Change is one of Wall Street's few constants. Due to a combination of corporate innovation, collaboration, competition, and acquisitions, the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S. are regularly in flux.
Elon Musk is eager to bring his Starlink satellite broadband to India, but the world's richest man faces strong resistance from Mukesh Ambani, Asia's wealthiest, who runs Indian telecom giant Reliance Jio.
As the auto industry scrambles to produce more affordable electric vehicles, whose most expensive components are the batteries, lithium iron phosphate is gaining traction as the EV battery material of choice.
Over the past 15 years, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has gone from enigmatic start-up to household name. The company single-handedly popularized electric vehicles (EVs) for the masses, starting a movement that soon attracted a flood of competition. A host of new rivals brought with it nu
Soaring just over 25% last week (the stock has pulled back since), commercial fleet
electric vehicle manufacturer Workhorse (
NASDAQ:WKHS
) might seem like an enticing wager. Even some analysts bought into the narrative. However, even with fading raw material costs and the power of speculation, the EV upstart is still quite risky. Therefore, I am bearish on WKSH stock.
Why WKHS Stock Suddenly Got So Intriguing
In recent sessions, several EV and automotive-related enterprises – particularly those suffering from less-than-desirable financial statistics – popped sharply last week. Perusing various analyses, no one central catalyst appears to be responsible for the enthusiasm. Arguably, though, the combination of fading raw material costs and good old speculation may have invigorated WKHS stock and its ilk.
Regarding the former point, it’s helpful to look back at what materialized last year. In June, TipRanks’ Swati Goyal noted that EV sector giant Tesla (
NASDAQ:TSLA
) hiked prices on its car models in the U.S. due in large part to
rising raw material costs. Basically, the move represented a familiar tale -- passing down increased costs to the consumer.
However, following aggressive efforts by the Federal Reserve to curb skyrocketing prices, this year, raw materials prices started to fade. Fundamentally, this dynamic should help beleaguered EV manufacturers to bolster production, which was also hampered by various supply-chain challenges. On paper, then, WKHS stock seemingly enjoys a rational reason for its dramatic pop.
However, Wall Street learned in the post-pandemic new normal that directed irrationality levers considerable power. Specifically, many retail traders no longer shy away from betting on deeply-embattled enterprises. Indeed, they prefer this contrarian practice in the
hopes of sparking a short squeeze.
With WKHS stock featuring a
short interest of 25.38% of its float – an elevated figure – it’s no surprise that under the context of speculation, Workhorse blossomed. However, investors need to be extremely cautious about chasing this flawed and vulnerable EV company.
Workhorse Just Isn’t Working
Looking at the company’s latest results, few things appear to be working as they should. Most notably, Workhorse
posted revenue of $1.7 million in the first quarter of 2023. That’s well below the $14.3 million generated in the year-ago quarter.
To be sure, it’s not a fair comparison. Given the seismic changes that erupted in 2022, investors must extend grace to companies that were vulnerable to supply-chain disruptions of key commodities. Also, once outside circumstances normalize, Workhorse may be back on track, thus justifying the rally of WKHS stock.
Nevertheless, market participants should carry a heavy dose of skepticism toward any high-risk enterprise. For WKHS stock, the problem comes down to viability. Based on data from TipRanks, Workhorse’s cash and cash equivalents account amounts to
only $79.1 million. However, its Q1 free cash flow (FCF) came out to a loss of $38.16 million. In Q4 2022, the FCF loss was $33.13 million.
Stated differently, Workhorse probably can’t just rely on investor sympathy regarding the great disruption of 2022. Instead, it needs to start delivering substantively on the financial print. Otherwise, it risks running out of cash.
A Crazy Premium for a Troubled Business
Cash burn isn’t the only problem impacting WKHS stock. Instead, prospective investors must pay a wild premium for the privilege of equity ownership. Frankly, that might be too much of an ask.
At the moment, the market prices WKHS stock at 26 times trailing-12-month sales. Without benefiting from sector data, it’s relatively easy to presume that such a ratio is wildly overvalued. In fact, data provided by NYU Stern School of Business shows that the price-to-sales ratio for the auto and truck industry is only 1.3 times.
Let’s look at it this way. If you buy WKHS stock right now, you’ll be paying a premium of nearly 20 times relative to its sector. Almost surely, astute, rational investors will walk away unless they know with high confidence that Workhorse can deliver.
Not even almighty Tesla (
NASDAQ:TSLA
) – which is priced at 9.6 times trailing sales – has a valuation multiple approaching Workhorse’s. Unless you have a crystal ball, you’re taking a massive risk with WKHS stock.
Is WKHS Stock a Buy, According to Analysts?
Turning to Wall Street, WKHS stock has a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on two Buys, one Hold, and zero Sell ratings. The
average WKHS stock price target is $3.17, implying 242% upside potential.
The Takeaway: WKHS Stock Simply Isn’t Worth the Trouble
While some elements of last week's sharp rise in WKHS stock make sense – particularly the fading costs of raw materials – it still represents a high-risk venture only appropriate for professional gamblers. Financially, Workhorse appears vulnerable due to its cash burn. Also, investors would be paying a hefty premium for equity ownership.
Disclosure
The NASDAQ 100 After Hours Indicator is down -16.48 to 14,850.97. The total After hours volume is currently 80,129,432 shares traded.The following are the most active stocks for the after hours session: Apple Inc. (AAPL) is -0.24 at $183.72, with 3,653,771 shares traded. As repo
U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony reinforced the central bank's objective to rein in inflation as he hinted at the likelihood of further interest rate hikes.
Looking at options trading activity among components of the Russell 3000 index, there is noteworthy activity today in FedEx Corp (Symbol: FDX), where a total volume of 137,493 contracts has been traded thus far today, a contract volume which is representative of approximately 1
U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony reinforced the central bank's objective to rein in inflation as he hinted at the likelihood of further interest rate hikes.
Rivian has acquired Swedish EV route planning app maker Iternio to add its technology to its electric pickups and sport utility vehicles, as well use its data to better expand its own charging network, its CEO told Reuters on Wednesday.
For years, the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) has been an extraordinary performer. Even though it fell more than its peers in the bear market of 2022, it has also rebounded sharply so far in 2023. As the rally appeared to hit a wall, the Nasdaq reversed course on Wednesday
What happened
Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) skidded off the road Wednesday morning, falling as much as 6.1%. As of 2:07 p.m. ET, the stock was still down 4.6%.
Wall Street extended its sell-off on Wednesday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony reinforced the central bank's campaign to rein in inflation as he hinted at the likelihood of further interest rate hikes.
Individual investors have given a cold shoulder to Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation Fund during their searing run this year, but some market watchers believe that may change if risk appetite keeps improving.
Wall Street's main indexes fell on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq leading declines, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell struck a hawkish tone in his congressional testimony, while Tesla fell the most among megacap stocks.
U.S. President Joe Biden and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi are expected to announce agreements on defense cooperation and sales, and investments in technology in India during White House talks starting on Wednesday despite U.S. concerns about human rights.
What happened
Charged up about the electric truck maker's prospects, investors chose to park shares of Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) in their portfolios yesterday upon learning of management's interest in partnering with Tesla. The rally, however, isn't extending into today's trading ses
Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) seem to mostly move in only one direction recently: up. The growth stock received another big boost on Tuesday as electric vehicle company Rivian Automotive said it is adopting Tesla's North American Charging Standard (NACS).
Bill Ackman is known for plenty of his own business successes. As founder of hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management, the billionaire investor has stood out for going against the crowd -- and making billions as a result. For instance, Ackman bet on the failure of MBIA, a mu