Nasdaq AMD

Every investor in Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. Large companies usually have institutions as shareholders, and we usually see insiders owning shares in smaller companies. Companies that used to be publicly o

Global semiconductor company Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) amended its wafer supply agreement with the American chip manufacturer GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS).

Shares of AMD closed up 1.6% at $146.14 on December 23. Meanwhile, GFS rose 1.2% during extended trading session yesterday, following the news.

Revised Deal

According to the revised deal, AMD will now buy $2.1 billion worth of wafers from GFS between 2022 and 2025. Under the previous deal, AMD was to buy $1.6 billion worth of wafers between 2022 and 2024.

The companies also agreed to the new pricing terms and modified the pre-payments for the wafers in 2022-2023.

GlobalFoundries, which was the manufacturing arm of AMD, was spun-off in 2009, becoming a private entity, and has been AMD's supplier since then. GFS listed on the Nasdaq in October this year. However, AMD sources most of its chips from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd (TSM), which is one of the largest chip manufacturers.

Consensus View

Recently, Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Seymore lifted the price target on the stock to $120 (17.9% downside potential) from $113, while maintaining a Hold rating.

According to Seymore, 2021 was one of the best years for the semiconductor industry, with accelerated demand for chips due to global shortages. Looking ahead to 2022, the analyst sees improved supply yielding stronger near-term growth.

Overall, the stock has a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 14 Buys and 9 Holds. The average Advanced Micro Devices price target of $143.15 implies 2.1% downside potential to current levels.

Hedge Funds

TipRanks’ Hedge Fund Trading Activity tool shows that confidence in AMD is currently Very Positive, as 11 of the Best Hedge Funds increased their cumulative holdings of the stock by 5.4 million shares in the last quarter.

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Chip firm Advanced Micro Devices will acquire about $2.1 billion of silicon wafers from GlobalFoundries from 2022 through 2025 in an amended agreement, according to a regulatory filing on Thursday.

Chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices has amended its agreement with GlobalFoundries to acquire about $2.1 billion of wafers from the company from 2022 through 2025, according to a regulatory filing on Thursday.

Semiconductor manufacturer Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) is finally receiving the fruits of its labor.

The CPU revitalization headed by CEO Lisa Su was the turning point where AMD not only caught up to Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), but surpassed it in many performance metrics for both desktop and data center hardware, and gained significant market share.

AMD has continuously beat market expectations when it comes to product expectations as well as financial expectations. Investors are questioning if AMD is now overvalued due to the strong run up of around 50% since the start of the year, and whether it can continue high growth in both the performance of its products, and financially, to justify the heightened valuation.

Despite the high price I am still bullish, due to my expectations of superior or competitive products.

Competitive Landscape

Market share for AMD has increased to 24.6% of x86 processors, which is just under the 2006 all-time high of 25.3%. The Steam hardware survey is showing growth as well in CPUs up to 31.7% from 23.3% in June 2020, while GPUs have slightly decreased to 15.4% in November 2021, from 16.2% June 2020 (GPU share also includes integrated graphics).

This market share mimics the performance of silicon, where AMD has surpassed Intel in many ways. On the other hand, AMD has become more competitive, but it is still not able to take the crown from Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA).

The GPU segment isn’t looking as bright, however bulls can hope the upcoming RDNA 3 (Radeon 7000 series) in the latter half of 2022 closes some of the gap. GPU prices in the last year have been volatile, with MSRP thrown out the window, so AMD has the opportunity to compete in the upcoming releases without the need to cut margins down to nothing.

Demand will substantially drop if Ether mining gets dropped for proof-of-stake, which is scheduled for June 2022 currently. When POS is enabled, a surplus of mining GPUs will hit the market in a similar manner to the 2018 GPU markets after the Ether price collapsed.

Growing Data Center 

The Data Center side is a similar story to personal computers, but has been significantly more one-sided to Intel in market-share in recent history.

The longer upgrade cycles of servers of three to five years will have delayed the market share impact compared to the PC segment. Omdia reported in September 2021 that AMD market share of servers has hit 16%, from lows of around 1% during the years leading up to Epyc’s release.  

The Data Center segment has a higher operating margin at 25% compared to 22.6% in Personal Computing over the last nine months, over the same period in 2020 operating margin for Enterprise Solutions was only 7.23%.

Revenue and operating profit have increased by 137% and 722% for the nine months ending respectively for the segments, illustrating the enormous growth once again.

Adaptive Data Center 

Xilinx is a semiconductor manufacturer specializing in FPGA (Field-programmable gate array), SOC (System on a Chip), and recently ACAP (Adaptive Compute Acceleration Platform) manufacturing.

AMD announced in October 2020 that it is to acquire Xilinx through a share swap. The share swap will result in AMD being owned 74% by current owners and 26% by Xilinx owners.

The merger is currently favored to go through, unless the escalating U.S.-China silicon wars result in a blocking of the transaction. Operationally, Xilinx complements AMD in furthering it’s High Performance Computing segment. AMD expects to create $300 million of operational synergies within 18 months of the merger.

Supply Constraints

AMD is currently dependent on TSMC foundries, whose capacity is highly sought after, exacerbated by the global chip shortage.

During the Q3 earnings call, Lisa Su stated, “We have brought on a tremendous amount of additional supply,” and noted throughout the call increased supply is the reason why Q3 exceeded expectations, as well as why Q4 guidance is higher.

Even with the supply constraints, gross margin improved to 48% from 43.6% year-over-year. So, although supply constraints are a real concern, AMD’s management is pushing through.

The Intel Threat

Perpetual competitor Intel can significantly threaten potential growth, particularly in the Intel stronghold of the OEM segment of PCs.

It is no secret OEMs have a history favoring Intel due to market share or due to kickbacks which have created a slew of lawsuits. Intel discrete GPUs are set to be released in early 2022.

The short-term effect most likely will just quell some of the excess GPU demand, but long-term, Intel’s discrete GPUs will most likely take a chunk out of both AMD and Nvidia’s potential revenue. 

Intel’s dormancy of the last few years seems to have come to an end with competitive CPUs and an entrance into the GPU market, overall becoming more threatening against AMD growth.

On The Street

Wall Street is slanted towards the upside with 14 Buy ratings and nine Hold ratings, for a Moderate Buy consensus. However, the average AMD price target of $143.15 implies 3.5% downside potential. Analyst price targets range from a low of $115 to a high of $180.

Despite a seemingly high P/E of 42.6, Nvidia has a substantially higher P/E at 93.1, displaying there can still be market appetite for the industry at these prices.

Conclusion

Operationally, AMD is successful, and is set to have continued growth due to internal improvements, and improving external conditions.

The likely acquisition of Xilinx shows AMD is not twiddling its thumbs, and is continuing to pursue greater market share in high-margin segments.

Disclosure: At the time of publication, Brett Rodway did not have a position in any of the securities mentioned in this article.

Disclaimer: The information contained in this article represents the views and opinion of the writer only, and not the views or opinion of TipRanks or its affiliates  Read full disclaimer >

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Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) is among the world’s biggest and most well-known chipmakers. I am bullish on AMD stock.

The global microprocessor shortage put negative pressure on AMD stock in 2021. There's also been a broad-based rotation out of technology stocks lately.

These aren't problems specific to AMD, and there's nothing fundamentally wrong with the company. In other words, there's opportunity here.

Keep an eye on the stock's 52-week high of $164.46, as AMD stock could break through that barrier in the near future. After all, AMD's components are still among the best you'll find anywhere on the planet.

Another Proof Point

Every time AMD introduces a new GPU (graphics processing unit), it's headline news in the technology industry.

This time around, the news revolves around the recently introduced AMD Radeon PRO V620 GPU. Built with the latest AMD RDNA 2 architecture, the Radeon PRO V620 GPU delivers high-performance GPU acceleration for even the most demanding cloud workloads.

Immersive gaming experiences, intensive 3D workloads, and modern office productivity applications often take place in the cloud nowadays. The power requirements are intense, and that's why the Radeon PRO V620 GPU will be in high demand.

Moreover, integrating AMD's RDNA 2 architecture, with 32GB GDDR6 memory and AMD Infinity Cache, will make the Radeon PRO V620 GPU a truly powerful data center GPU solution.

To quote Jeff Connell, corporate vice president, Visual and Cloud Gaming, AMD, the Radeon PRO V620 is "yet another proof point of AMD’s excellence in gaming – from the PC to the console and now to the cloud."

Accelerating the Performance of Supercomputers

Among the most important tech niche industries is high-performance computing, or HPC. Within this market, AMD is making its presence known through the innovation and adoption of its high-performance data center processors and accelerators.

The data proves this point convincingly. Impressively, a growing preference for AMD's EPYC processors has resulted in the number of AMD-powered supercomputers increasing 3.5x year-over-year.

Not only that, but AMD powers four of the 10 most powerful supercomputers in the world.

Why is this significant? Forrest Norrod, senior vice president and general manager, Data Center and Embedded Solutions Business Group, AMD, offered an explantion.

“The demands of supercomputing users have increased exponentially as the world seeks to accelerate research, reducing the time to discovery of valuable information,” Norrod observed.

Naturally, this phenomenon presents an opportunity for AMD and its stakeholders.

“With AMD EPYC CPUs and Instinct accelerators, we continue to evolve our product offering to push the boundaries of data center technologies enabling faster research, better outcomes and more impact on the world,” Norrod added.

Wall Street’s Take

According to TipRanks’ analyst rating consensus, AMD is a Moderate Buy, based on 14 Buy and nine Hold ratings. The average AMD price target is $143.15, implying 6.3% upside potential.

The Takeaway

The analyst community might only be moderately bullish on AMD stock now, but the company has "proof points" to build a rock-solid bull thesis.

From gaming computers to supercomputers, there will be no shortage of demand for AMD's ultra-powerful components.

Knowing this, it should be easy to take a long position in AMD stock with confidence, regardless of the ups and downs in the share price.

Disclosure: At the time of publication, David Moadel did not have a position in any of the securities mentioned in this article.

​Disclaimer: The information contained in this article represents the views and opinion of the writer only, and not the views or opinion of TipRanks or its affiliates  Read full disclaimer >

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In recent trading, shares of Advanced Micro Devices Inc (Symbol: AMD) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $136.18, changing hands for $146.50/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downg