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Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK): Go Big, or Go Home

3 years 1 month ago
Sometimes in life, you need to go big or go home. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF ( NYSEARCA:MGK) brings this winner-take-all attitude to the market by investing in the market’s largest growth stocks. This strategy is simple yet effective. Why is investing in mega-cap stocks a winning strategy? Stocks that are winners often keep winning, and you don’t grow to a market cap in the hundreds of billions of dollars without being an exceptionally strong company for a long period of time.  What is the MGK ETF’s Strategy? MGK is a passively-managed ETF that “seeks to track the performance of the CRSP US Mega Cap Growth Index,” according to Vanguard. Its goal is to provide “a convenient way to get diversified exposure to the largest growth stocks in the U.S. market.” The ETF launched in 2007 and has grown to $13.7 billion in assets under management (AUM). Monster Gains While the strategy of investing in the U.S.’s largest growth stocks may sound like a simple one, investing doesn’t need to be complicated, and MGK has generated monster returns for its holders over the years. The mega-cap ETF has returned 18.6% over the past year. As of the end of July, over the past three years, MGK generated an admirable annualized total return of 12.0%. Zooming further out, its five-year annualized total return stands at a fantastic 15.6%, and its 10-year annualized total return came out to an equally impressive 15.5%. Since the fund's inception in 2007, it has delivered annualized total returns of 12.1%. On a cumulative basis, this means that MGK holders have enjoyed blockbuster total returns of 106.1% and 323.3% over the past five and 10 years, respectively.  These results surpass the solid returns that the broader market has posted over the same time frames. For example, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF ( NYSEARCA:VOO) , which simply invests in the S&P 500 ( SPX ), has returned 12.9% over the past year. Its three-year annualized total return of 13.7% beats MGK, but its five- and 10-year annualized returns of 12.2% and 12.6%, respectively, while excellent, can’t compete with MGK’s superior returns over the same time frame.  Below, you can check out a comparison of MGK and VOO using TipRanks' ETF Comparison Tool, which enables users to compare up to 20 ETFs at a time across a variety of factors. Big-Time Holdings Given its mega-cap focus, it’s unsurprising that MGK’s holdings are comprised of household names that everyday investors are familiar with. The ETF has 98 holdings, and its top 10 make up 60.9% of the fund. You can check out the chart below for an overview of MGK’s top 10 holdings.   As you might guess (because it’s the world’s most valuable company by market cap) Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is the fund’s largest holding, with a weighting of 15.9%, followed by Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), which weighs in at 13.5%. Other top 10 holdings include the tech behemoths Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), both classes of Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) stock, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), and Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ) that comprise the market’s so-called “magnificent seven.”  While these tech mega-caps reign supreme at the top of MGK (the technology sector accounts for 56.3% of the fund's holdings, according to Vanguard), the fund has plenty more to offer beyond big tech. Pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly ( NYSE:LLY ) and global payment network Visa ( NYSE:V ) occupy the final two spots of the top 10. Just outside the top 10, you’ll find other blue chip, large-cap names representing a wide variety of industries, such as Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ), McDonald’s ( NYSE:MCD ), Costco ( NASDAQ:COST ), Mastercard ( NYSE:MA ), and Thermo Fisher Scientific ( NYSE:TMO ).  These are some of the market’s largest stocks, and they also enjoy strong Smart Scores across the board. The Smart Score is a proprietary quantitative stock scoring system created by TipRanks. It gives stocks a score from 1 to 10 based on eight market key factors. A score of 8 or above is equivalent to an Outperform rating. Seven of MGK’s top 10 holdings, and all five of its five largest positions, have Outperform-equivalent Smart Scores of 8 or above, further indicating that this is a strong collection of holdings. MGK itself features an Outperform-equivalent ETF Smart Score of 8. What is the Price Target for MGK? Turning to Wall Street, MGK earns a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 87 Buys, 10 Holds, and one Sell rating assigned in the past three months. The average MGK stock price target of $275.53 implies 14.2% upside potential. Reasonable Expense Ratio  Thankfully for investors, one area where MGK doesn’t go big is when it comes to expenses. Vanguard pioneered the idea of low-cost index investing through mutual funds and later expanded this philosophy into the world of ETFs. As such, MGK has a reasonable expense ratio of just 0.07%.  This means that an investor who puts $10,000 into MGK today will pay just $7 in fees during their first year of investing. Assuming the expense ratio remains at 0.07% and the fund gains 5% per year going forward, over the course of a decade, this same investor would pay just $90 in fees. By investing in low-cost ETFs like this, investors can preserve more of their principal over time and avoid having large chunks of their gains eaten up by fees and expenses.   Does the MGK ETF Pay a Dividend? With a dividend yield of just 0.5%, dividends are another area where MGK doesn't go big, but in reality, income is not one of the fund's primary objectives. On the plus side, MGK offers good longevity in this department, with 14 consecutive years of dividend payments under its belt. The Takeaway The market’s largest stocks by market value didn’t get to where they are by being slouches -- they are winners for a reason. That’s why it’s probably not a bad idea to invest in these long-term winners, and MGK offers investors a simple, low-cost, and convenient way to gain exposure to all of them in one vehicle. The ETF’s stellar returns over the long term are a testament to the effectiveness of its investment strategy, meaning that MGK continues to be an attractive long-term investment opportunity. Disclosure
TipRanks

Thursday's ETF with Unusual Volume: LRGF

3 years 1 month ago
The iShares U.S. Equity Factor ETF is seeing unusually high volume in afternoon trading Thursday, with over 306,000 shares traded versus three month average volume of about 107,000. Shares of LRGF were up about 0.3% on the day.
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7 Magnificent Stocks: Hedge Funds are Loading Up; Should Investors Follow?

3 years 1 month ago
According to a  Reuters report, Goldman Sachs' ( NYSE:GS ) data shows that  hedge funds have significantly increased their exposure to the magnificent seven stocks, including Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL )( NASDAQ:GOOG ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), and Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ). Although  hedge fund signals are positive for these  tech giants, it is best for investors to analyze stocks on multiple parameters. For instance, savvy investors can leverage  TipRanks’ Experts Center tools to make an informed investment decision. With this backdrop, let’s check what the future holds for these stocks.  What are the Magnificent Seven Stocks Returning So Far? After a dismal show in 2022, these seven stocks roared back, making their investors rich. (See the graph below.) The higher probability of less aggressive interest rate hikes in the coming months, continued moderation in the inflation rate, and the solid uptake of Generative  AI (Artificial Intelligence) are why hedge funds and investors are buoyant on these magnificent seven stocks.  Leading the AI race is Nvidia, whose stock is galloping ahead with a stellar 237.2% gain on a year-to-date basis. Following Nvidia is the social media king, Meta Platforms, whose shares are up about 145%. During the same period, Tesla stock more than doubled, just when Amazon and Alphabet stocks are up about 61% and 54%, respectively.  Shares of the tech giant Apple have gained nearly 45%, while Microsoft, which is investing heavily in AI, witnessed a 38% growth in its stock.     Even if these stocks have appreciated significantly, the recovery in cloud computing, reacceleration in advertising spending, and AI-led opportunities continue to support the bull case. However, the economy still exhibits weakness, implying investors should take caution before going long on all seven magnificent stocks.  The Road Ahead TipRanks’  Stock Comparison tool shows that NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, and AMZN have received a Strong Buy consensus rating. Moreover, these stocks have an Outperform Smart Score on TipRanks.  Nvidia is poised to benefit from solid AI-led demand that will enable it to generate significant  revenue and cash flows. Further, the company will likely enhance its shareholders’ returns through massive share buybacks. As for Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, the reacceleration in the cloud segment,  investments in AI and its integration into their products, and improvement in ad spending provide a solid foundation for future growth.  On the other hand, the decline in sales of the iPhone, iPad, and Mac in Q3 keeps analysts cautiously optimistic on Apple stock. Nevertheless, it has  a “Perfect 10” Smart Score. Meanwhile, the  near-term pressure on margins keeps analysts cautious about Tesla stock.  The Takeaway As hedge funds and large institutions are known for generating market-beating returns, investors should closely watch their trades to form investing ideas.  However, when investing for the long term, one must also consider analyzing a stock on multiple parameters, including analysts’ ratings, fundamentals, and insider transactions, among others. To make things easier for retail investors, TipRanks offers a valuable tool like the Smart Score, which scores stocks based on eight key parameters, such as Wall Street analysts’ ratings, corporate insider transactions, fundamentals, and technical analysis, among other metrics.  Based on Smart Score, Tesla and Meta are the two stocks with a Neutral Smart Score. Meanwhile, the rest carry an Outperform Smart Score, implying these stocks are more likely to beat the broader markets with their returns in the coming days.  Disclosure
TipRanks

Hundreds of ETFs are Closing Up Shop This Year. Here’s Why. 

3 years 1 month ago
Between the Metaverse, cryptocurrency, and AI, plenty of new investment themes have emerged in recent years, at the same time as more individual and retail investors started investing during the pandemic. Predictably, a wave of new ETFs launched in an attempt to capitalize on these new trends.  However, according to a new Wall Street Journal article , many of these thematic and niche-focused ETFs are closing up shop. In fact, so far in 2023, 929 ETFs have closed worldwide, up from just 373 this time last year, according to research from ETFGI. In the United States, 178 exchange-traded products have shut down, already exceeding last year’s total of 142. According to the Wall Street Journal, this is the highest number of closures since 2020, when collapsing oil prices led to the demise of many energy-themed funds. Here’s why.  It’s Hard to Compete with the 800-Pound Gorillas in the Room Many of these ETFs are learning that it’s hard to attract capital in a crowded market where there is no shortage of competition and where the biggest ETFs from the largest asset managers dominate. These more established ETFs have the size and scale to offer investors low expense ratios and have long track records of performance that investors can look to, making it hard for newcomers to dislodge them.  Making matters more difficult for these new entrants is the fact that while the stock market has done well this year -- the S&P 500 ( SPX ) is up 18.1% year-to-date, while the Nasdaq ( NDX ) is up 35.0% -- a large portion of these gains come from just a handful of mega-cap tech stocks, known as the "Magnificent Seven." The Wall Street Journal reports that through May, these powerhouse stocks were responsible for virtually all of the market’s year-to-date gains. Investors looking for exposure to these seven tech behemoths -- Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), and Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) -- don’t really need to look beyond large, popular technology ETFs like Invesco QQQ Trust ( NASDAQ:QQQ) and Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ( NYSEARCA:XLK) to gain exposure to these stocks.  QQQ and XLK are good examples of the large ETFs that dominate the market. QQQ boasts nearly $200 billion in assets under management (AUM), a staggering figure, while XLK is smaller than QQQ but is still approaching $50 billion in AUM. With their massive size and scale, these two leading tech ETFs are able to offer investor-friendly expense ratios of 0.20% and 0.10%, respectively. Staying within technology, smaller but still-popular ETFs like the ARK Innovation Fund ( NYSEARCA:ARKK) have much higher expense ratios of 0.75%, and this disparity in fees and expenses makes a significant difference to investors when compounded over time.        The extent to which these mega-cap stocks (and massive ETFs) have dominated the market as of late leaves would-be competitors gasping for oxygen and fighting for scraps. Furthermore, because the Magnificent Seven have racked up such significant gains this year, they are now the largest seven stocks in the S&P 500. This means that an investor can simply invest in broad market, low-cost S&P 500 ETFs like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF ( NYSEARCA:VOO) or the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust ( NYSEARCA:SPY) to gain exposure to all of these stocks.  This is a conundrum for smaller and newer ETFs. On the one hand, investing in these stocks isn’t going to be enough to stand out in the crowd, especially when incumbents like VOO, SPY, XLK, and QQQ have lower expenses and lower track records. Trying to compete with these ETFs is like fighting the proverbial 800-pound gorillas in the room.  On the other hand, because these stocks are propelling much of the market’s overall gains in 2023, many individual investors simply don’t seem particularly interested in chasing other ideas and themes like the Metaverse or some of the politically-themed ETFs that have launched in recent years. There is an Alternative  Another factor that is making it tough sledding for smaller, narrowly-focused ETFs is that rising interest rates have given investors more alternatives to consider when looking for returns. For years, we all heard the mantra “there is no alternative,” which became so commonplace it even earned its own acronym, “TINA.” But now, for the first time in years, individual investors do have viable alternatives to stocks. Treasury bond yields have risen to decade-highs, and investors can also earn decent risk-free returns by parking money in Certificates of Deposit and money-market accounts. The new viability of fixed-income investing means that money is flowing into fixed-income ETFs as opposed to the latest ETF with a cute ticker attempting to capitalize on the latest trend.   It’s Not All Bad News for New ETFs All of that said, there are some outliers out there in newer ETFs that are bucking the trend and seem to be establishing real staying power. For example, the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF ( NYSEARCA:JEPI) only launched in 2020 but has quickly garnered nearly $30 billion in AUM, meaning that it has already grown into the market’s largest actively-managed ETF in just a few short years of existence. JEPI has stood out from the crowd and gained traction with investors by offering a double-digit dividend yield of 10.0% and a monthly payout schedule, with a strategy of selling covered calls to boost its payout. Similarly, JEPI’s cousin, the JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF ( NASDAQ:JEPQ) launched last May and has already accumulated $5.0 billion in assets under management. Like JEPI, JEPQ pays a double-digit dividend yield of 11.5% and makes monthly payouts but invests in the Nasdaq instead of the S&P 500. Below, you can view a comparison of the two ETFs using TipRanks' ETF comparison tool. The Takeaway In conclusion, investors today have more choices than ever when it comes to investing in ETFs, with a bevy of new options launching for each hot theme that emerges. However, many of these ETFs never end up gaining traction with investors and end up shutting down. Essentially, when it comes to ETFs, the competitive landscape is a Darwinian "survival of the fittest," and not everyone is going to attract enough capital to survive. The ETF market may benefit from a "thinning of the herd" in which some of the weaker ETFs that have not found a product-market fit go by the wayside. The Wall Street Journal previously found that "because many newly launched ETFs are risky attempts to capitalize on the latest trend, they end up investing in overvalued stocks. One consequence is that such funds, on average, can be expected to lag behind the broad market’s returns over at least five years after launch—if they even live that long." Thus, ETFs looking to capitalize on the latest trend may be late to the party and are buying in after large gains have already been made. Meanwhile, some ETFs, such as politically-themed ones or ones that let you invest alongside or fade the picks of prominent investing personalities, are better characterized as gimmicks than viable long-term investing strategies. These ETFs face a challenging landscape right from the beginning, as offering investors exposure to the typical large-cap growth and tech stocks won’t give them much differentiation against the market’s top ETFs, but conversely, offering different exposure may not interest investors either. However, the massive success of a few new ETFs like JEPI and JEPQ shows that it is still possible to gain success if an ETF finds a differentiated strategy that appeals to investors.  Disclosure
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