Striking the right balance between gaining exposure to the growth offered by top tech stocks and gaining income through dividend stocks can be a challenge for many investors. With a portfolio full of
top tech stocks and a massive 9% dividend yield, the JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF (
NASDAQ:JEPQ
) enables investors to achieve both of these aims through one ETF.
I’m bullish on this popular dividend ETF from JPMorgan Chase & Co. (
NYSE:JPM
) based on its portfolio of highly-rated tech and growth stocks, monthly dividend payout, and above-average dividend yield. However, no investment opportunity is without risks, so there are also some caveats that we’ll discuss within this article.
What Is the JEPQ ETF’s Strategy?
Fund sponsor JPMorgan explained, “JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF seeks to deliver monthly distributable income and Nasdaq 100 exposure with less volatility.”
Essentially, this is an actively-managed fund that invests in the stocks of the Nasdaq 100 Index (
NDX
) and sells covered calls to produce monthly income for its holders. The ETF only launched in May 2022, but thanks to its high 9% yield and blue-chip sponsor, it has already grown to $11.6 billion in assets under management (AUM), making it one of the market’s largest actively-managed ETFs.
JEPQ is an appealing option for income investors or for growth investors looking to add some yield to their portfolios. It pays a monthly distribution, and it generates this income by owning some
dividend stocks and, as mentioned earlier, selling covered calls to generate additional income.
Not only does JEPQ pay investors monthly, but its 9% yield is extremely appealing because it’s significantly higher than the average yields offered by U.S. equities (1.4%), U.S. 10-year treasury bonds (3.9%), global REITs (4.3%), and even U.S. high-yield bonds (7.6%).
This is a great ETF for earning significant monthly income. However, there’s no such thing as a “free lunch,” and anything that sounds this good usually comes with some type of tradeoff.
The tradeoff for this high monthly payout is that an ETF like JEPQ inevitably leaves some potential total return on the table as selling covered calls caps some of the upside from the price appreciation of its holdings because if the price of the underlying stock rises beyond the strike price of the option, JEPQ investors won’t benefit from the additional gains.
You can see this for yourself. For example, JEPQ owns most of the same mega-cap tech stocks that dominate the Nasdaq. JEPQ posted a very nice total return of 36.2% in 2023, while the Invesco QQQ Trust (
NASDAQ:QQQ
), which is meant to track the Nasdaq 100, generated a much higher 54.9% simply by holding the Nasdaq’s top stocks.
As you can see, an investor in JEPQ actually trailed the total return of the Nasdaq by a significant margin, even when accounting for the significant dividend income they received from JEPQ.
As long as investors understand this tradeoff and are comfortable with potentially forgoing higher total returns in exchange for a steady stream of monthly income, then JEPQ is worth a spot in a balanced portfolio.
It should also be noted that according to its prospectus, JEPQ can invest up to 20% of its assets into equity-linked notes (ELNs). According to the prospectus, these are “derivative instruments that are specifically designed to combine the economic characteristics of the S&P 500 Index (
SPX
) and written call options in a single note form and are not traded on an exchange.” As you’ll see in the holdings section below, these ELNs currently make up 14.6% of JEPQ’s portfolio.
One additional note for potential investors to be aware of is that JEPQ’s payouts can vary from month to month and aren’t set in stone, but they are usually within a similar range. For example, looking at the
ETF’s dividend history on TipRanks, JEPQ paid a dividend of $0.39 in January. The payout fell to $0.34 in February but rebounded to $0.38 in March.
Experience Counts
Another appealing aspect of JEPQ is that while this is a complex, active strategy, it has an experienced team running it. Lead portfolio manager Hamilton Reiner has over 30 years of experience investing in equities and equity derivatives (and 37 years in the investment industry), and he is joined by two other seasoned managers.
Note that Reiner is the same portfolio manager who runs the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (
NYSEARCA:JEPI
), a similar ETF that
yields 7.6% and is extremely
popular with dividend investors.
JEPQ’s Top Holdings
JEPQ holds 88 positions, and its top 10 holdings account for 53.9% of the fund. Below is an overview of
JEPQ’s top 10 holdings using TipRanks’ holdings tool.
As you can see, unlike many dividend ETFs that achieve high yields by investing in high-yield stocks with little to no growth, JEPQ gives investors exposure to the mega-cap tech powerhouses like Microsoft (
NASDAQ:MSFT
), Nvidia (
NASDAQ:NVDA
), Amazon (
NASDAQ:AMZN
), Meta Platforms (
NASDAQ:META
), and Broadcom (
NASDAQ:AVGO
) that are leading the stock market higher.
Beyond tech stocks, JEPQ also holds positions in other prominent Nasdaq stocks, like Pepsi (
NASDAQ:PEP
), Costco (
NASDAQ:COST
), and Mondelez (
NASDAQ:MDLZ
), which are all dividend payers.
Note that, as discussed above, the ELNs are currently JEPQ’s largest position at 14.6%, and the fund can invest up to 20% of its assets in these instruments.
What Is JEPQ’s Expense Ratio?
JEPQ features an expense ratio of 0.35%. This means that an investor in the fund will pay $35 in fees on a $10,000 investment annually. While this isn’t as cheap as some of the broad-market index funds out there, it seems reasonable enough for an active ETF with a fairly complex strategy. It’s also significantly cheaper than the average expense ratio for all ETFs, which is 0.57%.
Is JEPQ Stock a Buy, According to Analysts?
Turning to Wall Street, JEPQ earns a Moderate Buy consensus rating based on 78 Buys, 10 Holds, and zero Sell ratings assigned in the past three months. The
average JEPQ stock price target of $58.77 implies 8.5% upside potential.
A Steady Stream of Dividend Income
For investors who are alright with potentially leaving some upside on the table in terms of capital appreciation in a bull market, JEPQ is a great way to add substantial monthly income to a portfolio.
I also like the fact that JEPQ gives investors this 9% yield while giving them exposure to compelling tech and growth stocks rather than no- or low-growth stocks like many high-yield ETFs. I’m bullish on JEPQ based on its strong portfolio of top tech stocks, its 9% dividend yield, and its monthly payout schedule.
Disclosure
Snap (
NYSE:SNAP
) may be heading toward penny stock status. Back in December,
I urged investors to consider exiting their positions at $15.90 due to an unjustified surge in the stock. Fast-forward to today, with Snap trading at $11.31, and my bearish outlook on Snap has only deepened. Following continuous operating losses and a lack of substantial free cash flow generation to justify its current valuation, Snap seems poised to keep deteriorating shareholder value, inevitably inching closer to penny stock status.
Snap’s Growth Stalls as Peers Surge
The first factor fueling my bearish stance on Snap is its stagnant growth in a landscape where its peers thrive and deliver great results. Assuming Snap was growing rapidly, I could go easier on the company’s disastrous profitability (more on that later). However, with top-line growth having halted, I see no way for the company to come out of its current predicament.
To illustrate,
Snap’s revenues came in at $4.6 billion in FY 2023, flat compared to the previous year. This result is quite underwhelming in itself because Snap’s revenue growth stagnated during a rather favorable advertising environment. In fact, many of its peers in the
social media and content-sharing area recorded significantly higher revenues during the same period.
For instance, Meta Platforms (
NASDAQ:META
) posted revenue growth of 16% last year, while Alphabet’s (
NASDAQ:GOOGL
)(
NASDAQ:GOOG
) YouTube also grew its revenues by 16% in this period. Even Pinterest, whose growth tends to underperform, grew its top line by 9% in FY 2023.
The company may highlight its platform’s ongoing user growth, with Snap’s daily active users rising to 414 million globally in Q4—marking a 10% increase. However, this narrative merely scratches the surface. Notably, this expansion is primarily attributed to a 19% surge in users from the rest-of-the-world regions (i.e., all regions outside North America and Europe).
Source: SNAP’s Q4-2023 Investor Presentation
The problem is that RoW user growth has little to no value, as these users can hardly be monetized. It is actually North America and Europe that can drive ad revenue, as their users have tremendously higher purchasing power. In the meantime, Snap even lost about one million users quarter-over-quarter in North America, further dampening its user mix. Therefore, despite the seemingly growing user base, Snap’s revenue per user (ARPU) fell by 5% in Q4, partially offsetting revenue gains from user growth.
Source: SNAP’s Q4-2023 Investor Presentation
Snap’s quarterly reports have consistently highlighted advertisers’ hesitation to spend big on its platform relative to its competitors, likely largely due to the lack of impactful conversion metrics. Thus, given that Snap posted a decline in ARPU in a vigorous advertising environment, it’s reasonable to expect that the moment global ad spending loses its current steam in line with its cyclical fashion, Snap’s revenues could plummet from here.
Operating Losses Persist & Free Cash Flow Isn’t a Good Indicator
With Snap lacking meaningful revenue growth to improve its profitability prospects, its operating losses are likely to persist. At the same, the company’s seemingly growing free cash flow model isn’t a good indicator of the stock’s prospects, as Snap’s stock-based compensation (SBC) keeps deteriorating shareholder value. Let’s take a deeper look.
As you can see below, with total costs and expenses surpassing Snap’s revenues, FY 2023 marked another year of steep operating losses, reaching $1.4 billion.
Source: SNAP’s Q4-2023 Earnings Report
Snap may defend its position in that regard by citing its “growing” free cash flow. In fact, management celebrated FY 2023 as Snap’s third consecutive year of positive free cash flow. However, Snap’s free cash flow should be highly scrutinized. Take a look at Snap’s FY 2023 statements. You will find that while free cash flow came in came in at roughly $35 million, this number includes a huge $1.3 billion in stock-based compensation expenses added back during the reconciliation process.
Therefore, while it may seem that Snap “creates value” due to its positive free cash flow, the rate at which it dilutes shareholders (with FY 2023’s SBC equal to about 7% of the current market cap) more than offsets the rate at which value is created by a wide margin.
In my view, this trend appears poised to persist, steadily chipping away at shareholders’ equity per share, resulting in increasing dilution and, thus, a declining share price. This trajectory will potentially drive Snap toward penny stock territory. With no apparent catalysts for revenue growth and a persistent struggle to control expenses, the course seems irreversible.
This process could even accelerate if ARPU keeps falling, which I find increasingly likely, given the company’s lackluster performance during a favorable ad environment.
Is SNAP Stock a Buy, According to Analysts?
Wall Street seems to have mixed feelings about the stock, as SNAP features a Hold consensus rating based on nine Buys, 22 Holds, and two Sell ratings assigned in the past three months. At $13.98 per share, the
average SNAP stock price target suggests 23.6% upside potential.
If you’re wondering which analyst you should follow if you want to buy and sell SNAP stock, the most accurate analyst following the stock (on a one-year timeframe) is Ross Sandler from Barclays. He boasts an average return of 43.94% per rating and a 57% success rate.
The Takeaway
In conclusion, I understand that suggesting Snap is headed towards penny stock territory may appear audacious. Nonetheless, from my perspective, it seems increasingly inevitable.
Despite management’s attempts to highlight growing user numbers and positive free cash flow, the company faces significant hurdles. Stalled revenue growth, troubled by a decline in ARPU and persistent operating losses, paints a bleak picture.
With competitors surging and advertisers hesitant to spend their hard-earned dollars on Snap’s platform, it’s only reasonable to expect the company’s metrics to worsen further, particularly once global ad spending takes a breather, which could accelerate the erosion in shareholder value.
Disclosure
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