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Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence

Experts Warn: AI Boom Shows Bubble Signs, but Investors May Miss the Exit

4 days 14 hours ago
The artificial intelligence (AI) investment boom is showing many of the hallmarks of a market bubble, with soaring valuations, rising leverage and increasingly speculative capital flows prompting warnings from veteran investors at the New Orleans Investment Conference.During a popular annual panel discussion titled “Booms, Busts and Bubbles,” mining financier Frank Giustra, market commentator Jim Iuorio and investor Grant Williams agreed that the enthusiasm surrounding AI has pushed markets into dangerous territory. However, they cautioned that recognizing a bubble is only part of the challenge. Knowing when it will burst — and how to protect capital before it does — is considerably harder.The discussion, moderated by Luma Financial founder and President Albert Lu, focused on the concentration of market gains in a handful of technology companies, the financing structures supporting AI infrastructure spending and the potential economic and social consequences of another major market correction.The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) has climbed from below 4,000 in 2022 to approximately 7,600 today, driven largely by the AI investment cycle that followed the launch of ChatGPT. AI infrastructure companies now account for roughly 90 percent of capital expenditures, while the sector contributes approximately 80 percent of S&P 500 earnings growth, Lu noted. But the scale of the rally is raising questions about whether investor expectations have moved too far ahead of underlying fundamentals. ​AI boom carries familiar bubble characteristics For Iuorio, the speed of the rally is an immediate warning sign."When you see a stock like Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) being up 300 percent in eight weeks' time, you have to know that something's up," he said, agreeing that the market is in a bubble.Giustra pointed to the Buffett Indicator, which compares total stock market capitalization with gross domestic product, as another indication of excessive valuations. The measure has reached approximately 240 percent, well above the 150 percent level recorded at the height of the dot-com bubble.Although today's leading technology companies generate substantial earnings, Giustra argued that this does not eliminate the risks associated with excessive spending and speculation."There will be a reckoning, and some of these companies will get destroyed," he said, warning that when the bubble bursts, the broader market will also suffer.The panelists acknowledged that AI could prove as transformative as previous technological breakthroughs, including railroads, automobiles, aviation and the internet. However, transformative technologies have not necessarily translated into successful investments at every stage of their development.Lu recalled that even investors who identified Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) as one of the strongest companies during the dot-com era would have experienced a loss of approximately 90 percent before its eventual recovery.Williams, who writes the "Things That Make You Go Hmmm..." newsletter, used the analogy of an approaching hurricane to describe the disconnect between recognizing market danger and taking precautions."If we told you a hurricane was heading to New Orleans, everybody would take precautions," he said. "The interesting thing about stock market bubbles is people don't really think about what can go wrong. They're still thinking about making money." Williams argued that investors often assume they will be able to exit their positions just before a market collapse, despite the speed at which financial conditions can deteriorate."Far too few people think about ... what's my exit strategy here? What do I need to be worried about?" he said. ​Investors weigh opportunity against capital preservation While the panelists agreed the market is overextended, their approaches to navigating the cycle are different. Giustra, who has been involved in financial markets since 1978, said he prefers to remain on the sidelines rather than chase valuations he considers historically excessive.He exited his US equity positions before the COVID-19 pandemic, explaining that his decision was based on valuations rather than an expectation of an impending crisis. He acknowledged that the move meant missing substantial market gains, but said preserving existing wealth has become more important than pursuing additional returns."At my age, I was going to preserve what I have instead of betting the farm," he said. Giustra distinguishes between the capital he puts at risk through his business activities and his personal investment portfolio — while he continues to invest in high-risk ventures, he is considerably more protective of the wealth he has already accumulated.For Williams, the distinction between uncertainty and risk is central to investment decisions."Uncertainty is the water we swim. We live in uncertainty every single day," he said. "The risks you take are the decisions you make in trying to deal with that uncertainty."Rather than attempting to eliminate uncertainty, investors should assess whether the risks they are taking are appropriate for their financial objectives and circumstances.Williams also emphasized the importance of holding capital back for opportunities that emerge after a market correction. He suggested that investors could eventually find attractive entry points in equities trading at significantly lower valuations, including companies offering dividend yields of 6 percent and trading at six times earnings.Meanwhile, Iuorio argued that investors do not necessarily need to avoid the market entirely. However, they should reduce position sizes and take profits as valuations rise."If you're not trimming, if you're not sizing your positions so when it all comes crashing down you won't be the one left in tears, then you're being foolish right now," he said. ​Leverage and private credit emerge as warning signs Beyond valuations, the panel identified leverage as one of the most important indicators to monitor for signs of a market breakdown. Lu highlighted AI infrastructure company CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV), pointing to its debt-to-equity ratio of more than 10 and borrowing costs of approximately 15 percent. He also raised concerns about financing structures that use NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) graphics processing units as collateral, despite the hardware's relatively short depreciation cycle.The structure raised comparisons with the financing practices that contributed to the 2008 global financial crisis.Iuorio said he would avoid CoreWeave, describing its financial structure as concerning. However, he identified corporate earnings as a more immediate indicator of whether the AI trade is losing momentum.He is watching for a scenario in which companies report strong earnings, but their share prices decline anyway — a potential sign that positive results are no longer enough to sustain investor enthusiasm.NVIDIA will be particularly important because of its central position in the AI investment cycle."If NVIDIA posts fantastic earnings and still gets hit, to me it'll be an indication that things are going," Iuorio said.Williams also warned that the market's financing dynamics have changed considerably since the dot-com era. Retail investors now have a much greater influence on market activity, potentially extending speculative rallies even as more cautious institutional investors step aside.He described the financing arrangements surrounding AI infrastructure companies as increasingly circular, with companies and investors relying on one another to sustain the same investment narrative.Giustra identified corporate bonds as another important warning indicator, arguing that credit markets could signal financial stress before equities prices reflect the deterioration. He commented, "Watch the discounts on the corporate bonds because it will signal long before the share price will signal that something's wrong." He also highlighted highly leveraged hedge funds as a potential source of instability, warning that one failure could trigger a broader chain reaction.Williams, however, said private credit poses an even greater concern because of its limited transparency and the difficulty of assessing underlying risks. Gold, bailouts and the social cost of another crisis The panelists also considered how a market collapse could affect gold and the broader economy.Williams cautioned that gold will not necessarily provide immediate protection during a liquidity crisis. Investors facing pressure to raise cash often sell assets across the board, including precious metals.However, he expects gold to recover quickly as investors seek liquidity and policymakers respond to the crisis.Giustra pointed to the 2008 financial crisis as an example. Gold fell from approximately US$1,000 per ounce to US$750 before climbing to around US$1,900 over the following two years. He argued that investors must consider how governments and central banks will respond to a downturn, particularly through monetary expansion. That response could have significant consequences if another financial crisis requires substantial government intervention.Williams said the underlying problems facing the financial system are similar to those in 2008, but considerably larger. He expects policymakers to resort to money creation once again, although he believes the inflationary consequences could make the response less politically acceptable."The response will be the same, and it'll be much more dangerous," he said.Giustra also warned the audience that governments could find ways to use private wealth to support the financial system during a crisis. He recommended holding physical gold as a means of preserving wealth outside the financial system, emphasizing the importance of knowing where it is stored.The potential for another round of financial bailouts also raised questions about the social consequences of a market collapse. Lu noted that public frustration over the concentration of wealth is already on the rise. Another crisis followed by government support for financial institutions could deepen that resentment and contribute to social unrest.For the panelists, the central message was that investors should not assume the current market cycle will continue indefinitely. The AI revolution may ultimately deliver significant economic benefits, but that does not mean every company or investor participating in the boom will emerge successfully.As Giustra put it, "The louder they cheer, the more skeptical I get." Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Oil Prices Fall as Iran Talks Ease Supply Fears, Cameco Weighs In on AI Power Demand

1 week 4 days ago
US crude fell below US$100 per barrel on Monday (November 2) after Iranian negotiators left Qatari-mediated talks with a draft proposal in circulation, knocking more than 4 percent off oil prices a day before the US midterm elections.Brent crude futures dropped US$4.79, or 4.2percent, to US$108.64 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traded at US$99.71, down US$4.41. Brent finished October at a six-month high on concern that the conflict could escalate again after Tuesday’s vote.Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi called the negotiations “ongoing and progressing” on Sunday and said Tehran was prepared for “both defence and diplomacy.” US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said President Donald Trump “hasn’t made a decision” and would prefer to resolve the war “diplomatically.”Still, it has been previously reported that the US is preparing for possible military action after the election. On Saturday (October 31), Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei called on Iran’s armed forces to meet “any level or type of threat” with “an immediate, impactful, and geographically unrestricted response.”Seven core OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, agreed on Sunday (November 1) to hold December production targets at September levels, about 31 million barrels per day combined. Most Gulf members are still pumping well below their targets as the war disrupts exports. The full 21-country group meets on November 29, when analysts expect it to set quotas for 2027.The world has drained nearly 1 billion barrels from inventories since the war disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, according to the CEO of ADNOC. Goldman Sachs raised its forecasts on Sunday and said Brent could reach US$140 in 2027 if Gulf output stays 3.5 million barrels per day below its 2025 average. ​EIA projects record US natural gas production The war has also lifted demand for US natural gas. With Qatari gas absent from the market, global demand for spot LNG cargoes has surged, adding to growing domestic consumption from data centers.The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects dry gas production to average 112.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) this year, topping the 2025 record of 107.64 Bcf/d, and to climb to 116.13 Bcf/d in 2027. US LNG exports averaged 17.4 Bcf/d in the first half, up 23 percent from a year earlier. The agency expects rising output to more than offset higher exports.Producers are scaling up to meet that demand. EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT) agreed last week to buy Range Resources in an all-stock deal that gives the combined company a pro forma enterprise value of more than US$50 billion.“North American gas markets have shifted from producer-push to demand-pull, and this deal puts EQT firmly at the heart of that transition,” Lydia Walker, senior research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, said in a recent release.Uranium producer Cameco (TSX:CCO,NYSE:CCJ) also addressed data center demand in its third-quarter results on Friday (October 30).“While growing electricity demand associated with artificial intelligence, data centres and the broader technology sector may provide additional upside for nuclear energy, it is important to recognize that our investment thesis does not depend on any single demand driver,” CEO Tim Gitzel said.Gitzel added that utilities continue to evaluate their fuel requirements “in an increasingly uncertain geopolitical environment.”Cameco posted net earnings of US$30.8 million for the quarter ended September 30, with an adjusted net loss of US$1.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of US$191.3 million. The company said results for the quarter and the first nine months came in generally lower than in 2025, but higher realized prices partly offset the decline.A planned maintenance shutdown at the Key Lake mill, longer than in previous years, began in the third quarter and held Cameco’s share of production to 3.5 million pounds of U3O8 while raising costs. Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Oil Prices Fall as Iran Talks Ease Supply Fears, Cameco Weighs In on AI Power Demand

1 week 4 days ago
US crude fell below US$100 per barrel on Monday (November 2) after Iranian negotiators left Qatari-mediated talks with a draft proposal in circulation, knocking more than 4 percent off oil prices a day before the US midterm elections.Brent crude futures dropped US$4.79, or 4.2percent, to US$108.64 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traded at US$99.71, down US$4.41. Brent finished October at a six-month high on concern that the conflict could escalate again after Tuesday’s vote.Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi called the negotiations “ongoing and progressing” on Sunday and said Tehran was prepared for “both defence and diplomacy.” US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said President Donald Trump “hasn’t made a decision” and would prefer to resolve the war “diplomatically.”Still, it has been previously reported that the US is preparing for possible military action after the election. On Saturday (October 31), Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei called on Iran’s armed forces to meet “any level or type of threat” with “an immediate, impactful, and geographically unrestricted response.”Seven core OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, agreed on Sunday (November 1) to hold December production targets at September levels, about 31 million barrels per day combined. Most Gulf members are still pumping well below their targets as the war disrupts exports. The full 21-country group meets on November 29, when analysts expect it to set quotas for 2027.The world has drained nearly 1 billion barrels from inventories since the war disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, according to the CEO of ADNOC. Goldman Sachs raised its forecasts on Sunday and said Brent could reach US$140 in 2027 if Gulf output stays 3.5 million barrels per day below its 2025 average. ​EIA projects record US natural gas production The war has also lifted demand for US natural gas. With Qatari gas absent from the market, global demand for spot LNG cargoes has surged, adding to growing domestic consumption from data centers.The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects dry gas production to average 112.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) this year, topping the 2025 record of 107.64 Bcf/d, and to climb to 116.13 Bcf/d in 2027. US LNG exports averaged 17.4 Bcf/d in the first half, up 23 percent from a year earlier. The agency expects rising output to more than offset higher exports.Producers are scaling up to meet that demand. EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT) agreed last week to buy Range Resources in an all-stock deal that gives the combined company a pro forma enterprise value of more than US$50 billion.“North American gas markets have shifted from producer-push to demand-pull, and this deal puts EQT firmly at the heart of that transition,” Lydia Walker, senior research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, said in a recent release.Uranium producer Cameco (TSX:CCO,NYSE:CCJ) also addressed data center demand in its third-quarter results on Friday (October 30).“While growing electricity demand associated with artificial intelligence, data centres and the broader technology sector may provide additional upside for nuclear energy, it is important to recognize that our investment thesis does not depend on any single demand driver,” CEO Tim Gitzel said.Gitzel added that utilities continue to evaluate their fuel requirements “in an increasingly uncertain geopolitical environment.”Cameco posted net earnings of US$30.8 million for the quarter ended September 30, with an adjusted net loss of US$1.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of US$191.3 million. The company said results for the quarter and the first nine months came in generally lower than in 2025, but higher realized prices partly offset the decline.A planned maintenance shutdown at the Key Lake mill, longer than in previous years, began in the third quarter and held Cameco’s share of production to 3.5 million pounds of U3O8 while raising costs. Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Eli Lilly Brings AI to Drug Delivery in METiS TechBio Deal

3 weeks 2 days ago
METiS TechBio (HKEX:7666) could collect up to US$1.1 billion in milestone payments from Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) under a new research pact to design lipid nanoparticles that carry medicines to specific tissues in the body.Lipid nanoparticles, or LNPs, carry therapeutic payloads to target tissues and cells. METiS will apply AiLNP, its proprietary artificial intelligence (AI) platform for discovering and optimizing ionizable lipids, to develop delivery technologies that could improve how accurately LNPs reach their targets and how they distribute in the body.The partners plan to pair METiS' generative and predictive AI capabilities with Lilly's scientific and development know-how to discover and refine new LNP architectures. METiS says those designs may improve tissue specificity and therapeutic performance, with potential applications across multiple disease areas."Delivery remains a critical determinant of therapeutic success, particularly as the industry expands into increasingly sophisticated modalities," METiS Chair and CEO Chris Lai said in the announcement."By combining METiS' AI-powered platform with Lilly's scientific expertise and development capabilities, we aim to unlock a new generation of tissue-targeted delivery technologies that have the potential to transform how medicines reach patients."The announcement did not name the diseases or therapeutic modalities the partners will pursue first, or how the milestone payments are staged.Lilly continues to pursue its push towards the AI sector, signing a larger AI deal with another Hong Kong-listed company earlier this year. Insilico Medicine (HKEX:3696) is a clinical-stage biotech that uses generative AI and automation in drug discovery.That agreement gives Lilly an exclusive worldwide license to develop, manufacture and commercialize novel oral therapeutics in preclinical development for certain indications. The two companies will also run multiple R&D programs on targets Lilly selects, using Insilico's Pharma.AI platforms."Insilico's AI-enabled discovery capabilities represent a powerful complement to Lilly's deep expertise in clinical development across multiple therapeutic areas," Andrew Adams, Lilly's group vice president of molecule discovery, said in Insilico's announcement of the deal.Lilly has also invested in its own AI computing infrastructure. NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) said in October 2025 that Lilly was deploying a DGX SuperPOD with DGX B300 systems, built with 1,016 Blackwell Ultra GPUs, and described it as the "largest, most powerful AI factory wholly owned and operated by a pharmaceutical company."Lilly will use the system to train large-scale biomedical foundation and frontier models for drug discovery and development. Select models will go on Lilly TuneLab, a platform that gives biotech companies access to drug discovery models built on US$1 billion worth of Lilly's proprietary data.Don’t forget to follow us @INN_LifeScience for real-time news updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Ivanhoe Electric Reportedly in Talks to Sell US Copper

3 weeks 4 days ago
Ivanhoe Electric (TSX:IE,NYSEAMERICAN:IE) is reportedly in advanced talks to sell copper from its Santa Cruz project in Arizona, and those deals could help fund construction of the mine.President and CEO Taylor Melvin said in an interview last week that offtake agreements with prospective buyers could include financing for the project. He did not name the parties involved, Bloomberg reported.The company is also in project financing talks with about a dozen commercial banks, according to Melvin.The race to build artificial intelligence infrastructure has tightened global copper supply and kept prices near record highs. Melvin said that with global demand outpacing supply, the US urgently needs new domestic production.“We need a lot more than Santa Cruz to fill that gap,” he emphasized.Another Arizona copper operation has already secured a data center buyer. In January, Amazon Web Services, a subsidiary of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), agreed to become the first customer for Rio Tinto's (ASX:RIO,NYSE:RIO,LSE:RIO)’Nuton bioleaching technology. Under a two-year agreement, it will use copper produced at Gunnison Copper’s Johnson Camp mine in its US data centers. Rio Tinto says the process removes the need for traditional concentrators, smelters and refineries.At Santa Cruz, Ivanhoe plans to mine ore underground, heap leach it and produce copper cathode on site using solvent extraction and electrowinning. Cathode is the feedstock for products such as wire, cable and foil. The company’s September 2026 pre-feasibility study puts initial capital at US$1.43 billion, with first cathode targeted for 2029. The previous study, released in June 2025, estimated US$1.24 billion and targeted first production in 2028.The offtake talks follow federal financing progress for the project. On August 24, Ivanhoe said it had received a Preliminary Project Letter from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM) for US$1.1 billion in potential debt financing under EXIM’s Make More in America Initiative. The amount is US$275 million more than the US$825 million EXIM indicated in an April 2025 letter of interest. Ivanhoe expects EXIM’s board to consider final approval in spring 2027.The letter also came 17 days after President Donald Trump told a mining roundtable in Washington on August 7 that EXIM was working to provide more than US$1 billion to finance the project.Santa Cruz sits on nearly 6,000 acres of private land, including surface, mineral and associated water rights, which the company says allows for streamlined permitting. However, the company said the project still needs city, county and state permits, plus one federal permit.Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Google, Oracle Back US Nuclear Upgrades for Data Centers

1 month ago
Google and Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) are underwriting massive upgrades to legacy US nuclear plants to secure electricity for their expanding data centers, funneling billions of dollars into separate deals.Google, a holding company of Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), announced it had finalized a 20-year power purchase agreement with Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG) Energy to fund physical and digital overhauls at 11 operating nuclear units across Illinois, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. The modernization program is backed by a US$4.3 billion capital investment from Constellation and is slated to add 890 megawatts to the PJM Interconnection grid by 2032.The first tranche of new capacity goes live in 2028.The 890-megawatt uprate equates to the output of a large conventional reactor. Upgrading turbines, steam generators, and digital control systems at existing sites bypasses the multi-year permitting and interconnection bottlenecks that stall greenfield construction.Google and Constellation also executed a concurrent 15-year supply agreement for an additional 2,700 megawatts from Constellation's broader PJM fleet. The contract locks in long-term revenue to keep the generation assets economically viable.Under a separate five-year term, Constellation will integrate Google Cloud’s Gemini Enterprise artificial intelligence platform across its operations to accelerate uprate planning and optimize plant output. Constellation estimates the nuclear upgrades will sustain 4,400 existing jobs and require 7,200 construction workers.In a parallel transaction, Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) committed to subscribing to a portion of the output from NextEra Energy's (NYSE:NEE) Point Beach nuclear plant in Wisconsin. Subject to state regulatory approval, Oracle will absorb approximately US$300 million in rising energy costs associated with the twin-unit facility."Oracle is stepping up with a commitment that will directly benefit more than one million Wisconsin utility customers," Oracle Cloud Infrastructure executive vice president Mahesh Thiagarajan said. "By absorbing approximately USD300 million in rising energy costs, we are helping protect Wisconsin ratepayers while supporting the reliable, carbon-free power the state depends on."The energy subscription supports Oracle’s Project Lighthouse, an US$11 billion data center development in Port Washington, Wisconsin. Oracle plans to fully fund the facility's power costs to prevent infrastructure inflation from hitting local residential utility bills.Elsewhere, hyperscalers are aggressively locking down continuous, carbon-free generation to power artificial intelligence hardware. Constellation recently secured a 20-year contract with Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) to add 190 megawatts and extend the operating life of the Calvert Cliffs nuclear plant in Maryland. Google also previously finalized agreements to upgrade Georgia Power's Vogtle and Hatch plants and restart NextEra's Duane Arnold facility in Iowa.Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

What Happens When AI Can Manage Your Portfolio?

1 month 1 week ago
More stocks and commodities are being turned into digital tokens that trade on blockchains, and artificial intelligence (AI) agents are starting to act for investors. Han Jin, founder and CEO of Bluwhale, says the two trends are arriving together for a reason.Most brokerage accounts are closed systems, Jin explained, so AI software can't easily see holdings or place trades. A tokenized stock sits on a blockchain an agent can reach directly, and since blockchains never close, the agent can watch and act around the clock. Jin called the agent an execution layer — it carries out what an investor would otherwise do by hand.He also sees room for tokenized commodities to grow beyond gold into silver, oil and industrial metals as inflation pushes investors toward physical stores of value.Jin said most everyday users won't build agents themselves. Bluwhale starts with a questionnaire on risk and interests, then sets limits on what the agent can trade and when it must ask the user to confirm. The platform shows when and why each trade was made, but Jin said responsibility rests with the user who set up the agent.Jin’s longer-term view goes beyond trading. He pictures a personal finance profile on every investor's phone, with several agents watching different parts of their money day and night, much like a fitness tracker does for health.For now though, the investor still sets the rules and signs off on the big moves. How much more the agents take on will depend on how far users are willing to let them go.Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Technology for real-time news updates!Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
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