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MSFT Earnings Preview: Here’s What to Expect from Fiscal Q4

3 years 2 months ago
Tech giant Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is scheduled to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, July 25. Investors and analysts will be keen to know the extent to which the company is benefiting from the AI-related boom and the trend in Azure's growth rate, which has been decelerating in recent quarters due to macro pressures. Investors will also look forward to management’s commentary on the Activision deal. Wall Street seems bullish ahead of the upcoming results. Expectations from MSFT’s Fiscal Q4 Results Microsoft surpassed analysts’ earnings expectations in the first three quarters of Fiscal 2023. In Q3 FY23 (ended March 31, 2023), the company’s earnings per share (EPS) grew 10% year-over-year to $2.45, easily exceeding analysts’ consensus estimate of $2.22. Revenue grew 7% to $52.9 billion. However, revenue from Azure and other cloud services grew 27%, marking a slowdown compared to the 31% growth in the prior quarter. Enterprises are optimizing their IT spending due to macro challenges, thus impacting Azure and other cloud providers. Coming to Q4 FY23, analysts expect EPS to grow 14.3% to $2.55, driven by about a 7% rise in revenue to $55.5 billion and improved margins. On Friday, Goldman Sachs analyst Kash Rangan reiterated a Buy rating on MSFT and increased the price target to $400 from $350 after the company announced pricing and other details related to its Microsoft 365 Copilot offering. Rangan noted that Microsoft 365 Copilot will be launched into a base of over 380 million users for $30 per user per month. He estimates the product to have a total addressable market of more than $135 billion over the long term, of which he expects MSFT to capture 15-30% by FY26, assuming a mid to late FY24 launch. Meanwhile, Rangan anticipates the sequential deceleration in Azure's growth to stabilize, as the “impact of optimization trends plateau and Gen-AI workloads are added.” He projects Azure revenue to grow 27% in cloud computing in Q4 FY23. Additionally, the analyst expects Microsoft's Q4 FY23 revenue and EPS to increase by 8% and 18%, respectively. Rangan thinks that Azure may beat expectations by about 100 basis points, given that channel conversations suggest that the demand for new offerings (like Azure OpenAI Services and GitHub Copilot) has surpassed estimates. Technical Indicators Ahead of Microsoft’s Fiscal Q4 Earnings Ahead of the Q4 FY23 earnings release, technical indicators reveal that Microsoft is a Buy. According to TipRanks’s easy-to-understand technical tool, MSFT’s 50-Day EMA (exponential moving average) is 329.83, while its price is $343.77, making it a Buy. Further, MSFT’s shorter duration EMA (20-day) also signals an uptrend. Is Microsoft a Buy or Sell Right Now? Microsoft shares have rallied over 43% year-to-date, reflecting investor optimism about the company’s growth opportunities in the generative AI space. Earlier this year, the company confirmed that it is investing billions of dollars in start-up OpenAI’s ChatGPT tool. With 31 Buys, three Holds, and one Sell, Wall Street has a Strong Buy consensus rating on Microsoft stock. The average price target of $374.59 implies nearly 9% upside. Insights From Options Trading Activity TipRanks now presents options activity, to help investors plan their trades ahead of earnings releases. Options traders are pricing in a 5.89% move on Microsoft earnings. The stock has averaged a 2.2% move in the last eight quarters. The anticipated move is determined by computing the at-the-money straddle of the options closest to the expiration after the earnings announcement.  Learn more about TipRanks’ option tool  here. Disclosure
TipRanks

What To Expect From Meta Platforms In Q2?

3 years 2 months ago
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) is scheduled to report its fiscal Q2 2023 results on Wednesday, July 26, 2023. We expect the stock to beat the consensus estimates of earnings and revenues. The company outperformed expectations in the last quarter, with revenues increasing by
Trefis

Guru Fundamental Report for MSFT

3 years 2 months ago
Below is Validea's guru fundamental report for MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT). Of the 22 guru strategies we follow, MSFT rates highest using our Twin Momentum Investor model based on the published strategy of Dashan Huang. This momentum model looks for a combination of fundamental moment
Validea

3 Things About Microsoft Stock That Smart Investors Know

3 years 2 months ago
Investors are about to get a flood of fresh information about Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) business. The software giant will announce fiscal 2023 fourth-quarter results on July 25, in a report that will likely feature an official outlook for the fiscal year 2024. There are big ques
The Motley Fool
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