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What’s Next for Big Tech Stocks After the Disappointing H122?
The supply shortages, macro headwinds, and resurgence of the coronavirus in China weighed on the shares of the big tech companies. Notably, shares of Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet are down about 27%, 38%, and 27%, respectively, on a year-to-date basis.
While these large tech stocks have witnessed a pullback, rate hikes and fear of recession add uncertainty to their future trajectory. Amid the uncertainty, let’s look at what TipRanks’ proprietary tools and analysts’ recommendations reveal about the future of these big tech companies.
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)
Apple continues to benefit from the ongoing demand for its products. However, management warned that supply constraints and industry-wide silicon shortages could have a negative impact of $4 billion to $8 billion on its top line in Q3. Meanwhile, COVID-led challenges in China and adverse currency movement could remain a drag.
While Apple faces short-term headwinds, its stock has received 21 Buy and six Hold recommendations. Moreover, the average Apple price target of $186.33 indicates 43.4% upside potential over the next 12 months. New product launches and Apple’s faster M2 chip could support its growth.
Looking at hedge fund activity, Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio, Caxton Associates’ Andrew Law, and Hirtle Callaghan & Co’s Ranji H. Nagaswami increased their holdings in AAPL stock in the last quarter. Apple stock also has positive indicators from TipRanks’ investors and bloggers. Overall, AAPL stock has an Outperform Smart Score of 9 out of 10.
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN)
The slowdown in e-commerce growth, inflationary cost pressure, and the weak near-term outlook are why Amazon stock is down. However, its solid competitive positioning in the cloud and e-commerce market keeps analysts bullish.
AMZN stock has received 36 Buy, one Hold, and one Sell recommendations for a Strong Buy consensus rating. Further, the average Amazon price target of $178.66 implies 72.4% upside potential.
TipRanks’ Hedge Fund Activity tool for AMZN shows that several hedge fund managers, including First Pacific Advisors’ Richard Atwood, have increased their holdings in AMZN stock. It’s worth noting that TipRanks’ investors are also optimistic about AMZN stock, and 8% of these investors have raised their holding in one month. All in all, AMZN stock has an Outperform Smart Score of 8 out of 10.
Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL)
Macro challenges, adverse currency fluctuations, tough year-over-year comparisons, and pressure on YouTube’s ad growth took a toll on Alphabet stock. However, strength in cloud and network advertising augurs well for growth.
GOOGL stock sports a Strong Buy consensus rating on TipRanks, based on 30 unanimous buy recommendations. Moreover, the average Alphabet price target of $3,212.72 implies 51.6% upside potential.
Looking at hedge fund activity, Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio, Chilton Investment Co’s Richard Chilton, and several other hedge fund managers have increased their holdings in GOOGL stock. Furthermore, GOOGL stock also has positive indicators from TipRanks’ investors and bloggers. GOOGL stock has an Outperform Smart Score of 9 out of 10.
Bottom LineWhile these big tech companies face near-term headwinds, the positive indicators from analysts, hedge fund managers, financial bloggers, and TipRanks’ investors point to a healthy future ahead.
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Does Apple’s Future Lie in Advertising? J.P. Morgan Thinks So
In a topsy-turvy market for tech stocks, Apple (AAPL) shares are down with the rest of the growth stocks this year (down ~27% since 2022 began).
However, according to J.P. Morgan analyst Samik Chatterjee, Apple is poised to outperform the market over the next 12 months -- to not only regain its highs of earlier this year, but to surpass them, and rise as high as $200 a share -- 54% more than Apple stock costs today.
Chatterjee laid out his thoughts on this score on Thursday, in a note on the subject of advertising spend and mobile ad growth at Apple. As the analyst writes: "Global advertisement spends are increasingly moving towards digital mediums, and mobile advertisement is expected to grow from $288 bn in 2021 to over $400 bn by 2024." Not all this money will go to Apple, of course. But with an installed base of more than one billion iPhone users worldwide, and generally well-heeled, Western consumer-users residing in the United States and Europe to boot -- the kind advertisers love to target -- Chatterjee argues that Apple is "better positioned than most other companies to benefit from this secular trend" of mobile advertising growth.
Currently, explains Chatterjee, Apple's advertising efforts are limited to selling no more than "one ad per search in the App Store." But this is only the beginning of what's available to Apple. There's at least the potential, argues the analyst, for Apple to take advantage of its huge installed base of iPhones by targeting ads on its own applications, as well as third-party applications, and managing the delivery of these ads for its clients.
How big is this opportunity for Apple? It could be worth as much as $6 billion in incremental revenue by 2025, says the analyst, and once Apple starts down this road, Chatterjee believes the company could grow its advertising revenues "at a robust double-digit pace" in years past 2025.
Now consider those numbers for a moment: A $400 billion market opportunity -- and Apple only claiming $6 billion of it -- works out to a projection of a mere 1.5% of total global mobile advertising market share. This is not any kind of wild, far-fetched claim that Chatterjee is making. It's actually both realistic and possibly even conservative, should Apple decide to capitalize upon its potential.
In the near term, Chatterjee continues to expect Apple to be content with mid-to-upper single digit revenue growth from now through 2024 (with earnings growing a bit faster than that -- 8% to 10%). But over the longer term, Chatterjee believes that the likely growth in advertising revenue will help to support 10% overall long-term annual revenue growth at Apple -- and presumably, even faster profits growth. (See AAPL stock forecast on TipRanks)
To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analyst. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.