors.

Agencies with oversight or enforcement power in the space include the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the SEC, the CFTC and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). The Financial Action Task Force (FATF), an intergovernmental organization that provides standards and recommendations for international money laundering rules, also received a mention.

Enforcement

It is the third section, “Ongoing Challenges and Future Strategies,” however, the DOJ noted that some exchanges and entities play “jurisdictional arbitrage,” looking for the friendliest jurisdiction to operate in. This can harm law enforcement agencies’ efforts to “investigate, prosecute and prevent criminal activity” that involves virtual assets, the report claimed.

“In the United States, AML/CFT standards have been in place for MSBs engaged in virtual asset activities since 2011, and yet many VASPs still are operating in ways that do not comply with the BSA and other regulatory requirements,” the report said. 

This concern is exacerbated with companies that operate across different countries. A VASP might apply a different standard within the U.S. than it does outside it, or use different standards for crypto-to-fiat transactions compared to crypto-to-crypto transactions, the report claimed.

“Such behaviors are flatly inconsistent with VASPs’ BSA obligations and can create significant financial intelligence gaps,” it said.

Read more: US Antitrust Chief Says Protecting Blockchain From Competitive Abuses Is Top Priority

The DOJ report also took particular aim at privacy coins, mixers, tumblers and other tools that are intended to conceal aspects of transactions.

Any website that offers mixing or tumbling services is “engaged in money transmission,” meaning it is subject to the Bank Secrecy Act. Websites that don’t follow the BSA or similar international regulations might face criminal prosecution, the report said. 

As part of this section, the DOJ maintained its right and ability to prosecute violations conducted by entities based outside the U.S. should those entities still involve U.S. persons or services.

“The Department also has robust authority to prosecute VASPs and other entities and individuals that violate U.S. law even when they are not located inside the United States,” the report said. “Where virtual asset transactions touch financial, data storage, or other computer systems within the United States, the Department generally has jurisdiction to prosecute the actors who direct or conduct those transactions.”

While the DOJ most recently filed charges against BitMEX, it has in the past also gone after other non-U.S. based entities, such as 1broker.

‘Response strategies’

The report similarly had an emphasis on national security concerns created by cryptocurrencies in its conclusion, saying rogue states and terrorists could take advantage of decentralized assets to undermine financial markets, avoid sanctions and fund harmful activities.

“As the use of cryptocurrency evolves and expands, so too will opportunities to commit crime and to do harm by exploiting cryptocurrency technology,” the report said. “Ultimately, illicit uses of cryptocurrency threaten not just public safety, but national security, as well … Current terrorist use of cryptocurrency may represent the first raindrops of an oncoming storm of expanded use that could challenge the ability of the United States and its allies to disrupt financial resources that would enable terrorist organizations to more successfully execute their deadly missions or to expand their influence.”

Current terrorist use of cryptocurrency may represent the first raindrops of an oncoming storm of expanded use that could challenge the ability of the United States and its allies to disrupt financial resources that would enable terrorist organizations to more successfully execute their deadly missions or to expand their influence.

A large part of the DOJ’s future efforts will depend on education around the cryptocurrency space, bringing regulators and government officials fully up to speed as the space evolves.

The report stressed that private stakeholders in the industry must work with regulators and elected officials.

Federal authorities must also work with state officials, the report said, to ensure de-confliction while conducting investigations.

“Indeed, for cryptocurrency to realize its truly transformative potential, it is imperative that these risks be addressed,” the report concluded.

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5% of Coinbase Employees Take Severance Offer Over ‘Apolitical’ Stance

6 years ago

Coinbase has lost 60 people from its 1,200-person staff after an updated mission statement from CEO Brian Armstrong sparked fierce debate over how companies should respond to today’s charged politics.

In a companywide memo obtained by CoinDesk, Armstrong informed employees that 5% of the company’s workforce had accepted the severance package offered last week. The deadline for employees to signal their interest in the package was Wednesday, and Armstrong said he expects the number to be higher after a “handful of other conversations” are completed. 

“I know there have been many difficult conversations happening to help clarify what our apolitical culture means in practice,” Armstrong wrote. “It’s been great to see the whole team come together to reach understanding here, and support each other through it. It’s not easy to get through, but I think it will result in us having a stronger and more united team.”

Related: Reading Between the Lines of Brian Armstrong’s Mission Memo

Armstrong said the company could have done a “better job” helping Coinbase’s operating group and managers understand the new mission. He also said the exit package had been taken primarily by people who were not part of Coinbase’s “under-represented minority population” and that Coinbase would “continue to keep a close eye on this to ensure we are building a diverse, inclusive environment where everyone feels they belong.”

Coinbase employees speak

One employee at the firm, who spoke with CoinDesk on the condition of anonymity, said the severance package was taken mostly by engineers – as opposed to less-mobile employees like customer support. Another source speaking on the condition of anonymity said the departures were pretty evenly distributed.

I’m worried that the severance package was too good.

Another employee was surprised to hear the number of people who had left. “I’m worried that the severance package was too good,” he said. 

Related: Coinbase’s ‘Mission’ Violates the Spirit of Bitcoin

Read more: Coinbase Offers Severance Package to Employees Unsatisfied With ‘Apolitical’ Mission

In his Thursday memo, Armstrong also clarified that the new mission would not mean employees don’t have to “pretend politics don’t exist.”

“We support each other through tough times and also have conversations about recent events like any team,” Armstrong wrote in the memo. “We have just made a decision to not engage in broader activism as a company outside of our mission.”

While it’s clear that employees are not allowed to talk politics in general Slack channels and have to set up separate non-general channels to talk politics, it’s not clear what counts as political and what counts as apolitical. As CoinDesk reported Friday, employees were told a #spaghetti-monster-for-president Slack channel would be in keeping with the new policy.

Read more: Coinbase Employees Have Begun to Take Severance Packages

“There’s not been any real clarity since last week,” one engineer said. “No one in leadership seems to be able to define it since they’re in the same boat as the rest of the employees, trying to pull meaning from Brian’s limited statements.”

Armstrong said in the memo he recognizes that what counts as politics is “a blurry line.”

“Our goal is not to look for violations, but rather to support employees in adapting to these clarified expectations,” he wrote.

Armstrong also said the cultural norms at Coinbase will be re-articulated and clarified in the future as the company scales. 

“I’m excited to be moving forward as #OneCoinbase to pursue our vision of economic freedom for every person and business,” he concluded.

Zack Seward contributed reporting.

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