After witnessing a decline in hardware sales in the third quarter of Fiscal 2023, Apple (
NASDAQ:AAPL
) may again disappoint with its Q4 numbers.
Barclays analyst Tim Long believes that AAPL's hardware sales could fall short of analysts’ expectations. Further, he views the consensus forecast for iPhone unit sales as overly optimistic.
The analyst added that the supply chain tracker suggests a low-single-digit miss for Apple's September quarter hardware revenue with shortfalls across iPhone units, Macs, and iPads. Long attributed the lower-than-expected hardware revenue to the weakness in demand in China and supply constraints. The analyst maintained a Hold rating on Apple stock on October 8, citing the weak demand environment and the extended replacement cycles.
It’s worth highlighting that iPhone sales fell 2% in the second quarter. Meanwhile, its Mac and iPad revenues declined by 7% and 20% in the June-end quarter. Moreover, the U.S. government’s
antitrust trial involving Google is generating negative headlines for Apple. Citing the ongoing trial,
Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi warned that
Apple might be hit hard if the court delivers an unfavorable verdict against Google.
As Apple faces short-term headwinds, let’s look at what the Street recommends for AAPL stock.
Is Apple a Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Given the short-term headwinds, analysts are cautiously optimistic about Apple stock. It has received 20 Buy and nine Sell recommendations for a Moderate Buy consensus rating.
Despite weak hardware sales, Apple stock has gained about 38% year-to-date. Moreover, analysts’ average price target of $207.69 implies 16.42% upside potential from current levels.
Bottom Line
The short-term concerns over product sales keep analysts cautiously optimistic about Apple stock. However, its installed base reached an all-time high across all geographic segments during the second quarter of Fiscal 2023, bringing significant growth opportunities to upsell and cross-sell its products. Moreover, its Services revenues remains strong, providing a solid platform for long-term growth.
Disclosure
Investing in the stock market can be daunting, but with the right strategy, it can also be lucrative.You don't need to be a stock market guru or spend countless hours researching companies to make a lot of money investing, either. While there's no single correct way to invest, th
Finding a reliable dividend stock that can supplement income is a wonderful thing. But finding a stock that can power your passive income and unlock growth potential -- now that's a one-two punch that's hard to pass up.
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) mostly operate in different areas of the tech market, with one dominating consumer products and the other a leading chipmaker. These companies have some similarities, with Apple venturing into chip production in 2020 a
When examined over extended periods, Wall Street is a wealth-building machine. But over shorter timelines, the stock market is far less predictable. Since this decade began, all three major indexes have vacillated between bear and bull markets.
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) has been a company to watch this year, with its e-commerce business rebounding from a disastrous 2022 and an increasing position in artificial intelligence (AI). The retail giant's stock has risen some 55% since Jan. 1, as Wall Street has grown increasingly
The
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (
NYSEARCA:RSP)
offers investors equally weighted exposure to the S&P 500 (
SPX
) index. In other words, it's not overly concentrated in one particular sector or stock. Why is this something investors might be interested in? Let’s find out.
What is an Equal-Weight S&P 500 ETF?
RSP can be thought of as an alternative way to invest in the S&P 500, the index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly-listed companies in the United States and, in many ways, serves as a proxy for the U.S. stock market as a whole.
Most ETFs that track an index like the S&P 500 are weighted by market cap, meaning that stocks with large market valuations like Apple (
NASDAQ:AAPL
) or Microsoft (
NASDAQ:MSFT
) will account for a higher percentage of the fund’s holdings compared to stocks with lower market caps. These stocks will thus command outsized influence on the results of the fund.
Conversely, RSP uses an equal-weight strategy for the stocks in the S&P 500 Index, meaning that it invests the same amount in each stock and rebalances on a quarterly basis. Because of this process, no individual stock has a disproportionate or overwhelming influence on the overall results of the fund.
Why Go Equal Weight?
While investing in a typical S&P 500 fund offers investors decent diversification, as this type of ETF owns 500 stocks, these ETFs are not as diversified as they might appear on the surface, given the high concentration they have in their top holdings. For example, the largest S&P 500 ETF, the
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (
NYSEARCA:SPY)
, owns 504 stocks, but
SPY's top 10 holdings make up nearly one-third of assets. This is because mega-cap tech stocks like Apple and Microsoft account for large positions in this market-weighted fund, given their immense market caps.
Below, you can take a look at
SPY’s top 10 holdings, which account for 31.4% of the fund.
This isn’t necessarily a bad thing, as these stocks have been strong performers this year, but it does leave investors with more concentration risk and more exposure to just a handful of stocks.
Conversely, because they all start with a weighting of 0.2% each quarter,
RSP’s top 10 holdings make up just a minuscule 2.3% of the fund. This shields investors from concentration risk and gives them more exposure to smaller components of the S&P 500, which can otherwise be crowded out by the mega-cap tech stocks in market-weighted S&P 500 ETFs. Below, you can take a look at RSP’s top 10 holdings.
Furthermore, if Apple, Microsoft, or big tech as a whole experience a pullback, this will have more of a pronounced effect on SPY than it will on RSP, where these stocks are weighted equally with every other stock in the S&P 500.
A lot has been written of the fact that the "Magnificent Seven" stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and their fellow mega-cap tech peers have driven much of the market’s gains this year. For example, Apple is up 41.9% year-to-date, Microsoft is up 36.6% year-to-date, and Nvidia (
NASDAQ:NVDA
) is up an incredible 219.7% in 2023. Because of this, some analysts and observers feel that these mega-cap tech stocks are due for a pullback after the tremendous runs they have enjoyed in 2023.
At the very least, there could be some reversion to the mean as other stocks catch up with the market’s current leaders, so an equal-weighted fund like RSP could be the right type of ETF to own in the current climate.
Performance Comparison
As you might guess, RSP has underperformed the S&P 500 so far this year (with a total return of 1.3% versus 14.8% for the S&P 500), given that by design, it doesn’t have as much exposure to the Magnificent Seven stocks that have done much of the heavy lifting for the market this year.
However, RSP has still put up a solid return, and when you zoom out beyond the past year, there is much less of a disparity. For example, over the past three years (as of the end of September), RSP has actually outperformed the S&P 500 with a total return of 11.5% versus a total return of 10.2% for the S&P 500 Index.
RSP has slightly underperformed the S&P 500 over the past five and 10 years, with annualized five- and 10-year returns of 8.0% and 10.2%, respectively, versus annualized returns of 9.9% and 11.9% for the S&P 500 over the same respective time frames.
So, RSP has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past three years, and while it has underperformed it slightly over the past five and 10 years, it could be well-positioned against the market-weighted index in a market environment where the mega-cap tech stocks revert to the mean.
Is RSP Stock a Buy, According to Analysts?
Turning to Wall Street, RSP earns a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 403 Buys, 93 Holds, and eight Sell ratings assigned in the past three months. The
average RSP stock price target of $169.82 implies 19.5% upside potential.
Reasonable Expense Ratio
Additionally, RSP is a cost-effective option for investors, with a reasonable expense ratio of 0.20%. This means that an investor allocating $10,000 into the ETF would pay $20 in fees during their first year of investing in the fund. Assuming that the expense ratio remains at 0.20% and that the fund returns 5% per year going forward, this investor would pay $255 in fees over the course of a 10-year investment.
The Takeaway
Investing in RSP gives investors many of the same benefits that they get from investing in the S&P 500 -- exposure to over 500 of the United States’ best and brightest companies. However, it does so with much less concentration risk than the typical market-weighted S&P 500 fund, as it isn’t dominated by the big tech stocks like these funds are.
I view RSP as an interesting and sensible ETF that can allow investors to gain exposure to the S&P 500 while hedging against the risk of a reversion to the mean of the market’s big year-to-date winners.
Disclosure
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is expected to publish its Q3 2023 earnings on October 18, reporting on a quarter that saw the company’s deliveries take a hit due to planned factory shutdowns which reduced production. We expect Tesla’s revenues to come in at $24.3 billion, slight
The Australian government said on Wednesday it planned to introduce laws that would empower the central bank to regulate digital wallet providers including Apple Pay and Alphabet's Google Pay.
In Tuesday afternoon trading, 144 stocks hit 52-week lows, while 86 hit 52-week highs. Most of the 52-week lows were on the Nasdaq. Here are two that look very enticing.
Investors eyeing a purchase of Apple Inc (Symbol: AAPL) stock, but cautious about paying the going market price of $178.27/share, might benefit from considering selling puts among the alternative strategies at their disposal. One interesting put contract in particular, is the
Apple said on Tuesday it planned to comply with France's radiation testing requirements by rolling out an update that will stop the iPhone 12 from using more power when the device is in contact with static surfaces.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq touched three-week highs on Tuesday as dovish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve officials pushed Treasury yields lower, while investors kept a close eye on the latest developments amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Have you been searching for a stock that might be well-positioned to maintain its earnings-beat streak in its upcoming report? It is worth considering Apple (AAPL), which belongs to the Zacks Computer - Mini computers industry.
EU industry chief Thierry Breton will likely set out a strategy next year requiring Big Tech to help fund the rollout of 5G and broadband across Europe, leaving it to the next European Commission to decide whether to adopt legislation, people familiar with the matter said on Tuesday.
Many folks are lured into the stock market by tales of getting rich quick through explosive growth stocks. But there's a far simpler, less stressful way of building generational wealth that also helps you rest easy at night. And that method is through investing in quality compani
Below is Validea's guru fundamental report for APPLE INC (AAPL). Of the 22 guru strategies we follow, AAPL rates highest using our Twin Momentum Investor model based on the published strategy of Dashan Huang. This momentum model looks for a combination of fundamental momentum an
The 10-year Treasury yield's latest journey to the stars is setting up a terrific opportunity for us to "lock in" historically high dividend yields--and upside, too.
If you're interested in broad exposure to the Technology - Broad segment of the equity market, look no further than the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM), a passively managed exchange traded fund launched on 03/13/2001.