The technology sector, broadly speaking, is having a great year. The Nasdaq-100 tech index has jumped 47% so far, and it's now a stone's throw away from its all-time high following a brutal sell-off in 2022.
For more than 127 years, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) has served as a key barometer of Wall Street's health. Since its inception, it's evolved from a 12-stock index focused on industrial companies into a 30-component index that features time-tested, diverse,
(RTTNews) - Tech major Microsoft Corp. announced a partnership with the United Nations regarding the use of AI and advanced data technology to track global climate change, and to assess progress under the Paris Agreement.
Tech titans, including Alphabet (
NASDAQ:GOOGL
), Amazon (
NASDAQ:AMZN
), Microsoft (
NASDAQ:MSFT
), and Meta Platforms (
NASDAQ:META
), continue to trim costs despite the rapid rebound of their stock values in 2023. According to a report from The
Wall Street Journal, these tech behemoths are still downsizing their workforce, albeit in smaller numbers, as they maintain stringent cost controls.
The report emphasizes that these tech giants have eliminated several hundred roles recently. Moreover, the
AI (Artificial Intelligence) revolution has led them to reallocate resources towards AI-related projects.
Thanks to tight cost control and investments in AI, the stocks of AMZN, GOOGL, META, and MSFT have registered significant year-to-date gains (see the graph below). Moreover,
dozens of analysts maintain a bullish outlook on their prospects. The rally in their share prices prompts the question: which of these stocks has more upside potential?
Amazon Stock Offers Higher Upside Potential
TipRanks’
Stock Comparison tool shows that all these tech stocks sport a Strong Buy consensus rating. Moreover, they carry an Outperform Smart Score. What stands out is that shares of e-commerce giant Amazon offer a higher upside potential among these stocks.
Wall Street analysts’ average AMZN stock price target of $175.75 implies 20.11% upside potential from current levels. This is higher than META, GOOGL, and MSFT's upside potential of 16.71%, 13.73%, and 8.76%, respectively.
Is It a Good Time to Buy Amazon Stock?
Amazon stock has increased by over 74% year-to-date. Despite the significant appreciation, every analyst covering Amazon stock recommends buying it. This implies that AMZN stock is a Buy based on analysts’ consensus ratings.
Its aggressive investments in AI and focus on integrating generative AI capabilities into its cloud offerings augur well for growth. In addition, the strength of its advertising business, reduction in delivery time, and focus on lowering costs position it well to deliver solid financials in the coming quarters.
Bottom Line
The tech giants maintain strict control over costs and invest in AI, keeping analysts upbeat. While AMZN, META, MSFT, and GOOGL stocks have delivered solid year-to-date gains, analysts’ average price target suggests AMZN stock offers a higher upside potential among these companies from current levels.
Disclosure
Jeff Ubben, one of Wall Street's most prominent activist investors, is shutting down Inclusive Capital Partners three years after starting the firm designed to focus on social investing.
Technology giant Microsoft (
NASDAQ:MSFT
) holds a 22% share of the cloud computing market. Meanwhile, Amazon (
NASDAQ:AMZN
) holds a dominant position with a 32% market share. Microsoft's Cloud segment, led by Azure, contributed the most to its revenue in Q1, propelling the stock
59.5% YTD compared to the Nasdaq's (
NDX
) 37% gain. I believe that with AI integration, Microsoft can catch up to Amazon’s dominance in the cloud market, making me bullish on MSFT. Let’s find out more.
Microsoft Azure: A Contender in the Making
Since its inception in 1975, Microsoft has evolved from its humble beginnings to a global tech giant, leading the charge in software, hardware, cloud computing, and more. Even before the AI hype took over the tech world, Microsoft had run a successful, profitable business with its diversified operations.
Between Fiscal 2019 and Fiscal 2023,
Microsoft’s revenue increased from $126 billion to $212 billion, while its earnings have surged from $5.06 per share to $9.68 per share.
Moving on to our main topic, Amazon Web Services (AWS) emerged as a trailblazer in cloud computing, capitalizing on its first-mover advantage to capture a sizable market share. However, Microsoft Azure, often regarded as AWS's most direct competitor, has been steadily closing the gap and gaining momentum.
Azure is thriving on Microsoft's established enterprise software presence, utilizing synergies with products such as Windows Server, Office 365, and Dynamics 365 to attract businesses looking for seamless integration between their existing systems and cloud services.
Furthermore, Azure's robust hybrid cloud offerings are appealing to businesses dealing with the complexities of digital transformation. For instance, Azure Arc's solutions are now enabling more cloud migrations. According to management, Azure Arc gained 21,000 customers in Q1 Fiscal 2024, a 140% increase year-over-year.
Since making a significant investment in OpenAI in 2019, Microsoft has integrated AI into all of its products. Azure AI is now driving exceptional cloud growth for the tech giant. In Q1, its Intelligent Cloud segment grew by 19% year-over-year to $24.3 billion, contributing the most to Microsoft's total revenue of $56.5 billion. Operating income for the segment saw an increase of 31% to $11.75 billion.
Notably, revenue from Server Products and Cloud Services surged 21% in Q1, owing to strong growth in Azure and other cloud services. In fact, Azure’s revenue alone increased by 29% year-over-year. Talking about the strength of the cloud, CEO Satya Nadella stated, “More than 18,000 organizations now use Azure OpenAI Service.”
Comparatively, Amazon’s AWS net sales increased 12% year-over-year to $23 billion, while the segment’s operating income jumped 30% in its third quarter of 2023.
AI is a Huge Growth Driver for MSFT
Now that Microsoft has incorporated AI into most of its high-revenue-generating products, it is positioning itself for a bright future ahead. Management highlighted in the earnings call that the company is “rapidly infusing AI across every layer of the tech stack and for every role and business process to drive productivity gains for [its] customers."
Notably, in Q1, revenue in the Productivity and Business Processes segment jumped by 13%. In Q2, the company anticipates segment revenue growth in the range of 11% to 12%.
Meanwhile, Personal Computing, which has struggled so far, is slowly recovering, increasing by 3% year-over-year in Q1. Also, management expects the $69 billion Activision Blizzard acquisition (completed in October) to boost its Gaming revenue by a mid-to-high 40s percentage.
Going into Q2, management expects Azure to continue fueling revenue with rising contributions from AI. Notably, Azure’s revenue is forecast to grow by 26% to 27% in constant currency. Overall, analysts predict Microsoft’s Q2 total revenue to jump by 16% year-over-year to $61 billion, with earnings of around $2.75 per share.
Amazon's CEO believes AWS will add tens of billions of dollars to the company's revenue in the coming years. Meanwhile, following Microsoft's Q1 results, D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria stated that increased demand for AI services is propelling Azure to a higher market share versus other large cloud service providers. The five-star analyst has a Buy rating on MSFT with a target price of $415.
Long-Term Tailwinds for MSFT
Adding to MSFT's tailwinds, the management turmoil at OpenAI appears to have resolved with the
reappointment of Sam Altman as CEO. This dispels any concerns analysts and investors had about how the Microsoft-OpenAI partnership would affect the company's generative AI roadmap.
On that note, Mizuho analyst
Gregg Moskowitz recently highlighted that Microsoft's medium- and long-term growth opportunities, as well as generative AI monetization, are being undervalued.
Additionally, Wells Fargo analyst Michael Turin believes
Microsoft has a “series of favourable long-term tailwinds” and is reasonably valued based on its “growth potential and strategic positioning.” The firm has a Buy rating with a target price of $425 for MSFT.
Is MSFT Stock a Buy, According to Analysts?
Overall, Wall Street has a Strong Buy rating for Microsoft stock. Out of the 34 analysts that cover the stock, 33 rate it a Buy, while one rates it a Hold. There are no Sell recommendations. The
average MSFT stock price is $412.03, representing 8.8% upside from current levels.
Priced at 29.7 times forward earnings and 10.3 times forward sales for Fiscal 2025 (ending June 2025), Microsoft’s valuation seems justified for a growth stock. Analysts forecast Fiscal 2025 revenue and earnings to increase year-over-year by 14.7% and 13.9%, respectively.
The Bottom Line on Microsoft
Looking ahead, the cloud market with the golden touch of AI will be dynamic and evolving, providing ample opportunities for Microsoft to challenge Amazon's dominance. While the battle will be fascinating to watch, I believe Microsoft has the potential to defeat Amazon. Furthermore, with the advancement of generative AI, Microsoft has more growth in other areas of its business to look forward to, making it a compelling tech stock to pick now.
Disclosure
Microsoft will take a non-voting, observer position on OpenAI's board, CEO Sam Altman said in his first official missive after taking back the reins of the company on Wednesday.
Microsoft will take a non-voting, observer position on OpenAI's board, OpenAI said on Wednesday, adding that Sam Altman has been officially reinstated as chief executive officer of the company.
Eleven of the world's biggest tech companies, including Amazon.com, Alphabet's Google and Microsoft, will sign an agreement with the British government on Thursday to step up their efforts to tackle online fraud, the interior ministry said.
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In today's video, I discuss recent updates impacting Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN). Check out the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below.
U.S. stocks edged lower on Wednesday as a robust upward GDP revision eased recession fears, while Federal Reserve officials' remarks raised questions about the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy.
U.S. stocks edged lower on Wednesday as a robust upward GDP revision eased recession fears, while Federal Reserve officials' remarks raised questions about the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy ahead of inflation data due early Thursday. The Nasdaq joined the S&P 500 in negative territory, while the Dow ended essentially flat.
Wall Street edged higher on Wednesday as a robust upward GDP revision eased worries about a possible U.S. recession, while Federal Reserve officials' remarks left unresolved questions about the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy.
Wall Street's three main indexes were muted at mid-day after a strong start on Wednesday, following latest commentary from a Federal Reserve official on the possibility of another rate hike should the demand arise.
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