Nasdaq ETFs
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2 ETF Strategies for Income Investors in a Rising Rate Environment
Alternative Fixed Income: Private Credit in a volatile bond environment
Until recently, the world of private credit was ruled by Wall Street banks in their chase for higher yields and more exclusive offerings for their institutional clients. Often taking the form of closed end funds with long lock-up periods, private credit investments seek to generate higher yields by directly lending to a portfolio of companies, that are either unable or unwilling to receive funding from more traditional sources such as issuing bonds, or bank loans. In exchange for these lending services, private lenders are able to collect much higher yields, historically in the range of 8-13%.
This illiquid asset class is often reserved for pension funds, endowment funds, and HNW investors with long time horizons, who are not concerned with having access to their funds for 10 years or more. Allocations to this asset class have benefited institutional investors greatly over the last 10 years, during periods where yields have seen historic lows.
European developments in private creditBut the genie cannot be kept in the bottle indefinitely, and as the appetite from non-institutional investors for alternative strategies grows, players are emerging that seek to satiate it.
Blackstone, one of the largest names in the investing world has recently launched a European private credit fund. Having received regulatory approval in Luxembourg, the fund aims to provide institutional-level strategies to wealthy Europeans. As of May 2022, HNW European investors have had access to this restricted fund and are now able to benefit from an asset class that has grown from $50 billion in 2001, to 1.2 trillion as of 2021 as per PIMCO data.
But what about retail investors? Although developments in the space will surely continue, for the time being, retail investors can gain exposure to private credit markets through index tracking ETFs. The Virtus Private Credit Strategy ETF provides exposure to the asset class through investments in BDCs (business development companies, which are often structured as close ended funds investing in the private credit space. The ETF yields 11.54% as of October 20th, with distributions paid on a quarterly basis, making it an excellent substitute for a high yield bond ETF such as HYG, on a relative yield basis.
The asset class has seen significant growth over the last 15 years, with over 30% of the Total Credit market in the US being made up of Private Credit as of 2021, leading some market participants to believe that future growth at the same rate is unsustainable. Firms such as Blackstone take a different view, however.
As per an April 2022 report, the firm believes that Private Credit will continue to grow, as it is still a relatively small portion of overall credit markets. One of Private Credit’s main advantages are partnerships formed with the portfolio companies, which allow for flexible terms and a more active role in the operations of the companies. Contrasting this with publicly traded credit such as Leveraged Loans, which give investors little say over the operations of their borrowers, Private Credit investments form long-lasting partnerships between investors and borrowers, allowing them to command a premium yield even in a rising rate environment.
Source: Morningstar, Cliffwater, as of December 31st, 2021
The benefit to European investors is compounded, considering the relatively low-interest rate environment as compared to North American Yields. Although North American investors may have more incentive to add public floating rate debt after the recent hiking cycle, European investors are still yield-starved, with the ECB rate only at 1.25% as of September 2022.
Dispelling the Myth That EM Investing Is Too Risky
Invest in K-Pop with this new thematic ETF
There are really just two types of ETF investors in 2022's market environment.
The first one is the index ETF investor. Their portfolio is comprised of broad-market, asset allocation ETFs tracking thousands of stocks from every geography, sector, and market cap size. It's intended to be passive and achieve the average return of the world's stock market net of fees.
The second one is the thematic ETF investor. Their portfolio is a mishmash of various thematic funds. A more typical one might include electric vehicles, solar power, next-generation internet, etc. Or, it could be as weird as meme stocks, breakfast foods, "vice" industries, or inversing Jim Cramer.
And now we can add the Korean pop music industry, or "K-pop," to the list. Are you a die-hard BTS fan (known as a "Stan")? Well, now you can invest in the future of your favorite band via the KPOP and Korean Entertainment ETF (KPOP). Let's take a deep dive into its prospectus.
How the K-Pop ETF worksKPOP passively tracks a proprietary index comprised of 30 companies listed on Korean exchanges that engage in the entertainment and interactive media industry (music, movies, drama, entertainment, and content). Since its debut, the fund has attracted $2.1 million in assets under management (AUM).
KPOP's holdings are selected by an algorithm that scans keywords on company filings and press releases online to assess whether or not they qualify as a "K-Pop company." There is a minimum market cap requirement of $76 million for inclusion.
Whether or not a company is included in the underlying index depends on its free float-adjusted market cap and K-Pop "relevance score" as assigned by the algorithm:
- For the entertainment industry, the five largest companies by market cap and the top three by K-Pop relevance score will be included.
- For the interactive media & services industry, the two largest companies by market cap and the top one by K-Pop relevance score will be included.
- Within the remaining universe of companies, the highest-ranked ones by K-Pop relevance score will be selected until 30 constituents are held.
- The index will be market-cap weighted, with a target weight of 80% of holdings from the entertainment industry and 20% from interactive media & services, with a 10% cap on any individual holding.
- The ETF will be rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
K-Pop has a large and dedicated fan base, but I'm unsure how many of those "Stans" are avid investors eager to invest in a niche thematic ETF. The majority of the population still remains fairly in the dark when it comes to ETF investing, even for popular broad-market, low-cost indexes.
A concentrated thematic fund like KPOP will likely face an uphill battle when it comes to attracting inflows. It faces the challenges of educating a fanbase with little to no investment knowledge and competition against increasingly large numbers of thematic ETFs being launched.
The main risk here is concentration risk. That is, a sharp downturn in either the K-Pop industry or the Korean economy can cause severe drawdowns for the ETF. Unlike most ETFs investing in the Korean region, this ETF lacks exposure to notable large-cap Korean stocks like Samsung, Hyundai, or LG.
There's also foreign exchange risk. Holdings in KPOP are denominated in Won, while the ETF itself trades in USD. If the Won depreciates against the U.S. dollar, the net asset value (NAV) of the ETF could lose value even if the underlying holdings increase in value.
I'm curious as to why KPOP wasn't currency hedged, especially given the recent strength of the USD and the relative power of the U.S. economy compared to the South Korean one. The lack of currency hedging will likely create additional volatility for the ETF.
That being said, if the USD falls against the Won, the ETF will gain additional value. Maybe reversion to the mean will help KPOP out here. All in all, the best investor profile for KPOP is someone highly knowledgeable about the industry with a bullish long-term thesis.