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Up 44% in 2023, Is the Worst Over for Peloton Stock?

3 years 8 months ago
Peloton (NASDAQ: PTON) was an investor favorite during the COVID-19 stock market bubble. Now, with the pandemic in the rearview mirror, an abrupt exit from founder/CEO John Foley, and the air coming out of the bubble stocks, Peloton shares have nosedived. The stock is down 60% ov
The Motley Fool

Avoid Netflix Stock (NASDAQ:NFLX) after Its So-So Q4 Earnings

3 years 8 months ago
Shares of streaming giant Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) gained 8.46% last Friday following a so-so  Q4 earnings report. NFLX missed analysts' earnings estimates but met revenue expectations. Nevertheless, the growing competition continues to dilute its market share, evidenced by the deceleration in its bottom-line growth across its most profitable regions. Similarly, the race to develop the most attractive content library is as hot as ever, which continues to chomp away at the company's cash reserves. Therefore, we are bearish on NFLX stock at this time. Netflix experienced a startling decline in its market value near the end of 2021.  The stock is down a remarkable 47% from its high as its investors plan for an uncertain future fraught with competition. Growth rates have normalized post-pandemic, and its operating metrics will continue to fluctuate over the next several quarters. Perhaps the greatest challenge for the firm going forward is its capital-intensive business model. It's incredibly challenging for Netflix to maintain its expansive content cycle amid the growing competition and its worrying liquidity position. Despite the headwinds and shaky outlook ahead, NFLX stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 31.9x, roughly 85% higher than the industry median. Given the lack of a huge competitive advantage, the stock is still trading at a nosebleed valuation. Netflix's Unimpressive Q4 Earnings Although Netflix missed analysts' expectations for the fourth quarter, its management seemed undeterred, praising the firm's performance. Netflix was upbeat about how the company's  revenue, operating profit, and membership growth exceeded its estimates by a relatively healthy margin. However, that says little about the company's fourth-quarter showing. Revenues grew by just 2% from the same period last year, while operating profit margins slipped to 7%. Per-share profits were down, too, plummeting by 91%. On a more positive note, free cash flows (FCF) came in at a spectacular $332 million, significantly higher than the negative $569 million from the same period last year. For the full year, revenue growth came in at 6% while its operating profit margin shrunk 310 basis points, and per-share earnings fell 11%. Even though cash continues to flow positively, investors have reason to remain cautiously pessimistic currently. It appears that Netflix is struggling to make substantial gains in its most profitable regions, such as the United States and Canada (UCAN). Despite the release of the new premium content at the end of the year, Netflix reported a small drop in paid subscribers in the UCAN region. This poor performance spells trouble for future growth plans and affects the overall profitability of the platform. Consequently, Netflix will need to rethink its strategy to expand its presence and recapture its share in these vital regions. Netflix has undeniably achieved great success by marketing its high-quality original content worldwide in the past few years. However, to stay competitive, its massive debt load will continue to be a thorn in its side. The company faces a tall order with growth rates normalizing and the competition breathing down its proverbial neck. It  currently has $8.3 billion in net debt on its balance sheet, surpassing its cash reserves. Continuing to drive original content has put Netflix in an increasingly precarious situation, putting immense pressure on both lines. Is NFLX Stock a Buy, According to Analysts? Turning to Wall Street, NFLX stock has a Moderate Buy consensus rating. Out of 35 total analyst ratings, 17 Buys, 15 Holds, and three Sell ratings were assigned over the past three months. The average  NFLX stock price target is $348.63, implying 5.25% downside potential. Analyst price targets range from a low of $215 per share to a high of $440 per share. The Takeaway Investing in Netflix doesn't seem like much of a bargain right now. At its current market cap, it's still trading at an 80.8x cash-flow multiple. Even if it returns to pre-pandemic growth rates, it's still a remarkably high valuation. Additionally, the firm's fourth-quarter results point to an unimpressive growth trajectory ahead. It seems unlikely that it could start growing its subscriber count and revenue growth rates by double-digit percentages again. It faces stiff competition from companies with enough wiggle room to continue investing in content. Therefore, it's best to avoid NFLX stock at this time. Disclosure
TipRanks

META, AMZN, or NFLX: Which FAANG Stock is Wall Street’s Best Bet in 2023?

3 years 8 months ago
Last year, macro pressures hammered tech stocks and even the mighty FAANG (Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), previously called Facebook, Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ), and Google’s parent company Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL, GOOG )) were not spared. However, FAANG stocks have started 2023 on a positive note due to improved investor sentiment. Using TipRanks Stock Comparison Tool, we’ll place Meta Platforms, Amazon, and Netflix against each other to pick the most attractive FAANG stock as per Wall Street experts. Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) Shares of Meta Platforms have jumped 19% year-to-date, although they remain significantly below the 52-week high. A slowdown in ad spending due to macro pressures, rising competition from ByteDance’s TikTok, and Apple’s iOS privacy changes hurt Meta in 2022. Moreover, investors are concerned about the billions of dollars the company invested in its Metaverse projects. However, Meta bulls remain optimistic about the company’s extensive customer base (2.93 billion users on average accessed at least one of Meta’s Family of Apps – Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp, per day in September 2022). Moreover, Meta is taking initiatives to lower its costs and increase the monetization of its apps.   Is Meta Stock a Buy? On Wednesday, Credit Suisse analyst Stephen Ju increased his price target for Meta Platforms stock to $180 from $145. Ju reiterated a Buy rating for the stock based on his updated thesis that highlighted “potential for positive operating margin and FCF [free cash flow] growth inflection starting in 3Q23 and accelerating thereafter.” The analyst also sees the potential for better-than-anticipated ad revenue growth backed by increased monetization of Instagram, Reels, and other features. He also noted a possible moderation in Meta’s investments in Reality Labs as the company looks for greater efficiencies. Overall, Wall Street’s Moderate Buy consensus rating for Meta Platforms is based on 29 Buys, seven Holds, and three Sells. The average price target of $149.03 for Meta stock implies 4.1% upside potential.   Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Amazon’s growth rate slowed down following the reopening of the economy as pandemic-induced tailwinds faded and macro pressures hurt consumers’ spending. The company’s lucrative cloud computing business, Amazon Web Services (AWS), helped in offsetting the weakness in the retail business in recent quarters. However, fears of an economic slowdown have impacted AWS’ growth rate.   Meanwhile, Amazon is aggressively reducing its costs and streamlining its operations to improve its financial position. Is Amazon a Buy, Hold, or Sell? Ahead of Amazon’s Q4 results scheduled on February 2, Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman reiterated a Buy rating on Amazon stock but cut his price target to $125 from $140. Feldman reduced his Q422 and 2023 estimates to reflect a tough consumer and corporate spending backdrop. Amazon is also getting impacted by currency headwinds and strategic investments. Feldman expects business trends to improve in the second half of this year. He expects Amazon’s profitability to improve due to several initiatives, including its focus on higher margin categories, reduced spending on logistics and fulfillment centers, and the closure of unprofitable divisions. He also anticipates Amazon to benefit from newer businesses like grocery, pharmacy, and telehealth. Feldman concluded, “The strong growth and profitability of AWS, as well as its media and advertising offerings, should continue to outperform the company average and support Retail.” Wall Street remains bullish about Amazon stock, with a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 34 Buys and four Holds. At $132.10, the average price target implies 37.2% upside potential. AMZN stock has risen 15% so far this year. Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Streaming giant Netflix spooked its investors when it reported a decline in subscribers in the first two quarters of 2022. However, the company revived investors’ hopes by adding 2.41 million net new subscribers in Q3 2022. Furthermore, Netflix recently reported net subscriber additions of 7.66 million for Q4 2022, surpassing analysts’ estimate of 4.57 million. Nonetheless, it missed earnings expectations due to a loss related to euro-denominated debt. Netflix aims to improve its business through two key initiatives, the ad-based subscription tier and “paid sharing.” What is the Price Target for NFLX Stock? Following the Q4 results, Argus analyst Joseph Bonner increased his price target for Netflix stock to $390 from $340 and reaffirmed a Buy rating. Bonner highlighted the company’s robust Q4 net paid subscriber data and management’s focus on reviving its revenue growth through attractive original content. While Netflix is facing challenging economic conditions and intense rivalry, Bonner believes that the company remains the "anchor tenant" for video streaming consumers. The Moderate Buy consensus rating for Netflix stock is based on 17 Buys, 14 Holds, and three Sells. The average price target of $351.81 implies a possible downside of 3.3%. NFLX stock has rallied over 23% so far in 2023. Final Thoughts Wall Street is more bullish about Amazon than Meta Platforms and Netflix. Most analysts believe in Amazon’s long-term growth based on its dominance in the e-commerce space, solid prospects for AWS, and the potential to expand into other growth areas. Analysts see higher upside in AMZN stock than the other two FAANG stocks. As per TipRanks’ Smart Score System, Amazon scores a nine out of 10, which implies that the stock could outperform the broader market over the long term. Disclosure
TipRanks

Netflix Is at an Inflection Point

3 years 8 months ago
Just a few years ago, Netflix's (NASDAQ: NFLX) big content spending meant free cash flow was consistently negative. Fast forward a couple of years, and the company is measuring this cold, hard cash in the billions. The streaming-service specialist is at an inflection point when i
The Motley Fool

The Coming AI Revolution: 5 Companies at the Forefront

3 years 8 months ago
Artificial Intelligence, also known as AI, describes the technology that uses computers to mimic human knowledge and learning. While AI has been a well-known buzzword for years, the rollout of ChatGPT has catapulted it to the mainstream. ChatGPT (stands for Generative Pre
Zacks

Better Buy: Netflix or Walt Disney

3 years 8 months ago
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) has dominated the streaming space for more than a decade. But recently a slew of well-heeled competitors has emerged, not least of which is Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS). The entertainment giant has 222 million customers across Disney+, ESPN+, and Hulu, and some
The Motley Fool

Better Buy: Apple Stock vs. Netflix Stock

3 years 8 months ago
After a sell-off in 2022, the new year has multiple stocks trending upward again. In fact, the Nasdaq Composite index has risen 6% since Jan. 1 as Wall Street grows optimistic over the market's prospects in 2023.
The Motley Fool

Better Streaming Video Stock: Netflix vs. iQiyi

3 years 8 months ago
Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) and iQiyi (NASDAQ: IQ) are two of the world's largest streaming video platforms. Netflix ended its latest quarter with 231 million paid subscribers, but it's never launched its app in China. iQiyi, which mainly operates in China, served 101 million subscrib
The Motley Fool

Better Buy in 2023: Apple Stock vs. Disney Stock

3 years 8 months ago
Many companies and investors will be happy to see 2022 in their rearview mirrors after the significant market declines that plagued the whole year. Rises in inflation and interest rates were detrimental to many businesses' earnings growth, with their stocks suffering the brunt of
The Motley Fool

Microsoft, Texas Instruments Beat on Quarterly Earnings

3 years 8 months ago
Q4 earnings season rolls along, and markets are trading rather… agnostically. For the second day in a row, the four major indices have been dancing around a zero balance — this is keeping their overall strong January intact, even as earnings reports from some of the bigge
Zacks

Notable Tuesday Option Activity: NAVI, KBH, NFLX

3 years 8 months ago
Among the underlying components of the Russell 3000 index, we saw noteworthy options trading volume today in Navient Corp (Symbol: NAVI), where a total of 28,373 contracts have traded so far, representing approximately 2.8 million underlying shares. That amounts to about 357.8
BNK Invest
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