Despite the market's strong showing so far this year, PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) hasn't experienced the same success. It's down about 17% versus the S&P 500's 19% rise. That's a drastic underperformance and might trigger investors to take action with the stock.
CNBC's Jim Cramer has now created two well-known investing groups to convey the most important stocks in the market. First was the term FAANG; now he's using the phrase "Magnificent Seven" to discuss seven stocks that he believes are vital to the market's success. They are:
The technology sector, broadly speaking, is having a great year. The Nasdaq-100 tech index has jumped 47% so far, and it's now a stone's throw away from its all-time high following a brutal sell-off in 2022.
Warren Buffett is known for his stock-picking strengths, which have led to spectacular market performance over the long term. Buffett, as Berkshire Hathaway chairman, and his team have delivered compounded annual gains of more than 19% over the past 57 years. That's compared to a
Fintech giant PayPal (
NASDAQ:PYPL
) reported
better-than-expected third-quarter results earlier this month. Shares have advanced 15% over the past month but are still down nearly 19% year-to-date due to concerns about growing rivalry in the fintech space and the pressure on PayPal’s margins. Recent comments from some analysts have indicated that the company is losing market share to rivals, especially Apple (
NASDAQ:AAPL
). Let’s delve deeper.
PayPal Losing Ground to Rivals
PayPal’s Q3 2023 revenue grew 8% to $7.4 billion, while total payment volume (TPV) grew 15% to $387.7 billion. Moreover,
adjusted EPS increased over 20% year-over-year to $1.30. However, the company’s GAAP operating margin contracted 59 basis points to 15.7% while adjusted operating margin fell 18 basis points to 22.2%.
Rising competition is impacting the company’s branded checkout business and hurting margins. Moreover, the growth in lower-margin offerings like Braintree (offers unbranded payment solutions to merchants) is also weighing on PayPal’s margins.
The entry of tech giants Apple and Alphabet (
NASDAQ:GOOGL
) in the fintech space through their Apple Pay and Google Pay offerings, respectively, has increased the rivalry in this growing market. PayPal’s products like Braintree also face competition from private players like Stripe (which is reportedly gearing for an IPO).
Analysts’ Cautious Tone
On Tuesday,
Evercore analyst David Togut reiterated a Hold rating on PYPL stock with a price target of $65, noting that Cyber Week data on online spending indicates potential share loss in PayPal's core checkout business.
Togut said that as per a Salesforce (
NYSE:CRM
) report, from November 21 through November 26, 2023, PayPal’s U.S. and global usage declined 4% and 2%, respectively, underperforming overall Wallet Pays, which rose 53% in the U.S. and 59% worldwide. The report revealed that PayPal processed 13% and 14% of total Cyber Week online transactions in the U.S. and globally, respectively.
Togut contended that while the Salesforce data does not include Cyber Monday sales, he does not expect any significant change in the trends highlighted by the report. He acknowledged that the company has taken initiatives to reduce friction at checkout, with password-less checkouts accounting for more than 70% of the total (excluding European Union) transactions. However, he thinks that these initiatives might not be enough to offset the notable rise in competition.
Similarly, on November 14,
Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev slashed his price target for PayPal to $72 from $92, citing Branded checkout headwinds due to growing competition. Dolev said that his firm’s e-commerce checkout tracker indicates that Apple Pay continued to hurt PayPal’s Branded Checkout share in October, with outgoing web traffic from key merchants remaining lower compared to historical levels.
That said, Dolev remains upbeat about PYPL's future growth potential and believes that opportunities to combine the PayPal and Venmo platforms and create a global digital wallet could mitigate worries about market share losses to Apple Pay.
Is PYPL a Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Overall, Wall Street is cautiously optimistic about PayPal, with a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 22 Buys and 12 Holds. The average price target of $83.55 implies 44% upside potential.
Conclusion
PayPal’s declining operating margin and intense competition have raised concerns about the company’s near-term growth potential. However, the company is taking steps to reduce costs and introduce innovative solutions, which might drive long-term growth in the fintech market.
Disclosure
U.S. stocks edged lower on Wednesday as a robust upward GDP revision eased recession fears, while Federal Reserve officials' remarks raised questions about the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy.
U.S. stocks edged lower on Wednesday as a robust upward GDP revision eased recession fears, while Federal Reserve officials' remarks raised questions about the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy ahead of inflation data due early Thursday. The Nasdaq joined the S&P 500 in negative territory, while the Dow ended essentially flat.
Financial stocks were advancing in late Wednesday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index rising 1.1% and the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) adding 1%.
Wall Street edged higher on Wednesday as a robust upward GDP revision eased worries about a possible U.S. recession, while Federal Reserve officials' remarks left unresolved questions about the duration of the central bank's restrictive policy.
Financial stocks were advancing in Wednesday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index rising 1.2% and the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) ahead 1.3%.
Smartphone shipments in South Africa grew 73% year-on-year in the third quarter and were up 44% from the previous three months as major Chinese manufacturers pushed their presence in the continent's most advanced economy, Counterpoint Research said.
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. GS received a proposal from Apple Inc. AAPL to end the credit card partnership in the next 12 to 15 months. This was first reported by the Wall Street Journal.
Wall Street's three main indexes rose on Wednesday as U.S. Treasury yields slipped to multi-month lows on growing rate cut optimism, while latest data on economic growth fueled hopes of a soft landing.
The stock market has been on a nice run of late. At the time of this writing, the S&P 500 has gained 7% over the past month while the Nasdaq Composite has risen by 8%. While it's always great to see green in your brokerage account, with higher prices come higher valuations. P
Below is Validea's guru fundamental report for APPLE INC (AAPL). Of the 22 guru strategies we follow, AAPL rates highest using our Twin Momentum Investor model based on the published strategy of Dashan Huang. This momentum model looks for a combination of fundamental momentum an
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) is a technology leader, but the company is rarely a first mover. Instead, it sees how a market is unfolding and introduces products that leverage commodity technologies with a great user experience to take a lead.
The death of Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger heralds the end of an era, leaving Warren Buffett as the conglomerate's lone investing legend and shining the spotlight on managers who have largely operated in their shadow.
If you're interested in broad exposure to the Large Cap Value segment of the US equity market, look no further than the WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend ETF (DLN), a passively managed exchange traded fund launched on 06/16/2006.
Launched on 11/05/2019, the ProShares S&P Technology Dividend Aristocrats ETF (TDV) is a smart beta exchange traded fund offering broad exposure to the Technology ETFs category of the market.