Skip to main content

Nasdaq NVDA Nvidia

Better Metaverse Stock: Nvidia vs. AMD

4 years 6 months ago
The metaverse is going to unlock a massive opportunity for chipmakers such as Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD), as powering this tech trend will require loads of computing power that will be provided by the CPUs (central processing units) and GPUs (g
The Motley Fool

3 Top AI Stocks Ready for a Bull Run

4 years 6 months ago
Artificial intelligence is integrated into so many products and services that we use every day that we hardly notice that it's there. Looking for outdoor furniture on Amazon? AI is helping to show you the most relevant results. Responding to an email from a colleague? AI is there
The Motley Fool

Nvidia Continues to Prove Why It's a Top Stock to Own

4 years 6 months ago
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has become more than a hardware company, as it now provides software and infrastructure solutions to its customers. Today's video focuses on the recent products Nvidia announced during its 2022 GTC keynote and what investors should watch. Here are some highl
The Motley Fool

These 3 Gaming Stocks Are Set To Climb the Leaderboards

4 years 6 months ago
Gaming has emerged as a trendy hobby, allowing players to seamlessly connect and communicate with one another across the globe at the click of a few buttons. The industry was developing steadily until it saw an enormous boom stemming from lockdowns during COVID-19.
Zacks

"Chip Rally," NATO Results, Drive Market Indexes

4 years 6 months ago
Markets kept their early morning gains and — aside from a tiny dip downward near the start of the regular session on the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 — rode them higher throughout the course of the day. Closing at session highs, the Dow gained +348 points, +1.01%, the S&P
Zacks

Top Semiconductor Stocks To Watch Before April 2022

4 years 6 months ago
3 Semiconductor Stocks To Watch Right Now The stock market has had its fair share of ups and downs since the start of the year. Semiconductor stocks are not spared from the volatility in the broader market. That is especially so considering that supply chain disruptions have
StockMarket.com

Intel: Short-Term Pains, Long-Term Gains

4 years 6 months ago

Intel (INTC) has fallen technologically behind the competition over the last few years, which has led many investors to believe Intel is dead in the water. To correct Intel's course, former CTO Pat Gelsinger returned to Intel as CEO in February 2021.

The groundwork is now being done to expand into the lucrative foundry business while continuing the core x86 CPU business. The current macroeconomic and geopolitical climate is beneficial for Intel. I am bullish on Intel because of its long-term growth potential. 

Expanding into the Foundry Business

Historically, Intel has only designed and manufactured its own chips in its foundries. Intel is now opening up its foundries to third parties and expanding its capacity.  

The foundry business has enormous barriers to entry; luckily, Intel meets them. One of the key barriers is access to the technology needed to create modern chips. Intel has an existing investment in ASML Holding (ASML), the only company to provide machines for extreme-ultraviolet lithography (EUV).

ASML is also the only company producing the machines for High-NA EUV, which is expected to be used for Intel's 18A process in 2025. Even though Intel has a 15% stake in ASML, it still has to back order the $150+ million machines, showing how difficult it would be for a new player to start manufacturing modern chips. 

Intel is rapidly expanding its foundry capacity. Some of the notable investments Intel has made to expand capacity include: investing €33 billion into operations across Europe, acquiring Tower Semiconductors for $5.4 billion, investing over $20 billion into two new foundries in Ohio, and $20 billion for two foundries in Arizona. 

The expansion allows for Intel to turn the threat of ARM and RISC-V architectures into an opportunity. Apple (AAPL) dropping Intel for its own Apple M1 chips was a major blow to Intel. Intel could potentially win back Apple for manufacturing its ARM-based M1 chips. 

The M1 chip is currently produced by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company or TSMC (TSM). Apple switched to TSMC because TSMC is able to manufacture a more effective node. The switch ultimately allowed Apple to have similar performance with more battery life due to the superior node and ARM architecture. 

The crux of Intel investing in foundries is if it is unable to regain technological dominance. If it can't regain dominance, high-end silicon customers like Apple will remain at TSMC. On the other hand, if Intel is able to gain industry dominance, even direct competitors Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Nvidia (NVDA) would likely flock to Intel foundries. 

Intel has relied purely on improving other chip processes over raw transistor size reductions for years now. Intel's non-density innovation is illustrated by continuing performance improvements on the 14nm transistor over its extended lifetime. 

One of the key introductions is the use of chiplets instead of the traditional monolithic system on a chip (SOC). Chiplets allow for better yields, reducing wasted silicon wafers and offering better optimization for specific uses. 

In summary, Intel is setting itself up for the long game, investing heavily to expand its business. 

Macro Environment

The current macro environment is beneficial to Intel. Geopolitical tensions and supply chain issues have pushed the U.S. and EU to invest heavily in localizing semiconductor manufacturing. 

TSMC, which is located in Taiwan, is estimated to produce more than 90% of the world's advanced chips. China has had a perpetual threat to invade Taiwan. A Chinese invasion is a threat to the international semiconductor industry. To defend against losing access to vital chips, both the U.S. and EU are looking to localize manufacturing. 

The Innovation Act, which is making its way through Congress, would give the semiconductor industry $52 billion in funding. Intel would be the likely recipient of the lion's share as Biden praised the company during the Union Address. If passed, Intel will pour another $80 billion into its Ohio foundries for a total of $100 billion.

On the other side of the Atlantic, the European Union is pushing for 20% of total chips manufactured to come from the EU by 2030. The EU has a planned investment of $49 billion. As a result, Intel is investing €33 billion into fabrication and research across the Union. 

Intel is deepening relationships with both sides of the Atlantic, which will allow for long-term growth. 

Funding Investments

Due to the rapid investment, CapEx hit an all-time high of $20.3 billion in 2021, a 40.7% increase year-over-year. The question is, can Intel keep up the spending?

Intel should be able to continue to have heavy investment into expanding its foundry segment.

Intel had a free cash flow of over $9.6 billion in 2021. The fact that Intel is able to retain a positive free cash flow after investing heavily is promising.

Intel is spinning off its autonomous driving business Mobileye as an IPO. Mobileye is expected to be valued at more than $50 billion. Intel is going to retain a majority of shares, so it could sell up to $25 billion while retaining a majority. The cash injection will help pay for immediate investments.

As a last line of defense, Intel would be able to drop its dividend and share buybacks, but the market will punish the stock price if this occurs. 

The bearish case against Intel's finances is the stagnation of growth. Revenue only grew 1.5% year-over-year for 2021 and is expected to drop for Q1 2022.

EPS is in a worse state than revenue; EPS fell 7.5% in 2021. The Q1-2022 guidance shows a 40% decline in EPS for the quarter to $0.80.

The lack of growth is exhibited in the low P/E of 10.6. 

Ultimately, Intel is pushing for long-term growth, but the trade-off is that short-term growth will most likely be negative or insignificant. 

Wall Street's Take

Turning to Wall Street, Intel is a Hold base on eight Buys, 13 Holds, and seven Sell ratings over the last three months. 

The average Intel stock price target is $53.90, representing 4.9% upside potential.

Conclusion

Intel's short-term stagnation should be made up for in the long term. I am more bullish than analysis consensus; I believe Intel is a Buy. 

Download the TipRanks mobile app now

​To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

Read full Disclaimer & Disclosure

TipRanks

Kiplinger ESG 20: ESG Stocks Not Immune From Downturn

4 years 6 months ago
Market volatility early in 2022 hasn’t dragged down only growth stocks and blue-chip names. It has also had a brownout effect on the Kiplinger ESG 20, our list of favorite stocks and funds that excel at meeting environmental, social and corporate governance standards.Compan
Kiplinger

Why Nvidia Stock Finally Popped Today

4 years 6 months ago
What happened As Nvidia's (NASDAQ: NVDA) Graphics Technology Conference 2022 (GTC 2022) approached its close on Wednesday, investors seemed largely unimpressed with the semiconductor giant's announcements.
The Motley Fool

Thursday's ETF Movers: SOXX, CQQQ

4 years 6 months ago
In trading on Thursday, the iShares Semiconductor ETF is outperforming other ETFs, up about 3.6% on the day. Components of that ETF showing particular strength include shares of Nvidia, up about 8.4% and shares of Marvell Technology, up about 5.3% on the day.
BNK Invest
Checked
31 minutes 19 seconds ago
This feed is responsible for generating the rss feed related to the topic NVDA
Subscribe to Nasdaq NVDA Nvidia feed