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Insiders Buy the Dip in These 2 Beaten-Down Stocks

2 years 6 months ago
Finding the right stocks is the only real ‘trick’ to successful investing, but it can be quite a trick. There are thousands of publicly traded stocks, and thousands of active traders, which adds up to millions of daily stock transactions – and an imposing wall of data for the retail investor to sort through. What’s needed is a clear signal, something that can cut through the noise and show just what stocks are right to buy. Fortunately, there are several such signals. One of the best comes from the corporate insiders, the company officers holding C-suite positions or seats on the Boards – and having access to the kind of confidential information that will point toward future share performance. These insiders would be less than human if they didn’t trade on their knowledge (which they are obliged to make public), but keep in mind that the only reason they have to buy is quite simple: they are sure the shares will rise. Right now, some insiders are picking up beaten-down stocks, a clear case of ‘buy the dip’ in preparation for coming gains. Using the TipRanks Insiders Hot Stocks tool, we can look up some details on two of their transactions in particular, stock buys in the million-dollar range that definitely deserve a closer look from investors. The view from the Street shows plenty of upside on both of these stocks. Let’s find out what else these shares have to offer. Gogo ( GOGO ) Gogo, the first stock on our list, fills an interesting niche in the world of broadband connectivity – the company is the leading provider of online connectivity services in the business aviation market. The company offers a suite of cabin systems, off-the-shelf or customized, allowing passengers to access integrated connectivity, in-flight entertainment, and even voice solutions. Thousands of aircraft, at all scales, from short-hop turboprops to globe-spanning jets, have Gogo’s solutions installed. And, the company’s products are used by a wide range of operators, including fractional owners, charter airlines, corporate flight departments, and private individuals. While the private business air travel market may sound small and specialized, it encompasses a large customer base. As of the end of 2023, Gogo’s broadband services were in use on 7,205 business aircraft, and the company’s narrowband satellite connectivity was installed on 4,341 planes. The 7,205 broadband installations represented a 4% increase year-over-year. The business aviation market has also proven stable, and Gogo’s revenues commonly hold steady at or near $100 million per quarter. For the last reported period, 4Q23, the company had a top line of $97.8 million. While down 9.6% y/y, this was $1.32 million better than had been expected. The company’s earnings, at $0.11 per share in GAAP measures, came in a penny below expectations. Gogo has had some boosts from the news recently. In January of this year, the company won an appellate court decision that prevented an injunction against it from the competing firm SmartSky. And in February, Gogo signed an agreement with the private jet provider NetJet to extend their existing 20-year relationship. Despite these positive news releases, shares in Gogo are down 66% over the last 12 months and one insider has decided the time is right for loading up. Recent insider activity shows that Board member Charles Townsend made two large purchases, totaling 289,654 shares. Townsend laid out over $2.4 million for the stock, and now has a stake in the company worth almost $34 million. The Board member is not the only bull here. TD Cowen analyst Lance Vitanza also takes an upbeat view of Gogo, citing the company’s leading market share, among other factors: “Gogo has set its 5-year revenue CAGR target at ~17%, driven largely by unit growth as Gogo pursues in particular a ‘greenfield’ opportunity in light jets. We estimate a US fleet of ~7k light jet units, of which ~20% are currently equipped with broadband; we think it’s only a matter of time before most of these jets (plus whatever new units are manufactured) are installed with broadband, with the lion’s share likely falling to Gogo. Gogo’s LT financial targets suggest FCF of $1.15 per share by 2025 with substantial growth from there.” Vitanza goes on to rate the shares as Outperform (Buy), with a $15 target price to suggest a 69% gain in the coming months. (To watch Vitanza’s track record, click here) GOGO shares have a Moderate Buy consensus rating from the Street’s analysts, based on an even split among the ratings – 2 Buys and 2 Holds. The stock is selling for $8.88 and its $13.38 average price target implies it will gain 51% over the course of the year. (See Gogo stock forecast ) Sunnova Energy International ( NOVA ) Next up, Sunnova, is one of the leaders in the US residential solar power market. The company builds and installs solar power systems in private homes, and has its hands on all stages of the installation business, from setting up rooftop panels to connecting the solar power system into the home’s existing electrical system to installing the storage batteries needed as back-up for solar power generation. Sunnova is also well-known for providing solid support to its customers, including ongoing service, maintenance, and repairs as needed, as well as providing spare parts and making system upgrades. Sunnova has made some recent announcements that should interest potential investors. In January, the company announced the upcoming opening of its first Adaptive Technology Center, a facility that will enhance the development and testing of new solar energy technologies such as microgrids and inverters. The facility will include a full-scale functional model home, for more realistic testing. Also of note, in February the company announced plans to implement an ATM, an at-the-market offering for $100 million. The company has stated that the ATM will be used for ‘good housekeeping purposes,’ and that it does not plan to implement it before the next earnings call. Management, in its 4Q23 earnings call, described putting the ATM in place now as a ‘luxury, rather than a necessity.’ Meanwhile, Sunnova reported its 4Q23 results last month, and missed the forecasts for both revenues and earnings. The revenue total came to $194.18 million, relatively flat y/y but $29.83 million less than the estimates, while the bottom line figure, a GAAP loss of $1.53 per share, was much deeper than the 18-cent EPS loss reported in 4Q22 and missed expectations by $1.28 per share. NOVA shares were already under pressure before the print, but they have shed another 54% since the readout. However, turning to the insiders and their trades, we find that Board member Akbar Mohamed must think they have retreated by too much. He recently purchased 152,450 shares of NOVA – a stock buy that was valued at $1,054,954 and brought his full stake in the company to $1.34 million. This brings us to the comments from Truist analyst Jordan Levy, who acknowledges the downbeat sentiment has been further exacerbated by the ATM. However, he remains long-term upbeat on the stock, writing of it, “As evidenced by the sell-off in NOVA shares, in line with current negative sentiment for resi solar (& resi installers more specifically), any mention of corporate capital carries potential to snowball into a short narrative of imminent demise. However, we see minimal fundamental change in the NOVA story and view the ATM commentary as a costly misread of the current mkt. Focusing in on NOVA’s 2024 guidance, new cash generation tgts, and associated opex reduction goals, we see our bullish thesis largely intact as resi mkts recovery off the bottom.” Levy is bullish indeed. He goes on to put a Buy rating on Sunnova’s shares and a $16 price target that implies the stock will nearly triple in value over the next 12 months. (To watch Levy’s track record, click here) Sunnova claims a Moderate Buy consensus rating, based on 16 recent reviews that include 11 Buys and 5 Holds. The shares are selling for $5.35, and their $17.60 average price target is even more bullish than Levy’s objective, pointing toward a 229% gain for the year ahead. (See Sunnova’s stock forecast ) To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’  Best Stocks to Buy, a tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights. Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.
TipRanks

TipRanks ‘Perfect 10’ List: Amazon and Alibaba Have the Best Smart Score Among Large-Cap Stocks

2 years 6 months ago
Stock picking has long been thought of as an art, but the savvy investor knows that there is also plenty of science to it. And for those willing to embrace the science, TipRanks has the Smart Score, an AI-driven data sorting tool, based on sophisticated natural language algorithms. The tool gathers the reams of data thrown up by the stock markets – the transactions, the stock movements, the traders’ moves, all of it. The result is distilled down to a simple, easily readable score, a single number on a scale of 1 to 10, showing investors at a glance the likely trajectory for any stock. And the ‘Perfect 10’ stocks are the shares that clearly deserve closer scrutiny. Right now, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN) and Alibaba ( NASDAQ:BABA) are setting the pace, boasting the highest Smart Score among large-cap stocks on the ‘Perfect 10’ list. Let’s see what it is about these names that makes them stand out from the pack. Amazon We’ll start with Amazon, a company that needs little introduction. This survivor of the original dot-com bubble has expanded from its origin as an online bookseller to become the world’s largest online retailer, dealing in anything and everything – and in the process, also becoming the world’s fourth-largest publicly traded firm, with a market cap of $1.8 trillion and approximately $1.4 billion in daily sales. Amazon has complemented its mega-cap size and near-endless online retail offerings with a huge brick-and-mortar infrastructure and rapid delivery guarantees. The company has a global network of warehouses and fulfillment centers, with some facilities totaling more than 1 million square feet of storage and workspace. The company can deliver customer orders around the world, and in many locations can offer next-day delivery. As an online retailer, Amazon depends on its website, which is one of the internet’s most trafficked – receiving well over 2 billion site visits every month. That’s just Amazon’s eCommerce business. eCommerce is the core of the company, but Amazon is branching out, working to diversify the products it offers to ensure that it can meet customer needs in an ever-changing world. The company has a popular cloud computing service, AWS, available by subscription, that has become an important source of revenue. In addition, Amazon offers its customers such widely varied services as online gaming for both kids and adults; home automation; TV streaming; ebooks via the Kindle reader; and even grocery deliveries – the full list of services encompasses these, and many more. The common denominator is putting online retail and subscription models to work in the real world, and in people’s daily lives. What this comes down to for investors is simple: $170 billion in revenue reported in the last quarter, 4Q23. That represented a near-14% increase from the prior-year period, and was $3.74 billion better than had been anticipated. The company’s bottom line, the firm’s $1 EPS, was derived from a net income of $10.6 billion. AWS proved to be an important driver in the quarterly gains, generating $24.2 billion in revenue, up 13% year-over-year. For 2023 as a whole, Amazon brought in $574.8 billion in total revenue. Net income for the year came to $30.4 billion, or $2.90 per diluted share. The company boasted a free cash flow of $36.8 billion for 2023, contrasted with a cash burn of $11.6 billion in the prior year. For Deutsche Bank analyst Lee Horowitz, the key point here is Amazon’s proven ability to continue generating income growth – even on top of its already fast pace. He writes of the company, “Despite outperforming the market by ~60 points over the last year, Amazon remains one of our top picks in our coverage, due to the increasingly compelling operating income growth that the company is slated to deliver in the coming years… Given our constructive outlook on the shape of advertising operating income in the coming years, we raise our 24/25 OI estimates by 10/8%, respectively, and take our price target higher to $210. We continue to believe that GAAP earnings valuation for Amazon screens increasingly compelling…” This adds up to a Buy rating, of course, and the $210 price target points toward a one-year upside potential of nearly 20%. (To watch Horowitz’s track record, click here) This tech and retail mega-cap stock has picked up no fewer than 41 analyst reviews in recent weeks – and they are all positive, for a unanimous Strong Buy consensus rating on the shares. AMZN is selling for $175.35, and its $208.48 average target price implies a gain of almost 19% on the one-year horizon. (See AMZN stock analysis ) Alibaba Holdings Next up is Alibaba, another giant of the online retail industry – and the company that some call ‘China’s Amazon.’ Founded by Chinese tech entrepreneur and billionaire Jack Ma, and based in Hangzhou, the company has been in business since 1999. Alibaba started out as the main online retailer focusing on China’s domestic market and is still the dominant eCommerce player in this country of 1.4 billion people. Alibaba has branched out to the global online marketplace, but China remains the core of its business. That business core is solid. Alibaba boasts that it can deliver just about any product, to just about any buyer, to just about any location in China – and can guarantee next-day or 2-day delivery. On the global eCommerce scene, Alibaba lists some 200 million-plus products available, across 5,900 product categories, coming from over 200,000 suppliers with delivery to more than 200 countries and territories. In addition to online retail, both in China and abroad, Alibaba, like Amazon, is branching out into other areas. The company has its hands in several pots, including cloud services and digital media. Retail, however, still makes up the bulk of the company’s business; in fiscal year 2022, the company brought in 67% of its revenue from the Chinese retail sector, with another 5% from international commerce. In the last reported quarter ending December 31, Alibaba posted total revenue of US$36.67 billion, marking a 5% year-over-year increase and surpassing forecasts by $270 million. The eCommerce giant’s earnings, by non-GAAP measures, came to $2.67 per share, or 3 cents per share better than the estimates. The company generated $7.96 billion in free cash flow during the quarter. Despite these successes, shares in BABA are down 5% so far this year, in somewhat volatile trading over the past 2 months. The fall in share price has not prevented Truist’s 5-star analyst, Youssef Squali, from coming down firmly on the bullish side for BABA stock. He sees Alibaba well positioned to move forward, and lays out four reasons why: “1) compelling valuation (1x EV/Revs and 4.4x EV/AEBITDA), 2) improving order volume growth at Taobao/Tmall fueled by greater focus and investments, 3) strong FCF generation (11% FCF yield) which is fueling a capital return strategy with larger buybacks and dividends; and 4) prospects for a macro recovery as mgmt strengthens its competitive offerings for TTG, Int’l and Cloud. CY24 will be an investment year for BABA which should keep margins in check near-term, that said we believe that much of it is already reflected in the current valuation.” Going forward from there, Squali gives BABA stock a Buy rating, and sets a $114 price target that suggests the shares will appreciate by 55% over the course of this year. (To watch Squali’s track record, click here) Alibaba’s stock has a Strong Buy consensus rating from the Street, based on 18 recent reviews that include 15 Buys and 3 Holds. The stock is currently priced at $73.55 and its $101.55 average price target implies a 38% upside potential for the next 12 months. (See Alibaba sock forecast ) To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’  Best Stocks to Buy, a tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights. Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.
TipRanks

Red Friday for Cattle Futures

2 years 6 months ago
Front month fat cattle futures were down by $0.90 to $1.25 across the front month futures. Feeders were $1.07 to $2.20 weaker across the nearbys leaving May $$3.90 lower for the week. USDA had the bulk of prices $1 to $2 above last week. The CME Feeder Cattle Index was...
Barchart

Hogs Closed Firm on Friday

2 years 6 months ago
Lean hog futures were down by 15 cents in April, but were 12 to 70 cents higher across the other deferred contracts on Friday. USDA’s National Average Base Hog price was 99 cents weaker to $76.18 in the PM quote. The CME Lean Hog Index was up by another 44...
Barchart

Cotton Weakens into Weekend

2 years 6 months ago
Front month cotton futures were 80 points to 386 points lower across the front months after the March contract’s limit loss. Weekly CFTC data showed cotton spec traders were closing shorts during the week that ended 3/5. That grew their net long to 96k contracts. The commercial position was little...
Barchart

Wheat Firms with Double Digit Weekend Gains

2 years 6 months ago
Front month wheat futures were double digits higher into the weekend. The session ended with 6 to 10 ¾ cent gains on Friday. KC wheat futures were 13 ¼ to 14 cents higher at the close. MGE spring wheat futures were 8 cents firmer. CFTC’s weekly CoT data had Chicago...
Barchart

Friday Corn Futures Close Higher

2 years 6 months ago
Corn prices finished in the black after report day Corn futures are near their overnight lows so far on fractionally to 3 ¼ cent losses this morning prepping for the monthly USDA Supply/Demand estimates release at 11 AM CST. The front month corn prices were 7 ½ to 9 ½...
Barchart

Beans Close Firmer on Friday

2 years 6 months ago
The soybean market finished the session with 13 to 20 cent gains on the day. That left May 32 ¾ cents higher for the week’s move. Soymeal futures finished the session with $7 gains for the day. Soy Oil futures closed with 9 to 12 point losses on the day....
Barchart

Nat-Gas Prices Fall on Warm Winter Temps and Ample U.S. Nat-Gas Supplies

2 years 6 months ago
April Nymex natural gas (NGJ24 ) on Friday closed -0.013 (-0.72%). Nat-gas prices on Friday posted moderate losses and fell to a 1-1/2 week low. Warm U.S. winter temperatures and ample nat-gas supplies are weighing on nat-gas prices. Maxar Technologies said on Friday that weather forecasts have shifted warmer for...
Barchart

Pound Sterling Surges Against US Dollar: Can the Rally Continue?

2 years 6 months ago
The bulls have woken the sleeping GBP/USD. Since mid-December 2023, the GBP/USD weekly chart has seen sideways trading activity. The past five trading days have seen a 1.55% increase in value, adding to a year-to-date .94% increase. The question becomes, will the rally continue? As the UK's fiscal first quarter begins in April, a seasonal pattern of higher prices has occurred.
Barchart

Previewing the 2024 Q1 Earnings Season

2 years 6 months ago
The recent Costco COST and AutoZone AZO quarterly releases kick-started the 2024 Q1 earnings season. We have another four S&P 500 members on deck to report Q1 results this week, including Oracle ORCL on Monday, March 11th, and
Zacks

Why the Market Dipped But PPL (PPL) Gained Today

2 years 6 months ago
PPL (PPL) ended the recent trading session at $27.18, demonstrating a +1.12% swing from the preceding day's closing price. The stock outperformed the S&P 500, which registered a daily loss of 0.65%. On the other hand, the Dow
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