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Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Bitcoin Coders Confront an Old Quandary: How to Upgrade an Entire Network

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Golden Cross Gives Little Relief as Bitcoin Risks Fall Below 2020 Bullish Trendline

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Golden Cross Gives Little Relief as Bitcoin Risks Fall Below 2020 Bullish Trendline

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Craig Wright Doubles Down on Satoshi Claim, Says Bitcoin Core Infringes His ‘Database Rights’

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Craig Wright Doubles Down on Satoshi Claim, Says Bitcoin Core Infringes His ‘Database Rights’

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Derivatives Exchange Deribit Launches Daily Ether Options

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Derivatives Exchange Deribit Launches Daily Ether Options

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Speculation Undermines Crypto Prices and Utility, Says Bank of England Senior Economist

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Low-Volume Bitcoin Pullback Stalls at Price Support Near $9.6K

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: From Crypto Self-Custody to Music Rights, This Mother-Daughter Dev Team Does It All

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: From Crypto Self-Custody to Music Rights, This Mother-Daughter Dev Team Does It All

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: For Crypto Miners, Bitcoin’s Halving Could Mean a Doubling in Costs

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: For Crypto Miners, Bitcoin’s Halving Could Mean a Doubling in Costs

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Bitcoin Closing on Daily Golden Cross That Could Bring Boost to 2020 Price Rally

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Bitcoin Closing on Daily Golden Cross That Could Bring Boost to 2020 Price Rally

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: US DOJ Calls Bitcoin Mixing ‘a Crime’ in Arrest of Software Developer

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: US DOJ Calls Bitcoin Mixing ‘a Crime’ in Arrest of Software Developer

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Here’s How to Inspect Bitcoin’s Next (Likely) Major Upgrade Yourself

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Here’s How to Inspect Bitcoin’s Next (Likely) Major Upgrade Yourself

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: $400 Drop: Bitcoin Faces Further Downside After Rejection at Price Hurdle

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: $400 Drop: Bitcoin Faces Further Downside After Rejection at Price Hurdle

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Coinbase Revives Margin Trading, With Conservative (for Crypto) 3x Leverage

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Coinbase Revives Margin Trading, With Conservative (for Crypto) 3x Leverage

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Bitcoin Most ‘Overbought’ in 2 Years After Price Rises Back Above $10K

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin Volatility Hits 6.5-Month Low as Price Falls Back to $8,000

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin has dropped by $300 in the last 24 hours. Even so, the outlook remains neutral as key Fibonacci retracement support at $7,850 is still intact.
  • Bitcoin’s volatility gauge has dropped to the lowest level in over six months. The low volatility period will likely end with a big move on the higher side, as a repeated defense of $7,850 is indicating seller exhaustion.
  • A UTC close above $8,820 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal.
  • A high-volume move below $7,850 would confirm range breakdown. However, an impending death cross, a bearish but contrary indicator, suggests the downside, if any, could be limited around $7,400.

Bitcoin’s struggle for clear directional bias looks set to end, with volatility hitting multi-month lows and the charts suggesting a big move could soon occur on the higher side.

The top cryptocurrency by market value has spent a better part of the last four weeks trading the range of $7,800 to $8,400.

A double bottom breakout on Oct. 9 had raised hopes of a move above $9,000. The ascent, however, stalled $8,820 on Oct. 11 following which prices fell back to $7,800.

Related: Bitcoin Most ‘Overbought’ in 2 Years After Price Rises Back Above $10K

Further, the cryptocurrency failed to draw bids above $8,300 over the last two days despite the bullish setup on intraday charts and retreated back to $7,920 during the Asian trading hours today.

With the lackluster price action, bitcoin’s 60-day daily return volatility, as calculated by Coinmetrics, has dropped to 2.58 percent – the lowest level since April 1.

The volatility gauge topped out above 5.5 percent in July and has been on a steady decline ever since, as seen in the chart below.

Related: Bitcoin Price Hits 5-Month High Above $10,350

An extended period of low volatility often paves the way for a big move on either side.

For instance, the 60-day volatility topped out at 5 percent in early January and fell to 2 percent on April 1 – a day before BTC broke in a bull market with a $1,000 rally to $5,000. Going back further, volatility has bottomed out quite a few times near or below 2 percent.

BTC, therefore, could soon adopt a strong directional bias. The risks are skewed in favor of a bullish move, according to technical charts.

Weekly chart

Bitcoin dived out a contracting triangle in the last week of September, signaling a continuation of the pullback from June’s high of $13,880.

The ensuing sell-off, however, ran out of steam near $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $3,122 to $13,880 – over the last three weeks.

The repeated defense of the Fibonacci support indicates seller exhaustion. The indicators on the three-day chart are also echoing similar sentiments, as discussed on Tuesday.

BTC, therefore, could see a strong bounce, possibly to levels above $8,820 (Oct. 11 high) in the short term. That would invalidate the lower highs setup on the daily chart and open the doors for resistance at $9,320.

As of now, BTC is changing hands at $7,970 on Bitstamp, representing a 2.8 percent loss on a 24-hour basis.

The outlook would turn bearish if prices drop below $7,850 with strong volumes, confirming a range breakdown.

Even so, a big sell-off, similar to the $2,000 drop seen in September, looks unlikely, and the downside could be restricted near $7,430 (multiple daily lows in early June), as a contrary indicator is about to turn bearish, as seen below.

Daily chart

The impending death cross, a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-day moving averages, has trapped sellers on the wrong side of the market in the past.

For instance, BTC had bottomed out near $220 with the confirmation of the death cross in mid-September 2015. Notably, the bear trap was formed 11 months ahead of the August 2016 mining reward halving – a price-bullish event.

Interestingly, the latest death cross is happening six months ahead of the reward halving and could mark a bottom in BTC.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin May Rise Toward $8,800, Short-Term Cross Indicates

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin is looking north, with the hourly chart reporting a golden cross.
  • Key resistance at $8,820 could be put to test over the next few days.
  • On the downside. $7,800 is the level to beat for the bears.

A widely tracked short-term bitcoin price indicator has turned bullish, strengthening the case for a test of key resistance above $8,800.

The cryptocurrency’s 50-hour moving average (MA) has crossed above the 200-hour MA, confirming what is popularly known as “golden cross” – a bullish indicator.

MA studies are based on backward-looking data and tend to lag prices. A golden cross, therefore, is widely considered as a lagging indicator, especially when it appears on longer duration charts. However, the crossovers on the hourly and other short duration charts follow prices more closely and are thus more reliable as trend indicators.

Related: First Mover: Bitcoin Difficulty Adjustment Feels Like Post-Halving Easing Party

For instance, BTC drew bids and rose from $8,150 to $8,820, extending the recovery from $7,800 following the Oct. 9 golden cross on the hourly chart.

On similar lines, the latest bull cross may accelerate the ongoing recovery rally, pushing prices higher to $8,820 – a bearish lower high created on Oct. 11.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $8,280, representing a 0.53 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

Hourly chart

Related: Bitcoin’s Impending Golden Cross May Bolster Bulls: Analysts

As discussed, the 50- and 200-hour MAs have produced a golden cross, bolstering the bullish setup, as indicated by the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

The chart is also showing a bull flag breakout – a continuation pattern which accelerates the preceding rally.

The flag breakout has opened the doors for $8,700 (target as per the measured move method).

The bullish case is supported by an above-50 reading on the relative strength index (RSI).

3-day chart

Bitcoin’s repeated defense of $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from December 2018 low to June 2019 high – indicates seller exhaustion.

A similar message is being sent by the MACD histogram’s higher lows below the zero line.

Daily chart

Bitcoin is closing on the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which proved a tough nut to crack on Sunday and Monday. The level previously capped upside on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10. Further, the cryptocurrency’s inability to hold above that average on Oct. 11 was followed by a drop to $7,800.

This time roun, the stiff resistance, currently at $8,318, looks likely be breached, with the hourly chart reporting a bullish setup amid signs of seller exhaustion on the three-day chart.

All-in-all, BTC looks set to challenge the bearish lower high of $8,820. A UTC close above that level is needed to confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change, as discussed yesterday.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin May Rise Toward $8,800, Short-Term Cross Indicates

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin is looking north, with the hourly chart reporting a golden cross.
  • Key resistance at $8,820 could be put to test over the next few days.
  • On the downside. $7,800 is the level to beat for the bears.

A widely tracked short-term bitcoin price indicator has turned bullish, strengthening the case for a test of key resistance above $8,800.

The cryptocurrency’s 50-hour moving average (MA) has crossed above the 200-hour MA, confirming what is popularly known as “golden cross” – a bullish indicator.

MA studies are based on backward-looking data and tend to lag prices. A golden cross, therefore, is widely considered as a lagging indicator, especially when it appears on longer duration charts. However, the crossovers on the hourly and other short duration charts follow prices more closely and are thus more reliable as trend indicators.

Related: First Mover: Bitcoin’s 2020 Rally Sends Message to Capitalists as Despair on Wall Street Grows

For instance, BTC drew bids and rose from $8,150 to $8,820, extending the recovery from $7,800 following the Oct. 9 golden cross on the hourly chart.

On similar lines, the latest bull cross may accelerate the ongoing recovery rally, pushing prices higher to $8,820 – a bearish lower high created on Oct. 11.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $8,280, representing a 0.53 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

Hourly chart

Related: Bitcoin Battles for $10K as Gold Prints Over 7-Year High

As discussed, the 50- and 200-hour MAs have produced a golden cross, bolstering the bullish setup, as indicated by the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

The chart is also showing a bull flag breakout – a continuation pattern which accelerates the preceding rally.

The flag breakout has opened the doors for $8,700 (target as per the measured move method).

The bullish case is supported by an above-50 reading on the relative strength index (RSI).

3-day chart

Bitcoin’s repeated defense of $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from December 2018 low to June 2019 high – indicates seller exhaustion.

A similar message is being sent by the MACD histogram’s higher lows below the zero line.

Daily chart

Bitcoin is closing on the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which proved a tough nut to crack on Sunday and Monday. The level previously capped upside on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10. Further, the cryptocurrency’s inability to hold above that average on Oct. 11 was followed by a drop to $7,800.

This time roun, the stiff resistance, currently at $8,318, looks likely be breached, with the hourly chart reporting a bullish setup amid signs of seller exhaustion on the three-day chart.

All-in-all, BTC looks set to challenge the bearish lower high of $8,820. A UTC close above that level is needed to confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change, as discussed yesterday.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin May Rise Toward $8,800, Short-Term Cross Indicates

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin is looking north, with the hourly chart reporting a golden cross.
  • Key resistance at $8,820 could be put to test over the next few days.
  • On the downside. $7,800 is the level to beat for the bears.

A widely tracked short-term bitcoin price indicator has turned bullish, strengthening the case for a test of key resistance above $8,800.

The cryptocurrency’s 50-hour moving average (MA) has crossed above the 200-hour MA, confirming what is popularly known as “golden cross” – a bullish indicator.

MA studies are based on backward-looking data and tend to lag prices. A golden cross, therefore, is widely considered as a lagging indicator, especially when it appears on longer duration charts. However, the crossovers on the hourly and other short duration charts follow prices more closely and are thus more reliable as trend indicators.

Related: Stablecoin Supply Breaks $10B as Traders Demand Dollars Over Bitcoin

For instance, BTC drew bids and rose from $8,150 to $8,820, extending the recovery from $7,800 following the Oct. 9 golden cross on the hourly chart.

On similar lines, the latest bull cross may accelerate the ongoing recovery rally, pushing prices higher to $8,820 – a bearish lower high created on Oct. 11.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $8,280, representing a 0.53 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

Hourly chart

Related: First Mover: Dull Bitcoin Halving Salvaged by Satoshi Tribute in Block 629,999

As discussed, the 50- and 200-hour MAs have produced a golden cross, bolstering the bullish setup, as indicated by the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

The chart is also showing a bull flag breakout – a continuation pattern which accelerates the preceding rally.

The flag breakout has opened the doors for $8,700 (target as per the measured move method).

The bullish case is supported by an above-50 reading on the relative strength index (RSI).

3-day chart

Bitcoin’s repeated defense of $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from December 2018 low to June 2019 high – indicates seller exhaustion.

A similar message is being sent by the MACD histogram’s higher lows below the zero line.

Daily chart

Bitcoin is closing on the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which proved a tough nut to crack on Sunday and Monday. The level previously capped upside on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10. Further, the cryptocurrency’s inability to hold above that average on Oct. 11 was followed by a drop to $7,800.

This time roun, the stiff resistance, currently at $8,318, looks likely be breached, with the hourly chart reporting a bullish setup amid signs of seller exhaustion on the three-day chart.

All-in-all, BTC looks set to challenge the bearish lower high of $8,820. A UTC close above that level is needed to confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change, as discussed yesterday.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

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CoinDesk

Bitcoin May Rise Toward $8,800, Short-Term Cross Indicates

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin is looking north, with the hourly chart reporting a golden cross.
  • Key resistance at $8,820 could be put to test over the next few days.
  • On the downside. $7,800 is the level to beat for the bears.

A widely tracked short-term bitcoin price indicator has turned bullish, strengthening the case for a test of key resistance above $8,800.

The cryptocurrency’s 50-hour moving average (MA) has crossed above the 200-hour MA, confirming what is popularly known as “golden cross” – a bullish indicator.

MA studies are based on backward-looking data and tend to lag prices. A golden cross, therefore, is widely considered as a lagging indicator, especially when it appears on longer duration charts. However, the crossovers on the hourly and other short duration charts follow prices more closely and are thus more reliable as trend indicators.

Related: Bitcoin Outperforming Gold and Stocks so Far This Month

For instance, BTC drew bids and rose from $8,150 to $8,820, extending the recovery from $7,800 following the Oct. 9 golden cross on the hourly chart.

On similar lines, the latest bull cross may accelerate the ongoing recovery rally, pushing prices higher to $8,820 – a bearish lower high created on Oct. 11.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $8,280, representing a 0.53 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

Hourly chart

Related: First Mover: Bitcoin’s ‘Halving’ Is Coming Even Sooner Than You Realize

As discussed, the 50- and 200-hour MAs have produced a golden cross, bolstering the bullish setup, as indicated by the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

The chart is also showing a bull flag breakout – a continuation pattern which accelerates the preceding rally.

The flag breakout has opened the doors for $8,700 (target as per the measured move method).

The bullish case is supported by an above-50 reading on the relative strength index (RSI).

3-day chart

Bitcoin’s repeated defense of $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from December 2018 low to June 2019 high – indicates seller exhaustion.

A similar message is being sent by the MACD histogram’s higher lows below the zero line.

Daily chart

Bitcoin is closing on the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which proved a tough nut to crack on Sunday and Monday. The level previously capped upside on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10. Further, the cryptocurrency’s inability to hold above that average on Oct. 11 was followed by a drop to $7,800.

This time roun, the stiff resistance, currently at $8,318, looks likely be breached, with the hourly chart reporting a bullish setup amid signs of seller exhaustion on the three-day chart.

All-in-all, BTC looks set to challenge the bearish lower high of $8,820. A UTC close above that level is needed to confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change, as discussed yesterday.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

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CoinDesk

Bitcoin May Rise Toward $8,800, Short-Term Cross Indicates

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin is looking north, with the hourly chart reporting a golden cross.
  • Key resistance at $8,820 could be put to test over the next few days.
  • On the downside. $7,800 is the level to beat for the bears.

A widely tracked short-term bitcoin price indicator has turned bullish, strengthening the case for a test of key resistance above $8,800.

The cryptocurrency’s 50-hour moving average (MA) has crossed above the 200-hour MA, confirming what is popularly known as “golden cross” – a bullish indicator.

MA studies are based on backward-looking data and tend to lag prices. A golden cross, therefore, is widely considered as a lagging indicator, especially when it appears on longer duration charts. However, the crossovers on the hourly and other short duration charts follow prices more closely and are thus more reliable as trend indicators.

Related: ‘Black Thursday’ Distortion Makes Bitcoin Options Look Cheaper

For instance, BTC drew bids and rose from $8,150 to $8,820, extending the recovery from $7,800 following the Oct. 9 golden cross on the hourly chart.

On similar lines, the latest bull cross may accelerate the ongoing recovery rally, pushing prices higher to $8,820 – a bearish lower high created on Oct. 11.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $8,280, representing a 0.53 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

Hourly chart

Related: First Mover: US Arms of Binance, FTX Push Into Margin Trading, but Likely Not at 100x

As discussed, the 50- and 200-hour MAs have produced a golden cross, bolstering the bullish setup, as indicated by the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

The chart is also showing a bull flag breakout – a continuation pattern which accelerates the preceding rally.

The flag breakout has opened the doors for $8,700 (target as per the measured move method).

The bullish case is supported by an above-50 reading on the relative strength index (RSI).

3-day chart

Bitcoin’s repeated defense of $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from December 2018 low to June 2019 high – indicates seller exhaustion.

A similar message is being sent by the MACD histogram’s higher lows below the zero line.

Daily chart

Bitcoin is closing on the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which proved a tough nut to crack on Sunday and Monday. The level previously capped upside on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10. Further, the cryptocurrency’s inability to hold above that average on Oct. 11 was followed by a drop to $7,800.

This time roun, the stiff resistance, currently at $8,318, looks likely be breached, with the hourly chart reporting a bullish setup amid signs of seller exhaustion on the three-day chart.

All-in-all, BTC looks set to challenge the bearish lower high of $8,820. A UTC close above that level is needed to confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change, as discussed yesterday.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin May Rise Toward $8,800, Short-Term Cross Indicates

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin is looking north, with the hourly chart reporting a golden cross.
  • Key resistance at $8,820 could be put to test over the next few days.
  • On the downside. $7,800 is the level to beat for the bears.

A widely tracked short-term bitcoin price indicator has turned bullish, strengthening the case for a test of key resistance above $8,800.

The cryptocurrency’s 50-hour moving average (MA) has crossed above the 200-hour MA, confirming what is popularly known as “golden cross” – a bullish indicator.

MA studies are based on backward-looking data and tend to lag prices. A golden cross, therefore, is widely considered as a lagging indicator, especially when it appears on longer duration charts. However, the crossovers on the hourly and other short duration charts follow prices more closely and are thus more reliable as trend indicators.

Related: First Mover: Amid Economic Meltdown, Bitcoin Is Winning as ‘No Value’ Buffett Eats Crow

For instance, BTC drew bids and rose from $8,150 to $8,820, extending the recovery from $7,800 following the Oct. 9 golden cross on the hourly chart.

On similar lines, the latest bull cross may accelerate the ongoing recovery rally, pushing prices higher to $8,820 – a bearish lower high created on Oct. 11.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $8,280, representing a 0.53 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

Hourly chart

Related: Bitcoin Briefly Hits $9K, Investors Remain Bullish

As discussed, the 50- and 200-hour MAs have produced a golden cross, bolstering the bullish setup, as indicated by the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

The chart is also showing a bull flag breakout – a continuation pattern which accelerates the preceding rally.

The flag breakout has opened the doors for $8,700 (target as per the measured move method).

The bullish case is supported by an above-50 reading on the relative strength index (RSI).

3-day chart

Bitcoin’s repeated defense of $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from December 2018 low to June 2019 high – indicates seller exhaustion.

A similar message is being sent by the MACD histogram’s higher lows below the zero line.

Daily chart

Bitcoin is closing on the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which proved a tough nut to crack on Sunday and Monday. The level previously capped upside on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10. Further, the cryptocurrency’s inability to hold above that average on Oct. 11 was followed by a drop to $7,800.

This time roun, the stiff resistance, currently at $8,318, looks likely be breached, with the hourly chart reporting a bullish setup amid signs of seller exhaustion on the three-day chart.

All-in-all, BTC looks set to challenge the bearish lower high of $8,820. A UTC close above that level is needed to confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change, as discussed yesterday.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

Related Stories
CoinDesk

Bitcoin May Rise Toward $8,800, Short-Term Cross Indicates

6 years 11 months ago

View
  • Bitcoin is looking north, with the hourly chart reporting a golden cross.
  • Key resistance at $8,820 could be put to test over the next few days.
  • On the downside. $7,800 is the level to beat for the bears.

A widely tracked short-term bitcoin price indicator has turned bullish, strengthening the case for a test of key resistance above $8,800.

The cryptocurrency’s 50-hour moving average (MA) has crossed above the 200-hour MA, confirming what is popularly known as “golden cross” – a bullish indicator.

MA studies are based on backward-looking data and tend to lag prices. A golden cross, therefore, is widely considered as a lagging indicator, especially when it appears on longer duration charts. However, the crossovers on the hourly and other short duration charts follow prices more closely and are thus more reliable as trend indicators.

Related: First Mover: Amid Economic Meltdown, Bitcoin Is Winning as ‘No Value’ Buffett Eats Crow

For instance, BTC drew bids and rose from $8,150 to $8,820, extending the recovery from $7,800 following the Oct. 9 golden cross on the hourly chart.

On similar lines, the latest bull cross may accelerate the ongoing recovery rally, pushing prices higher to $8,820 – a bearish lower high created on Oct. 11.

As of writing, BTC is changing hands at $8,280, representing a 0.53 percent gain on a 24-hour basis.

Hourly chart

Related: Bitcoin Fails at $9K Hurdle Again, But Data Suggests Investors Are Bullish

As discussed, the 50- and 200-hour MAs have produced a golden cross, bolstering the bullish setup, as indicated by the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.

The chart is also showing a bull flag breakout – a continuation pattern which accelerates the preceding rally.

The flag breakout has opened the doors for $8,700 (target as per the measured move method).

The bullish case is supported by an above-50 reading on the relative strength index (RSI).

3-day chart

Bitcoin’s repeated defense of $7,850 – the 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement of the rally from December 2018 low to June 2019 high – indicates seller exhaustion.

A similar message is being sent by the MACD histogram’s higher lows below the zero line.

Daily chart

Bitcoin is closing on the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), which proved a tough nut to crack on Sunday and Monday. The level previously capped upside on Oct. 9 and Oct. 10. Further, the cryptocurrency’s inability to hold above that average on Oct. 11 was followed by a drop to $7,800.

This time roun, the stiff resistance, currently at $8,318, looks likely be breached, with the hourly chart reporting a bullish setup amid signs of seller exhaustion on the three-day chart.

All-in-all, BTC looks set to challenge the bearish lower high of $8,820. A UTC close above that level is needed to confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change, as discussed yesterday.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via Shutterstock; charts by Trading View

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